Americans Must Earn $114,000 a Year to Afford a Typical Home
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
It would be much more interesting to know how far short the median income falls of median income needed to afford a home in that same region the income is earned - I think that's more insightful for an overall picture of how affordable houses are and you could do region by region comparisons.
I would hypothesize that even though the median income might be above that threshold or close to it in some regions like Manhattan and parts of the bay, the affordability gap would actually be greater in a large number of those relatively higher income regions than relatively lower income regions elsewhere
No home buyer isn't part of a region. Given that where you buy a home and where you live are very highly correlated, it's hard to tell if this is over or under stating the actual average experience. Your actual experience of housing affordability is regional not global.
In this case my hypothesis is that this number is actually an underestimate of how unaffordable housing is, though for all we know it could be that some significant regions like rural regions are more affordable. There's no way to tell from this number alone.
I'm in my 20s. I own my home and car. I make enough to pay my bills, live comfortably, and still have money being put towards savings and investments. I couldn’t support a family on my salary, but I can support myself just fine, with money left over.
Yes, you will take a pay cut. Yes, the work may be different. But you have work/life balance, housing is affordable and a realistic goal for young people, and every time you drive past a stranger on a gravel country road, they always wave at you. The people are literally golden-retriever-level friendly and very wholesome.
And the food? Oh my god, don’t get me started on the food! Forget having lots of restaurant options, because you won’t need ‘em. We’ve got little old Baptist ladies, and they want their food to send you straight to heaven. I once mentioned offhandedly that I’ve been craving chicken and dumplings, and the next day, a little old lady at work brought in an empty 1-gallon ice cream container of fresh chicken and dumplings. You can’t beat southern hospitality!
I realize uprooting your life and moving from the city to a rural area isn’t a realistic thing for many, if not most, people, but I promise you that if you can, your life will be better because of it.
Personally, I think there’s very little “active hostility” here anymore, but racism is still present in subtler ways, like ignorance or insensitivity, simply because most of the people have lived here their whole lives, there’s few non-white people, and haven’t had much cross-cultural experience. There isn’t malice so much as ignorance, but there’s less and less as time goes by. My workplace’s racial makeup is majority non-white, and all of these people are very happy to have moved their families here, even if they weren’t at first. We have a New York City transplant who had a tough time transitioning, but she came around! She hated that the closest club was 40 minutes away, lol
As long as you’re kind, respectful, and especially if you’re willing to attempt local culture (ever tried shooting a pound of Tannerite from 100 yards, just blowing shit up for fun? lol), 98% of people here in the south (in my southern area, at least) will welcome you with open arms. Especially those old ladies, they just want to feed you! :)
I’d be interested in your personal experience regarding said “active hostility” in LCOL areas…in the year 2023. Or any objective broad based regional study about actual active hostility in LCOL areas in the 2020s in the US. Not “perceived”…sometimes the most dangerous bigot you face is the one inside your own head. Actual.
Moving to a new area with a strong sense of their own community values will always require some adjustment on both sides. But my experience is there is always more to be gained than lost, and you grow as a person as a result. Practically every part of the country have a community of like-minded citizens, no matter what “like-minded” means, and that helps quite a bit. It is easier to not be the very first but, even then, that’s what courage and leadership is all about. (Try not to get shot, though.)
Give the FUD spread about LCOL, it’s easy to weep at how many of us devolved from the pioneers who built houses, raised crops, children and communities with little more than a few hand tools, a couple pigs, a mule, some seed and a rifle. Not a perfect legacy, but a superior one. Must be why it’s such a popular international destination for so many looking for a better life.
[1]: https://www.peninsuladailynews.com/crime/family-harassed-in-...
I've been in west Virginia for a month, I guarantee that even amongst stereotypical 'rednecks', you'll have a hard time finding someone held back by skin color or origin. I get that I was mostly with hippies and probably in one of the most left-leaning community in the US, but beer, music festivals, farmer's market do not discriminate your political leaning.
In fact, my personal experience say that small-ish towns are way, way more racist and bigoted than rural areas. I'd say the more hierarchical a place is, the more likely you are to find racism, and small towns are the poster child of social hierarchy. Once it's too big, it's too complex to understand who's above who. Rural areas self-organize. Small towns are the worst for 'strangers'.
Our economy is deeply broken.
[1] Just under $71,000/year as of 2021.
