Lol this metaphor perplexes me. I don't have strong COVID opinions, but I'm really confused by this metaphor, is the plane crash full on COVID? Planes are safer overall of course, but if you introduce the Bayesian prior of given: you have been in a crash, which vehicle would you rather be in, car or plane? I'd probably say car. I got my COVID shot and largely agree that while the vaccine may have some risks, seemingly getting raw COVID w/o vaccines is probably worse. but i don't even care about that in this context, your metaphor has 100% taken me off work task :)