New releases of something that just came out tend to suffer from this, though. Sometimes the counterfeits reach escape velocity - the rate of people joining in downloading the counterfeit exceed the rate of people realizing and stopping, thus giving the illusion of a legit torrent.
Currently this problem is being solved by torrent sites' reputation and comment systems. If we imagine a world where only decentralized indexes like Bitmagnet exist, your prediction is 100% accurate. This only works if reputation from a reliable site is bootstrapping the initial popularity of a torrent.