American workers are demanding almost $80k a year to take a new job
cnbc.com
cnbc.com
The wealthy are buying up all the tangible assets and price gouging everyone with high rent and subscriptions for everything imaginable, but it’s the workers asking for enough money to keep up that’s driving inflation. Ok.
The western world has gone from single income homeowners in the 80s to dual income homeowners today. That’s 80 hours of work per household per week instead of 40. IMO we’re trending towards multigenerational home ownership where it may require 4-6 income earners to own a house.
We’ll all be living paycheck-to-paycheck with 3 families to a house and the economists will still be blaming inflation on the working class having too much money. Maybe it’s time to start asking if a lack of competition is allowing the ownership class to manipulate supply so they can set unfair prices.
In recent times it's still been sold to everyone as if it were equally obtainable and anyone who found themselves unable to get ahead despite their hard work was told it was their own fault and they should have tried tugging harder on their bootstraps.
I agree it's time we stop thinking about the American Dream the same way. We need to either accept that it'll be out of reach for many no matter how hard they try or we change things so that's no longer the case. We can't fix it as long as we continue to buy into the fantasy that it's not broken.
This is largely the result of 3 things, a giant shortfall of building where population growth has outpaced new home starts for 40 years, women joining the workforce in greater numbers since the 60s, and houses on average are much larger and feature more amenities.
In the most literal sense yes, of course the increase in dual income homeowners is because of a greater number of women joining the workforce. But that masks the true reality, which is that those families require two incomes to a lifestyle that used to be achievable with one.
It’s a result of the lack of affordability, not a cause.
Houses could only be priced such that a single income could buy them when most women did not work. Or nobody could buy them.
Once you have couples competing to buy that same housing stock, it becomes increasingly hard for a single income to compete and the price rises to match what the market can support.
> the price rises
ah, the swirling anonymity of "market forces"! These are all active decisions made by people, not forces of nature. The money from these increased prices doesn’t just disappear into the ether.
You're not wrong, of course, but it's worth looking at it from another angle. A house for a dual income family does not cost more to build than a house for a single income family. In a world where housing is considered more of a human right than an investment vehicle prices could have stayed low, more could be built, faster. Instead we live in a world where everyone must work more in order for their quality of life to stand still. I think it's permissible to be angry about that.
It doesn't take houses to be considered investment vehicles by anyone though for this to happen (even if some people do). Just more and cheaper money available to throw at the same things.
No such assumptions are necessary or intended. It doesn't make sense to assume working women produced nothing. I have no idea whether the construction industry took on more workers or not when women joined the workforce.
Regardless, most couples tend to buy one house, and two people's incomes can outbid one person's. That is all that it is necessary to assume.
For housing though, the economic unit is the household, not the individual, and land and location are not really affected by how much stuff we can produce. So housing costs will always occupy a large fraction of household wealth, no matter how wealthy we become.
Scarce examples would be homes in the best school district you can afford near the best job markets. Or the best doctors, tutors, etc. And if the majority of people opt to be in dual income households, then the price of even average products/services will rise so that single income households will have to settle for less.
Humans are status seeking, so stuff is not just stuff. People value obtaining products/services that others cannot afford. The most basic example of this is the common advice to “buy the cheapest home in the most expensive neighborhood”.
Meaning, if you want your kids to hang out with kids of parents who earn at least as much or more than you, then you bid up housing prices as much as you can to minimize the number of families under a give income level that can afford the homes in the school district.
> in fact there is much more stuff for us to buy with our money now, and in fact (all else equal) woman working may drive DOWN the price of good and services.
This is also true, and it did drive down the price of many goods and services, including the price of labor itself. But it can also be true that prices for average or below average product/service decline, and above average products/services to increase.
Probably not. If you're familiar at all with the history of women entering the workforce, it was driven largely by women wanting to have careers and professional fulfillment and not financial necessity.
Rosie the Riveter, etc.
Looking at the labor force participation rate for women, since 1950 it's gone from 1/3 to 2/3.
A lot of truth in this. I was raised in the 60's in a 3-BR house with 1 bath, a kitchen, and a living room. There were 5 of us including parents, in 850 sq ft, without central air in a climate that definitely needs it. My dad would come home from work and lay under the living room window air conditioner. We had 1 car, mom did odd jobs from home (ironing, cleaning, babysitting) and took care of us, and most other kids were in the same situation. A few moms worked but it was unusual. Quite a different living situation than most families today.