And it wasn't just adopted/pushed by one political party . . .
The only real hope of progress here is for states to start outright overriding local laws around housing, as California has been increasingly doing.
[1] https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/perspectives... - take a look the linked report
This is also why rowhouses are so expensive: people like them, but in most US cities nobody is allowed to build new ones.
This isn't a "woe is me" statement, I love my job, have other sources of income, and will be fine. Many of my coworkers are not so lucky. Our comically ineffective union just negotiated a new contract with a 10% raise over 3 years. That will likely be less than inflation. Public employee job postings stay open for months because it is so difficult to recruit anyone. More and more people move into private industry where they do little to serve the public but are more fairly compensated. More broadly, in the Bay Area, there are a small group of professionals who make a decent salary, and then there is everyone else. Something has to give eventually. I worry what that will look like.
I'd love to see the math on this claim.
0.01 * (years of service) * (final compensation)
Where final compensation is usually an average over your last 36 months.
If your final compensation is 120k, and you have worked in a state job for 30 years, your annual pension would be $36,000
Pay raises are NOT guaranteed. The last general salary increase I had was in 2021. There can be layoffs, although they are rare, and in some cases you may have retreat rights. There were layoffs during the 2008-2009 budget crisis.
I don't know what article you read, but it doesn't seem very accurate to me.
To everyone else it's a disaster.
Price signals work if supply can raise to meet demand. When house prices go up it becomes more profitable to build, etc. But when the supply side mechanism is blocked for a necessity then prices will just go up, and up, and up… especially if it can also be bought on leverage.
Since the 1950s vehicle prices have more than doubled, adj for inflation
Here's how entry level pickup trucks fared: https://www.thedrive.com/news/34333/heres-how-much-the-ford-...
Over 100 years, the bedroom-to-sq-foot ratio shrunk. That sucks hard in an economy where it takes 4 typical incomes to pay minimal bills.
That number seems really low. Here in Seattle, the median home price is $804k, and a third of that is about $268k. I'm ignoring the down payment, but you get the idea.
And we're not the most expensive market by any means. If this number is an aggregation, I guess that's somewhat better news for people outside the cities.
And by outside the city, I mean 2-3 hours by car. Just moving to the next county isn't enough.
I also wonder what they mean by a "typical" home. Do they mean typical in terms of price, regardless of square footage or unit type, or do they mean "typical" in the sense of a 3/2 single occupancy dwelling with a certain square footage and yard size, etc.?
Interesting. I wonder what it is for Seattle then.
> The median listing home price in Seattle, WA was $829K in September 2023, trending down -2.5% year-over-year. The median listing home price per square foot was $584. The median home sold price was $799.5K.
Says redfin (https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-search/Seattle_WA...).
Seattle median household income is ~115,000 according to Seattle times (https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/data/seattle-media...). This means that one of the highest earning cities in the U.S. isn't able to comfortably afford a home, even at median prices. So then I wonder how many people are moving into Seattle with high incomes in order to buy homes and such.
It's also very surprising to me that the median home sold price in Seattle is more than New York City.
i.e. to afford a home roughly twice the price of the median in that analysis, it would take ~$230k salary to afford a home in Seattle.
My wife and I combined make about that, and that seems about right. Though, IMO the debt-to-income ratios that they consider "normal" for these types of analyses leave one further extended than I'd like to be. (Childcare isn't cheap!)
Surprised me too but then it seems more reasonable when you see media listing home price per sqft in New York is $780 compared to Seattle's $584. New Yorkers are just buying smaller places.
Given current interest rates, an American getting a mortgage today is going to be paying something like $2,000/month more just in interest than they were in early 2021, which is when I bought my house in Seattle.
At $799,000, you're looking at a monthly payment around $5,800/month. The definition of being cost-burdened on housing is when you spend more than 30% of your gross income on housing. That means you'd need a gross monthly income of $19,333 or $232,000 annually to not be rent-burdened in Seattle buying a median priced home.
The simple fact, as unpalatable as it may be, is that buying a home is always "expensive". In the US anyway, the price seems to be set by people's income. That is, their ability to pay. What does change is the size and quality of the homes.
The cohorts are all that matter here... so do the incoming cohorts own less than the older cohorts at their age. The answer is YES by a great deal!
I'd like to find the definition of the measure, it may or may not be commonsense. For example, the unemployment rate does not track the count of unemployed people.
