Apple Announces Plans to Initiate Dividend and Share Repurchase Program
apple.com
apple.com
Combining a stock buyback plan is smart at least because perhaps they can balance the two and counteract the dividend effect by buying up shares.
In reality Apple could probably just become a private company by buying back most/all the public shares, but I doubt they want to do that. There are obvious PR benefits to being the "most valuable" or "most profitable" public company in the world.
Also, as far as space travel and exploration, that makes no sense for Apple. Apple is not a company that invests huge in R&D projects that won't pay off for decades. It would ruin their incredible focus on what they are doing now and for the next 5 or so years. If you get too far out ahead, you build things the world isn't ready for yet or you stop executing on the here and now products and services.
Apple's still got a ton of room for potential growth on phones, pc's, and tv's. There are also a whole slew of "post pc" computing interfaces and devices that haven't even been dreamed up yet. Space travel would be a distraction.
With a P/E of 16.87, AAPL a growth stock. Or overvalued. With a P/E of 11.71, MSFT is value not growth. With a P/E of 135.1, AMZN is ... pricy.
Then I realized Apple earned $13b profit last quarter and it's only going to grow. $15b x 4 quarters = $60b PROFIT PER YEAR.
Not all of their profit will be used for the share buy back/dividend, but Apple can easily afford it and still have MORE cash (specially after you factor in cash inflow from its investing activities).
They can't use the shareholders' money (which is what this is) to take themselves private. You can't buy something from someone with their own money.
EDIT: Any of these downvoters care to explain themselves? Apple can't buy back most/all of the public shares using this pile of cash, because it belongs to Apple, which belongs to its shareholders. (Even if they could afford to do it, which they can't)
You're getting downvoted because it doesn't make sense for a company to be able to move in one direction, but not the other.
The shares they purchase don't transfer the ownership they imbue to the board of the company -- they are either retired, held as treasury stock or given to other shareholders. The majority shareholders remain majority shareholders of a smaller amount of stock.
To think of it in a very simplified way, if the company bought back all the shares except 10 from some staunch holdout, that guy would own 100% of the shares of Apple, (and each share would have a stratospheric price).
For the board/management to take control of Apple from the shareholders (which is what people mean when they talk about going private, really), they have to personally acquire more shares.
They obviously can't do this with the company's money, because shares bought with that transfer to the company and either dissolve or are transferred. They have to use outside finance to do it.
This is what I mean about you can't buy the company from the shareholders with their own money.
(They could in the simplified world use the money to buy back the stock and grant it all to board members, but in this world there is a tonne of legislation preventing this, and if they did it to take control out of the hands of shareholders they'd be open to action.)
this is exactly what they're trying to signal because its true. what's wrong with that? they've been extremely profitable while not spending the $45 billion they're giving back to shareholders, and they can continue to be profitable without it.
> In reality Apple could probably just become a private company by buying back most/all the public shares
no it couldn't. it's market cap is 550B. it's cash reserve is 100B.
more generally, a company cannot buy itself because the shareholders actually own the cash the company holds. generally, if a company has $X dollars of cash reserves, then the market cap on that company would be > $X.
edit: a factor of 10
Market cap != Value assets
The 550B market cap is the value of all outstanding shares of the company which is not equal to value of the combined assets like buildings and $$.
Source: http://www.businessweek.com/1997/34/roster34/aapl.htm
For more information, you could look at Benjamin Graham's "The Intelligent Investor". This is a very good introduction to investment, but it's also quite a long read.
It's actually Float Shares * Market Price.
This doesn't make much of a difference in Apple's case, because most of their market share is floating on the public market. Quick calculations:
932.37M Shares Outstanding x ~$600/share = $559.4B Mkt Cap
931.79M Float Shares x ~$600/share = $559.0B Price to go Private
$400mm, in this case, doesn't make much of a difference, but if you talk about this for other companies in the future, keep it in mind.
if (NumOwners >= 500) public = true;
Different than being a publicly traded company.
You're clearly alluding to Facebook being "forced" to go public, but they too could remain private with 501 investors. But once they're revealing their numbers, they figured they might as well jump in with both feet and do the IPO.
