Are colonoscopies worth it?
asteriskmag.com
asteriskmag.com
When I was 20, I vividly remember being in the bathroom at my workplace when a large amount of blood started coming out. I did what any smart, effective 20yo would do: ignored it because I was embarrassed.
Fast forward 10 years, and I’d been ignoring it for a decade. It had continued to happen every few months. Sometimes the blood was so bad I’d have to wait up to 20 minutes for it to stop. Other times I would see blood, but no bleeding.
These are bad signs. If you see this, don’t do what I did. I was gambling with my life. Remember that popular video game commenter that died from this? Totalbiscuit? He concealed his, and he lost.
The most unexpected thing is that when I actually wanted one, the process took over two years. And that was after a year or so of periodically mentioning it to the doctors, who would give me a sheet of numbers to call and I never bothered. Those three years could have been the difference.
Turns out, there’s nothing wrong with me. It was hemorrhoids. You might think you’re smart enough to tell the difference. I thought so. I was a cocky idiot who could’ve died from cancer before seeing my daughter get married.
Just get one if you see something. The final paragraph of the article pleads you to. The peace of mind alone was worth the small unpleasantness and major logistical annoyance.
I’m a dude that had GERD but got both ends checked and they found polyps, so I randomly got incredibly lucky.
I was 26, and had less of a fight because of history, but it’s way worth it.
Also, ask about the Miralax option!
I’ve gone through it twice now. Both times, the most annoying part was the 2 or so hours they make you sit there in a hospital gown with no phone or electronics and nothing to do, while you are starving and uncomfortable and waiting to have the procedure.
I don’t know if it’s like that everywhere. But would it really be that bad to let people hang on to their phones? Why make this more difficult than it needs to be?
I could keep my phone anytime (why would you not?).
Now, in France you prepare yourself before and that's another horrifying story :)
Yes, it would. The last time I had an EGD (same facilities as colonoscopy), there were 5 small rooms on each side of an aisle for patients. Some of the rooms had TVs turned on, some had patients' family members talking loudly, and of course the nurses were running all over the place, with many talking about what they did over the weekend, etc.
Would it be so bad if people learned how to chill out for 2 hours without constant stimulation?
The doctors probably thought it sounded more like hemorrhoids, but weren't going to stop you from getting the colonoscopy. Hopefully they at least did a digital exam and gave you recommendations.
When the symptoms first happen, absolutely go to the doctor. Where it gets tricky is when it's probably nothing, but it might be something, and there's a disagreement on if more tests are worth it.
I'll share a story to help destigmatize. A few months ago I was taken completely out of commission by GI symptoms, just hours and hours of pain and vomiting. It turned out I had an infection, but the infection caused there to be shapes on my intestine that apparently looked vaguely like Crohn's disease on the MRI (or something, I'm not a radiologist, my understanding is pretty vague. There were bubbles in my intestine from bacterial respiration).
So I got a colonoscopy. And it turns out I'm fine. Drinking the prep isn't my favorite thing, but it's a task that gets done.
If two gallons of salt water and a trip to the doctor is all that stands between you and seeing your daughter's wedding, make it happen and you have nothing to be embarrassed about. Everybody poops and everybody gets a colonoscopy.
I got hemorrhoids afterwards too. Cutting corn kernels (if you know, you know) out of my diet made them go away. Afterwards I could eat them again. Life is strange.
No idea ehy people are so afraid of that. Ifbyou have nothong, fine. If you do, it migjt very well save your live or very serious surgery down the road. After all, whatever it is, it wont go away just because it remains undiagnosed. After all, a falling tree in the woods without anyone next to it still makes the same noise.
Might be the skill of the surgeon who did my three colonoscopies (and the fentanyl sedation) but I didn’t fund the actual procedure too bad
It’s quite interesting seeing you own insides and the colonoscope they used for me had a transmitter the the head so you could see it’s shape as it snaked through the colon
The colonoscopy is also extremely unpleasant; not exactly painful, but it made me groan repeatedly. The procedure lasts about an hour. I wasn't allowed sedatives, because I drink a lot; and no gas either, because something something, like I was going home under my own steam.
I've had three colonoscopies in the last five years, two last year (the second was to check up on the sites of the plaque removals from the first. They're threatening to send me for another check in January. I'm not yet sure if I will comply - I'm feeling overtreated.
I was sent for these procedures as a result of the self-administered fecal blood test, that everyone over (I think) 60 gets on the NHS. These were not screening tests.
> Might be the skill of the surgeon
My procedures were performed by a specialist colonoscopist, supported by a roomful of nurses and technicians (about 5 of them, I think). Plaque removal might be termed "surgery", but it's quite a long way from the scalpels-and-forceps type. The machine is very cool, and probably very expensive; in addition to the camera, it carries a wire loop for removing plaques, and another device for tattooing the sites of removed plaques. And they track the location of the tube with a continuous X-ray. But I guess most of the cost is the staff.
Yes, the prep can be unpleasant. I tolerated it because of how close I had come to dying, and really didn't want my ticket punched. But the procedure itself was never unpleasant. When you say you weren't allowed sedatives because "I drink a lot;" were you referring to alcohol? My surgeon typically used propofol to induce twilight sedation. It was the best sleep I've ever had, though I understand that I never lost consciousness. The colonoscopy has NEVER been painful for me.
I would recommend finding a new doctor. Doing a colonoscopy without sedation sounds barbaric.
Yes.
> The colonoscopy has NEVER been painful for me.
You've always been medicated.
> I would recommend finding a new doctor. Doing a colonoscopy without sedation sounds barbaric.