I think money "throughput" matters more than absolute money supply.
And there's a ridiculous amount of cognitive dissonance among the Boomers I've talked with on this topic. There was a real confidence in their feeling that things were just as hard back then and there's just as much opportunity today for people to work hard and buy a home.
In their defense: every single one of them, when we got the pen and paper out and did the math to show it's not even remotely close, were shocked.
Younger generations want to change things and think they are unique and special, older generations are like “nah you don’t get it just wait until you are older”.
Both are right to varying degrees and depending on the circumstances. But those seems like the default views, and it takes effort to see when they don’t apply.
Hell, there's plenty within cities [1].
[1] https://escholarship.org/content/qt5gc6w0vd/qt5gc6w0vd_noSpl...
That's called cost-push inflation, and is an invalid theory. Inflation comes from government running the money printing press overtime.
Meanwhile, the government will blame inflation on greedy corporate profiteers and excessive wage demands by workers. Oh, and the oil companies.
That's exactly what happens in Argentina.
The democrats are following the steps of Juan Domingo Perón.
This is just basic market economics.
If anyone wants to understand what effective economic policy is read Ha-Joon Chang’s work.
Wages are a good compromise they can all agree on.
Nah, don't think so.
We went from multigenerational homes and kids living with their parents, inheriting their houses, and if buying -- doing it after they grew up and saved / got help to buy their own house. To a situation where everybody thinks the first thing you have to do after you get your first job is to get expensive mortgage and buy your own house. And parents basically waiting for their kids to leave the house so that they can enjoy freedom.
You suddenly need way more houses for the same number of people because people no longer want to live together. And that is what has largely been driving housing prices.
The times of prosperity caused this change but also for a long time were masking the effects.
Then multiply it by people's inflated expectations on how large their living space needs to be (houses are much larger than in the past even as they are less affordable),
It does not help that people are brainwashed that borrowing money is the way to go. It is not. It is a way to stay a slave to the bank. As a side note it is funny that there is so much debate about freedom and yet completely miss the fact that the biggest reason people are not free is that most people owe money to a bank and and most are not making good progress paying the debt.
So I think this wave of growth in the need for housing space will pass and at some point it will get more affordable.
I think future is very much to be written. In ideal world people would get educated on how to deal with debt, how to pay it and stay debt free. Also how to not get overboard buying stuff you don't really need (which I am very guilty of myself). I know this last one might cool the economy a little bit but I actually think it would be fine if it meant people had healthier financials.
What I think is likely, though, is formation of a new class which will essentially be free people in name only. Slaves to the bank from the day they are born to the day they die. Monitored and controlled at every step (which is already happening -- with banks and insurance companies digging through your private data to figure out how big risk you are). Poorly educated with both parents working, with attention grabbed by a shiny rectangle from the first years of their lives, with a noise of AI generated "media". Unable to reach real information through the noise. With no real friends, no real social interactions, no hope to upend the system because of no way to gather critical mass of people to do anything of note.
the situation is pretty much the opposite of this, we went from where folks could afford a house pretty quickly, sometimes even on a single salary, to double incomes not being enough, and the only hope of housing for some now being multigenerational and/or inherited
For instance: the supply of eggs is somewhat variable, so in times of shortage the price has to go up to make demand = supply. The rich aren't eating fewer eggs when this happens, the poor are. If everyone was rich, the price of eggs would go to infinity. (This seems to be happening to private school tuition.)
Why hasn't this happened in the past? A lot of property makes a lousy investment unless you get value by living in it.
We now mostly work the same hours for money, then pay someone to do what mothers used to do for free; except possibly with some extra friction (tax, stress, commutes etc.).
Even nowadays, in the UK for example, many families are pushed to realize the soaring cost of childcare is greater than post tax earnings for one parent and skip employment to save money.
[0] https://www.in2013dollars.com/us/inflation/2020?amount=68000
My mom works at a donation center focused on veterans, and they give out food several weekends out of the month. They're breaking records for visitors every month now.
Along with finger crossing and hoping, we could look for causes of price increases, and then force the politicians to end the inflation-inducing military conflict in eastern Europe.
I just don't think Ukraine explains that much beyond natural gas prices going up, as far as I'm aware, and even that I suspect is limited to Europe. (I am in the US).
March 3, 2020 -50 basis points
March 14-15, 2020 -100 basis points
Feb 19 2022 Zelensky speech puts in question 1994 nuclear disarmament agreement.