If Apple consumes about $15 billion a year in cash for its stock buybacks and dividends, it is generating so much new cash from its business that its total cash balance at the end of fiscal 2013 could be around $180 billion, estimated Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/20/technology/apple-to-use-ca...
The differences are
1. Buybacks are usually more tax efficient, because with dividends, profits are realised at the point of sale;
2. Buybacks tend to be procyclical, since companies get a bargain when their shares are undervalued and overpay when they are overvalued. There is some evidence that overall, companies do not get good value for their shareholders from share buybacks. Also, many stock options have the effect that buybacks reward shareholders better than dividends.
I think a mixed dividend and buyback policy is wise. Apple shouldn't be hoarding the cash, and they shouldn't make poor value acquisitions.
To take themselves off the stock exchange, they would need to issue bonds valuing around $500 million, and so become a highly indebted company. This would be tricky, and it is not obvious why this would be in Apple's interest.
$500 _billion_
The ever-present notion that the leadership team of what is now one of the largest companies in the world has no real idea what they are doing is fascinating to me. Perhaps they deserve a bit of credit.
IMO, Apple starting down the dividend path is simply the only reasonable course when faced with that sort of cash flow.
You don't play with 100B in the same way that you play with 100K.
There are few times when a really compelling buyout opportunity emerges. And it is at those times that you want the warchest. Until then, you need to keep the dry powder.
As an example, Buffett wouldn't be able to negotiate the really sweet deal with BofA last year (5B, paper profit ~ 2.8B at the onset) without the cash balance.
NOTE:
Apple earned ~$13b profit last quarter and it's only going to grow. $15b x 4 quarters = $60b PROFIT PER YEAR.
They can easily afford $45b over the next 3 years considering they have more money than God.
Even Jobs only really got one money-printing-quality hit like this in his career. Most of "his" other stuff was great, sure, but mixed with equally great competitors (Pixar -- Toy Story was huge, but so was Titanic) or never managed to break into the market due to bad timing or market conditions (Mac OS).
Seriously: if all that Apple can do with that $100B is produce a top flight movie studio or a distant-second competitor to an established monopoly, it's not enough. They should give the cash back instead.
Titanic's studios have had plenty of flops and shitty movies to offset their successes. Pixar has had a string of commercial and critical successes.
My point is that (1) no, they really can't product another iPhone-like hit (that's a once-a-generation thing) and that (2) Jobs is dead, so there's a serious question about the "leadership team" that investors need to see as a risk. Is it really "safer" to leave your share of that $100B egg in one basket, or just to put it into a mutual fund?
Personally, I'd say Pixar seems to be the Apple of the movie industry. A few products, done right, and hugely profitable:
> As of February 2012, its films have made over $7 billion worldwide, with its $602 million average gross by far the highest of any studio in the industry. In addition all the films produced by Pixar are among the fifty highest grossing animated films of all time, with Finding Nemo (#26), Up (#43) and Toy Story 3 (#7) all in the top 50 list of highest-grossing films of all time. - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pixar
> My point is that (1) no, they really can't product another iPhone-like hit (that's a once-a-generation thing)
They've already put out three in a generation - iPod, iPhone, and iPad. Lumping those three distinct systems into one is intellectually dishonest.
But there's no need, so I'll simplify. If all Apple can do with that $100B is generate another Pixar, Macintosh, iPod or iPad, it is not enough and they should give the money back. To make it seem like a good bet, they need to produce another iPhone. And they can't, because no one can do that at will. We'll see another hit like that in 15 years or so if we're lucky.
The iPhone was the next step in omnipresent computing. You always have your iPhone. It's two steps down from laptops (leap-frogging the tablet, which has come after the iPhone). The next step is either glasses with computer screens (kind of geeky), or voice-interface computers.
With a voice interface, you can shrink a computer down to the size of a wristwatch. Getting data out is a problem (display glasses? some kind of projector?) is an issue, but not insurmountable.
15 years doesn't sound crazy.
http://www.codinghorror.com/.a/6a0120a85dcdae970b0163030a719...
