Shotguns have been used to counter Lancet in terminal phase. But that's a desperation tactic. The goal would be that Lancet et al. is useless because the Russians are blind.
The US military has had Phalanx CIWS for decades to handle this type of threat
what both Russia and Ukraine could use are cheaper lower caliber versions of this
The US desperately needs to stop feeding the MIC and Wall Street and to reindustrialize the US economy, because we are simply not able to produce anywhere near as much missiles, shells, tanks, etc to fight the war the US wants to fight. The current combined yearly shell production capacity of Germany and the US is less than half of Russia’s alleged production capability, and they just signed a deal with NK that will likely increase their production capacity by a good 50% at least.
Russia still hasn't destroyed any Gepards yet, so I don't see why they'd be able to successfully attack Skynex. And Russia hasn't shown any ability to "swarm" anything. At most, they've used an Orlan to spot for a Lancet. And if they can't fly Orlans around, they won't spot the Skynex system for artillery fire.
Also, the Shaheed drones from Iran aren't cheap. They're easily several thousand euros. And there's no indication at all that Russia has produced 200K + Lancets. Russia simply doesn't have the industrial capacity for that, or artillery rounds.
And Germany doesn't need to be the only partner with the US in providing artillery rounds. All of NATO is doing so, and if you think that North Korea and Russia can out produce the US and the EU (not to mention Japan and South Korea), you've been reading too much Russian propaganda.
Here's an Orlan-10 on its launch mount. Perspective means it appears larger than it actually is.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orlan-10#/media/File:SlavicBro...
So, no, not perfect. Probably not even within an order of magnitude of the same effectiveness. Possibly not even two orders.
[0]Which, of course, means it has emissions that can be tracked, pinpointed, and targeted.
Here's a video [1] of a Ukrainian drone hitting Russian EW equipment on a tower and here's a Russian video [2] presenting their EW works against incoming Ukrainian drones.
[1] https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/17fbxo...
[2] https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/17gnna...
For small drones a shotgun is great… if it’s semi or full auto, if the soldier knows exactly where a drone coming right at him is, and has time to prepare while it’s still around 50 yards out.
Outside of those conditions, still not great.
Shotguns are roughly “effective” up to 100yards with slugs, and half of that with buckshot. Drones dropping grenades are generally well above 200 yards up, generally more like 500. So it’s really only the suicide ones that can be reasonable targets. The problem is a purpose build FPV drone typically used in suicide runs can haul ass, and cover 50yards in a second, are hard to see and predict the path of, even when you know one is there. Consumer drones can generally cover 50 yards in roughly 2-4 seconds.
Trying to shoot one moving across your view dive bombing on something else is going to have you more likely accidentally shooting the drones target or something unintended rather than the drone itself.
I do anticipate vehicle mounted scattergun systems meant for close in defense of drones though, as well as quickly/auto launched anti-drone drones for further off defense. More powerful drones would be needed for dealing with stuff 1km up and beyond though, the smaller stuff will struggle getting close to that.