BHP says battery electric cheaper than hydrogen as it dumps diesel
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Similarly, cargo ships can't run on batteries, but could fairly trivially be switched to hydrogen with only minor loss in storage capacity (1-5%).
The benefit of hydrogen is that it was functioning just fine in the 1960s, there aren't any outright technical showstoppers here; just financial problems and technical problems that are hard to solve cheaply.
I'm not saying that hydrogen is the best solution (if synthfuel pans out then it'll be a perfect drop-in replacement for existing jet fuel), but it's a solution that exists today. It's there if we care.
Obviously we don't care, since coal plants are still around, but if we genuinely wanted to stop using fossil fuels ASAP then it would permit us to keep using planes/cargo ships.
Is the problem that wind isn't reliable and you might go days without it? Or you wouldn't fit in ports or other areas with a big turbine sticking out? Or is there some other practical problem.
Might solve problems for countries that have lost their own manufacturing capacity because shipping products gets way less appealing.
Further, the ships take a significant amount of energy to get going, so much of that initial acceleration could be handled by strong tug boats which would then be immediately recharged.
Making more room for the tanks means either less cabin/storage and/or bigger cross-section and increased drag.
"Long-distance" is a subjective term. There is an ever-increasing distance for which batteries are doable. Everything else is will be liquid biofuels, rather than efuels.
Biofuels are as green as the process making them. Electrify the equipment being used (something that's being done for reasons orthogonal to this) and you're already made the process more green.
Again, biofuels are not green. The process that makes them involve vast quantities of land and resources. It is in fact a very inefficient and resource intensive idea. It is actually much worse than what it takes to make e-fuels.
Aircraft will remain liquid-hydrocarbon-fueled for the foreseeable future, even if the fuel production transitions to a synthetic process vs. refined crude oil.
The shipping industry is investigating making ammonia from the hydrogen and then using that in fuel cells; it has the advantage that it's easier to handle. https://maritime-executive.com/article/highest-power-output-...
I am glad that decentralised electrical from solar and wind can fully replace the old system and look foward to a new many-noded culture which can allow all humanity to flourish.
This doesn't make any sense: free trade is not a magic spell against the desires of imperialism, and the US embargoed Japan slightly before Japan attacked the US (but long into Japan's war with China).
Ammonia (a toxic gas) as a fuel is an insane idea and will lead to needless deaths.
Efuels are incredibly inefficient. Hard to justify paying 10x the price.
Ammonia or synfuels are not the only alternative. The elephant in the room, the one fuel that is being used today is biofuel.
I was merely stating why cellulosic ethanol is not the major source of biofuel; because corn is heavily subsidized and produces a cheaper product, hence nobody wants to buy the more expensive product.
That's not a technical problem, it's an economic one. And the subsidies where to change we would see less from corn and more from other sources.
Cellulosic ethanol is an idea brought up as a solution to the problems of corn ethanol. Ironically, by the George W. Bush administration. Unfortunately, nothing has materialized in any meaningful quantity.
And FYI, they’d be subsidizing it heavily if any meaningful quantity of cellulosic ethanol could be produced. So bringing up that part doesn’t mean much. But cellulosic ethanol production never happened and so far there is no reason to believe it is possible.
I'm not so sure. That would introduce competition for the corn ethanol, and there's a fairly large constituency (those having their corn production subsidised) that would oppose this kind of measure.
Sorry. But there’s no reason so many people need to fly (consultants, I used to be one racked up a few hundred thousand miles) besides leisure or critical travel. And it should reflect in the price so tickets aren’t $150 to be crammed in like cattle.
And yes it should be rare to fly until we figure out cleaner fuel methods. Just my hot take.
If I were to bet, I would say that converting hydrogen to kerosene will be far cheaper and more efficient than trying to power long distance flight with hydrogen
Jet fuel is ludicrously energy dense, to the extent that it's easy to underestimate how much energy you need: at any reasonably-sized airport, if you want to replace the current fleet then you need to be talking about roughly a power station's worth of continuous energy delivery into aircraft fuel tanks. That's doable with jet fuel because you're not climbing out of an energy well just to get hold of the fuel. You just separate it out, and the problem becomes pure logistics.