You can't really compare iPhone and Pixar that way. IPhone was a product by an established company that was already producing the iPod. Pixar on the other hand was a startup (sort of), which Steve Jobs invested $10 million in and sold for $7.4 billion, quite an impressive return on investment.
Give it back.
I don't get the criticism that Apple has no better way to spend its money. It's been building a cash stockpile for years, so obviously they've had this "problem" for years. They're a public company that has to report the size of their cash stockpile every quarter; having a growing cash stockpile already signals they haven't found a way to somehow reinvest their cash. Paying a dividend, especially such a small one, hardly lets the cat out of the bag at this point.
Furthermore, interest rates are still rock-bottom. If Apple suddenly needed a whole bunch of cash to invest, it wouldn't be at all difficult for them to borrow at much, much lower rates than their rate of return. It might be more risky and costly than simply spending a war chest, which is a good reason to keep 55 billion around (plus whatever they pull in over the next three years) while distributing the other 45 billion.
Dividends offer _true_ returns:
They send a message to shareholders that you want them to stay as shareholders and are rewarding them for their committment to your company. Its a reminder to shareholders that the business investments you have made have actually worked and the reward is that cash can be returned to shareholders . That profits are more important to shareholders over the long term than trying to convince wall street to increase your PE [via buybacks].
Meanwhile... buybacks just perpetuate insider dilution:
Companies continuously issue new shares to their managers without asking their existing shareholders. Those managers then leak that stock to the market a little at a time. It’s unlimited dilution of existing shareholders’ stakes, death by a thousand dilutive cuts. If that isn’t a scam, I don’t know what is. Individual shareholders have nothing but the chance to sell it to the next sucker. A mutual fund buys one million shares of a company with your and your coworkers’ money. You own 1 percent of the company. Six weeks later you own less, and all that money went to insiders, not to the company. And no one asked your permission, and you didn’t know you got diluted or by how much till 90 days after the fact if that soon.
[1] http://blogmaverick.com/2006/07/22/executive-pay-and-stock-p...
Is a golden parachute ideal for this? Perhaps not, as it does introduce some strange incentives overall; but I'm not aware of anything better.
An individual investor might prefer dividends for tax reasons, while a mutual fund might prefer buybacks. But other things being equal, both sorts of investors don't want unnecessary dilution.
In Apple's case, what it signals may be a little worse - i.e. that they have given up on trying to find those better ways despite having had several years to work on it as the cash accumulated.
If Apple had announced dividends a year ago, before Jobs' death, it would look like Apple had a long term vision - and there was certainly opportunity to have provided dividends.
More importantly, there was opportunity to spend the money. If Apple couldn't figure out how to make a dent in $30 billion or $50 billion or $70 billion, it doesn't look like their problem has gotten any easier.
"I was talking recently to someone who knew Apple well, and I asked him if the people now running the company would be able to keep creating new things the way Apple had under Steve Jobs. His answer was simply "no." I already feared that would be the answer. I asked more to see how he'd qualify it. But he didn't qualify it at all. No, there will be no more great new stuff beyond whatever's currently in the pipeline."
Looks like they probably won't be dreaming up innovative devices anyway unless a new Steve Jobs takes over.
And I don't mean that Apple should give money away to charities.
Why not invest in space exploration , electric cars, self-driving cars, medical devices, green energy,... It is not Apple's core business, but "phones" have not been the business of "Apple Computer" as well.
Apple has moved humanity forward with the personal computer and mobile phones. I don't want them to stop with computers, smartphones, tablets or TVs.
I want Apple to aim for more than just consumer electronics - but I guess we won't see that happening.
Hence today's dividend announcement.
but that doesn't really need to bother them
Oh yes it better bother them. Cook and the Board have a fiduciary duty to the shareholders. They can't just go spending money however they want without regard to shareholder wishes or stock performance.Plus, a company's #1 goal is to create shareholder value.
However that doesn't preclude them from doing good with it, even in money-losing investments, beyond perhaps shareholder revolt ousting the board. There's an oft claimed belief that corporations are somehow bound by corporate law to do everything in their abilities to increase profits/returns for their shareholders. That is not and has never been true. Corporations are essentially mini-democracies, albeit where your say is scaled by your ownership: If the shareholders don't like it they have mechanisms to deal with it.
