Tesla urges US to adopt much tougher fuel efficiency rules
reuters.com
reuters.com
I really find it suspicious that at a cost of $10 billion they can't figure out a way to improve their fleets.
I guess they'll just get disrupted by companies that can then.
Or they'll make sure we never have more efficient cars, or cities designed around anything other than being in a car 24-7, like they have done quite successfully for the last 50 years.
Shocking. Motorists flock to areas designed for motorists, with free parking.
There are lots of walkable areas that have the same feel, and this new development are their lunch and tax revenue.
Source?
> 80% of grid still runs on coal
30% globally [1], 11% in America [2].
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_supply_and_cons...
[2] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_the_United_States
This is probably a better reference (the gist is the same of course, coal was 19.5%):
https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=427&t=3
"In 2022, about 4,243 billion kilowatthours (kWh) (or about 4.24 trillion kWh) of electricity were generated at utility-scale electricity generation facilities in the United States.1 About 60% of this electricity generation was from fossil fuels—coal, natural gas, petroleum, and other gases. About 18% was from nuclear energy, and about 22% was from renewable energy sources."
Coal was about 10% of total US energy production in 2022, 27% of total US electricity production.
There is [1].
> I'll also head for heavy duty towing electric is not where's it at, and forget EV 18 wheelers.
Heavy duty, long distance hauling is something where trains excel at. It's one thing for short-distance distribution (i.e. in a city) where it's infeasible to serve industry and local distribution by rail, but everything else? We figured that stuff out almost a century ago.
[1] https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/energy/a42417327/li...
As for actual availability, it would take the world's entire supply of Lithium produced per year, just to allow for half of new cars sold in the US alone be electric. That's how far behind our Lithium mining is, and as your own article says, scaling that out without environmental disasters or human rights abuses will be a challenge (and, potentially, infeasible).
“It is estimated that the U.S. alone will need 500,000 metric tons per year of unrefined lithium by 2034 just to power EVs. The U.S. produces just a fraction of that today. The current global production of lithium in 2020 was about 440,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE, contains about 18% of pure lithium), and not all of that is in pure enough form for batteries, according to Chris Doornbos, president, and CEO of E3 Metals Corp, a lithium extraction firm located in Calgary, Canada, which plans to produce battery-grade lithium hydroxide.”
As he said, we are not just below the amount necessary, but much of what is produced can't meet spec.
https://www.onecharge.biz/blog/u-s-role-in-global-lithium-ba...
"it would take the <world's> entire supply of Lithium produced per year, just to allow for half of new cars <sold in the US> alone be electric"
"It is estimated that the <U.S. alone will need 500,000 metric tons per year> of unrefined lithium by 2034 just to power EVs... <current global production> of lithium in 2020 was about 440,000 metric tons..."
Transporting gasoline and diesel to stores perhaps...
We have the mystical 50mpg car everyone dreamed about thirty years ago. No one will buy them. They need a truck.
Side note, I wish I knew how to invest in these kinds of realizations so I could actually make money on them instead of just rambling on forums, lol!
Queue "it's already priced in" in 3, 2, 1...
We can eliminate safety features to make cars lighter. We can accept higher pollution levels. Those are both trade offs we are not willing to make.
We can make cars more aerodynamic, but style often gets in the way and consumers are not willing for that trade off. (or so it is claimed).
We can make cars smaller, but people often find large cars more useful. (even though a small car is good enough for 99% of all trips, that last 1% makes it worth having the larger car. Renting is so expensive that even for the 1% trip it may still be cheaper to have the large car for everything)
There are options of course. However car makers have been working on this problem for at least 50 years (energy crisis of the 1970s is obvious, even before that fuel mileage was a concern). All the easy solutions have been done already. What is left is often a lot more expensive than what was done before and also cannot possibly return a whole lot on investment.
The reality is gas and diesel engines investment is a dead end. They are not worth any more investment as everyone in the industry already knows electric cars are coming. While they probably will live on in a few niches, those niches are not large enough to support investment in making them better, today's engines are about as good as the future ever will see.
I find that incredibly hard to believe, unless you're renting a large truck once a month.
For me, it is absolutely worth saving 600-1200 bucks a year to not have to deal with the inconvenience of renting a vehicle to run an errand once a month. That price doesn’t include any insurance changes, getting to/from the rental place, and any additional costs I’m unaware of.
