Heirloom Carbon: Absorbing CO2 from the air using crushed rocks
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Thermodynamically, think of all the fracture surface area being created. If you ever studied fracture mechanics, it's essentially the same as requiring that the elastic potential energy being released by creation of new fracture surface needs to come via work from somewhere (Griffith theory).
I think this approach needs significant "lifecycle analysis" before it can be declared to be a net positive.
Just my two cents.
(Edit: typo.)
If/when fusion becomes harnessed I think we can expect to see a large variety of impractical tech like this suddenly becoming mainstream.
Then the already-fractured rocks are used (forever?) to absorb CO2, heat to release, and repeat. (Do they somehow lose that capacity over time?)
But also this seems to be assuming that all the energy comes from renewables in the first place, including the energy for crushing the rocks...
Heirloom's approach, turn limestone into quicklime and then let the quicklime turn itself back into limestone, is different, and I don't know how the energy economics work out for it.
That sounds like a different type of disaster.
Granted, i have similar concerns about efficiency, but we need any wins we can find.
Don't worry about the CO2 we freed-up in the first step; we'll just use more energy to drill and pump it underground from where it'll escape, or inject it into one of the most energy-intensive building materials, concrete, which would of course continue to be produced in kilns and used. Speaking of kilns, this one is electric, meaning the fossil fuels are burned elsewhere, not on our premises! What an elaborate arbitrage.
so, imagine you want to absorb a ton of CO2 from the air to prevent the planet from further spiraling into uninhabitability: you could electrically bake the rock with renewable energy, then use it to absorb CO2
Oil fields often have dissolved CO2 and methane contaminants. Those gasses are captured and pressurized to force more oil out. Those empty caverns are the largest opportunity for capture.
At ocean depth, CO2 is trapped under hydrate caps. This is best-known around geothermal “smokers”, but the ocean floor is largely unknown. So, there is significant risk allowing the hydrate caps to melt.
How large?
We have 42,592 trillion cubic feet of CO2 in the atmosphere, and the projected total natural gas that can be extracted going forward in the US over the next 85 years is 2,973 trillion cubic feet.
First, will we even extract that much? I've heard that using that much will create more CO2 than we can handle.
And, taking the wild assumption that we do extract that much, how much of that natural gas will come from fracking, and how much from caverns?
Let's be generous and say that 50% comes from caverns. So now we have 2973 times 0.5 which gives 1486 trillion cubic feet of space we can eventually use for the plan you describe, if we use more natural gas than we safely can use.
And that's making again another overly generous assumption in favor of your plan which is that these caverns are somehow left in a state of vacuum before we start putting in CO2.
And let's be fair and assume we only want to sequester say 20% of the CO2, so we want to squeeze 8,518 trillion cubic feet of CO2 into this idealized generously estimated 1,486 trillion cubic feet.
Naturally the gas will be injected under pressure.
I imagine this gets incredibly complex, and there will be leakage, and it will be the province of huge contracting companies that historically have shown themselves to be mainly interested in getting to a finish line such that they can get paid by the taxpayers, with help from their bought-and-paid-for lawmakers, long term results and consequences be damned (see: oil and gas industry, nuclear industry).
I don't feel very good about this plan.
But I can envision the ear-to-ear grins at the contracting companies when they found out "the libs" are going to make tax dollars rain on them for continuing to extract oil and gas out of the ground using some paperwork and a variation of a process they were already doing, even though it probably won't achieve the ends those libs want.
Also, have you heard of fracking? It's a blend of the words "cracking" and "fracture" and why is that? Like virtually any geology, there are cracks, through which, for example, gasses, like methane or in this case CO2, can escape. Coal beds also happen to be riddled with fractures and cracks. So even if you don't dig up the coal, "should absorb" is pretty weak for something we would be betting our future on.
I'd love to hear a more detailed explanation from experts about how the output stream is sequestered. It doesn't sound absurd though; getting gasses in the right place at the right time is not necessarily a trivial task.
...thereby concentrating CO2 which had previously been diffused throughout the atmosphere, so that it can be processed and stored.
> Speaking of kilns, this one is electric, meaning
...that fossil fuels need not be involved at all. Solar panels are cheap, and they can choose to build the factory in a sunny place.
it was already processed and stored.
In the limestone.
By nature. For free.
Just leave the CO2 stored in the limestone alone, and find some other way to capture the CO2 from the atmosphere.
For certain values of “capture”
TFA says it could be pumped underground, etc. “could be” in theory if that gets proved out and doesn’t leak.
For a period.
At least for long enough to collect the tax credit.
Meantime, it was already captured in the limestone.
If however the resulting CO2 as they cycle this can be and is in practice truly captured (not just on paper), then sure, I can see the use, if it makes a more efficient way to glean and gather CO2 molecules out of the atmosphere.
Still the energy costs (solar, say) have to be weighed against the opportunity cost of using that solar to simply replace some CO2-generating combustion process directly, avoiding putting most of the differential amount of CO2 into the atmosphere to begin with.
