Newly discovered comet Nishimura could be visible to naked eye this weekend
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
Found details on spaceweather.com:
> There is a bright comet in the morning sky. You probably can't see it with the naked eye, but even short exposures with digital cameras are picking up the starlike head and long tail of Comet Nishimura (C/2023 P1)
> Comet Nishimura is plunging toward the sun for a close encounter inside the orbit of Mercury on Sept. 17th. Increasing heat is causing it to brighten rapidly. Latest estimates of the comet's brightness place it at magnitude +4.5. In a dark sky, this would be visible to the unaided eye, but the morning sky is not dark. Cameras are required to observe the comet; a few seconds of exposure time are enough for a very nice picture.
But yes, don't look up was funny!
Don't look up is a comedy about global warming.
I actually sort of find this amusing, fwiw.
Of course, if some genius gets the population of the Earth to somehow stop wanting the things that emit carbon (transportation, hot water, hot food, modern infrastructure), while maintaining / growing the population, then humanity will have a front-row seat for collapse of society due to resource depletion, rapid species collapse of animals, microplastics-infused water pollution poisoning all that remains.
The only thing, aside from mass genocide, to slow all of that down is for every human to use less. Every CEO has to pledge to sell less each year. Every consumer must pledge to use less every year. The societal controls put in place to enforce this will eventually result in the overthrow of governments that attempt to impose this on their citizens.
We are humans, and what you see happening to the world is simply what humans do. If you want to see less climate change, less resource depletion, less toxic waste, then we need fewer people if we want to make this planet survivable for longer.
It's good to make our activities more green, use renewable resources, recycle, etc., but the reality is that most of those things will only delay the inevitable. Delay is good, pushing the timeline out for the consequences of our actions is something humans are good at.
Even with some miracle 'spread this powder in your backyard to remove your years-worth of carbon footprint' magic material that keeps the CO2 levels steady... humanity is poisoning almost everything else - just not at a 'kill our selves in 100 years' rate.
Though I agree that we are also poisoning our planet and should stop it. <-- expect another histrionic pile on by people who think climate change will definitely kill us all but want to dismiss concerns about how toxic our world is.
Sigh.
I wish we would do more passive solar design and walkable development.
What's really funny is this flies in the face of typical human patterns of behavior where we obsess about longshot disasters we can't control, like catastrophic plane wrecks, and go "meh" about things that are much more likely that we can control, like the much higher risk of dying or being maimed in a car wreck.
I don't known about you but I look both ways when crossing streets. I have never bothered to try and protect myself from crashes during flights.
I think the point was more that it makes sense to worry about something of our own creation which we have, at least in theory, some control over and power to change, than about something that comes from outside with more force than we can handle.
Wait, you seriously think a comet impact in the next 100 years is much more likely than mass extinction from warming planet? Comet impact IS the longshot disaster we can't control, and you are the one obsessing about it. Fossil fuels, and all the reasons why we don't just stop digging them up today, are totally in our control, and the time is ticking.
I find it deeply concerning that your issue with climate change is what you address as "hand wringing".
I'm some random internet stranger. Why would you have deep feelings about anything I say here at all without knowing anything about me?
It's not a more rational stance to deflect things like concerns, and especially not to act so flippant in the face of such grand risks.
So odds are high there's a misunderstanding here somewhere.
I don't think being concerned and doing stuff to help are mutually exclusive, but your reaction seems to frame them as such.
But now that you clarified your stance, it's clear you weren't doing such a thing and I fully appreciate your first message too now. It was well written, another phrasing would have been too bad. It's just that here on HN it totally could have been written by some technophile not caring about climate change, or even a climate sceptic / denier, and personally, I'm fed up with this.
You were right about there being a misunderstanding. Everyone involved in this discussion should read it again with a calm mind.
I'm not in any way suggesting we shouldn't be taking climate change seriously. I'm suggesting people emote a great deal about it and then avoid taking serious action because it's too emotionally burdensome to face.
I don't handwring about it precisely because I'm doing what is within my power to do, so I feel at peace.
Again. I saw language that concerned me, and addressed it publicly because at this instance I am participating in a forum and language and voicing opinions matter.
Catering to prejudices as if they are reality does not serve to educate anyone. So it's not something I'm inclined to do.