There are also times when you don't need a truck, just a larger car, renting that is $100/day. And again I've tried before and discovered the rental cars place was sold out when I needed one.
Partially. But CAFE standards are based on a footprint model which has kept light trucks and SUVs cheaper for a given fuel efficiency standard than smaller cars. If you close the gap, I'm pretty sure consumers would change their behavior, at least somewhat.
I'm driving an F-150 that gets 1989 Nissan Pulsar mpg in real world operation. It can carry my whole family plus 2000lbs extra in the bed. It can tow 10k lbs when I need it to, and I do often. Insane.
There is a heavy cost in extra maintenance however, and some people have really gotten screwed when the maintenance has not been followed or the newly designed transmissions and engines fail before 100k miles.
Point being, you go fucking with oil and gas markets and people will be suffering and dying in the real world as a result. For some reason this is being ignored. And no, no one is going to take one for the team so future generations can...blah blah blah. Ain't gonna happen.
One reason commuters don't want those cars is because they don't feel safe with behemoths on the road. Another approach companies could take is to raise the price of their larger vehicles, to reduce their number on the road and make the smaller cars feel safer. That would require federal coordination.
As you note, all of this is about fuel economy, and that's really a dead end. The switch to electric is an opportunity to reconsider what mix of vehicles we want to have on the road. We take a lot of things for granted and it didn't have to be this way.
Ford has been aggressively rolling out massive fuel savings tech for years, decades. They are going strong toward what customers want and are willing to purchase...hybrid trucks. GM is always two steps behind trying to make fun of Ford trucks in theirs ads until they can half-heartedly roll out the same tech while somehow butchering it and alienating legacy customers.
Stallantis, just can't figure that company out. Their cars and trucks have had horrible quality and resale value and have now killed some of their strongest brands to all-in on electric vehicles. Their customer base is scowling and scrambling to snatch up what are becoming collectors cars.
If we want to play the game of mandating things that can't be done then why don't we demand EVs be 6% to 8% more efficient while we're at it?
Any auto maker could quite easily improve the efficiency of their fleets by reducing the size of their passenger vehicles (especially large SUVs and pickup trucks).
It's not a tech question. No R&D involved. They just need to market their smaller vehicles as cool and stop marketing their large vehicles so aggressively.
The reason they want to avoid this is that they currently make better margins on larger vehicles, so they just push the environmental costs of such inefficiency out to the rest of the public and call it a day.
In a sane regulatory framework those large vehicles would be taxed dramatically more due to the damage they cause to the environment, and the auto makers wouldn't be so addicted to them.
"keep your speed under 25 mph to reach your destination"
The problem with no income tax is the poor spend more of their income, so end up paying more taxes AND the overall tax revenue decreases.
You may be able to buy a new $40,000 car. Most of the population can not.
I suppose "just freeze a bit" will save a few pennies...
The spike since the Ukraine war hasn’t really changed behavior that much, possibly because the baseline vehicle here is far more fuel efficient than the US.
But hold on, California also taxes underground storage tanks, the transportation of gasoline, and so on.
It doesn't cost $4/gal to transport gas from Texas to California. Your gas station owners aren't making that much profit.
This is why fuel economy standards are a good idea -- the entire market doesn't decide what vehicles get built -- only the top ~1/3 of market purchasers decide what manufacturers build.
Ideally, there would be a progressive gas tax on luxury trucks above a certain weight, but there is no way to enforce that which isn't highly intrusive.
I guarantee almost every truck owner could have a Ford Maverick instead of a Ford F-150 and they wouldn't lose an ounce of the needed capacity for their lives. Heck, the 2024 compact pickups are larger and heavier than full-size trucks from 25 years ago.
I was looking at Van der Hall (vanderhall.com) 3-wheel roadsters because they look cool and have an old school open air feel about them. They are exempt from so many requirements because they aren't four-wheeled, thus not an automobile WINK WINK.
I wonder what kind of sporty, comfortable, functional and efficient cars we could have under $20k in the US if we didn't have the overwrought safety standards and perverse incentives created my federal regulators.
Trucks have become pieces of consumer flair. I'll probably end up with a van at some point because of it. I won't buy an F-150 because they're comically large, but if I could get a Maverick without a back seat in the cab, I'd have bought one instantaneously.