Feb 20 2022 VP Harris in Munich encourages Ukraine entry into NATO, "So I respect President Zelensky’s desire to be a member of NATO."
Feb 24 2022 Russia in to Ukraine.
March 15-16 2022 rate increases begin. Federal Reserve recognized war.
Zelensky nuclear ambitions speech translated: https://kyivindependent.com/zelenskys-full-speech-at-munich-...
Harris talking about Ukraine joining NATO: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/20...
anyways, do you have any evidence for the causality you suggested here? so far it hasn't been very convincing
keep in mind, as you make your case, that most posters here are smart enough to not fall for a "post hoc ergo proper hoc" fallacy
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminu...
Page 9: "Members also agreed that their assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments."
If you like to read books, this book about Russia has amazing references including FOIA documents. https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-plot-to-seize-russia-ma...
if so, it doesn't – not only does it not even mention russia's war on Ukraine, it doesn't even mention a rate increase, much less a correlation between the two
not only THAT, but you conveniently ignored all the 4 other factors they listed first
and before you go down the conspiracy theory route of "X can't/won't say the REAL truth but I'll tell you what it is", a lack of evidence for a theory isn't evidence of the theory, and while I'm sure you're a great person, your word in this situation is unconvincing
Here's Larry Summers from November 2021[0]. Note that his argument there is that the "transitory" inflation argument had already been shown to be incorrect, because by three months prior to the beginning of the war in Ukraine, inflation had already been progressing for months, along with the will-they-or-won't-they debate over rate increases.
Here is a Fed statement from April 2021[1], which I think is the first one that uses the word "transitory".
Point being that no, the rate hikes that happened a few weeks after the war started in absolutely no way came "out of nowhere seemingly". Everyone had been talking about it for a year.
0: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/11/15/inflation...
1: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/mone...
I must be missing something because I cannot see a single part in there that says Ukraine wants to acquire nuclear weapons.
All it says is that Ukraine willing gave up nuclear weapons in exchange for security guarantees (from the US, France and Russia) and that those countries are not really abiding by the agreement.
If you could quote part of the speech that mentions Ukraine wanting nuclear weapons that would be great.
* - per a UN investigation
** - with the Holodomor and the deportation of the Crimean Tatars being at least 2 previous russian genocides of Ukrainians
Compound that with property taxes: I just heard a neighbors condo's taxes go up from 8k to 18k in a single year.
This must be a special case of not having the correct assessed value, or an error and they are including condo association costs in their property tax.
Even at a 3% property tax rate, which very few Americans have, a $10k increase means a $333k increase in assessed value for a condo. 1% to 2% property tax rates are more likely, which would mean a ~$667k increase in assessed value.
Housing was just yet another problem at the time.
The problem with housing today is an amazing lack of foresight from our so-called leaders then. Everyone accommodated the Boomers (I'm Gen X). They didn't have enough houses for the Boomers - let alone the kids the Boomers would have (the Millennials) who would be living as adults at the same time as their parents. There was a rash of home-building in the 40's, 50's and 60's, and then it slowed way down, never to reach those levels again. Meanwhile, advances in healthcare increased people's lifetimes, exacerbating a housing shortage that all the experts were warning about even back in the 70's and yet nothing was being done about.
I say all this to say I see the same thing happening with the climate "debate" today. We know what's coming. What know what the economic impacts are going to be. But we sit and equivocate and do nothing. If you think today's housing crises is bad, wait until you see what hits us in 30-40 years!
Funny too how the ever-vaunted market failed to solve the housing issue...but that's a story for another time.
And now with the US media promoting insane ideas like 'modern monetary theory' it may become more common.
Should the same high-inflation state come to the US it would be a very interesting state (technically interesting, not meaning this in a nasty "I plan to watch this show from the outside" way). With current opportunities to easily move between the dollar, other currencies, gold, BTC, etc. should the high (20+%) inflation expectation become entrenched the government will find it hard to force people to buy dollars.
When anyone can move a large hedging sum from dollar to Swiss franc or Norwegian krone, forcing the local citizenry to buy rapidly depreciated fiat is virtually impossible. My 2c.
Also, after three decades of globalization currency controls will hit virtually every business, so this will likely be broadly unpopular. Again, not impossible, but I personally view it as very unlikely without dictatorial powers held by one, or a very few, strong individuals. But we shall see...