B. Perhaps you've heard of World War II? Or the Cold War? Both were threats to the survival of mankind at least as much as climate change, perhaps more so.
They invented the atom bomb during WW2 and dropped it on two cities in Japan to get Japan to give up its stubborn refusal to surrender. Some Japanese soldiers hid in caves and devotedly didn't surrender for decades afterwards.
> Some Japanese soldiers hid in caves and devotedly didn't surrender for decades afterwards.
Yes, and they killed several innocent citizens in Phillipines. It was a tragic. In the meanwhile Japan's economics blossomed and average Japanese people enjoyed much better life quality than pre-WWII under a militarism government.
If you take a look at the history of China's population, you can hardly tell when WWII happened[1]. Hope this put things in perspective.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_history_of_China#/m...
B. Can you stay on topic please? That is the second topic you bring up without anyone asking.
Funny enough, you downplayed climate change again.
What's extremely "funny" in some sense of that word is that elsewhere on HN I am discussing climate change and environmental issues in earnest and it hasn't gotten one tenth the attention this has gotten, which is proof positive of my point: people have big feels about the topic and vent a lot about it but don't want to really engage constructively with it anywhere near as much.
FYI, I'm a woman. It's my policy to generally not correct people who misgender me on HN, but in this case I will note it and suggest that perhaps your powers of observation aren't the best.
Someone mentioned existential dread, which also really has nothing to do with anything "on topic." I commented on that about finding it sort of funny. Lots of people felt some need to reply to my comment when most of my comments get very little engagement.
I wish my more serious comments got more meaty engagement. This whole thing strikes me as a ridiculous overeaction.
You initial comment wasn't serious? You are somewhat confusing to talk to. Let's end this and agree to disagree.
It's just not anything that merits some giant pile-on of pushback from HN that makes it sound like I'm some extremely famous and influential environmental activist who just pulled a William Shatner and laughed in the face of my core audience on SNL and told them to "get lives" and "worry about something more important."
To me, this is like "Woah, dude. HN is histrionic here. Wow."
> If you don't like a tangent, you don't have to engage with it.
I will engage with anybody trying to downplay climate change. Thanks. The Whataboutism part wasn't part of the discussion until the second topic was brought up.
Humans don't seem to be very good at symbolic reasoning though.
What an interesting wiki article. It’s incredible this is proposed as a sliding scale effect, where the tunable parameters on that scale are the fundamental physical constants of the universe itself.
Not this comet, though. The reason it's in The Guardian is because it's on its closest approach to Earth; it's 0.85AU distant.
It would be pretty sweet if by learning to deflect asteroids, we also find a way to collect valuable resources from them: move small amounts of material into orbits that come close to earth.
So we just have to achieve world peace, to make that work.
("nearby today" relatively, of course.)
- - - -
edit to add: wow you sure touched a nerve, eh? I dunno what nerve exactly, but I agree with your sib comment about how it would be great if your meatier comments got such engagement.
FWIW in my personal estimation doing something (or not) about asteroid detection and mitigation (if possible) is one of the measures of the maturity of a civilization (that lives on the congealed scum on the surface of a blob of magma orbiting a puddle of hydrogen in a region of space filled with rocks!)
It's wild that just a couple of centuries ago (less!) the very idea of rocks falling out of the sky was unthinkable (like UFOs or bigfoot.)
For example, the distance of earth to moon is ~380 000 kilometres (or ~238 000 miles), depending of course on the current phase of the moon's orbit. This is just about enough to stack all planets in our solar system and put them side by side between Earth and moon. The combined diameter of all planets in our solar system is ~384 000 kilometers [1].
For fun, the longest flight on earth seems to be Singapore to JFK, which covers ~15k km (or 9.5k miles), which takes us 19 hours. Just in case you want a toy scale to realize how far the big bright object you can commonly see in the sky is.
And what's crazy is when you realize that our whole galaxy is just a spec of dust in the scale of the universe.
[1] https://futurism.com/you-can-fit-all-of-the-planets-between-...
