The Navy says it's a one in a million event and he disagree. You concur with him based on two more events that happened decades apart. Isn't that a one in a million event?
I think the idea here is that the planes and pilots are perfectly capable of hitting themselves at any time. Or in other words, this type of accident doesn't require the presence of any random one-in-a-million conditions. So, the low event frequency that is actually observed should be attributed to the fact that they intentionally avoid doing the dangerous action.