With H2, the volume you need and the added storage complexity means the current logistics becomes a rounding error in comparison to how on earth you get the gigawatts to churn feedstock into gas.
You could do it, but you'd want nukes on-site to do it.
H2 molecules are extremely small -- storing them without loss is heavy and volumetrically expensive, making it implausible for any aircraft.
The same factors apply to ships, pipelines etc because space for fuel is space that does not contain high value cargo.
Ships don't care about weight. The cooling infrastructure or heavy steel tanks are possible.
Have you looked at how high the containers are stacked on a container ship? Space taken up by fuel is space that can't be sold.
Source: we partner with commercial shipping companies and spend time not just talking to the commercial people but on the ships themselves.
Fun fact: currently 95% of hydrogen is produced from fossil fuels. This might be a clue as to why such a dumb idea is still around.
It has been invented, the majority are in China and Japan if I remember rightly.
Synthetic methane and other hydrocarbons are also ideas that are floated. But those need hydrogen as an input anyway. They also need a source of carbon, which is too difficult to extract from the atmosphere. So using the hydrogen directly may be more feasible.
Short-range aircraft will probably switch to batteries in the coming decades, because the prototypes are already flying[1] and battery and electric motor tech is ever-increasingly ubiquitous and mature.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas_emissions#Aviat...
[1] https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/vancouver-el...
It's not just long haul flights out of reach of battery powered aircraft. Even a regional flight like Seattle to San Francisco cannot be feasibly done with batteries. This is fundamentally due to the energy density of lithium ion batteries, no amount of engineering can change the chemical limitations at hand: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density#/media/File%3...
As far as I understand, the problem is not just the speed, but the thermal management. IIRC the impact on battery life is not as bad if cooled properly.
> and a plane needing a new set of batteries after a few hundred flights due to aggressive wear from fast charging is unacceptable.
That's an economics question. How much does it cost to get that battery replaced and charged over its lifetime versus the alternative.
> This is fundamentally due to the energy density of lithium ion batteries, no amount of engineering can change the chemical limitations at hand
That's the beauty of battery technology, you can substitute. Cobalt a problem? Fine we can make batteries with out it. Lead-acid not suitable, fine here's lithium ion. Lithium ion not good enough, find we'll find a better battery.
Hydrogen however is just that: hydrogen. Notice how low it is on the energy per volume scale. You can't substitute it out for anything. The volume requirement is what's going to kill you with hydrogen.
Well, then get back to us when you find that battery. Unfortunately, simply finding a new battery chemistry that has an order of magnitude better energy density is easier said than done.
> Hydrogen however is just that: hydrogen. Notice how low it is on the energy per volume scale.
You're looking at uncompressed hydrogen. Hydrogen at 700 bar has several times better energy density than lithium ion batteries, and over 1000x as much energy by mass. And lower mass means you need less fuel since the craft is lighter.
Will point out takes a decade now to produce a blue print aircraft. So if we started designing one now it would be flying when 2033? China rolled out a high speed rail network in ten years. You could do that in the US and other places.
Notable point. The complaints I hear about high speed rail in Europe is tickets cost more than airplane tickets and the trains are always full. The explanation is the ergonomics and logistics of passenger aircraft sucks.
H2 has a daily boil off 5 times greater than LNG. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S277265682...
Not only that, liquid H2 has worse energy density than LNG. So again, you're spending more units of energy to comparatively more less units of energy.
You will need bigger tanks but the fuel is much lighter. It is a solvable problem.
>You can liquefy hydrogen on the spot. You don't need to move LH₂ around.
Why are you liquefying H2 if you are using it right away and or not transporting it? Liquefaction is to optimize for storage. You're all over the shop.
Actually, there are many carbon free fuels. It is hard for any to use as jet fuel. An example fuel that has much better properties than hydrogen is for instance sodium. Making a sodium fuel cell does not need any rare earth metals such as platinum, sodium is solid at room temperature, does not produce any fumes, better energy density than liquid hydrogen, the resulting NaOH sodium hydroxide can be recycled into sodium (with hydrogen as a byproduct) by the Castner process. Hard to say, if this could use the water vapor present in the atmosphere, if it did, you would also have to think about what to do with the caustic hydroxide solution. Probably, that would be neutralized quickly in the atmosphere but at ground level or above cities could "raise eyebrows" even though burning leaded petroleum in aviation still seems to be a thing...