(There's a persistent myth to the contrary, but it's not really rooted in law; see e.g. http://truthonthemarket.com/2010/07/27/the-shareholder-wealt... and http://hbr.org/2010/04/the-myth-of-shareholder-capitalism/ar... ... and even if that weren't true, courts are willing to grant considerable leeway to business strategies such as "building goodwill" and "increasing positive sentiment towards the brand", since courts aren't in a good position to second-guess a duly elected board on such points).
I tend to think of it as the board being in possession of the company that the shareholders have all but signed over to them; with shareholders retaining notional ownership, mainly enforced via the rarely exercised right to revoke the delegation of power if they get sufficiently angry.
Regardless; Apple is not going to space, at least not until it can figure out how to make money doing it.
The main enforceable obligation is a negative one, to not actively do things that benefit themselves at the expense of the corporation they oversee, e.g. by making decisions primarily designed to enrich themselves personally. Almost anything that isn't active wrongdoing is defensible though; if a board member thinks in good faith that doing X would enhance the goodwill towards the Apple brand, and in good faith thought that prioritizing brand goodwill was the best long-term strategy, it would be fine to undertake a short/medium-term money-losing course of action to pursue the strategy. Courts generally defer to board elections to resolve those kinds of disputes over strategy, since courts are very bad at predicting whether a given strategy is actually in a particular entity's long-term interests.
Insurance these days is more often directed at government regulations than shareholder lawsuits; board members have various possibilities for personal liability if their company is doing illegal things on their watch.
Why should they? Just throwing money at something doesn't guarantee success, and deviating from a company's core competencies can become a distraction that drags down the parts of a company that are succeeding. The dividend puts money back into the hands of investors that can choose to either re-invest back into Apple stock, or invest in companies whose core competency is space exploration, electric cars, or some of the other areas that wouldn't be in Apple's expected domain.
As for your green energy comment: I think Apple can do far more to promote green energy by being a customer and driving partners to produce better products than designing their own green business. For example, by buying a shitload of fuel cells for their datacenters, Apple funds Bloom's (or others') R&D efforts. Same with solar panels and other alternatives.
I would say this is quite a lot of hyperbole. They have refined what others have made but they have not moved humanity forward.
The Haber-Bosch process, Norman Borlaug, the space race, the production of a silicon chip etc have al moved humanity forward. Apple in comparison made some trinkets.
Of course they are not primarily a science/research company so they rely on "standing on the shoulders of giants".
Twaddle.
Many companies had MP3 players prior to the iPod, but it was Apple's device that completely up-ended the music industry. Now people have access to entire libraries of music on their phone, and a store where they can buy even more.
Can you really say the situation would be better if Apple had blown out in the 1990s and we were at the mercy of Rio and RealPlayer?
Fleming discovered penicillin and its effects, but he abandoned the discovery because he was unable to produce it in quantity, and also did not believe it would last long enough in the human body to cure infections.
It took the work of several others, and fifteen more years, to actually produce an effective drug.
Similarly, those who made various fundamental discoveries and inventions in computing are certainly significant and worthy of attention, but Apple also deserve much credit for making easy-to-use, refined products out of these discoveries, especially over the last ten years.
Giving people better tools makes them more productive in whatever endeavors they pursue. It would be short-sighted to not see Apple's value to society.
At some level it's necessary for a company as tight and as focused as Apple is to maintain a cohesion in its corporate expanse. They could easily spend their money on growing the company in a myriad of ways. They could invest in pharmaceuticals or unicycles, but the farther afield they get from their core competencies the less likely they are to succeed, and the less likely they are to remain a single, cohesive company.
At the end of the day the key question remains: what is Apple other than just a big ol' wad of money? If Apple is something other than just an amalgam of various profitable enterprises then they should keep on being that instead of trying to be something they're not.
If they were to spread management attention more thinly by starting separate divisions to do the sorts of entirely unrelated things you describe, Apple could easily turn into IBM or Microsoft. At its heart, Apple is a small company. The main way Apple helps all those other industries is by training engineers to think in the Apple way who then go off and found start-ups of their own. And by making lots of millionaires to fund those start-ups.
