Ford lays off 700 who were building electric version of F-150
cnn.com
cnn.com
The thing is overpriced. It ought to be cheaper than the gasoline version, but it's not. The legacy automakers treat electric as a trim line - electric comes with every overpriced accessory they can load onto the thing. The base F-150 electric has dual motors and costs $50K. The base F-150 in gasoline costs $35K. There's still that $15K electric premium.
Economy of cars is weird. As a manufacturer You sell today for a single price. But you have to account for free, expensive warranty work for many years. And recalls. And you have to manufacture, stock, and make available random parts in somewhat predictable but somewhat not quantities for decades.
So a gadget that may have cost 50c to produce technically, will be priced at 8.99,for any of the above reasons - subsidize warranty costs, storage costs, etc.
Basically, I wish most car parts had only 250% markup!
It's essentially very difficult to make a cheaper electric pickup truck because batteries are expensive and you need to have a lot of battery capacity to move a big, boxy pickup truck ~300 miles on a single charge. If you trade off range, people won't buy it (it's already hard enough to persuade pickup truck owners to buy something that has very little towing range and for which there aren't good charging options for a truck with a trailer in tow) and there isn't a lot you can do to make up the range by lightening or streamlining the vehicle without increasing costs. Maybe economies of scale could help, but it's hard to imagine economies of scale without increased demand, which is hard to imagine without lower costs, etc.
The gist of the problems EVs face right now is that the energy density of batteries do not compete with fossil fuels.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tsiolkovsky_rocket_equation
[2]: "In what has been called 'the tyranny of the rocket equation', there is a limit to the amount of payload that the rocket can carry, as higher amounts of propellant increment the overall weight, and thus also increase the fuel consumption."
Rockets need to produce >1g of acceleration or they don't get to leave earth.
Thus, you need to install more batteries to compensate for the increased workloads that a truck would forseeably experience, but you need more batteries to convey those batteries which requires bigger motors which requires more batteries and herein lies the Tyranny of the Rocket Equation.
At some point you need a breakthrough in energy efficiency or energy storage density because you hit an upper practical limit on how much energy storage you can haul around.
ICE cars and trucks must also technically contend with this, but in practice they do not because fossil fuels are so energy dense that we almost never meet that upper practical limit.
Rockets it’s exponentially worse. Which is why the saying.
The rocket equation's only metaphorical here because the rocket equation's tyranny is really about how much reaction mass you have to carry, not so much the energy store. Chemical rockets kill two birds with one stone by extracting energy from fuel+oxidizer then using the waste products as reaction mass. But you can go with a nuclear powered rocket that gets all its energy from uranium and just uses plain water or something as reaction mass. The rocket equation's 'tyranny' is that your rocket constantly has to accelerate the reaction mass it plans to use later.
Cars - electric or gasoline - do not require any reaction mass, though.
All those cars do 0-60s in 5s, differentiation is in range and newer brands always mysteriously do better in that column. Can't be just lower Cd or magic especially when Toyota has been shipping Prius since 1997.
All new supply chain
All new tooling
All new mfring procedures
All new distribution and sales channel
More than your usual front end costs. It kinda adds up
People are used to paying some 10-20% for "extras" but 35k + 15k?! that's a big leap.
The F-150 Lightning is pretty useless as a truck, with the largest battery storing as much energy as 4 gallons of gas[1]. If you want a truck get a gas or diesel truck, if you want fast and electric you have better options that don't waste electricity hauling around a heavier vehicle and unused truck bed.
[1] https://www.motortrend.com/reviews/ford-f150-lightning-elect...
And yet… gestures towards US car sales figures
And? You're comparing apples and oranges. I don't care how much energy my vehicle can hold, I care about how far I can go with that energy.
You're making a 'feature' out of an ICEs inherent inefficiency.
But, yeah, I electric cars are cool, and sometimes are people splurging for that feature, but I don’t see it for consumers traditionally buying trucks. If anything it’s an anti-feature almost for them.
Probably close to an hour saved at petrol stations over the same period.
You're talking about value to the consumer, the parent is talking about expense to manufacture.
I'm still not sure what the gp is referring to. They could be making a moral argument as far as I can work out.
Sure, if Ford still wanted to sell them they could find a way to make cheaper batteries or sell at a loss for a while.