In other words, it’s really hard to see a win here unless they’re going for some kind of tax or PR win.
To your second point, we need to find a way to sequester CO2, not simply stop generating anymore. It's also more complicated than 1 MWh generated by solar = 1 MWh generated by coal, there's a time dimension, among other complications, to it as well. If we produce more solar energy during the day than we use, we can turn that towards capturing CO2.
It's going to take work, but if we can sequester more CO2 than we generate, than we can ostensibly reverse climate change, or at least mitigate it.
On really big scales things can take a lot of work and this could be a lot of people.
Until there is truly not only an abundance of clean renewable energy, but an absolute surplus left over after everyone ends up with more than they ever thought possible, and almost all sources of atmospheric carbon have been addressed, the best use of renewable energy will continue to be the elimination of carbon at the source[0] rather than direct removal from the atmosphere no matter what you do.
Something about you can't fool mother nature.
During these uncertain times the renewable energy (like any form of energy) will also continue to have a greater financial value on the market directly, compared to the alternative return after involvement with inefficient processes.
So for the forseeable future there will always be incentive somewhere in the chain to sell the valuable energy outright, maybe even clandestinely, rather than "divert" some of it to an inefficient fate. Unless of course that is a subsidized fate.
Like wholesale release of any kind of CO2 from limestone ever. Give me a break. When limestone is already one of nature's best known forms of long-term solid carbon repository on the geological scale, and for best results the natural limestone needs to have its chemical composition stay undisturbed for additional eons.
Limestone is simply Calcium Carbonate. CaCO3.
If you're going to turn CO2 into limestone or some other solid, that would be great as long as you start with something that's not limestone to begin with. Almost anything else would be more sensible.
It's just that capturing CO2 using slaked lime or quicklime (carbon-free alkaline compounds of calcium) is a well-known laboratory process. For centuries. That's all most people are ever going to know. Which seems to work so great on the bench because you can merely open a jar of the raw lime and it spontaneously absorbs CO2 from the atmosphere, eventually turning into you guessed it, limestone. Deceivingly cheap enough at lab scale, the raw lime is one of the lab chemicals where the packaging and shipping cost more than the contents, because it was made industrially in bulk from abundant limestone and discounted energy. So the jars of raw lime in the chem lab are among the very lowest-cost lab chemicals[1] and that's still not good enough when you do the math at scale, "absorbing" the externalities.
>There are now hundreds of startups around the world racing to develop a variety of methods to do this. But many of them, including Heirloom, are still operating at a tiny scale, if they are even at the point of removing carbon at all. So this latest Microsoft deal stands out for signaling a high degree of confidence in Heirloom’s unique approach.
As unique an approach as you can get without any material advances in millennia.
What's needed instead to efficiently turn gaseous carbon to a stable solid is something that is not a known laboratory process. Yet.
Corollary to Murphy's Law says Mother Nature always sides with the hidden flaw. Mother Nature is a bitch.
[0] such as by direct substitution for fossil fuels
[1] the kind that any lab budget can afford if there are chemicals at all. So any lab can start out opening new jars of lime, removing CO2 from their closed systems, then dumping the resulting CaCO3 as harmless solid waste. This scales only so far before financial reality can not be overcome. So the creativity has been focused more so on financial approaches with nothing unprecedented about the engineering or chemical research. Maybe enough to make Microsoft look good but not making a real dent in the overall picture. And what percent of people other than Microsoft have the level of profitability where they can afford to sequester any significant amount of their respective carbon emissions whatsoever?
As you acknowledge in your wording, we don't know for sure, but for me this part states it very clearly what might unfortunately be a key driver at least at this stage of that company:
>Depending on how the organization is operated, some individuals are going to be in position to prosper financially in proportion to the size of the cash flow they preside over or participate in, rather than the net positive outcome to the entire whole.
I understand the trepidation for fear of greenwashing. But it's just that, a fear. Until you have evidence of wrong doing why trample on possible world saving research?
As for the above posters second rebuttal, is the argument: "This proccess has been done in the lab before, so this company couldn't have possibly found a more efficient process for doing the same thing?" Isn't this how every incremental step in efficiency is gained? Isn't it a good sign that the process is already known and proven, and so all this company has to do is make it more efficient?
Every new battery chemistry is given front page service, all the while everyone knows there's a slim chance in hell they'll ever be market viable. Shouldn't we be investing in tech that is already proven? Not wild moon shot ideas?
Then, with a skeptical eye, we examine the scheme and we see that in order to capture carbon, they are first freeing equivalent carbon that was already captured. And then they are proposing to repeat that process whilst sending the carbon to an unproven magical place that might not work (no concern of theirs) and then claiming credit for it.
Not cheap enough for this.
That's OK, Microsoft can afford it.
"Developing and adopting scientifically rigorous and transparent methods for monitoring, reporting, and verification is essential for permanent carbon removal."
See: https://www.heirloomcarbon.com/news/heirloom-joins-carbon-re...
I mean, even if this all went to industry, if it was removing new CO2 that would have been generated otherwise, then it would still reducing atmospheric CO2 by the same amount from what it would have been otherwise -- right?