Of course, for almost all uses, the volumetric efficiency is important because you have to create bigger tanks, which if they have to contain liquid hydrogen, are usually heavy and costly.
There needs to be more productive uses of this free electricity and I imagine H2 is one of them.
NB: Batteries won't solve this unless prices dropped astronomically. The issue isn't overcapacity on a day by day basis, it's seasonal overcapacity. Areas further south are less affected by this, as there is less seasonal variation in solar output. You're not going to charge a battery then discharge it weeks later - the economics don't make sense.
> BHP’s modelling shows that battery charging time may be the biggest cost on the electric side, something that dynamic charging can reduce significantly.
For an industry like mining, the biggest cost of switching to electric isn’t buying vehicles, or batteries or setting up charging stations: it’s the downtime they experience while charging.
I went in a road trip in our EV yesterday pulling a trailer for the first time. We basically drove down into a valley in the morning, and back up out in the evening. As you could imagine, we got basically infinity range going downhill, and much much shorter range going uphill.
A track that powered/charged mining trucks while they were hauling material up, coupled with regenerative breaking seems like it could pretty much solve charging for that application.
I think you win the understatement of the month award.
https://newatlas.com/transport/fortescue-wae-infinity-train-...
Regenerative braking: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regenerative_braking
From https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27579732 :
> In Scandinavia the Kiruna to Narvik electrified railway [...] The regenerated energy is sufficient to power the empty trains back up to the national border
Is re-planning routes for regenerative braking solvable with the Modified Snow Plow Problem (variation on TSP Traveling Salesman Problem), on a QC Quantum Computer; with Quantum Algorithmic advantage due to the complexity of the problem?
From "Snow plow routing problem": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snow_plow_routing_problem :
> The snow plow routing problem is an application of the structure of Arc Routing Problems (ARPs) and Vehicle Routing Problems (VRPs) to snow removal that considers roads as edges of a graph.
> The problem is a simple routing problem when the arrival times are not specified.[1] Snow plow problems consider constraints such as the cost of plowing downhill compared to plowing uphill.[2] The Mixed Chinese Postman Problem is applicable to snow routes where directed edges represent one-way streets and undirected edges represent two-way streets. [3]
Arc routing > Algorithms: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arc_routing#Algorithms :
> Finding an efficient solution with large amounts data to the Chinese Postman Problem (CPP), the Windy Postman Problem (WPP), the Rural Postman Problem (RPP), the k-Chinese postman problem (KCPP), the mixed Chinese postman problem (MCPP), the Directed Chinese Postman Problem (DCPP),[8] the Downhill Plowing Problem (DPP), the Plowing with Precedence Problem (PPP), the Windy Rural Postman Problem (WRPP) and the Windy General Routing Problem (WGRP) requires using thoughtful mathematical concepts, including heuristic optimization methods, branch-and-bound methods, integer linear programming, and applications of traveling salesman problem algorithms such as the Held–Karp algorithm makes an improvement from O(n!) to O(2^{n}n^{2}).[9] In addition to these algorithms, these classes of problems can also be solved with the cutting plane algorithm, convex optimization, convex hulls, Lagrange multipliers and other dynamic programming methods. In cases where it is not feasible to run the Held–Karp algorithm because of its high computational complexity, algorithms like this can be used to approximate the solution in a reasonable amount of time.[10]
QC algos for TSP and similar:
- QISkit tutorials > Max-Cut and Traveling Salesman Problem: docs/tutorials/06_examples_max_cut_and_tsp.ipynb: https://qiskit.org/ecosystem/optimization/tutorials/06_examp...
Just make sure the mine is uphill of society! Then the trucks only need battery packs sufficient to get back up the mining site unladen.
https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1124478_world-s-largest...
"Marking that trip around 20 times a day, Kuhn Schweitz says the eDumper produces 200 kwh of surplus energy every day, or 77 megawatt-hours a year. A typical dump truck uses between 11,000 and 22,000 gallons of diesel fuel a year. "
They have to discharge the surplus :)
Do we really use 2000A cables running around a work site? Are they buried ?
