Legitimate advances in cheap robotics, on the other hand, could maybe make a dent. It feels to me like the things that might make a difference in my life are help with physical labor, not intellectual labor. A nanny, a maid, a driver, that I don't need to pay a salary to.
Or, a few days ago, I had the need to run the same CLI commands a few dozen times with slightly differing parameters. Unfortunately, the CLI only exist in Windows, and needed to be called on multiple hosts in a Windows environment. I could probably do this on Linux using bash and/or Python, but in Windows, it was way easier to just have the LLM write a PowerShell script for me.
LLMs aren't the best at dealing with proprietary codebases (yet), but I'm sure that will come. In the meantime, they're really useful for abstracting away mundane work in a way that's much more user-friendly than your IDE probably offers, and they often help me spot issues with my assumptions, as well.
(My personal struggle is figuring out when to stop trying to use the hammer that is LLMs. I've definitely fallen victim to the sunk cost fallacy here.)
For those things, I can just ask Chat-GPT to write the first draft of it, and it saves me about 80% of the time. I always have to end up doing a few edits, but it works out.
Also dropping in an indecipherable page of logs and immediately getting the source of an error with at least a suggestion of a direction is really useful.
I have used it to help write some documents and get ideas, but I feel like there should be more than help writing some text.