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Counterpoint: person hears 15 arguments. 14 say one thing, 1 says another. Person agrees with the 1 argument because it resonates with them more.

I'm not saying the 14 are right and the 1 is wrong. I'm saying that the decision was not based on a statistical model.

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Not so simple. Why did the argument of that one person resonate more? Likely because of some other „experience“ or data that is not necessarily expressed or codified in either of the arguments.

That experience or intuition or whatever you want to call it can itself be based on some statistical „model“.

No, it's based on a statistical model that incorporates biases, like many statistical models.

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