* The Daylight Comet of 1910, reached a magnitude of -5
* Comet Ikeya-Seki, 1965, reached a magnitude of -10 (close to the full moon!) during the day as it grazed the Sun
* Comet West, 1976, reached a magnitude of -3
* Comet McNaught, 2008, reached -5
* Comet Lovejoy, 2011, reached -4 (but was too close to the Sun in the sky to be easily observed by humans)
So that's five comets of greater brightness than Hale-Bopp in ~100 years, or about one every 20 years. Hale-Bopp actually wasn't notable for its brightness, but for its size.
When I have the time off, the weather is shite. When I’m busy, the weather is clear. When a new moon lands on a weekend and I rent gear to take advantage,you guessed it…
We'll see what this night brings, should be around 4-5 in the morning in my neck of the woods!
That the Blue Moon hid behind clouds is nothing I miss, after all it would just have been for the "saw it, took a photo" bucket. If those milky way shots woild have been impossible, that would have been worse!
Isn't that the fun so, woeking aroind weather outdoors? So much around us is olanned and scheduled, it is nice every once in a while to have natural ransomness in live.
Maybe I've been living under a rock but until this thread I hadn't even heard of this comet. But it's 4:50AM, I live on a house on top of a hill with excellent visibility to the East and I have binoculars. Just need to stay awake long enough wait for it to rise above the trees and hopefully the light pollution 10 miles away won't be an issue!
If you plug in your location you can see when it rises and sets, and the "online planetarium" can help you to orient yourself.
I plugged in Cupertino as my location, and it says Rise is 5:02, which I assume means 5:02 am, which makes sense. However, it also says
VISIBILITY RIGHT NOW C/2023 P1 (Nishimura) is above the horizon from California, United States edit_location_alt. Right now it is placed in the East-North-East direction at an altitude of 23° above the horizon.
How can it be visible and above the horizon right now if the rise time is 5:02am?
According to the same site, however, the comet is currently in Leo, which is close to the ecliptic and is currently setting before the sun, so I cannot see this being the explanation here.
I guess the message:
> Given its current magnitude, C/2023 P1 (Nishimura) is barely visible to the naked eye, easily visible with the help of a small binocular.
does not take the spectator's location into account, it is just based on the object's magnitude.
But for my location, C/2023 P1 (Nishimura) is reported to be above the horizon.
So I had a look, and: the problem is that the comet's current location is vertically above the sun, and so close to it, it is not visible to the baked eye, and it would certainly fry your retina trying to locate it with a binocular.
And here is the orbit diagram. https://theskylive.com/c2023p1-info#orbitdiagram
My interpretation from the orbit: the issue with the comet's visible closeness wrt seen from earth will remain until the comet leaves again.
But maybe if a crazy-big coma and tail develops on the perihelion/maximum closeness to sun can help with visibility
Baked eye indeed.
Last weekend I was looking in the sky for a bit, and I caught two satellites, a shooting star - and an absolutely amazing view of the new Starlink constellation, one of the most beautiful things I've ever seen. Other nights I've come up totally empty. But when you spend ten minutes here or there, over the years you're bound to see some really cool stuff.
ETA: unfortunately though, I just went out to look, and I couldn't find Venus. I looked it up and it doesn't rise until the early morning. Darn!
I'm sorry, but that's not how astronomy works. Things are visible for precise times. You see it when it's available, or you can see it from other people's imagery. That's why people plan for events months to years in advance. Like the October 14th partial eclipse or the 2024 total eclipse. It's not something you do when convenient. Honestly, I think that's the first time I've ever heard that phrased use in this context.
I think we're engaging in different, parallel hobbies. The circumstances of my life don't permit me to plan something like that, years in advance and a thousand miles away. I basically take what I can get, and am pleased to have seen more amazing things than I could have bargained for. When I had an opportunity to see an eclipse in my area - I made the best of it.
Happy stargazing.
This has been your Venus PSA.
I guess rather than feeling sad, I should be accepting that the one experience is all that person will ever need and be fulfilled for the rest of their days???
It will brighten in the following days as it gets closer to the Sun, but we won't be able to appreciate it since it will stay below the horizon until sunrise.
https://heavens-above.com/Comets.aspx?lat=0&lng=0&loc=Unspec...
Why are comets all of a sudden coming by every year or two? 15 years ago I felt like seeing a comet was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity but nowadays it seems visible comets show up all the time.
Closest to the sun, not earth. Also, while not an area I have much knowledge in, I believe it gets rather harder to view as the angle between it and the sun narrows.