(Apple's also investing in some of those industries as a customer. For instance, they invest in "green energy" by buying solar panels for its new HQ building.)
Education seems like a perfect fit. They could start their own publishing house to author first-rate dynamic textbooks for the iPad. The content could be better than it is in current books, and it would sell iPads to boot.
I don't think of the iPhone as a phone at all. It's a computer I always have with me.
Now, the main reason I always have it with me is because, rather than being an additional thing I need to carry in my pocket and always remember, it replaced a thing I need to carry in my pocket and always remember, but the "Phone" feature is the least used feature of my iPhone by far.
This is how Apple approached the iPhone, too. It was initially thought of as an iPod that had the sweet feature that it could replace your phone rather than require you to carry an extra device.
They could afford to build an entirely new wireless carrier, from scratch (I understand spectrum might be an issue). They could create an entire newly kind of music label that redefines how artists are compensated and how labels make money. Or they could create their own new book publishing company that breaks with the traditions of the big publishers to make e-Books the focus and more affordable. They could probably buy up most of their entire supply chain.
So they must have good reasons for not wanting to use those funds to distrupt those other industries more than they already have. I'm sure they don't want to get out of their core competencies, but setting up subsidiary businesses would seem like a good way to get what they want.
Alas, I think the current arrangement is working too well for Apple to want to take that kind of insane risk. Shame.
But I guess it's all a pipe dream anyway.
So they'll continue to add to the stock pile of cash most likely. By 2015, under this plan, they'll have perhaps $135 to $150 billion in cash, unless they increase the buy-backs or dividend further, and that's assuming their annual profit stops growing.
But I agree with your sentiment. It's a bit sad that Apple seems to have maxed out their ability to use money on themselves.
Apple is not allowed to spend its $100 billion buying companies, even if it wanted to. For example, they could buy HP and Dell and shut them down (maybe all PC manufacturers in fact, just with cash); such would not pass anti-trust concerns. They could buy Facebook with cash + stock; again, that wouldn't make it through anti-trust review. And so on.
Even though they're not formally regulated under anti-trust just yet as, say, Microsoft was - their actions are indeed strictly limited by what the government will allow them to do.
Apple could buy any one of them, either through friendly or hostile means. Not a single one of those would make it through anti-trust. Shareholders for Cisco would love to get $200 billion for their company; the US Government would never allow it in a million years. Shareholders for Amazon would love to get $200 billion, and they'd likely outvote Bezos' family holdings to agree to the purchase. Larry Ellison would sell Oracle for $300 billion in a heartbeat, and all shareholders would agree. Intel shareholders would instantly take a $300 billion bid; the US Government would never allow that purchase either. Apple also would never be allowed to gobble up either of the telecom monsters; AT&T shareholders would take a cash + $250 billion in shares deal, and Verizon shareholders would easily sign off on a $200 billion deal.
I think Apple would love to own their own telecom network, given their love of all things integrated. The things they could probably do in owning something like Verizon's network would be astounding. It would never be allowed.
Applying that test to all of those companies doesn't give Apple supplier control, extensive pricing control or monopoly power in any market.
for eg. even acquiring HP would be total 'PC' market share of ~25%. The only one that may be a concern is ARM, but that doesn't mean mergers are stopped, it just means that agreements are reached (for eg. as with Google and ITAR)
http://www.hnsearch.com/search#request/all&q=brudgers+di...
Disney would actually brighten Apple's halo, they have a devoted customer base which would accept the merger, and produce the most salable content in the world.
Why take a risk on the downside of creating content when you can charge a 30% toll across all of it? Also a different type of business and model. It would also leave them in conflict with the other media companies.
What I could see is buying Netflix, but Apple would be in a better position to just build that from scratch with better terms (again, the toll for accessing the Apple ecosystem/platform/whatever-you-want-to-call-it).
The other one is Akamai - Apple has been a long-term customer (probably one of the largest), they are delivering a lot of content (and ever increasing) but don't have any real hardcore infrastructure in the way Google and Microsoft do.