15 years ago was the height of the housing bubble. They were right.
Two years later, housing prices were sharply lower and so was the level of complaining.
More recently, people with money in the bank found themselves homeless and we had complaining again. Because being homeless sucks.
Yes, because the current set of of homeowners includes people from many different years and therefore hole buying difficulties. It’s not very relevant to compare it to a figure for how currently difficult it is to buy a home.
> Renter-occupied housing units increased at over twice the rate of owner-occupied housing units.
> Between 2010 and 2020, renter-occupied units grew from 40.7 million units to 46.8 million units, a growth rate of 14.8 percent. Over the same period, owner-occupied units increased 5.4 percent, from 76.0 million owner-occupied units to 80.1 million units.
> Renter-occupied housing units also increased at a faster rate than owner-occupied units between 2000 and 2010,when the nation experienced a 14.2 percent increase in rental units and an 8.8 percent increase in owner-occupied units.
> Since 2000, renter-occupied units increased 31.1 percent, while owner-occupied units increased 14.7 percent.
> The 2020 homeownership rate [63.1%] was the lowest it has been since 1970.
Source: https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/decennial/2020/...
Size and quality don't change for pre-existing stock. There are a lot of crappy ranch houses that cost 1.3-1.8 MM now.
DSM is pretty affordable but I'm 2 hours out and it's even better. Maybe that figure would make sense in MPLS.
I'm not sure why you're fear mongering, but stop.
If FIs decide they hate me I know enough JD Edwards to consult in that realm instead.
Primarily, the only buyers in this hyperlocal market are rich people who move money from overseas because locals cannot afford it. Occasionally, there are the lucky few who survived and exited a startup or inherited wealth dot the landscape.
I'm seeing 512 1+ bedroom apartments in Manhattan for sale at $576,000 or less (4x $114k) [1].
[1] https://streeteasy.com/for-sale/manhattan/price:-576000%7Cbe...
$57k per person? That's median income for full time workers.
People online act like you gotta pay childcare for the rest of time once you have a baby.
This is your quote, there's a lot of sarcasm which makes it awkward to directly quote but we can all see the point your trying to get across. Society "won't lift a finger" for parents with young children.
But they do the child tax credit, and not only that, it's even more generous for children age 5 and under! So they do "lift a finger to contribute to the future tax slaves until they're five" in your direct words.
According to BLS, 53% of households are dual income, 66% of households with children are dual income. The difference, according to the BLS, is that old retired people are often single income and don't have kids. But retired people are generally not in the market as first time homebuyers anyway.
https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2020/article/comparing-characte...
So frankly, it would be fair to say that the vast majority of american families ARE dual income.
I can't find figures for this with BLS, but Rocket Mortgage who has a lot of data on american family and homebuyer incomes says that the average dual income family WITH kids brings in $129k per year. Even higher for DINKs. Now this is average not median, but I think it's still paints the broad picture I'm trying to communicate. I doubt median is half the average.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dinks-average-salary-138-000-...
There is no argument from me that buying a house on one income can be difficult. But my original comment way up at the top specifically says dual income households.
I'm not misunderstanding it, you're just continually citing an irrelevant data point comment after comment. This whole time, I have been talking about dual income households. You can tell me median household income figures until youre blue in the face; I am only talking about dual income household figures. They aren't the same thing.
Median household income includes dual income but also single income households. I only want to consider dual income households, because that's who I said can reasonably meet the $114k figure.
Pew research
https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2023/04/13/in-a-gr...
Dual income is nice, but the ability for one or the other to not have to work (sickness, travel, sabbatical) would be really nice. Or just having the ability to live alone and not throw away money into rent.
It's that high because a toll lane was built to the nearest metropolitan city so the urbanites priced out of living close to their jobs could flood surrounding areas without the city needing to expand housing.
Meanwhile, our young graduates and public servants can't afford a mortgage in the town they work for, and the wealthy families either vote their enclaves to be exclusive receivers of local taxes, or else they carve themselves out to merge with the county of the metro area so they can siphon off their services, instead.
You think $57K is trivial, but wealth inequality is draining local workers dry.
That was when fertility was last above replacement level. House-price-to-income started rising in the late 1960s and has not stopped.
This problem will self-correct in the long run. There will be fewer people than houses.
1. https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/FERT/TOT/...
This is pretty much how I managed to afford a house when corona/fed blasted everything to oblivion...