The First Private High Speed Rail Line in 100 Years Will Link Miami and Orlando
themessenger.com
themessenger.com
I struggle to see how this will perform better than the hour-long flight currently ~$200 (which will very likely be lower when this rail line comes into service) for business users, although the $400 fee may be attractive to some families, and have it hit their supposed 8MM annual ridership numbers when compared to airline travel.
Their current service between Miami and West Palm Beach is at a low of ~$50 round trip which is a much more reasonable amount when compared to the competing transit services and of course it's going to drive nearly 1MM riders through the first half of the year. But, I think they'll struggle with the longer route with higher costs and more competition from airlines.
We shall see.
They are also offering commuter and family passes that offer wifi access and bring the price down to $6 or $14 per ride (that might not be the Orlando price specifically). The family pass let's you share it with family members as well which is nice, living near Orlando we are a popular travel destination for family (Disney World + free tickets bc my wife works for Disney).
I don't really think this route is going to be business travel heavy either way. This will almost certainly be a leisure route for people/families in Miami area who want to go to Disney World/Universal Studios.
Texas ought to be another ideal physical environment for HSR, but Southwest killed a project in the ‘90s (back when the intra-Texas market was still their bread and butter) and none of the other projects have gotten sufficient traction since then.
Although, the first Shinkansen model had a max speed of 130mph, so one could say 125mph is bullet train speed.
Now, that was in 1964, and the second model (1985) topped out at 137mph, and the current series (introduced decades ago) are around 180mph -- but again, expectations.
Trains are cool but this doesn't seem viable, 32 departures daily, really?
Regardless... these are families who live in South Florida. Cost of driving is a tank of gas each way. Can drive right up to the hotel's front door, no Uber. Can visit both Disney and Universal. Mom or Dad can easily go to convention while kids go to parks, etc.
It's a very rare confluence when paying more and giving up the freedom of a car makes much sense.
Please tell me how many families from Miami or Ft Lauderdale you expect will voluntarily leave their car at home and take a train instead, knowing they will be reliant on hotel shuttles and Uber the whole time?
Of course a Disney owned hotel is not going to offer complementary shuttle access to Universal. Meanwhile a Hyatt or Hilton or Gaylord or Rosen or any number of dozens of large hotel chains in the area absolutely run shuttles to both parks.
I've driven from Miami to Orlando many times, it sucks and it takes up 4 to 5 hours each way. Way more relaxing to spend it on a train. Many families will fork out for it.
Edit: A quick web search revealed 18 flights from Miami to Orlando tomorrow. That’s presumably 36 flights including the return. 32 trains is inline with the demand, and is almost certain to be a more pleasant trip—quieter, no TSA, smoother, more space. At 30 min, it’s also more than twice as fast as flying.
2030 is the current but ever-so-elusive shifty goal post.
https://hsr.ca.gov/about/project-update-reports/2023-project...