"My doctor" is what I call my GP; he's not involved in this process. I was referred for colonoscopy based on a fecal blood test that was centrally-administered. Several consultants (including the dental consultant that did my root canals) have denied me sedation on those grounds. In general, I'm inclined to agree that anaesthesia and sedation are dangerous for drinkers, and should be avoided if they aren't essential. And they aren't essential for a colonoscopy.
The problem is when you have BLACK blood in the stool. That may be an internal bleeding.
What concerns is that where I live, it's my understanding that, with a few exceptions [0], you can't skip a GP and go directly to a specialist. And I'm not convinced that GPs here are any better than in the US or elsewhere. Bonus points for large parts of the country not even having enough GPs for their population.
---
[0] You can go see an eye doctor or a dentist without seeing a GP first.
Don't bother with the NHS, it's a carwreck. See this, for example: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-67239548
Last month, after years of waiting, I got a letter again delaying my assessment for a growth on my neck, for the foreseeable future. It's a good job that I'd gone private a year ago, as it turned out to be extremely advanced, with neural invasion, requiring two rounds of surgery to be removed.
Nationalised healthcare ought to be means-tested to target help at the people who need it, and not delay others who can afford to pay their way. The population 'pyramid' as it stands can't support the health and social care model we're using, and the lack of market incentives means that we don't train enough medics.
I'm hearing bad things about UK's NHS, and while I don't have any firsthand experience with it, I do get the feeling that the French system is going down the same path.
It's true that I don't usually think about going the private route. I'm not 100% sure, but I think you can probably see a private specialist directly. I also don't know how much it would cost, but probably quite a lot, given the prices in the public hospitals, and I don't think it's covered by the insurance, even though I carry insurance above the standard national scheme.
I contacted the local French doctor, who brought us in that day, gave my son an actual examination (the UK GP didn't do this), asked if I was aware that he had an ear infection (I wasn't, the UK doctor didn't check), and revised the course of treatment which resolved the problem quickly.
I was extremely impressed by the French doctor; he was in a different league to the standard in the UK.
I don't think so; the number of medics we train in the UK is mainly controlled by the medical colleges.
But _any_ source of colonic bleeding is likely to be red to bright red. The possible pathologies are numerous: hemorrhoidal - as you mention, tumours, inflammatory bowel disease, arteriovenous malformations, diverticular disease, etc.
However if the internal bleeding from the upper GI system is brisk/fast enough it will come out bright red. This can happen to people with esophageal varices (sequela of liver disease and cirrhosis) or brisk stomach or duodenal ulcers and the prognosis is usually poor, but very likely they will be getting emergent endoscopies and/or mass transfusion if they make it out of the ED.
You can't tell by color.
> That may be an internal bleeding.
Colonic bleeding is just as internal and will typically be red or maroon.
Also there’s supposedly a poop test called fecal occult blood test that has a high rate of detecting colorectal cancer that you do over the course of 3 years. I saw this on nhk Doctor's Insight: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/ondemand/video/2086035/
As a rule of thumb, the farther the blood has to travel, the darker it'll be. Blood from high up enough in your GI tract will be a black, tarry substance, NOT red, but it's absolutely blood and you need to get that checked out ASAP.
Edit: To be clear “severely dehydrated” is kinda an important factor here. Point being that if the cause is obvious I dont see why you’d get a colonoscopy. Please correct me if im wrong instead of just downvoting for anyone who knows more about this thx ^^
But yeah, if it happens once it’s not necessarily a problem. It’s when you keep having bloody stool that it’s a good idea to get checked.
Edit: i can only lead an ass to the proctologist, i cannot make it "drink" ;)
Wrll, actually, if thebimjury is beyond "a self applied band aid can fix it", see a doctor as well!
> fecal occult blood test
Often used to screen patients for colonoscopies. Screening is looking for disease in the asymptomatic: "occult" means it's not visible to the naked eye, you're looking for blood even though the patient has not noticed any. The symptomatic don't need screening, they need diagnosis and thus proceed directly to colonoscopy. Or endoscopy if upper gastrointestinal tract bleeding is suspected.
I get the sense from this, and from other anecdotes in life, that preventative maintenance, of all flavors, is something we used to do, for a brief period of time, but that we don't really do anymore.
The newest science says they should even begin at 45.
I was speaking with my Dr. about these exploratory procedures and asked if early diagnosis extends life. He responded with general recommendations. Every procedure has a risk.
I have no symptoms, so what science studies with control groups show extending life?
I did the first only so far and no polips.
There's nothing to be scared. It takes less than an hour and is painless. The worst part is the prep you do at home a day before. It's very powerful stuff. You'll be shitting clear water by the time they do the exam.
Edit: downvotes? Really!? I'm 100% fucking serious! Work any angle to get people to test!
(Plus I like watching the video feed from the camera. How many other people have seen the inside of their colon, live? It's cool!)
After about the 4th? time I had it (I've had 9 cardioversions, along with many types of surgeries), I realized I liked propofol. By the 6th time, it was the highlight of any procedure. I found that the high comes from trying to fight the anesthetic and the amazing quality of sleep you get, plus I will agree the wakeup is tricky. Be careful about what you're really obsessed with, as you'll likely talk about random aspects of your hobby as you come out of the stupor.
The next best thing, I would say is Demoral, which gives me the instant feeling of being peak-drunk without the need for all the troublesome alcohol. Anything acute and severe, that cannot be immediately triaged, can justify getting an injection. This drug is very tightly controlled now.
I do avoid pain killers as a personal policy, to ensure I am aware of what's going on in my body at all time (since it's a delicate thing). That being said, I can understand Michael Jackson's addiction.
I don’t understand.
Family history can also affect this timeline. My kids are now stuck having colonoscopies five years earlier than the normal recommendation since I had rectal cancer at 40.