(Assuming this doesn't magically provide so much CO2 that it depresses prices and leads to new/increased CO2 uses, but that seems unlikely since this seems to be a much more expensive method than existing ones.)
ftfy
If pumping underground even works beyond the timeline needed to claim the tax credit.
It’s much bette than the alternative today where people pump oil and don’t put anything back.
Quote from your link > “The project is expected to inject a net 18 million ton CO2“
What evidence would provide proof that it is really happening, as opposed to it being just words in an article?
Do we need to go to a plant?
Will following only _some_ of the carbon through it's lifecycle be sufficient?
Is burying _some_ of it sufficient?
Or are we looking for a full audit framework?
Is it okay if that's enforced by force of law?
How about disabling all the spyware and garbageware. Then get to fixing the monstrosity that is Win11. Some Googling and math suggests about 100,000,000 tonnes of CO2 is coming from the bloat on Windows(per year). Microsoft claims there are 1.4billion devices using Windows.
*Napkin math
With SaaS, which we are, I occasionally catch customers who have managed to get two or three copies of analytics in their pages, with different ids. It’s just… Exasperating. I think I need to switch disciplines. Nobody who has tried to fix this one has made large inroads.
This is a gray area of the GHG protocol on how to account for SW carbon emissions; some companies count it some don't.
[https://query.prod.cms.rt.microsoft.com/cms/api/am/binary/RW... pp 11.]
200 million isn't remarkably big for a trillion dollar company.
Regarding your point, yes, there is a lot of problems in the project with monocultures being planted, especially comprising non-local ones. This is a complex political problem because you want to incentivize planting, but cost of planting "multi"-cultures is much higher.
[1] https://d2ouvy59p0dg6k.cloudfront.net/downloads/btap_monitor...
[1] https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/pakistans-ten-bi...
Planting trees is anywhere from very good (cutting the trees down and burying it so deep it doesn't rot back to the atmosphere) to very bad (the tree doesn't grow or burns in a fire, effectively adding CO2 equal to the cost of planting).
There's other not good (carbon-wise) uses of trees, like harvesting for firewood, or culling to prevent the spread of diseases like oak wilt or bugs like the emerald ash borer.
Compared to chemically weathering minerals, trees are at best a gamble. Most people aren't stuffing dead ones in really deep holes; the best we can hope for now is they get cut up into quality furniture or building materials that will last decades or more.
There's really very little long-term upside to randomly planting trees and hoping for the best, aside from the fact that trees are really nice things and intrinsically good to have. Just not a super effective carbon sequestration scheme by comparison.
Forests will typically grow for years-decades, and absorb carbon dioxide throughout, till their biomass (per km^2) reaches an equilibrium point. At that point the forest will go from a carbon sink to carbon neutral (averaged over several years to account for forest fires and subsequent regrowth).
Estimates of the carbon sink per km2 are about ~200-400 Ton/km2/yr or ~2-4 Ton/ha/yr (Slope of curves in Fig 7 in https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-99395-6) To absorb our current 10 GTon C (~30 GTon CO2) we would need ~30-50 M km2 of area; Arable (crop) land area is ~15 M km2 (~10% of Earth's total land area) and grassland is ~30 M km2. Clearly we aren't going to turn nearly all of arable/grass land area to forests, but vegetation management could be a significant part of carbon management.
40 billion tons of CO2 per year will be created globally by 2030.
So Microsoft's deal will remove 0.00007875 percent of globally emitted CO2 on an annual basis.
This process would have to be scaled up by 1,269,841 times to capture all emitted CO2, neglecting the increased CO2 emissions associated with the scaling itself.
That seems like a lot of work just to enable humans to increase our numbers and consumption on a finite planet.
Can someone please remind me why more people consuming more resources is a given?
But I would think it would be an advantage to dump the crushed olivine in the ocean where it would be sequestered for a long time. It isn't like trees where have to worry about the CO2 being released from fire or decay.
Start with limestone. Cool, there's lots of that. Cook it - using energy - which you'd otherwise have to do other stuff. That drives off CO2. Put it somewhere. You get something nastier that would indeed absorb CO2 from the air.
The sketchy parts are the "put it somewhere" and the energy going into the process. Thermodynamics is a harsher mistress than lifecycle analysis. Not a chance this is a net decrease in atmospheric CO2.
It's pretty tough to remove CO2 from the atmosphere (an inert and pretty stable molecule at trace quantities), but that becomes easy with infinite energy.
Does the energy for mining and crushing the rock come from oil, and coal for example.
In short: what does it look like when you close the system loop?
https://www.volts.wtf/p/taking-carbon-out-of-the-air-and#det...
i already dump out a dehumidifier every day, could imagine swapping the "carbon brick" along with it
(yes yes -- fresh air exchanger on the HVAC system would also do this, but i want gadgets)
How big would such a brick have to be to absorb all of somebody's CO2 for a day?
I just have no intuition whatsoever around it.
(Also you'd need a carbon filter for all of the VOC's as well.)