Purchasing Disney isn't primarily driven by the fact that they are a movie studio. The purchase makes sense because of Disney's existing media portfolio and the worldwide demographic which their properties attract.
In much the same way that the stock was held back while Steve was alive because there was so much uncertainty about his health, but since his death the stock has been on a $200+ rampage. There's been speculation about what Apple might do with it's cash hoard for so long and the uncertainty has always been weighing on some investor's minds. By actually doing something with some of it, they've laid a path and removed the uncertainty.
Investor psychology is a really crazy thing.
I don't know much about stock and companies with money, but people on this thread are implying that Apple must get rid of it's cash? Why? Surely cash is good? Safety net? What if the sales plummet you don't go out of business, etc. etc.?
the century old idea of stocks (and what buffet et al subscribe to) is about generating a yield from profits. the secondary effect is that now those types of investors will buy into Apple since it yields a dividend, like a good old blue chip stock should (which in-turn raises demand for the stock, which in-turn raises the share price - meaning the cash is being put to better use).
I for one would have liked to see apple carry the cash balance. Sure they aren't making much from the cash, but I'm pretty sure there are better uses of the money. For example, why not buy a few suppliers?
Antitrust regs.
Apple has hit that limit, where it has plenty of money to do all that (safety net) and more.
No that sounds silly. But I don't know how much is enough and how much is too little. How do we know Apple has too much?
Note:
Apple's cash increased by $40 billion last year alone.
Apple's dividend plan will spend only about $45 billion in the next 3 years.
that means their cash savings will still be growing despite the dividend.
The alternative is something like Microsoft, which couldn't invest the money but still tried with all sorts of terrible acquisitions. This is a better alternative for shareholders.
I don't know where that expectation came from. First Apple had the problem of repatriating international funds, so this was never going to be a $30, $50 or $100 (some crazy estimate) dividend.
Second all precedent from similar companies issuing a first dividend (well not first for Apple, but first for the 'new' Apple) such as Microsoft and Cisco is 1-2%.
I don't think the buyback will be very effective, not against the bigger dividend expectation.
1.8% is about par. I am surprised they didn't split the stock. Question now is how far the stock will fall today before picking back up again later on as yield-focused funds buy into the new action.
get a better sense a bit after the markets open and then at the end of the day today.
this news should be a disappointment, but nothing about the hysteria around AAPL surprises anymore.
here it is http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/press/2004/jul04/07-20boa...
I think their stock has been pretty flat since, and the dividend increases haven't done much to stimulate the price.
Edit: btw, is this you in the MF thread about it? :) http://ask.metafilter.com/11657/Why-Will-Dividend-Make-Micro...
That's what I don't get about the excitement over this dividend. It's like 0.5% of the cost of a share.
I don't think we can attribute all this growth to any one thing.
Another obvious "lateral" purchase would be a cellular company. It doesn't make sense to keep pandering to the desires of the likes of AT&T and Verizon (4 GB data limit on LTE iPad WTF?) when there's so much more potential that could be realized with a good data plan for iDevices.
As a shareholder I'd preferred if they just kept and invested the money in new products. Why not use that money to speed up the real Apple TV? Screen tech? Storage? There are still lots of advancements left in handheld and this levels the playing field a bit. Apple hoarding cash was intimidating to competitors.
Jobs would not have done this. It was the first thing they did when he left in the late '80s and the first thing he ended when taking back over in the mid 90's.
There certainly isn't anything wrong with making better what is out there and at the same time creating the basis for other products (i.e. Chromium from WebKit) so you really own more of the market as a whole and the direction it takes.
As a game developer, the way OpenGL ES flat out won on devices with no real challenge from Microsoft on DirectX is amazing on that front alone. I'd say whatever they were doing with their money since the mid-90's was right.
The stock purchased is "canceled". Yes, canceled.
So if a company has no operation but 100 billion in cash, after a stock buyback of 100 billion, the company is worth $0. It's a super bad deal for the employees who sees nothing, but great for Wall Street traders
iRocket iSpaceShip iStation
See, there a product family already. And the best part is that the iSpaceShip can only dock with an iStation. So you gotta buy everything.