1. The war in Ukraine spiked energy and food prices. People don't fully grasp how fundamental energy costs are to prices. Energy costs are X1% of the cost of a good, X2% of the cost of the parts in that good, X3% of the cost of the materials in those parts, X4% of the factory and tooling, X5% for transport of all those goods, parts, materials, tooling, et cetera. It takes a while to ripple through. The energy cost spike in 1973 caused the inflation crisis of the late 70s and early 80s IMO.
2. Housing, which is a systemic issue that far predates COVID.
Ofc, they are higher than during pandemic, but still not really that high.
I think it's possible that other energy prices (like natural gas, which is not a global market) may have driven inflation outside the US in a more meaningful way, but like I said, I'm not sure that's true either because I just haven't followed that so much.
Workers want to be able to live as well as they did last year. I’m shocked.
I'm not sure I really see anything interesting here, except this:
> The numbers are significant in that wages increasingly have been recognized as a driving force in inflation
Rising wages aren't the driving forces of inflation. The problem is exactly the opposite it seems.
The Federal Reserve and "easy money" policies put a lot of money into the system trying to deal with the pandemic. The fallout of that is inflation.
The fallout of THAT is people need more money to get by. Not just to deal with the inflation, but to deal with raising interest rates and everything else that comes along with trying to "fix" that issue.
So people demand higher wages.
Inflation is how we pay the bill.
A lot of our problems simply come from low interest rates, and our inability to raise them as the economy got better; now we are stuck with raising interest rates because we basically broke the lever. Both parties are at fault here, I guess we are just getting what we asked for.
What Biden did recently, however, was a truly massive spike in deficit spending, thus spiking inflation a few months later.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD
What do you think a $3,200,000,000,000 deficit in just one year might mean to the economy? Do you see the part where the deficit dropped to $1,300,000,000,000 and "they brought down the inflation part"?
For a liberal HN reader living in an expensive apartment in SF, what you say is a cause for downvotes.
The linked article is more explicit. Shelter costs are a huge factor in why inflation hasn't settled down.
This isn't explicit because this article plays the "if people accepted lower wages inflation would be lower" idea which doesn't apply to shelter costs like it does to luxury goods.
When the primary driver of inflation is housing the supply demand side of the equation is only the solution if you accept that forcing people to be homeless while employed is an acceptable way to reduce demand and thus prices.
I thought price increases were being driven by fiat money printing, sending pallets of that money to Ukraine, and high energy prices due to that conflict.
And this is while we're still in a global pandemic that was still causing occasional lockdowns and shutdowns in China by the end of last year, causing ripples through global supply chains. Plus the short outage from the accidental blockade of the Suez Canal and the lasting effects from the 2020 disruptions of supply chains and mass death of small businesses. Not to forget the increase (and increase in severity) in droughts and floodings and wildfires and other natural disasters which have also been messing with production and supply (e.g. I know of several major insurance companies in Germany that are currently completely backlogged over claims relating to recent severe weather incidents).
There's a global ongoing financial crisis and it's neither concentrated in nor entirely caused by the United States. Yes, individual incidents (e.g. the SV Bank failure) have global knock-on effects but this cuts both ways.
EDIT: I don't fundamentally disagree with you. I just want to point out that energy prices aren't the entirety of what's fueling the ongoing situation and that it's a bit bigger than just the invasion of Ukraine, which is already disruptive enough (after all this is why we didn't have any major land wars in Europe since WW2 excluding the fallout from the fall of the Soviet Union).
Why bump up prices by 5% when you could bump them by 20%?
Fiat money printing didn't directly impact pricing unless you consider a lack of demand during a drop in supply but put another way "people didn't starve during the market problems" doesn't sound so bad...
Certainly a lot of money was given to investors which certainly made the housing crisis worse given it was considered a safe investment for the excess money.
Ukraine is mostly getting old equipment and listed at its purchase price...
High energy prices are due to increased demand due to global warming increasing climate control costs hugely.
There's no evidence for this characterization in the piece. The average FTE offer is $69,475, the average reservation salary is $78,645. Everything else here is either inference to paint employers as nobly struggling against the tide of unfairly high demands ("$80k a year?? The gall!") and blaming it for inflation.
So tired of this stuff that's just blaming labor for everything, from empty downtowns (maybe don't build commercial districts an hour's walk from any residential districts) to inflation (let's give taxing corporate windfalls a shot). The election cycle is so tedious.
There is no evidence that employers have been trying to keep pace. There is ample evidence that they have tried to suppress wages.