The trucks are already "electric" having diesal generators that power electric axle motors.
Dynamic charging probably means auto hooking a charger at the excavator (which are often electric - they don't move much and can have fat ass HV cables running to them that are dragged when the excavator moves) to boost batteries on the trucks while they park as they're loaded.
Optimal performance is no truck idle save when being loaded - dumping is relatively quick.
Do you a more exact specs?
Maybe MV 10kV-40kV ?
And how thick are these cables?
Do they carry 2000A snaking around the site?
Yes. (It's also a fun bit of internet search challenge best left for the reader)
> And how thick are these cables?
Thicker than a snake, thinner than a human torso.
Imagine the thinnest part of a Toyota Landcruiser after a HaulPak runs over it ...
Many of these systems have been around for quite a while, but the move into smaller scale (sub-100t) gear seems to be picking up.
>>> Optimal performance is no truck idle save when being loaded - dumping is relatively quick.
> Hard to get a sense of scale, but you can see them running across the ground in this video: https://youtu.be/Kw-enXeOnKE?t=101
It seems like the loading process is pretty quick too. It's hard for me to see how it would be feasible to hook the truck up to a charger during loading without slowing the process significantly.
If you slip an extra truck into the rotation then there's a longer idle slot just before moving to the excvator - an opportunity to charge any difference lost on the round trip | regained on the descent to load out.
Cost to that is an extra truck - there's a few million.
Gains are longer idle time, less heat build on the tires, charging, reduced fuel costs with electric fleet.
There are many options to consider and cost.
The first draft of things like https://www.micromine.com/pitram/ were written in the early 1980s.
June 2023
https://www.bhp.com/-/media/documents/media/reports-and-pres...
Recently appointed as Principal Power Decarbonisation, Tamahra Kierath and her team are focused on exploring options to provide renewable energy to BHP's Western Australia Iron Ore operations.
To achieve our aim of eliminating emissions from diesel by electrifying our truck and locomotive fleets, we will require more electricity to support that transition. Our Pilbara operations are not connected to the power grid, so my team are exploring a range of opportunities for renewable energy solutions. The transition will start with proven renewable technologies such as wind and solar and we will continue to explore long duration energy storage options as technology advances.
( yep, that's it so far )from: https://www.bhp.com/news/articles/2023/06/tamahra-is-focused...
Grid storage, required if you want to ensure your energy source is renewable, is usually not taken into account. Sure, diesel and commercial hydrogen isn't either, and an energy reduction even if not renewable is still great, but I'd be keen on knowing the number when taking it into account. That's the end goal after all.
For a question of who pays for a service, in an undefined market, at an undefined place, not specifying what participant it's about, and not determining at what history period exactly it's about (yeah, near future, but how near?). Do you think that's too many?
In many (most?) electricity markets this is a non-issue because on the producer side, the price they get is determined by a spot market. Rather than every producer getting paid $0.05/kWh (or whatever) all the time, the price is calculated every hour/minute according to supply and demand. That means producers that generate electricity when there's an abundance (eg. renewables on a windy/sunny day) are penalized accordingly, and producers that generate electricity when there's a shortage (eg. peaking fossil fuel plants) are awarded accordingly.
Grid storage is eventually needed, but the discussion around batteries is kind of like demanding your website be "web scale" when you've had less than 100 visitors a day for the past year. Like, I'm all for planning ahead but is this really our priority?
Meanwhile, if we reduce our emissions by 10% today, then we have 10%(ish) more time to get rid of the remaining 90%. Our deadline isn't time, it's CO2e emitted.
In other words: Grid storage should not be taken into account, because the only way it becomes important soon is if we buy ourselves a lot of time to deal with it by majorly cutting emissions. People focus too much on "100% renewables by 20XX" and not enough on "50% renewables by ASAP".