And while I've found colonoscopies to be uneventful, they can have side effects. A perforated colon can happen in the worst case, or bleeding and infection. These are considered rare though and colonoscopies are considered pretty safe overall. But this doesn't mean you should get one just because you like getting high...
And yes, I was bleeding heavily out my ass and had recurrent stomach and intestinal pain for months that went away and then came back the next year. Not as if I went in for a cut finger and demanded an anal probe for it.
Turns out I'm sporadically - not consistently - lactose intolerant. Russian Roulette. Makes me shit acid that tears up all my soft tissue causing bleeding and eventually clotting. FODMAP, or just lots of oatmeal until it clears up, is the way out again. The lactose sugar-based colon purge laxatives they give you to prep for the procedure work REALLY well on me.
The GI specialist I eventually saw turned out to be one of the best in the country and, based on my symptoms alone (especially the anemia), he was 99% confident it was just hemorrhoids but opted for the colonoscopy anyway. Since I have GERD as well he did an upper endoscopy at the same time while I was under. Turns my colon is completely normal, and I don’t even have any polyps (which my father had several at my age). Don’t need another one for 10 years.
Honestly my biggest fear was going under with propofol. A lot of people I spoke with said it felt great but I didn’t have that experience. I hated the feeling of slipping into unconsciousness in a way that was not similar to other anesthetics I had been under, and I felt like complete garbage the whole rest of the day. Other than that, the prep was perfect fine and I had never taken a more legendary shit in my life.
(Yes I vary dosage, mindset, brand, delta 8 vs delta 9, sativa vs indica vs hybrid, empty stomach, full stomach).
What? When my GP decided I was at risk for cancer of the colon I was scheduled for a colonoscopy within a couple of months and I didn't have to call anyone. This was in Norway.
But also, didn't your GP examine you?
"Probably hemorrhoids" and $1200 out of pocket after insurance.
And people wonder why no one goes to the Dr in the USA before they are 1/2 dead.
I only had one sign something was amiss - a small amount of bright red blood in my stools, once. No pain, no discomfort. But it alarmed me enough to schedule a colonoscopy, a procedure I hadn't had before. The doc told me not to worry, as it was probably just a hemorrhoid.
Before the procedure, the doctor was cordial and animated. As I was waking up afterward, his composure was totally changed - a sign something was wrong. He told me he found a mass, and scheduled a CT scan for the next day. That scan showed I had stage IV colon cancer, with metastases in my lymph nodes and liver.
Other than that single blood sign, I had no indicator whatsoever of the dire situation. Thankfully, I was admitted to MD Anderson, where I firmly believe I had the best team possible treating me. I have a good amount of collateral damage as a result of the treatment, but remain cancer free. I am grateful to still be here, as several of my friends with similar diagnoses aren't.
I am definitely pro-colonoscopy. The short-term discomfort of the prep is nothing in comparison with 12 rounds of chemo.
- Taking the meds for cleaning out your system the day before is far worse than the procedure itself.
- Have a lollipop to stick in your mouth after Each time you take a shot of the laxatives. It helps with the vile taste of it.
- If you need relaxing meds or something for the pain and discomfort, they have good stuff handy when doing the procedure.
- It only ever hurts if your colon are in bad shape. Colonoscopy doesn’t hurt if you are healthy (and even if it does, they have meds for the pain).
- Don’t be embarrassed, the hospital staff do this all the time. They don’t really care about the things you are worried that they might care about.
- Wear loose fitting clothes that are easy to change in and out of when you go to the hospital.
- Try to relax.
I’m sure there will be a few people popping up to disagree with this and I think you kind of disagreed with yourself in that sentence anyway.
I got the all-clear in the end, and my guts are not in bad shape (don’t drink much, never smoked, eat healthy), and I’ve generally got a high pain threshold… but the procedure (only a flexi-sigmoidoscopy) hurt like hell and I wish I’d had some form of pain control beforehand.
Ha, the procedure itself was painless for me since I was out cold, but during the prep I distinctly remember thinking (between waves of cramps) "Damn, maybe I do have Crohn's..."
Regarding pain, can confirm, it felt incredibly unpleasant for a short initial time but wasn't exactly painful.
Facts. My mom was an Endo nurse for 40 years, and it's true that they don't care. That said, the single most important thing you can do is just be a nice person. They see a lot of people at their worst, and a nice, kind person will put a smile on their faces.
It depends... in the US I just had to count backwards from 10 and fall asleep -- but I've tried being give a wooden stick to bite -- that was a different experience.
In Denmark they usually just use local drugs, no sleeping, but last time it was no big deal anyways :)
The study does a poor job of helping an individual asking a similar but different question: Is it worthwhile for me to pay out of pocket for a colonoscopy?
The latter question is very important in a system that isn't single-payer and so this has sparked a lot of debate in e.g the US.
The type of question "are colonoscopies worth it" is not actually people should ask themselves. This is a question your primary care physician should answer, and you should follow their advice. If you don't trust them, just go find another one.
LOL. It hard to imagine anything much more invasive than having a metal tube (with light and camera) shoved up your arse. It is definitely unpleasant. I speak from personal experience. That said, it is less unpleasant than bowel cancer. So don't be put off if you really need to get it done. It's not that bad.
Well, how about an operation where sharp tools are used to slice open parts of your body that are otherwise entirely sealed, by design? To my mind, that's at least an order of magnitude more unpleasant and invasive.
> It's not that bad.
Totally agree. At commented elsewhere here, the prep process isn't that bad, and is still much worse than the procedure itself.
The prep, however, was pretty bad...
Putting something in the body and getting it back out without tearing, is not invasive. Eating and vomiting would be categorized as invasive, in context.