For decades what they are calling 'keeping pace' has been performed by knocking the legs out of their employees.
Yes, there are individual entrepreneurs who try to be "the good guys". But they're operating at a competive disadvantage and usually can only afford to do so for a limited time due to e.g. strong initial funding. If you want corporations to behave this way you don't want corporations, you want co-operatives where all workers are also owners of the company because this completely removes the dynamics caused by the conflict between the interests of the shareholders/owners and those of the employees/workers by turning both into the same group.
I think it's a perfectly legitimate political opinion to think that business owners should be allowed to roam freely and pursue profit over worker well-being, but I'd expect people who hold this opinion to at least be honest about it and not pretend employers are altruistic humanitarians.
Founding a co-op arguably avoids some of that but as you correctly point out there is little incentive to do business with co-ops if you have to (or want to) act optimally within the system (which depending on your resource constraints can mean "being able to feed yourself and continuing to have a roof over your head"). This is why co-ops are somewhat incestuous: there are for example marketing co-ops which primarily do marketing for other co-ops, which in turn prefer paying co-ops to do their marketing, because they're all in the same boat. Alternatively many co-ops target the public sector or municipal governments as they're less profit-focussed and instead often hire for things co-ops can more easily guarantee (e.g. avoiding child labor in supply chains, "green energy", various sustainability metrics etc).
You can't outcompete unethical businesses when being ethical is a competitive disadvantage. No matter how many regulations we bolt onto it, the system will always reward those companies that try to game them rather than those that genuinely believe in their stated ethical goals. Of course that doesn't mean the regulations are pointless: often trying to do the bare minimum yields better externalities than not doing anything at all.
1955-2017: https://www.statista.com/chart/18418/real-mean-and-median-fa...
1984-2021: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
(I couldn't find a single series that ran 1950s through 2021/2022, so had to use two above.)
Edit: this math is bad, see sokoloff's comment below.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/real-value.asp
A year showing any growth in real terms is a nominal growth that is higher than inflation.
That being said, there's definitely a disconnect. The CPI metric is constantly changing, and is such a broad economic indicator that many people's experiences will not "feel" like what the federal data suggests.
The root of the growing wealth gap is the massive deficit we've been running. Especially since the GFC, the strategy has been to rack up a bunch of debt and inflate that debt away. This inflates the value of financial assets, property, and commodities...none of which is owned by the average joe whose cash savings gets destroyed in the interim.
> none of which is owned by the average joe
About 66% of US households "own" a home (often with a fixed-rate mortgage, which makes rising inflation doubly good for those homeowners) and 58% of homes are owner-occupied. The median Joe is a homeowner, not a renter.
That divergence reached 2:1 around 1929, and (as always happens when currency is inflated while being pegged to something else) a massive correction occurred (the banks collapsed). The response by FDR was to make it illegal to trade dollars for gold.
Then for decades there was the absurd fiction that the dollar was pegged to gold, but of course nobody was allowed to make such a transaction. This continued until the 1970s when that ersatz pegging was repealed.
In other words, the reason the system demands higher prices if wages go up (while the worker demands higher wages if the prices go up because they literally need money to survive) is not simply that higher wages drive up production cost but that businesses also need to maintain and increase their profits, i.e. the surplus that remains after all stock is sold, all services are rendered and all costs are paid.
There is no way to change this within the system but concluding that this means the problem is unsolvable mistakenly assumes the system can not be modified or replaced with one that does not have this resource allocation problem. Such a change just wouldn't benefit those currently holding a disproportionate amount of resources and wealth as much as the rest of us so it's not likely to happen without sufficient external force (and even then only if that energy is not directed elsewhere).
This type of argument makes it seem that workers are at fault for inflation. That isnt true. Workers are stuck in an inflation loop until inflation is tamed.
The inflation loop didnt start with greedy workers, it started with prices going up due to monetary policy...catalyzing the loop.
It’s also weird because the article seems to posture that wanting a higher wage for yourself contributes to inflation, but it’s the most reasonable thing in the world. If the news media reports that there’s inflation, people demand higher wages to account for inflation, and inflation increases.
It mentions that "Job seekers, or those who have looked for work in the previous four weeks, declined to 19.4% from 24.7% a year ago. That came as job openings fell by 738,000 to 9.58 million, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The likelihood of switching jobs fell, dropping to 10.6% from 11% a year ago, while expectations of being offered a new job also declined, to 18.7% from 21.1%."