You've already accepted that ford doesn't have a monopoly, so assuming we're agreed on the same basic tenets of free market capitalism they do want to sell them, and are already trying to find ways to make batteries cheaper.
You can't just hand wave away all that complexity.
Just because EVs aren't as cheap as you personally think they should be, doesn't mean ford isn't trying.
That explains why they seem on overcharging for an electric car. Because right now, demand is above supply.
The id.buzz looks great, but has low range and lacks a lot of nice amenities. The Canoo looks really great, but low range and I can’t tell if the company is actually ever going to produce their van.
It seems like rivian has a platform that could make a great minivan, 400 mile range, maybe an adventure style one. Where’s the Chrysler all electric Pacifica? This is the class of vehicle that we need in my family.
You could say the Model X is pretty close to being a minivan. Granted it’s nearly six figures in price.
I thought that was about gas engines, but because there are so many on the road now people want bigger vehicles to be “safer” from everyone else on the street, which is a vicious cycle. The minivan was very popular until car companies started pushing the suv as a way around CAFE. The thing we need to do is remove the CAFE exemptions for trucks, and this problem might start correcting itself.
Here’s the Biden admins rules, which really seems like putting lipstick on a pig at this point, “ The rule’s impact would vary among different types of vehicles. Mileage requirements for passenger cars would rise 2 percent a year from 2027 to 2032, and 4 percent a year for light trucks and SUVs over the same time period. The requirement for heavy-duty pickup trucks and vans would rise 10 percent a year starting in 2030.”
Small footprint trucks (s-10) do have a very high mpg target for a truck, but it's still less than a car of the same footprint. Not far enough lower to encourage their production, of course.
Large 'small trucks' like the current Ranger have a target that's lower than a car of similar footprint (which is the largest footprint listed for cars); and larger trucks have even lower targets.
Now, the typical modern CUV isn’t exactly considered cool either, but they are the byproduct evolved from SUVs that were often seen as being cooler than minivans. Ironically real SUVs have become a small niche product too nowadays.
TLDW: once you have 3 kids, they are amazing.
Seriously, slide doors are amazing! Wish that Mazda 5 found bigger success.
(on aside, and this may be dangerous territory to discuss, but in my extended group of friends, it is men/husbands that are championing minivans on their practicality, and women/wives resisting the perception of "soccer mom image",even though I think that's a 20 year old stereotype - soccer moms have been driving wildly impractical SUVs for decades! My group is largely functionality-oriented nerds of one sort or another, so other groups of men may well have significantly different prerogatives and are more "yargh big strong SUV yargh!" :)
There's nowhere to stuff the batteries you'd need. (Modern) minivans have a low ride height, and not a lot of room under the floor. The hybrid Pacifica puts its batteries in the underfloor storage area where middle seats would fold in on a gas only van. The volume used for the engine and transaxle isn't going to get you very much additional range.
Ford has an e-transit commercial offering, but range is only 126 miles, fine for around town and a lot of contractor work, but we do a lot of weekend trips in our van where that small of range would be problematic.
Wikipedia talks about an e-Transit Custom with estimated range of 263 miles to start production in second half of 2023. If that turns up, it might work for you.
https://electrek.co/2023/10/16/volvo-em90-images-leaked-reve...
And yet they're making a huge loss on each unit sold.
I didn't know Ford was also operating at a loss on their EV trucks as well.
E.g. https://reason.com/2023/06/15/florida-doubles-down-on-anti-c....
So car companies couldn't build a rainy day cash fund or increase wages or pay bonuses(or pay dividends to shareholders). Dealer markups on some high demand vehicles are still insane, easily 10k to 20k+. I wish more car companies could sell directly like Tesla does(which is banned from selling in several states including Texas where they have a big new factory).
So there's obviously a demand for them at that price.
Sure, maybe Ford should be able to sell cars themselves if they want to. But they'd be selling them at the same price and pocketing that extra $10-$20k themselves, rather than letting the consumer keep it.
For the highest priced and shortest supply vehicles, yes, dealerships added huge "dealership fees"; automakers did quite well themselves. The bonuses (for salaried employees) and profit sharing (for hourly union workers) were good in the past few years.
