There are 28 vacant homes for every person experiencing homelessness in the U.S.
unitedwaynca.org
unitedwaynca.org
This comes up fairly often, but it's also frequently debunked as a viable metric for tackling the homelessness problem. Yes, we need more places for homeless people to live. Vacant homes are typically not going to satisfy that particular requirement.
It _is_ an interesting metric with respect to population and the increasing rate of homelessness, but it's not particularly interesting with respect to solutions, imo.
Is there any data on these categories?
https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/files/currenthvspress.pdf
Table 3 has a section called "Vacant - Held Off Market" which shows the number that are held off market for whatever reason. It's a relatively small number, but it does comprise tens if not hundreds of thousands of units across the country.
Here's another report from Berkeley that has some graphs that describe "rented or sold but not yet occupied" rates, as well, which would be emblematic of the renovations and such.
https://ternercenter.berkeley.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/02...
From the report you referenced:
Vacant year-round units comprised 7.9 percent of total housing units
Table 3 shows the raw numbers in thousands, so add 3 decimal places and you see that there are:15M vacant houses
11.5M vacant year round
6.8M held off market
for example, the average time between rentals may be 1 month, but replaced by a new rental coming on market after that month. Therefore, the average is 1 vacancy year round.
The census provides the average vacancy duration as 2.7 months. Of the 11.5M vacant year round, 15% have been vacant longer than 12 months. So this means about 1.6M houses. The majority of these houses are outside of metro areas.
The vacancy durations are in table 8 here. https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/data/detailed_tables.html
Flag this article; it's a cheap trick to distract from the necessity of upzoning and permitting reform to get more houses built where people actually need them.
This could be an interesting idea with a program that incorporates sweat equity and provides assistance to rebuild these homes
Here it's worth remembering, just as a single data point, that most unhoused people in California are Californians. They didn't migrate to California to be homeless in the sun. You can't generally move them around the board like chess pieces.
* Vacation homes (ie, in places with only seasonal demand for housing)
* Abandoned homes (due either to death & title issues, or condemnation)
* Temporarily, transactionally vacant homes (currently up for sale, currently up for rent, or recently rented/sold and not yet occupied)
But, like, yeah. No one is shocked that Detroit has tons of homeless and tons of abandoned houses.
https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/current/index.html
This is just a "gotcha" data trick to distract from the fact that we are dealing with real supply constraints.
If you scroll to the homelessness trends plot, the incidence of homelessness has decreased since 2007. Overall, I note that CA and NY seem to have especially egregious issues with homelessness, https://endhomelessness.org/homelessness-in-america/homeless...
0% is an impossible number to hit. Even in a perfect world you need some fluidity in the market. For comparison, Japan is considered to have a fairly tight housing market and they still have a 13% vacancy rate. The US on average (which includes Detroit) is less than half of that.
CA and NY have the worst problems with homelessness because they have the worst time adding new units. There are 4x as many college graduates in California every year than their are new homes or apartments being made.
That is a rate of ~0.18%, if my calculations are correct (600k / 332m).
Contrast to Sweden (population 10m) which had an estimated 33,000 homeless people in 2020, yielding a rate of 0.33%. [1]
Contrast to Japan, which has an estimated effective homelessness rate of 0%.
So Sweden has a worse homelessness rate than the US but we all suck compared to Japan!
1. https://www.homelessworldcup.org/sweden#:~:text=Country%20st....
I think a huge part of the problem is that as a society we're okay with this. It makes me sad when I think about it- I'm smart enough to acknowledge the problem but too ignorant/stupid/afraid to be a part of the solution.
Like 75-90% of them are gone now, either as $600-700/mo rentals, or empty lots (many of which people are now farming).
The only house still left on my block in Brightmoor is my neighbor's house and his house looks like it's falling down, too. He's still living in it as well because all of us were just barely making it.
I wish I made FAANG money. After taking care of my own debts I wanted to buy our build as many houses for my block as I could and then just let people stay in them no matter how much it costed me ("a fool and his gold are easily separated" and whatnot). I know it's stupid but the one thing I always wanted growing up was just for someone- anyone- to come in and say "we can't treat people like this" and help without considering the business value of helping. So many people spend so much time thinking about how to help (rightfully so) that nobody ACTUALLY ends up helping.
Still, I do think the US (and the world) should really put the "Golden Rule" as a top priority. So many problems would be non-issues if we did!
> Both Los Angeles and San Jose, California, have two of the largest populations experiencing homelessness in the country, including many unhoused people between the ages of 18 and 24.
Demand and supply. Many vacant homes in places people don’t want to live I guess..
(also known as "work"),
you don't eat.
I've lived in a tent long term while studying a skillset, and now, a few years after breaking into good paying work, I almost have enough money to purchase a tolerable enough piece of property and build a cabin on it.
Having lived on communes, including one where even felons were allowed, know now that I would perhaps offer free or low cost tiny houses to people, but only if I knew they were working towards something positive.
... I'd like to know how many out of the 28 are expending effort towards earn a house or rental in some way, such as working, studying, or building skills. pro-social stuff.
And how many are doing the opposite: drugs, crime, etc. anti-social stuff.
Because although houses exist, they require effort to keep: taxes, maintenance, etc.
