(EDIT: this assumes that drug A works "satisfactorily". Drug D still have a chance if it has markedly differentiating features, say if drug A is injected while drug D is taken orally.)
(as a side note, cancer drugs are hot because of precisely opposite of these -- most are fairly new, those that are old are not exactly pleasant to take, there is no "silver bullet" found yet so there are lots of room for improvement.)
Another take on the market saturation is that when the current therapy is simply already good enough, ie. the "silver bullet" has been discovered. That's the reason why there has been no new drugs developed for headache in recent few years (or pain management drugs in general). It's a totally different story when, say, aspirin was first introduced: there is a lot more room to improve on / differentiate from its side effect profile, pharmacological properties, etc.