There's nothing fresh. Same boring design. Throw in a cool marketing name "F-150 LiGhTnInG" and a battery pack and people think this is "innovation"?
What a joke.
People like electronic trucks, and people like the Ford F-150.
> There's nothing fresh. Same boring design.
It’s literally the top selling vehicle in America. Clearly people are OK with the design. But now it’s an electric truck.
> Throw in a cool marketing name "F-150 LiGhTnInG" and a battery pack and people think this is "innovation"?
I don’t think many people think it’s anything beyond an electric F-150. That’s enough for a whole lot of people.
Now I'm not saying the electric Lightning has anything SVT-like about it in its current form. In fact I had to take a vehicle of mine to a Ford service center (which I avoid at all cost) a few times over the last few weeks to work out a random transmission bug with them and I was surprised at the number of Mach-E and Lightning there for service. But the Lightning was a great pedigree from days gone by and it's unfortunate the vehicle of today isn't really what he originally stood for [0].
I'm not sold on Ford's current entrants into the EV space. I think there are much better options for the money. Ford also let dealerships full on rip people off when they were hard to get. That, in itself, is inexcusable and they should be held accountable.
[0] https://horsepowermemories.com/2014/08/09/1993-1995-and-1999...
Then the wait came, and with it, the price hike. I was expecting around $40k or so, all in. By the time I was able to place an order, I could only get a premium trim, and I would have had to pay beyond $75k, iirc. So I won't be buying a Ford anytime soon. Too bad.
There needs to be two kinds of electric vehicles - 250 mile rangers and 150 mile rangers - and the 150 mile rangers need to use Sodium Ion batteries.
Make them cheap - make sodium ion electric vehicles the cheapest vehicle on the road. Put 2013 tech in it outside of the drive train.
Their gas/diesel trucks are definitely a profit center.
Tesla has pretty much the best margin in car industry, even when comparing their pure EV production to traditional ICE cars.
Pretty much all other companies, including Ford, loose money on EVs. Some loose more than others.
The difference between Ford pay and Tesla pay is not even close to explain the profitability gap.
It's more about Tesla making way more cars and therefore paying less for components and batteries and raw materials.
It's about Tesla working on batteries for many years and jumping quickly on newer, cheaper batteries from CATL and BYD.
It's about their cars being more efficient and therefore needing smaller (and cheaper) batteries.
It's about vertical integration.
It's about manufacturing advances like giga casting.
I had no idea ford had to pay 74% in wages after laying off! For how long?
Probably something negotiated by the union.
Layoff means something different to automakers. It's a layoff so that they can draw unemployment. Traditionally there was a two week layoff in July for model changeover. It was basically a two week vacation for a lot of workers, while they were technically unemployed.
So yes, it's more or less a furlough.
Ford pays sub pay, and that combined with unemployment benefits is 74%, Ford doesn't pay the entire 74%.
It is not unusual in factories like that to have weeks long temporary layoffs, do to reduced demand or shutting down to retool, so it makes sense for automakers to offer these types of benefits, rather than severence, which is more of a permanent seperation type of thing.
It was originally conceived as a way to make it less likely to offshore production: "look, you have thousands of workers you're already paying, just twiddling their thumbs! Give them some cars to build!"
This has not quite panned out.
The jobs bank went away in the 2009 bankruptcies/reorganization.
Especially when it would be possible to build the same # of units with .25n workers.
The bankruptcies weren't caused by one thing, but cost of labor was a large factor. Perhaps a bigger factor was the pressure to keep producing non-competitive, money losing products so as to maintain employment numbers. Unions do a lot for their members, and they should, but they cannot save a bad product.
In my opinion, over-financialization was the other top factor. You can read "Bean Counters vs Car Guys" by Bob Lutz for an explanation of this.
The Co-Pilot stuff is good to have standard as it increases the safety of the big, unwieldy trucks.
[0] - https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tips/small-business-taxes/bu...
[1] - https://www.crestcapital.com/section-179-deduction-vehicle-l...
I would say 99% of the people that own these "light duty" trucks are really just compensating for their insecurities.
Something needs to be done. Some of these headlights that people are driving with are not safe for others on the road.
In other words, this layoff seems to really be about pressuring the autoworkers union to end its strike.