A colonoscopy/endoscopy is internal and dangerous, which is not the same thing as being invasive, so the term "minimally invasive" is sometimes used as a happy middleground, which has then been sensationalized.
"(of medical procedures) involving the introduction of instruments or other objects into the body or body cavities."
YMMV
I dunno. Ears (eardrums), colons, etc are tricky to cover all at once. I don't envy the authors of medical literature.
> Putting something in the body and getting it back out without tearing, is not invasive.
Just for clarity colonoscopy is an invasive procedure.
> Just for clarity colonoscopy is an invasive procedure.
The definition is the point at hand. Stating that it is intrinsically a truism, is not compelling.
[1] “14.6 major bleeding events per 10,000 colonoscopies (95% CI, 9.4-19.9; 20 studies; n = 5,172,508) and 3.1 perforations per 10,000 colonoscopies (95% CI, 2.3-4.0; 26 studies; n = 5,272,600)”
> One thing is clear: Screening works. If you’re of the appropriate age, please get screened. If your tubes are acting funny, please get screened without delay. The best method and the level of benefit are debatable, but we know it helps. Use a stool test if you want (multitarget DNA test if you can), or a colonoscopy, or a sigmoidoscopy, or a “virtual” CT colonoscopy, or a crazy edible camera. Do one of them. Statistics show colorectal cancer is highly curable when caught early, and now that we have feisty checkpoint inhibitor immunotherapies,it’s probably even better now. Just do it. Your tubes will thank you.
That's unfortunate, because it's a poor summary of the actual paper the article is discussing. If you bother to read the rest of the article, you'll see the actual summary of the trial, and it's pretty darned easy to interpret for yourself:
https://asteriskmag.com/media/pages/issues/04/you-re-invited...
to wit:
> The 18% reduction in colorectal cancer incidence was statistically significant, while the 10% reduction in colorectal cancer mortality and 1% reduction in overall mortality were not.
(Those reductions are relative risks, which are on very small baseline numbers.)
Then the article goes on for many pages about how American gastroenterologists do not agree...which isn't terribly shocking, considering the source of the argument. But a number of rebuttals are made, some of which are reasonable (i.e. colonoscopies are one of the few screening tests to actually do something to prevent disease, in the form of clipping polyps), and others of which are quite simply lies ("other studies have estimated larger benefits for colonoscopies" -- yeah, but those studies were bad, and this one was good, which is why we're talking about it!)
Note that American gastroenterologists do a lot of colonoscopies, mostly without good evidence. This was the first major RCT in decades to consider the question at all. The other screening methods have even worse evidence, and certainly no good evidence at the young ages we do them in the USA (currently 40 in men; the studies are all in much older age groups).
Overall, the NORDICC trial paints an incredibly ambiguous picture for the effectiveness of colonoscopy at preventing severe illness or death -- at the very least, the benefits are likely dramatically overstated. Discussing all of this, then turning around and claiming "it works" is an insult to evidence-based medicine.
(FWIW, I'm personally torn on the meaning of the study. I just think that "one thing is clear" line is a particularly odious bit of "journalism" -- not the least because it confuses symptom-free screening with doing something in reaction to symptoms. The rest of the article is pretty fair, IMO, but that line is substituting the opinion of the author for an actual summary of the data.)
>The sensitivity of detection of carcinoma is a remarkably acceptable comparison. The multi-targeted stool DNA test is 92% sensitive for finding cancers, which is almost equal to colonoscopy, reportedly at 95%.
https://www.facs.org/for-medical-professionals/news-publicat...
The stool test isn’t as good at detecting polyps but the Nordic study would have shed some light on how much that reduces cancer mortality anyway. This study suggests stool testing compares very favorably to colonoscopy.
https://medicine.iu.edu/news/2019/02/new-study-shows-annual-...
> There was a subgroup analysis on those that actually received screening, which showed a decent improvement in hazard ratio.
I can't emphasize this enough: read the article. Per-protocol analysis (what you're describing) is incredibly biased. OP shows that it's an overestimate of true effect, and I'd go so far to say that it's completely useless (in general; not just for this paper).
People who argue that NORDICC was wrong because per-protocol showed a bigger effect size should be ignored with prejudice. They don't know how to read or interpret scientific studies, and have a poor understanding of statistics.
Screening is for people without symptoms.
If you have symptoms it's not screening, it's diagnostic testing. Diagnosis is important - if you bleed from anywhere you need it to be explained - but there are big differences in how you look at a test that's done for screening vs diagnosis.
I got one last year and it was the best sleep I ever got.
It was two days of the prep stuff you drink to shit your brains out which is a little rough, but I have a bidet, no big deal.
Then you go to the hospital, you dress down into a gown, nurses come in, they put some things on your chest, you get a little cold, they put a nice warm blanket on you, they start an IV, they wheel you into the procedure room, and then you pass out.
You suddenly wake up and I felt like I had an amazing nap and I was incredibly comfortable. Then you have someone drive you home and that's all there is to it.
It was really no big deal.
The only thing that sucks is you pretty much just drink powerade and eat chicken broth during the prep.
Do you mean with local anesthetics?
So, I got some kind of pain relief or relaxant but no anesthesia and it was really interesting and enjoyable to watch the procedure.
The prep was only slightly inconvenient and the overall process didn’t come anywhere near to how people talk about or build it up.
This is the bit that a lot of people have a problem with, and there's usually some choices in the amount and type of sedation you get.
In the US they use much heavier sedation than other countries - use of propofol is not uncommon in the US - and it's one of the things that makes colonoscopy more risky than it needs to be.
Every single trial introduces some bias through the way it's designed. Good trials try to minimize bias or at least limit it to things we know don't introduce bias.