If less people are willing and/or able to switch jobs, meaning there is less supply of labor, is it any surprise wages rise?
They have their causality backwards for this one. It's already been shown (repeatedly) that the cause of inflation in the last few years has been primarily driven by increased corporate profits, meaning prices are going up.
People just want enough money to afford inflation.
Henry George laid this out 144 years ago in Progress and Poverty. Once you've seen it, you can't un-see it.
Honestly shocked that anyone actually believes this nonsense.
Demand for wages is up because the price of not dying is up. Rent is skyrocketing, food is more expensive, literally every aspect of life is now a subscription or some other nickel-and-dime scheme. I won't even talk about the current state of medical billing.
But also, the premise just doesn't make any sense. How can higher wages cause inflation -at all-? Money isn't being printed to cover these wages, the money is transferred from employer to employee. No part of that is inflationary. No extra money is being created, the value of the dollar is not reduced.
If you want to insist that higher wages cause inflation, you must also accept that CEO wages and corporate profits are causing a proportional amount of inflation.
Or maybe siphoning hundreds of billions of dollars out of the US economy to be hoarded forever in offshore bank accounts is having an effect on the value of the dollar? Nah, it's definitely 20-something's buying $12 store-brand eggs and paying $8,000/mo rent on a studio flat.
It's really hard for individuals or even corporations to "hoard" cash forever in offshore bank accounts and cause inflation (nor deflation).
The money isn't locked in vault (not physical, nor electronically). They generally end up right back into the market because those banks offers loans for a good chunk of their deposits. Or they buy bonds or MBS which are effectively the same thing.
Same for parking assets in a financial institution. Whatever assets you buy the original sellers gets the money you put in, and they use it on something else. The only real way you could personally take money out of circulation is to withdraw physical cash and burn it (Inadvisable, in some places this is illegal) or bury it in the ground.
for things that involve capital - the leisure class / owning class always has an advantage.
and btw - if you can't quit your job today and not work again for the next 10 years - while maintaining the same standard of living. you're part of the working class not leisure class. no matter how high your income is.
FTFY.
Higher mind: MMT is to be blamed for inflation. Also there will be a cool down period (that will help exactly no one).
Megamind: Some no-name village bombing in buttfuck nowhere Ukraine is responsible across the board for all global inflation and perfectly explains why average house prices have gone up past a million dollars.
I feel like people misunderstand/misrepresent what the fed officials say about the relationship between wages and inflation. The Fed doesn’t want to create unemployment or directly reduce wages. The ideal scenario is to curb inflation while keeping unemployment as low as possible (which is at a record low atm).
Raising rates restricts the supply of credit, which makes servicing debt more difficult and usually results in layoffs. It’s not like the Fed is conspiring to keep the working class poor from a smokey back room…which I feel has become the narrative being pushed by media outlets nowadays.
This is called the "wage-price" spiral. It is not the cause of inflation. Inflation is caused by the government diluting the value of money by printing lots and lots of extra money.
MMT would disagree with this claim: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_monetary_theory
Even among Keynesian economists and others the exact causes are disputed and most seem to agree that it comes down to a combination of factors with "making more money" not necessarily even being the most direct or biggest contributor: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation
Opponents often cite historical examples of hyperinflation but arguably in most of those cases the government "making excessive amounts of money" was just a reaction to the hyperinflation itself. E.g. the collapse of the German "Papiermark" directly followed the defeat of Germany in the first World War, which also settled the country with extremely painful reparations and involved a republican revolution which preceded years of political instability (e.g. there were two different and conflicting Soviet republics in Bavaria alone).
So as correlation goes, states that go kerplunk tend to print a lot of money. This does not suggest that printing a lot of money makes them go kerplunk or vice versa. They might be going kerplunk for entirely different reasons and print a lot of money to address those reasons, desperately. It actually seems unscientific to assume societies work so trivially that printing too much money destroys them given how complex we know societies are (or failing that, at least how complex individual humans are and how complex therefore interactions between them must be).
Consider you have $100. You buy 10 items at $10 each. Now the running dog capitalist swine raises the price to $11. You now can buy only 9 items. Money doesn't appear in your pocket to cover the price increase, so simply fewer items get bought.
That's what's wrong with all those other inflation theories.
But with the increase in money supply theory, the extra money dilutes the value of the existing money, and money does appear in your pocket as you get an inflation raise.
This would not be possible without the creation of more money.