If a person isn't willing to expend effort, how can it be justified to give them a regular ol' house?
Perhaps a tiny house as part of a government or NGO-funded social safety net program.
> Vacant homes and buildings often succumb to the elements and deteriorate due to leaks, damage and general lack of maintenance before ever finding a buyer willing to pay their inflated prices. An abundance of vacant homes on the market are also attributed to rising rent and home prices.
Part of the issue is that nearly every federal or government program for low-income or first time home-ownership has stringent requirements on the livability of the home. An FHA loan cannot be used towards property repair. Which makes sense - the government doesn't want people moving into unsafe hovels.
So that means there is not really a legal mechanism to get low income families into vacant real estate. So the only people who can realistically take over the vacancies are cash-rich buyers.
While it's easy to shake your fist at the sky and yell "capitalism!" I am sure banks would love to write off their foreclosed properties in Detroit. But it's probably pretty clear that homeless people would rather not and the city would rather not.
Personally I think you should not be allowed to own a property without citizenship and without a primary residence within 1k mile radius. Also businesses should not be allowed to own residential unless they're a bank and it's a foreclosure. How many investors set up shell accounts just for real estate investments?
What? Real estate interests are notoriously and by their nature NIMBY. Almost all opposition to upzoning comes from homeowner groups to protect property values.
And FWIW, the Census has not found a significant increase in the number of vacation properties in the last few decades: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/dec/coh-vacat...
The foreign ownership thing seems like a bit of a distraction. They don't seem to have significant impact on vacancy rates - they are still insanely low even in places like NY and SF. And to the extent that they are buying up properties as speculation that seems like a symptom of supply constraints more than a cause of.
https://www.listennotes.com/podcasts/the-ezra-klein-show/wha...
Perhaps, counting homes isn't useful here.
Yes.
> or are they “experiencing” unchecked mental health issues and addiction?
Some are also experiencing that, as are some people who are not homeless.
Yes, those problems reinforce each other, and not dealing with either makes the other more difficult to deal with where they co-occur. Behavioral health support is for a large segment of the affected population an important part of dealing with homeless, and housing is an important component of dealing with a significant set of behavioral health issues.
They aren’t mutually exclusive problems, nor is addressing one exclusive of addressing the other.
Homeless advocates like to paint this pretty (propaganda) picture of people that, shucks, are just down on their luck, shucks, their rent went up and now they're homeless and if only we gave them (steal from others) some money or a house or whatever, that'll be the help they need to get back on their feet. The vast, vast, majority of the current homeless population will just destroy the house and then move on whenever they're eventually kicked out.
There's the confirmation bias right there. You aren't "seeing" the people who are homeless but don't have other issues going on, because they can take more care of themselves and so look "normal".
Why? Or more appropriately, do you have a reference to backup this assertion?
Further.. you're suggesting that without a home people _cannot possibly be mentally healthy_ and will ultimately be forced into alcohol or drugs. Do you really believe that? And again, if so, why do you believe this and did it come from some particular source?
Ultimately, it doesn’t matter. The systems problem of what is causing their current problems is often more involved and more complex than the historical question of what was the root cause (or were the root causes) of their current situation.
> If it’s the latter, then simply gifting them a home changes nothing.
In software (as long as its not self-modifying), the root cause(s) of an incorrect behavior are also, pretty much by definition, exactly the things you need to fix to achieve the correct behavior.
With systems where problems change the the system, the cause or causes that the problems trace back to in time doesn’t necessarily tell you anything about what you need to do to resolve the problems that are currently present.
its true that “simply gifting them a home” (or “simply gifting them behavioral health treatment service, on the other side) isn’t going to solve the problem with co-occurring homeless and behavioral health (mental health and/or substance use disorder) problems. But the degree to which each of those is true does not depend on which problem is the historical antecedent of the other. Homelessness doesn’t stop being a complication to behavioral health treatment because the behavioral health problem occurred first and caused the homelessness, and behavioral health problems don’t stop being a complication in addressing homelessness because the homelessness occurred first and created the behavioral health problems (and those are all true combinatorially if you throw in the physical health problems that are also likely co-occurring, which may either have preceded, or been caused by, or in part each, the homelessness and/or behavioral health problems.)
There are domains where “what came first” is the key question to ask in solving a mixture of current problems, but that’s not generally the case, and its not specifically the case with the kinds of problems at issue in this thread.
> Further.. you’re suggesting that without a home people _cannot possibly be mentally healthy_ and will ultimately be forced into alcohol or drugs. Do you really believe that?
No one said that; looks like a strawman.
In Seattle, warring groups of vagrants are bombing each others' camps with explosives. [2] Do not adjust your sets ladies and gentlemen, this isn't a news story from Beirut in the 80s.
Anyone that thinks that a warm shower and free apartment is going to solve this problem is delusional. These people do not want help and actively refuse it. These are the harsh facts.
[1] The large network of grifters and organizations that continue to profit off this human suffering, under the guise of providing help. Instead they secure themselves and their friends cushy jobs and squander millions of dollars while the problem continues to fester and destroy their city.
[2] https://komonews.com/news/local/seattle-homeless-crisis-mult...
https://homelessness.ucsf.edu/our-impact/our-studies/califor...