I'm sure there's a better way of phrasing that, because "[thing] should be taken into account" is basically an applause light and I'm contradicting it, but you get the idea.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BHP:
> BHP Group Limited (formerly known as BHP Billiton) is an Australian multinational mining, metals, and natural gas petroleum public company headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
> The Broken Hill Proprietary Company was founded on 16 July 1885 in the mining town of Silverton, New South Wales.[3] By 2017, BHP was the world's largest mining company, based on market capitalisation,[4][5] and was Melbourne's third-largest company by revenue.[6]
"Powered by electricity" doesn't necessarily mean "clean", years ago I visited friends in Germany who were within cycling distance of an open-cast lignite mine. It had its own (lignite-fueled) power station on-site, which powered much of the equipment.
Will never forget climbing steps up the earthen embankment at the edge of the mine to reach a viewing platform. The scale of the destruction was literally breathtaking.
Also of note: "NEM total emissions declined this quarter to the lowest Q2 level on record, of 28.7 million tonnes of carbon dioxide, 6.6 per cent lower than Q2 2022, whilst emissions intensity dropped 4.3 per cent to 0.61 tCO2 e/MWh."
"“Rooftop solar generation increased 30 per cent from Q2 2022, which reduced electricity demand from the grid. Coupled with higher renewable output, wholesale prices were zero or negative nine per cent of the quarter throughout the NEM, a new Q2 record,” Ms Mouchaileh said." This bears repeating: 9 percent of the time, the wholesale cost of power is zero or negative.
[1] https://www.energymagazine.com.au/aemo-quarterly-energy-repo...
[2] https://opennem.org.au/facilities/au/?status=operating
[3] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2023-04-04/how-tesla... | https://archive.is/egMXl
Yet they are still digging coal out of the ground - for export. Australia exported USD 75 billion worth of coal in 2022.
"Powered by electricity" is an abstraction that lets you move towards clean sources of energy over time and zero emissions. Even if the source of that electricity is dirty today and shifts emissions, it can become clean and zero emission.
On the other hand "Powered by gasoline" or "Powered by diesel" will always be dirty, even with bio-diesel.
https://www.nationalobserver.com/2021/10/26/analysis/dirty-e....
https://www.forbes.com/sites/enriquedans/2018/08/19/myths-an...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikescott/2020/03/30/yes-electr...
Where I'm from the largest power plant in the country is also insanely polluting - Bełchatow power plant burns lignite for electricity and the CO2 emissions are just bananas. The official number is around 1.7kg(!!!!!!!) Of CO2 for every kWh of electricity produced[1]. If you run your electric car using energy from that power plant then yes, it pollutes more than almost any petrol/diesel vehicle bar some sports cars and large trucks.
But that's a curiosity, an edge case, and if anything it proves that Bełchatow should be closed down immediately and not that EVs are a bad thing.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Be%C5%82chat%C3%B3w_Power_Stat...
I'm sceptical that we know enough about the energy and resource mix in use across our global supply chains to be anywhere near that confident.
Look up Enrico Mariutti and his thoughts on the photovoltaic lifecycle figures ( mentioned in "China's dirty fuel advanage" - https://public.substack.com/p/solar-panels-more-carbon-inten... )
Appreciate this may be desperately off-message here, but here's the rub: what we change in Europe and North America isn't going to fix anything unless we take China, India, and all the rest of the world with us.
"Most of the electricity in China comes from coal, which accounted for 62% of the electricity generation mix in 2021"[1]
"China permits two new coal power plants per week in 2022"[2]
"China ramps up coal power despite carbon neutral pledges. Local governments approved more coal power in first three months of 2023 than all of 2021."[3]
If we really care about fixing the planet, China and India are where we should be looking. Teslas in California are an irrelevance.
[0] https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/when-d... [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_China [2] https://energyandcleanair.org/publication/china-permits-two-... [3] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/24/china-ramps-up...
https://priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2012/07/tar_sands.jpg
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/84/Panorama...
There’s no reason to believe that this a serious attempt to go green. The vehicles are already diesel-electric so it is simply a matter of hooking them up to electricity. And since diesel is not that cheap, you can get save money with an electrified system, provided you have no interest in ensuring green electricity.
Well, duh. Hydrogen is just a (terrible) liquid battery you have to re-manufacture every time you discharge it. You lose a third of the energy making the hydrogen, another quarter moving it around, and then half of it converting from hydrogen to electricity.