In Europe, a woman rides her horse every weekend for dressage/fun/whatever. So she hooks a horse trailer up to her Audi station wagon and takes it.
In America, a woman rides her horse every weekend at her home. But she needs to move it to a different paddock twice a year (summer, winter). So it's obvious she will require an F-350 dual wheel truck as a daily driver...
I agree, Tesla is clearly self-interested here but I'll take any ally in this fight I can find. Just like it's notable (but unsurprising) that all of the big manufacturers of ICE vehicles are opposed to this change.
There's going to be a place for ICE vehicles on our roads for quite a while longer yet, but in this transitional phase there's absolutely no reason that we should be incentivizing manufacturers to create larger / less efficient vehicles, which is what our existing regulatory framework has inadvertently done for decades now.
I don't think it's notable at all. Companies opposing (potential) legislation that will cost them large amounts of money aimed at them lobbied for by a competitor isn't exactly shocking.
> but in this transitional phase there's absolutely no reason that we should be incentivizing manufacturers to create larger / less efficient vehicles, which is what our existing regulatory framework has inadvertently done for decades now
The truck market is one thing (and I tend to agree there), but uh, car manufacturers are making their vehicles more and more efficient, just in general.
A 2010 Toyota Camry 4-cylinder, 2.5L automatic gets 26MPG (22/32). A 2023 with the same specs gets 32 (28/39) [1].
A 24% increase in fuel efficiency for an ICE in just over a decade is something that should be lauded. Can they become even more efficient (and recognizing there is more to fuel economy than just the engine)? Sure. Does it require Tesla lobbying to try to force it? I am a lot less sure.
[1] https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/Find.do?action=sbs&id=26422&...
https://www.axios.com/2023/01/23/pickup-trucks-f150-size-wei...
I was wondering why Toyota Tacoma mpg was worse than the F-150. Now I know, the reliability took a nose dive and it will take a while to match mpg and quality/reliability. Toyota is stubborn about reliability.
Those onerous federal regulations keep 10s of thousands of people from dying and probably 2-3x that from being seriously injured or permanently disabled. They are a good thing. You want fun small cars to be 'safe' again? Figure out a way to do away with huge trucks and SUVs (ehem, carbon tax anyone?)
It's just a mishmash of laws that kinda make sense. Most people use cages, so make the cages safe and let the motorcyclists die if they like.
Cars are dangerous too, but lacking transit options it is the safest choice I have.
I was riding my bicycle four days ago, and while turning on a street, ran over some loose gravel from road construction. The bike went out from under me, and I slammed my face into the concrete. Concussion, possible sinus fracture, and sore teeth/nerves. I'm seeing some specialists this week.
Shit happens. Would I mandate full-face helmets for weekend bike rides? No. Would I sue the city for not properly sweeping a road after they patch a part of it? No. Shit happens.
That said, I hope my brain doesn't deteriorate too much more - this is head injury #4 that I'm aware of.
Requiring special insurance or a CDL to drive a Childcrusher GTX truck would be a nice and good thing too.
My old 70s C/K pushed a plow just fine, despite being 50" less in length, 8" shorter, and ~1000lbs lighter than the typical new F150.
Like can you imaging GM lobbying for stricter regulation on the total weight of vehicles due to the excess road maintenance and environmental damage of wearing through break-pads faster? Like we would all know it's not altruistic and they're just picking one metric they have an inherent advantage on and pushing that harder.
Where EVs - heavy, tire and road shredding devices requiring enormous amounts of largely unrecyclable materials in their batteries etc - have virtually no regulatory burden (why is there not legislation requiring mechanical door locks for example?) ICE vehicles, which are now highly sophisticated and efficient, are subject to endless meddling and restrictions.
An entire airport car park burnt down last week, which is an unprecedented event masked by a compliant media who are obsessed with selling the concept that EVs are our future - all just because a bunch of bungling politicians have tried to legislate change.
It's all a terrible mess compounded by encouraging people to abandon common sense and buy into the hallucinatory idea grids and the planet can support EVs within a few short years
A for tax purposes the value of a truck is based only on the number of hours the engine as run, and the mechanical condition (as audited by an independent mechanic). This will kill the rental and lease market for trucks since they won't be allowed to charge extra for cosmetic damages. You can still buy one, trade in will be weird as the dealer won't give you extra for perfect body condition, mean while every once in a while they will have a deep discount sale day to get rid of the not mint condition trucks (everything else will be moved off the lot for that day), but your taxes will still show you paid mint condition price).
