A Creepy Question We'll All Have to Answer Soon
jasonpargin.substack.com
jasonpargin.substack.com
They raise philosophical assertions disguised as logical / scientific assertions.
> “Better.”
> That is a concept that cannot be made via cold calculation. A universe boiled down to particles and numbers cannot care whether atoms arranged as a suffering plague victim are “better” than those arranged as a healthy child, or a plant, or a cloud of gas.
It can, John. The engineers teach machines what's good and bad. That's the first step in creating silicon intelligence.
> It is impossible to understand pain without having felt it yourself; it does not convey as an abstract value. I think the machine needs to tangibly interact with human suffering in the same way the Roomba’s wheels need to physically touch the floor.
Pain is nature's deterrence mechanism, bred into us through evolution. Deterrence mechanisms can take many shapes.
> This leads us to the ultimate cosmic joke: This task requires answering for this machine questions that we ourselves have never been able to answer. Let’s say I’m right and this system won’t exist until we can teach it emotion, and the capacity to suffer. How long until it asks the simple question, “What is our goal, long-term?” Like, as a civilization, what are we trying to do? What are hoping the superintelligence will assist us in achieving?
I hate being disingenuous and make a flippant argument here, but reading this from start to finish makes me ask a bad faith question - your assertion is that we won't have self driving cars because we can't tell the robots what to do with the whole civilisation right away? There's a whole spectrum of amazing (or terrible) possibilities between the extremes, my guy.
Was the use nuclear weapons at the end of WW2 good or bad ? For example …
Are you saying that everyone feels strong one way or another?
You’re bringing alignment to a capability discussion.
Personally, I don't think there is a right decision, it was just a decision which had an outcome, for some people it was ab absolutely fucking devastating decision.
This is where I think we have blind spots when developing these systems, I don't think there is a "right" or best answer here. Just some answer.
Good v. Bad seems a tad simplistic.
Utilitarianism leads to controversial outcomes, but every decision is defensible.
Teaching an optimiser AI any of those frameworks, or even any preference ordering or combination function within Utiliarianism (because value({T, T}) doesn't have to equal 2 * value({T})), will lead to it optimising what you said, without necessarily limiting that to situations anything close to the training distribution.
To put it another way: if you run an AB test on a social media site and it observes that people are more likely to engage with content that makes them angry, then tell it to boost engagement "because socialising is always good, obviously" then it will get your users as angry as possible and suddenly you get Buddhists going off and committing surprise genocide before anyone tells you something has gone wrong.
I don’t think a simple “actually, no” is a useful counter argument to his point, especially when he used multiple examples and you just shook your head.
> I hate being disingenuous and make a flippant argument here, but reading this from start to finish makes me ask a bad faith question - your assertion is that we won't have self driving cars because we can't tell the robots what to do with the whole civilisation right away?
That’s not at all his specific argument about self-driving cars (there were entire sections about the decision making issues he saw), but is the crux of his argument about AI as a whole.
> There's a whole spectrum of amazing (or terrible) possibilities between the extremes, my guy.
And there’s a whole article discussing some of those, if you read the parts in the middle. I don’t think the dude’s necessarily right, but I’m also pretty sure you missed a lot of the text in an apparent race to summarily dismiss it.
I shook my head because they were similar and equally bad.
> That’s not at all his specific argument about self-driving cars (there were entire sections about the decision making issues he saw), but is the crux of his argument about AI as a whole.
I was talking about the crux of his argument, which starts by saying that we won't get self-driving cars because <start of bad arguments>.
> And there’s a whole article discussing some of those, if you read the parts in the middle. I don’t think the dude’s necessarily right, but I’m also pretty sure you missed a lot of the text in an apparent race to summarily dismiss it.
In my complete reading, the article was geared towards discussing the impossibilities (rather than possibilities) from the POV of someone who hasn't taken any time to understand the cutting edge of research that he is critiquing. That was, in fact, my original point - critique is great, but don't mask personal intuition (potentially uneducated) as science.
So it comes down to your expectations. In reinforcement learning, this is very clear - bad predictions of your future actions lead to negative reward, i.e. pain. We could almost say pain depends on your expectations of reality (however the expectations are not always consciously expressed).
So you can torture a human, because our nerves have learned (have the expectation) of not being in pain as a normal state. If they could learn more (like RL agent), they would eventually learn that the pain is just nature of the world, and ignore it.
Similarly, Data can ignore pain of his missing hand because he trusts the Enterprise crew to put it back. If they didn't and betray him, or if he hurt his arm so badly it couldn't be replaced, then I think, on some level, he would feel pain. (Edit: Data mourned death of Tasha Yar, this can be interpreted as pain.)
Is it cruelty to delete an AI without it knowing that might happen? Is it cruelty to inject it with feelings of euphoria for its pending deletion?
Two myopic thoughts that reach further than the article’s premise.
No.
Thanks for coming to my TED talk
Imagine 5 super intelligences that hated each other and just wanted to wipe each other out? They’d get nothing done…
If they had conflicting goals, they’d have to first stop one another from screwing up their plans…
but that's just my biobrain thinking :(
See, machines do have emotions after all! Case closed I say!
Even in Asimov's SF novels humanity iterates through several models by ways of trial and error over hundreds/thousands of years before arriving at somewhat stable laws.
I aver the negative, on the grounds that, even for humans, recognising emotional states well enough to engage with other humans is independent of empathising with them. Narcissistic personality disorder[0] appears to be an example of the former without the latter, while ASD[0] appears to be an example of the latter without the former.
[0] judging by the popular descriptions, I'm not qualified in this field