The article does a nice job at digging into the nuances of the trial design and how it may influence (or not influence) the results.
That's why the "reference wars" you see on HN are so pointless. It's easy to just find a paper that supports your position. But trials are of varying quality.
What you see in this article is what normally happens with most major trials - results get discussed, challenged, discussed some more. After a few months doctors finally settle on the main takeaways. Sometimes it takes years.
That seems like a pro invitation argument. (I.e. pro treatment for the invited + opt-in cohort.)
How significant is reducing a small risk (1%) significantly?
(Base rate fallacy)
"The right graph compares those results to the observed outcomes for acceptors in our branch of the multiverse, where they did have colonoscopies. At the end of the trial, there’s a reduction of 37%. Unfortunately, data aren’t available to do this for mortality,..."
Actually I am confused by this graph (right side):
1% of refusers are diagnosed with CRC
versus
1.4% of would be acceptors would be diagnosed with CRC.
So refusing is better than accepting.
I guess I am missing something.
tl;dr - healthy individual without family history could be more likely to refuse the screening (less refuses were diagnosed with CRC than the control). This is the reason the study can't omit refuser from calculations.
I have seen the data for mortality before in at least one publication if not more, and it clearly showed that the increase rate in diagnosis did not result in improved outcomes for survival, which is precisely why colonoscopy has a very bad ROI right now
The article suggests his reasoning could be well founded.
He had very sensible ideas about hand washing a hundred years before it was accepted by most doctors. He was a bit weird though, and ended up being ignored.
Semmelweiss was apparently lacking in social graces, but I wouldn't be able to behave normally if I'd discovered what he discovered.
(Edit for coquilles and spacing)
Doctors used to believe they were such gentlemen their hands could not possibly be dirty and contaminated.
NB, not all men were considered gentlemen.
See also surgeons cuffs on coats (blazers), so as to avoid getting blood on one’s clothes when operating, which are still called the same thing today.
"A gentleman's hands are never dirty" should have meant that he keeps them clean, not that his gentlemanliness somehow keeps them from being dirty.
He's a complicated dude.
The cringeworthy "gentlemen don't wash their hands" culture contradicts that.
> he ended up in a sanatorium because he went crazy (he likely had an advanced case of syphilis)
I see no evidence of this so called "craziness". Even the people who speculated about the cause included "emotional exhaustion from overwork and stress" as a possibility. That's the simplest explanation, probably what happened and it's absolutely to be expected when you discover you've been unwittingly killing your patients due to the ignorance of mankind, successfully devise countermeasures and prove their effectiveness only to have your peers and the scientific community all band together to gaslight you. He ended up in an asylum because he "embarrassed" them.
> the connection he made was that "cadaveric particles" were causing illness in hospitals
Of course. More women died when he and his medical students delivered their children after working with corpses than when they didn't. The connection is there, the fact it did not fully explain the phenomena does not invalidate it. Nor does it invalidate the reduction in mortality after hand sanitization was implemented.
That this was denied despite reproducible statistical evidence is absolutely shameful for all involved and a heavy lesson for all time. Women died because of it. Don't minimize it.
Similarly, you can just go look up Semmelweis' mental state at the time of his commitment.
The difference between Semmelweis's incorrect theory of what was causing childbed fever and reality is a big part of why his interventions were rejected (that, and the fact that he was apparently an unholy asshole) --- he was trying to convince his colleagues to disinfect their hands from particles that sometimes could not have existed, and the colleagues noticed that. If you're trying to evangelize a new medical intervention, don't get hung up on an explanation that can't possibly be correct, is one lesson to take from this.
Complicated dude. Read more about him than you have. It's interesting stuff. His story is more than just the airport bookstore management parable that it's become.
later
As a quick PS: the "gentleman's hands" thing came up on an AskHistorians thread I just read, and it's apparently a misquote. It's not "gentleman don't wash their hands"; it's "a gentleman's hands are clean". As in, doctors already keep their hands clean. What they didn't do was chlorinate the water they used (or clean all that hard).
That's obviously false! The contagionists and aseptics were right, the spontaneous generation people were wrong, and obviously aseptic procedure before Gordon and later Holmes and later Semmelweis was inadequate. I'm not defending the guy who said that. But he didn't say what you think he said.
Which doesn't invalidate the fact that women provably died less after his methods of combating those particles were implemented and published. Faced with that evidence, they should have accepted the method even if they don't agree simply because you can't argue with results. They could have saved women and followed up with further study on the exact nature of the problem which would only become clear when Pasteur came along. They chose to institutionalize him out of embarrassment.
I'm not "putting you on the other side" of anything. I don't agree with your minimization of the guy's achievements nor with your characterization of him as "crazy".
These points might seem kind of nitpicky, but Semmelweis has become a sort of patron saint for brooding nerds with strong but iconoclastic ideas, a shibboleth for "history will show I was right all along". Semmelweis was not, in fact, right all along, and his evident failure to persuade his peers --- stemming from what was in a sense an opposition to the germ theory of disease --- probably set science back a little bit, on margin. Not by much, though; Semmelweis was in his time one of several people expounding the same intervention.
His results have NOT been refuted. Sanitizing hands saved lives. Not sanitizing hands cost lives.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17553179/
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35486338/
Whether or not it happened due to "cadaveric particles" is a completely irrelevant detail. People died less. That's enough for public health policy decisions even today. The fact his contemporaries did not accept it would be criminal negligence today.
The "scholarly debate" about his mental state is mere speculation. Here's the first result of looking it up:
> It is impossible to appraise the nature of Semmelweis's disorder.
> It might have been Alzheimer's disease, a type of dementia, which is associated with rapid cognitive decline and mood changes.