Of course what will happen is light trucks will be split into two models with slightly different names, one is a light truck and one is car. The car will cost more because it has to comply with CAFE. The truck will be cheaper.
We are already seeing Ford slowing the production for the lightning line because the demands is just not there, there is a huge gap in infrastructure to support the upcoming wave of EVs.
People are just very hesitant to jump the EV boat, and well justified. EV charging is a mess of apps, unreliable charging rates, and just general availability in non-metro areas.
Your life is being planned, young man, without you in it.
Electric vehicles are so great, so cheap, so universally loved - it’s inconceivable why one would ever buy anything else. And environmentally friendly too? Sign me up!
The US is on track to completely destroy the western world's automotive industries, with a huge knock on effect in Europe. Millions of jobs will be gone forever and in the near future we will be completely reliant on areas of the world that don't care about pollution control for (probably mediocre quality) vehicles.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/automa...
Color me surprised. Not.
"...75 percent of truck owners use their truck for towing one time a year or less (meaning, never). Nearly 70 percent of truck owners go off-road one time a year or less."
If climate change is an emergency, treat it as such. If companies die, they die.
[1] https://www.statista.com/chart/30758/most-popular-plug-in-el...
[2] https://twitter.com/TheWarOnCars/status/1497757646455201792
[3] https://www.thedrive.com/news/26907/you-dont-need-a-full-siz...
Or will only the luxuries your socioeconomic class doesn't engage in be targeted?
Are you comparing the light vehicle emissions of the low and middle class to discretionary pickup truck purchases, priced between $50k and $80k? If you want to drive such a vehicle, and it is a combustion version, as long as whatever mechanism is dispensing the fuel ensures you're paying for that CO2 to be sequestered back underground in a stable form, by all means, Canyonero! But that is not what is on offer at scale.
Carbon credits are a scam, so no you don't.
https://climeworks.com/carbon-removal-as-a-solution-to-fight...
https://climeworks.com/news/climeworks-achievedvalidationfro...
EDIT: I'm not telling the poor how to live. Living is expensive. It has always been terrible to be poor. That is what subsidies are for, to help the poor deal with climate change. I fully support subsidizing those who need the subsidies to accomplish these goals. Increase taxes if necessary, as high as necessary.
Doesn't the fact that they're doing more than others give them that leg?
> have had a rough time lately let's not make transportation even more expensive for them
This is a false economy. On whom do you think the costs of climate change are disproportionately falling? We're already starting to see what the shutdown of local gasoline refining and distribution looks like; would you prefer they be stranded in increasingly expensive-to-operate vehicles with limited resale value instead?
They aren't doing more than others, they just have disposable income. Being wealthy isn't a virtue.
> This is a false economy.
I want you to go to Detroit, Appalachia or South America and explain this to them.
Let them know dad can't go to work beacuse his car doesn't meet your standards or beacuse you shut down the refinery, but you won't be giving up your trip to Milan.
They're doing more than me, and I consider myself wealthy. I didn't know about Climeworks, and will start doing that, as well as perhaps prioritise putting up solar panels before redoing my deck and balcony.
> want you to go to Detroit, Appalachia or South America and explain this to them
I live in Wyoming. I understand what you're saying. What I'm saying is that the people in Appalachia, the ones whose towns are predominantly along flood-prone rivers surrounded by receding forests, they're the ones who will get screwed within our lifetimes. They are being done no favors being left to their own devices.
> dad can't go to work beacuse his car doesn't meet your standards
They can keep their car for as long as they want. And I'd argue that they should get a subsidy for making the change over to an EV. Right now, there is room to do that. To turn a refinery town into a wind or battery metals town. Ten or twenty years later, I think that moment has passed. There is never political will to save the last ones left behind.
I get people don't like using them for commuters and I agree, but to argue there is no use for them besides towing or going off-roading is absolutely silly to me. But maybe because I'm an idiot who lives in a rural area.
I don't see how this shows that people aren't using their trucks. Off-roading seems like a odd use for this purpose and towing is not a great metric because you can easily utilize a truck for a ton of hauling that doesn't require towing.