But as a grid storage medium it could make a lot of sense. The fundamental equation is just too good to ignore - energy plus water becomes hydrogen, hydrogen becomes energy plus water - and only water.
The world needs both energy and clean water, so it seems like a potentially perfect "twofer". (I must admit that I have no idea if the amount of water generated from combustion is relevant).
The inefficiency doesn't seem to be a fundamental problem, as we get increasingly more surplus energy from solar and wind. This summer utility companies have had to "pay" customers to use electricity in Europe, a mere 6 months after they had the highest electricity prices on record. Any method to store even a fraction of the current surplus so that it can be sold for 50+ cents per kwh in 6 months should be very interesting.
Hydrogen is a gas - therefore everywhere you use gas you can use hydrogen instead.
I’m not sure it’s quite so simple.
The real value of renewable-energy-powered chemical synthesis will be in the production of things like fertilizers, dyes, carbon fiber, etc. Basically you can take the entire fossil-fuel-sourced front end of the petrochemical industry and replace it with hydrogen and carbon inputs from water and atmospheric CO2 respectively.
In November 2021, Congress passed, and President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. signed into law the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Public Law 117-58), also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL). This historic, once-in-a-generation legislation authorizes and appropriates $62 billion for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), including $9.5 billion for clean hydrogen. [1]
the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law included $1.5 billion to support hydrogen electrolysis and $8 billion to fund a broad Regional Clean Hydrogen Hubs program. [1]
0. https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/hit%20the%20gas
1. (largish pdf) https://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/pdfs/us-national-clean-hydro...
2. https://www.whitehouse.gov/cea/written-materials/2023/07/05/...
I can think of one major car maker...
- those genuinely confused about this (most of the general public)
- those representing oil and gas lobbies that have been using hydrogen lobbying as a way to stay in the fossil fuel industry a bit longer. Because most hydrogen is made from natural gas and they love the idea of growing the market for that.
In short, there's a lot of waffle about stored energy by people who don't get (or refuse to acknowledge) that most of that 1) needs to come from somewhere (which is a lossy process) and 2) needs to be transformed into a usable form of energy (which is also a lossy process).
That's before you take into account the logistics of moving hydrogen around, which is challenging because it takes up a lot of space. You can either compress it to a few hundred bar (which takes energy) or cool it to a few degrees of kelvin (which takes energy, and keeping it there costs you more energy). And once you do that, you need to keep it contained for extended periods of time (which isn't 100% efficient, especially in liquid form), and use about 18x more trucks for hydrogen in gas form compared to methane in liquid form; or only about 3x more trucks is you actually do cool it down to liquid form.
In short, you end up loosing a lot of energy in various lossy energy transformations, compression, storage, and transport of hydrogen before you even get to extract energy from it. All these inefficiencies multiply to a very significant cost disadvantage over simple battery electric.
And even if you do all go down this path you end up charging a battery with a hydrogen fuel cell. Because fuel cells suck at producing variable output that you would need for a vehicle. Which is why most hydrogen vehicles today that use a fuel cell are fully functional battery electric vehicles that happen to have a tiny battery.
You could just rip out the hydrogen bits and replace them with a bigger battery and you end up with a vehicle that's cheaper to operate. By about 2-3x. A better vehicle in other words.
Vehicles like the ones BHP produces are huge. So, shoving a few mwh of battery in them is not going to be that big of a deal. Charging them is a logistical challenge but also a solvable one. Multi mw charger technology already exists. And of course not having to truck in lots of diesel/hydrogen trucks to the remote places where these things are used might also be a benefit. The main challenge for companies like this is access to enough battery and electricity.
I’ve seen reports claiming you break even or even use less electricity when operating electric vehicles since your ventilation requirements are significantly reduced.
You are the one completely confused by the laws of thermodynamics.
A hydrogen fuel cell is an electrochemical system. So are electrolyzers. They represent the equivalence of charging and discharging a battery. There is no fundamental reason why this must be less efficient. You can potentially reach 100% efficiency at least in theory.