> It might have been third-stage syphilis, a then-common disease of obstetricians who examined thousands of women at gratis institutions
> or it might have been emotional exhaustion from overwork and stress.
You clearly believe the first two options. I don't believe that even for a second.
> He was not committed to a sanitarium out of pique over his demands that people chlorinate water.
Here's the second result of looking it up:
> With this etiology, Semmelweis identified childbed fever as purely an iatrogenic disease — that is, one caused by doctors.
> Friedrich Wilhelm Scanzoni von Lichtenfels took personal offense at this, and never forgave Semmelweis for it
> Scanzoni remained one of the most ardent critics of Semmelweis.
The third result of looking it up:
> Semmelweis also angered his conservative medical colleagues — and especially his boss, Johann Klein, who was head of the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology
> Klein rejected Semmelweis' arguments concerning cleanliness, as did his colleagues.
> He probably felt angry that this precocious Hungarian was making orthodox practices and practitioners look not only ridiculous but also dangerous.
> It was Klein, incidentally, who had insisted that medical students examine cadavers in the first place, and it was he who had relaxed constraints on conducting vaginal examinations during labor.
> Semmelweis seemed to be saying that Klein's policies were the direct cause of the epidemic
> When Semmelweis' temporary appointment came up for renewal in March 1849, Klein blocked his application, despite appeals from senior medical colleagues
> The second part [of his publication] attacked his critics. This was the part that got him into serious trouble. Many leaders in obstetrics in Europe were vilified.
> While the book collected all of Semmelweis' investigations into one volume for the first time, it met with harsh reviews and had little impact in preventing the dreaded puerperal fever.
> Probably as a consequence, Semmelweis' mental state deteriorated.
> He roamed the streets of Budapest muttering to himself and distributing pamphlets directed against those who refused to follow his teachings.
> He seemed to swing from periods of excitement and energy to periods of paralyzed depression. By July 1865, he was clearly deranged.
They clearly hated this guy and found several ways punish him for his insubordination. It's entirely possible and very likely that this was the reason he ended up in the asylum where he was killed.
2. Nobody here disputes aseptic technique.
3. You've misconstrued the point about Semmelweis' commitment. Alzheimers, syphilis, exhaustion: the point is that he was symptomatic, as you yourself just quoted.
I don't think anybody else is reading us at this point.
[1]: https://www.econtalk.org/megan-mcardle-on-the-oedipus-trap/
The point at the beginning of the thread is to do as they do, not to do as they say...
So it is not at all obvious that we should favor RCTs over experience. Because they have very different things they can measure.
I don't think it scales
(Not to mention the interests of doctors of suggesting things that make them more money)
Edit: now I see TFA mentions risk of perforation and that the risk is smaller without anesthesia
That should be a really good source of data, someone should take a look at that.
But what I was getting at is that it can scale.
Poop tests are for everyone over 30
I moved to a new city and didn't know anyone. I was told to get a colonoscopy for no other reason than I was 50. There was literally no one I could ask to take off half a weekday to accompany me.
Ended up doing the FIT test (stool sample) instead (and once/year thereafter) and 6 years on still haven't had a colonoscopy.
Published study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24645800/
It appears they calculated the negative predictive value based on the population sample of that study. It may differ significantly from the negative predictive value for the general population.
There is a national screening campaign based on sending a sample of your stool, but getting a colonoscopy is a matter of asking your doctor.
It is true that colonoscopy is not the first mine of prevention but anyone who asks will get one. Free of charge.
A large screen of everyone over 60 via stool sample. Then ONLY if that shows issues then a CT scan and then a colonoscopy.
If you have blood in your stool, see a doctor. Period.
The population isnt homogeneous.
Some people have significant risk factors, like family history, others do not.
We don't ask if everyone should start wearing glasses at 40, so why this?
As in, play a thought experiment:
* First, imagine everyone in the world gets a colonoscopy every day --> obviously, all cancers would be picked up, but this is infeasible for some reasons (e.g. cost, economic impact) and suboptimal for others (e.g. iatrogenic harm, human cost).
* So, using data, apply colonoscopies more sparingly, based on risk factors such as age, genetics, family history --> if this is done right you'd be able to pick up every colon cancer in its very early stages, either at a pre-cancerous stage, or an entirely curable stage.
Would be the first medical test with 100% sensitivity probably?
There are actually a number of companies which have either released or plan to release non-invasive colorectal cancer screening based on blood dna sequencing.
GRAIL, Freenome, and Guardant all have tests out or coming down the pipeline.
I'm in Australia.
* props to @nwellinghof whose response I stole and adapted
Misses from operator error, suboptimal bowel prep, or inability to complete the examination are more common and where we have the most potential for benefit from novel screening tests.
article actually says that perforation (requires emergency surgery as per article) is between 1 to 100 and 1 to 20000 base on some studies, which sounds very high if it is not mistake.
That's one thing that I wish the author had spent more time on.
(Just to be clear: this is the wrong model. An annual rate of cancer (X%) at a population aggregate does not mean that you have X% independent probability of getting cancer per year. But even assuming that was true, you couldn't just multiply by 3.)
The real number is closer to 20000, both from more recent literature and personal experience.
They are invasive, they are also unpleasant. It isn’t irresponsible to say those things it’s just true.
When he finally got one (in his late fifties), it showed stage IV colorectal cancer.
He went through seven months of channeling Uncle Fester, but seems almost completely back to normal, now.
He is much more into taking care of himself, these days.
Why is my neighbor driving around on a donut? I could write 3000 words on the history of tires, the assorted trade offs of trunk storage vs spare diameter, the geographical distribution of potholes, etc., but none of that explains why the donut is there.
Complications from a colonoscopy?
Are colonoscopies better than other screening methods? I don’t know. Maybe!However, the last time 10 months ago, my body's immune system was stressed by another cancer, and so a tumour developed in only nine months. Because of the risk of more colon cancer during the treatment of the other cancer, the doctors removed my colon, despite it otherwise being "strong, young and healthy". I now poop fluids in a bag glued to my belly: it is better than being dead, but something you'd definitely want to avoid.
I actually miss colonoscopies now. I always watched the screens: it was beautiful and fascinating.
It is a weird experience. The ultimate form of introspection!
> The skill of a doctor doing a colonoscopy is often measured by their adenoma detection rate — how often they find a precancerous polyp. American doctors find them 40% of the time.
My company health plan recently announced that starting next year you can get a free Colonoscopy every year.
At the very least, this triggers days of migraine in myself. Just skipping one meal does that, skipping several and ingesting awful laxatives results in feeling awful for days.
When you're dealing with such vast quantities of people, these effects might add up.
So I get (used to get) colonoscopies every six months and the very good surgeon down in Phoenix chops out the polyps. Weirdly he can fit me in on a couple of weeks notice. But COVID fucked all that up. And then we moved across the country. So now I'm starting all over with the fact that we can't find anyone local to do the colonoscopies. But it MUST GET DONE. (Reminding myself).
So yes indeed it's annoying but if you've got cramps or occasional blood in the stool or are over 55 and never had one do not avoid the colonoscopy. Everyone who loves you will appreciate it.
BTW I started riding centuries again about six months later and the next year I set my life record in the Tour de Tuscon. I tell people the resection was my weight loss plan. I get weird looks. I enjoy it.
It was 100% a nonevent. My doc's prep regime was fairly mild (basically, a jug of gatorade with a whole jar of miralax in it at 6pm, and then another at 1am, for an 0800 call). I had no cramping or bloating to speak of. I didn't sleep in the bed with my wife after the 1am dose, mostly b/c I didn't want to disturb her by getting up over and over, but also slightly b/c I was a LITTLE afraid of not making it to the loo in time. This fear proved completely unfounded.
The "worst" part for me really ended up being that I (wisely) did NOT go cycling on the Sunday before, since I know that ramps up my metabolism and leaves me very hungry the day after. I missed my ride, but it made the clear-diet Monday much more tolerable.
I knew this because my brothers best friend died at 30 from it.
It was totally worth it because I got to watch it live on a big screen TV!
I had a heart catheterization recently. No prep, no embarassment, and only a bit painful where it went in at the wrist and bent at my elbow.
Also super cool to watch!
Which made me wonder if any research had been done on how many times per day doctors and nurses administering colonoscopies have to hear this line.
Actually, I just looked it up. Apparently it's a thing and called "virtual colonoscopy" [1]. Seems like the future to me.
1. https://www.mayoclinic.org/tests-procedures/virtual-colonosc...
And the capital cost of the machine is not necessarily the relevant measure. If the MRI machine is idle then it is wasting money so if you have one it should be used as much as possible which means that the marginal cost of the MRI might well compete with colonoscopy.
I have also read that many colonoscopy patients, especially in the US, require sedation which of course is not necessary with MRI.
A paper may talk about percentages, but that doesn't represent you - it represents what an insurer or provider might find interesting to lower costs. You either have cancer or you don't. If you want to find out, you need to check.
Also lost 10 lbs in the past week but already seemed to have gained back a little in the past two days from eating normally again.
They found polyps in mine, and removed them; no pain after. The colon doesn't have pain nerves.
Can anybody comment on this?
If it did then Finland shouldn't really have the incident rates of alcohol caused cancers as they do.
The same probably goes for other nations where heavy alcohol consumption has been a norm for centuries.
Alcohol causes cancer, and there is no intake amount that is beneficial to the body.
Age 39. Presented to family GP with rectal bleeding. He did no exam, pretty much dismissed it as a hemorrhoid. Age 40. Complained again to GP that bleeding was continuing (sporadically). GP finally decides to refer me to the local thoracic surgeon. This surgeon gives me a go over with an anoscope and schedules a colonoscopy the next day. Turns out I had a 5cm tumor...
I was married with two very small kids. Not the best time to get cancer.
A week later I'm starting radiation therapy to try and shrink the tumor. A week or so after that (things tend to blur when medicine moves fast), I'm started on chemotherapy treatments. I start to lose weight (I was 6'2"/240lb at the start of this). I get a portacath above my heart so chemo drugs can go straight into a big vein. I carry a pump around to push my chemo drugs in on a reliable schedule. This combined treatment goes on for a month before I go through surgery. I'm experiencing neuropathy from the oxaliplatin, which makes your extremities very sensitive to the cold (and of course I live where you have real winters). Foods taste wrong too.
Go in for surgery and come out with an ostomy. The surgeon had tried to save enough stuff so I didn't need a bag, but well, sometimes biology has other ideas. The tumor was too large and too close to all the rectal muscles. At least the surgeon said there were good margins, and no signs of metastasizing. So now I have a bag. At this point I way about 160lbs. Nothing tastes good except candy, and the docs are worried about my weight loss. So I get the green light to eat as much candy as I want.
Now I'm alive, with a bag, but alive. I'm taking some experimental oral post-surgical chemo pill 4x daily to try and kill any little bastard tumor cells that might have been released. These suck. Chemo is always a race to kill cancer cells before the chemo drugs kill you. My oncologist is always checking white cell counts, but now has some DNA test that looks for tumor markers. This is pretty cool. My cell counts improve and the tumor market analysis looks good. So I'm eventually sent home. On my way out of my last meeting with my oncologist and his nurse, I ask him how often he gets to send someone home in my situation. The look in his eyes made it apparent how tough a job these folks have.