What people really are saying is that “in practice,” it is less efficient than a battery setup. But this is also mostly made-up and filled with exaggeration. Electrolyzers are reaching 98% efficiency. Fuel cells, at least in large installations, can already reach 85% efficiency or battery (assuming heat recapture).
In short, it is already pretty close to what batteries can do. Future advancements will eliminate the efficiency gap almost entirely.
Furthermore, it is actually more efficient to store and move around hydrogen than it is with electricity. Energy storage at scale is very difficult, and enough of a problem that we are looking at using hydrogen for long-duration energy storage. That alone basically kills the argument that batteries have any advantages in this respect.
Finally, as the economics of hydrogen production scale up, we can expect cost to approach zero. That’s because it is very much like wind and solar: We’re using a basically free resource (wind, sunlight and water) and turning it into a fuel. People criticized the efficiency of photovoltaics in the past, but the fundamental advantage of not having to pay for fuel means that costs can drop to nearly zero, and it did. This is the same story again. Except nearly free green hydrogen in the long-run.
Heat recapture is great, but we care about electricity output.
> Finally, as the economics of hydrogen production scale up, we can expect cost to approach zero. That’s because it is very much like wind and solar: We’re using a basically free resource
It will never reach zero because the equipment, transportation, and people involved are not free.
Further solar panels and wind turbines got cheaper due to learning effects. These effects are not present for over half of the things involved in a hydrogen fuel system. Pumps and tanks and valves and pipes are already mass produced.
And while the sunlight might be free, the electricity from it is now, and never will be since the equipment isn’t free.
The equipment is mostly made out of steel or other cheap materials. You read about using fiberglass or HDPE for a lot of the components. Those aren’t expensive materials. Certainly, way cheaper than what batteries use. Transportation is via pipelines which is 10x cheaper than wires. The costs of infrastructure should be very cheap.
> Further solar panels and wind turbines got cheaper due to learning effects. These effects are not present for over half of the things involved in a hydrogen fuel system. Pumps and tanks and valves and pipes are already mass produced.
Solar panels and wind turbines are over a century old. Hell, wind power existed for millenia in form or another. But as it turns out, it still benefits from the learning effect. So you’re just spouting more of your anti-progress agenda here.
And with that, I'm leaving this conversation and letting anyone else reading to clearly see that pro-hydrogen zealots are alive and well, despite the astonishment of one of the top-level comments.
Hydrogen is already in use in e.g. forklifts that need to operate 24/7 (because recharging is slow), so while the logistical problem could be solved, I don't think it's worth doing so in all cases. Hydrogen has it's niche.
(tl;dr below: there's stuff that hydrogen is bad at but batteries literally cannot do, so if we prioritize ditching oil then hydrogen wins by default in those specific niches.)
IMO hydrogen also makes sense for large vehicles that need a long range - planes flying the New York to London trip will need to either be synthfuel or hydrogen, and we haven't figured out how to make synthfuel at scale yet. So while synthfuel will eventually be better than hydrogen, it might not be available in time for our climate deadline.
Similarly, hydrogen might be a better option for multi-man trucks on a long haul (i.e. a truck with a bed in the back and a second (or even third) driver, so they can drive for two 10-hour shifts without stopping for a break) through low-infrastructure areas. Yes, that is a bit niche.
Also, cargo ships could use hydrogen right now with only a 1-5% loss in cargo capacity. Batteries wouldn't get 100KM let alone across the pacific and synthfuel doesn't exist.
In theory biofuels are also a drop-in solution, but modern farming is very heavily reliant on oil, so biofuels are mostly just fossil fuels with extra steps (and speaking of which: tractors need high uptime, you can't be constantly charging the tractor batteries on harvest day so once again, hydrogen tractors win by default). Also, unnecessarily straining our food supply is really dumb.
But the real point is that you can power things with wind or solar energy without depending on fossil fuels. While you can do this with both batteries and hydrogen, you avoid the heavy weight and the resource requirements if you go with the latter. You need only just wind, solar and water in order to create an an energy storage system. That puts the cost at potentially very close to zero. In the long-run, it likely will approach zero, just like how wind and solar power itself plunged in cost once they scaled up. As a result, it is likely going to be the dominant solution for most transportation needs.
"A device that stores energy is generally called an accumulator or battery."