So now 18 years later, I've been able to run a full marathon, finish my basement by myself, build the coolest shed in my back yard. Settle into a good IT career at a company where I can retire. And most importantly, be there when my kids graduated from school. Be there for my wife when her dad passed away from cancer. Just be there...
So if a colonoscopy scares you, as they say in The Wire; ain't no thing. Don't be like Farrah Fawcett who died of anal cancer because she avoided treatment. 150K new cases of colorectal cancer are diagnosed annually in the US. And if discovered early, it can be treated far less invasively and less life-altering than if found later.
She told me the free screening kits for bowel cancer the government sends out is mostly an awareness campaign as those tests are extremely unreliable.
You can debate if they have the correct numbers when.counting cost effective.
This is a great summary of the difference between US and European preventive medicine.
The big question is: are those success stories worth it, and are there other paths to those same success stories.
Do you prefer medical interventions that never work?
> are there other paths to those same success stories.
Yes, in the US other options include high sensitivity FOBT, FIT, sDNA-FIT and CT colonography.
The attributable cancer risk for CT colonography is a rounding error, and considerably lower than the quoted perforation risk.
That said as a radiologist I personally still opt for colonoscopy screening, it is however an option for patients.
Where unproductive means that the total cost benefit of doing the test is negative. And even procedures that never help can 'cure' people just by regression to the mean.
Are there medical interventions that never work - aside from bad faith hypotheticals? Even placebo works pretty often.
The article under discussion is all about teasing apart confusing and conflicting data in medical studies. The comment I replied to asks why they have been directed to do something useless.
>> are there other paths to those same success stories.
> Yes, in the US other options include high sensitivity FOBT, FIT, sDNA-FIT and CT colonography.
Statistically, yes - but individual humans don't really think in statistics, we think in stories. My buddy won big at the casino, maybe I will too. I'm sure my dear fellows on this website will never be so stupid as to be motivated by a story about winning at a casino, but it is very EXPENSIVE to apply this level of rational rigor to every part of your life.
All of those are endorsed by the USPSTF I.e. reimbursed by insurance and available in the US.
It was quite tolerable, just a few moments of short lived cramping pains (similar to diarrhea pains) as the endoscope turned the corners of my insides. My recovery was about half an hour of sitting up and having tea and toast, while those that were sedated slept off the drugs.
I'd do the same again if ever I get another one, and recommend it to anyone who can't have or doesn't want sedation.
After 10 years:
The risk of getting colorectal cancer is about 1%.
The risk of dying because of colorectal cancer is about 0.3%.
Getting an invitation the study does not change much. Actually getting a colonoscopy helps more (37% reduction in getting the cancer, no data for dying).
Tldr; comparing control group to acceptors group is not right because who accepts and who doesn't isn't random.
We don't know the exact bias introduced but the author theorizes that people who are at higher risk are more likely to accept the invitation(e.g. someone with a colon cancer in family, someone having weird feeling about her tubed as the article calls it., etc.)
Took no anesthetic for the procedure. Not really bad; just embarrassing, get over yourself.
Drove myself home ten minutes after. No problems.
Have to be good with fasting. Mostly it's a matter of habit, remembering not to graze in the evening. I don't feel hunger as a big deal; your mileage may vary.
Figures can't capture individual assessment of risk/benefit. Many of us buy insurance of various kinds even though the insurance companies have done some figures and expect to make money - in fact, they count on us valuing certain things above what is indicated by the raw numbers.
- The NordICC study [0] is cited by some as showing modest benefits from colonoscopies. It looks pretty good, but there's something I don't understand. They say: "Follow-up data were available for 84,585 participants in Poland, Norway, and Sweden — 28,220 in the invited group, 11,843 of whom (42.0%) underwent screening, and 56,365 in the usual-care group. A total of 15 participants had major bleeding after polyp removal. No perforations or screening-related deaths occurred within 30 days after colonoscopy." Given the number of screenings, I don't see how there could be no perforations. For example, the USPTF study [1] (see their "Supporting evidence" link) reports 5.4 perforations per 10,000 colonoscopies from colonoscopy to follow-up positive screening results and 3.1 perforations per 10,000 colonoscopies from screening colonoscopy. No perforations seems unrealistically low - maybe someone can explain this.
- Discomfort from the prep or procedure depend on the individual, and I don't think one can usefully generalize. I've had 4 colonoscopies, the first two with sedation and the last two without. I had 3 polyps removed the first time, none during the second, 2 polyps removed during the third, and none during the fourth. The advantages of no sedation are that I don't feel groggy afterward, and I can drive myself to and from. The procedures without sedation felt no worse than a bad case of gas (not surprisingly!). I watched the polyp removal during the third colonoscopy and didn't feel anything above the ambient gas pain. But some people might find the procedure very painful, or might get queasy watching. Everyone's different. And if you start without sedation and decide you want to stop in the middle, they might abandon the procedure and require you to come back again (in which case insurance is unlikely to pick up the second try). If you have one of these done with sedation, you might find it interesting to look at the itemized insurance docs and see how much they charged for the sedation (often done by an outfit independent from the GI practice). As for prep, the miralax with Gatorade is much better than the old stuff (which is damning with faint praise).
[0] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2208375 [1] https://www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/recomme...
The good thing about the article is that it has a colonoscopy joke that also involves (bonus for the HN crowd) Bayesians.
I'm saying that the Americans want colonoscopies to remain unchallenged because they make money out of it. This has little (or nothing) to do with the cost-benefit trade-off that the article discusses.
I didn't find this (self-evident) idea anywhere in the article.