Employees bid on Anchor Brewery
vinepair.com
vinepair.com
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2017/04/brace-belden-pisspig...
He could easily have written a book on his time in Syria or leveraged that somehow to join Vice or some similar company (he's charismatic and funny, so he probably would've been good in front of the camera) but he opted not to do any of that, joined Anchor and helped organise a union.
That doesn't mean the business he's associated with will fail as a worker coop - maybe not, but it's still not entirely irrelevant.
You fail to contrast with the even larger atrocities committed by non-communist governments.
Plenty of numbers if you know history.
If I am a little better than you are at guessing, I'd venture a guess that some older people around where you live could tell you a bit about the practice of socialism too, if you asked them. But I won't expand too much at that. I'll just say when trying to accuse others in being narrow-minded, it's useful to keep a mirror around.
While making good TV will inevitably require editing to emphasise drama, I expect the editor won't have to look far.
I think the evolution of union employees from the point of "brewing beer" to the point of "running a profitable business" (complete with functions like sales, marketing, purchasing, quality control, and yes, labor management) will be both fascinating and informative. It would help other transitions to co-ops go a lot smoother.
I have no doubts it would be a success, but the process would be just as valuable as a learning tool.
Plus the TV would act as marketing (tick).
Or an unmitigated disaster. That would also make good TV...
So much of the business world is contaminated by MBA-think that must squeeze every single penny out of a going concern.
To buy the brewery, they will more than likely be taking on a ton of debt at higher than normal interest rates...this would put them under a lot of pressure from the start...
When did "market clearing price" quit being a thing? When did we forget that market forces also work downward?
This is like the "labor shortage"--there is no "labor shortage". There are simply companies unwilling to pay market rates.
The real problem here, however, is political, not economic. If a Sapporo exec signs off on ... say, a $10 million deal ... and suddenly Anchor Steam suddenly starts pulling good profits it will make some Sapporo executives look really bad. And that is really bad for your career.
Yea, taking a big loss will help with their taxes.
But they could just give it away...
By contrast, shuttering it completely, selling off the barrels, makes the balance of the debt just go away. The landlord gets to simply write off owed rent.
Obviously prior owners will often take on debt to keep the business afloat. That might be financed debt, or credit lines. Or just non payments (rent etc). Resurrecting the business is hard because those suppliers have to be made whole. That's usually the killer in saving a failing business.
Certainly taking it private makes some aspects easier, but makes financing harder too.
I own a bit of a brewery and have learned a bit about the business in the past 7 years.
No, breweries are not insanely profitable. You might think that they are if you simply look at grain to glass and forget about everything in between.
Those in between parts are real estate/rent, equipment, chemicals, packaging costs (equipment, labor, consumables), employees, taproom expenses, marketing, and finally, the worst, distribution expenses.
It's been a fun ride and I'm glad I'm involved, but insanely profitable just isn't the case.
I don't drink alcohol so to be fair my knowledge is mostly coming from friends getting trashed on cheap Pabst Blue ribbon lol.
And I get the MBA effect especially as we see that segment in the business news all the time.
But most businesses aren't big. Most don't have so MBA. Most don't make wild profits. Most are happy if they make it through the month, build up sufficient reserves, grow production over time and so on.
Profit is not just "extra money for owners", its also the part that provides income security in tough times, that buys new machines, that covers over the slow seasons, that secures cheaper supply lines and a million other things.
It creates resilience against the ever changing nature of the world. A business that runs at break-even are one tiny event away from closing their doors.
Squeezing every penny is not always about wild profits. Sometimes it's just keeping the lights on.
Careful there. While it may be true that there are more than 10 tech companies (MAANG x2) that doesn't actually reveal a lot about the skew of the landscape, as 'most' in this case means by absolute number and not weight.
Beer is no different. There's better than a 9/10 chance that microbrew you're holding is owned by one of two companies - Miller Coors or AB Inbev (and of the two it's far more likely to be Inbev). At least, this was the case a few years ago when I was still paying attention.
If you were to count by market share or even heads employed, I think you might find that "most business" is goliaths, not davids, and in this story, david loses.
Perhaps if we had kept antitrust solid it wouldn't be so hard to keep the lights on.
Not yet mention that "big" has a different definition everywhere - I'm going to suggest an arbitrary limit of > 500 employees.
Again, it depends where upu live but if you look gard you'll see most businesses are small. Corner stores. Factories. Plumbers, electricians, car repair, and so on. Franchises.
There are not just "more than 10" tech companies, there are tens of thousands of them. I have 3000 tech customers and they are 99% small (by this definition) and I operate in a market so niche it would make you eyes water.
The vast majority of businesses are tiny. They are not on any stock exchange. They have < 10 employees. You will never read about any of them anywhere.
Beer brewing is very consolidated, but even there micro-breweries are gaining traction. Chances are though that if you bought your beer in a national chain its not a micro brewery.
This seems like an old-fashioned view on the nature of business. It may have been true 50 or 60 years ago (at least) but I think it's the exception rather than the rule today. Cutting loose your employees is what provides income security in tough times (for the employees not cut loose). Loans buy new machines. If you have a couple slow seasons you'll simply be bought by some private equity firm, loaded up with debt, then driven into the dirt along with any pension obligations etc., the firm may have had.
Your view is likely biased towards the US though - most countries don't have a PE industry. Also most businesses aren't attractive to PE in the first place.
You need to look past the headlines, past the news. As you drive consider each building you pass. That mom-and-pop store. That corner franchise. That Indian take-aways.
Most businesses aren't Apple or Google. Those are the exceptions, and despite their vast numbers they are a drop in the bucket of the n billion people employed world-wide.
Yes it's an old fashioned view on the nature of business. But it's also the reality for millions of small businesses today.
Late stage capitalism is eating the heart of the US yes, but fortunately it hasn't spread to most places yet. And even in the US good businesses do well, if you care to see them.
You're right that, by the numbers, there are a lot more small companies than large companies. But it's the large companies that steer our political and economic institutions. And, in many or most cases those smaller companies will have to compete with the larger ones, and certainly rely on at least some of them for their operations.
Businesses aren’t insulated from exterior forces like competitors. If you aren’t squeezing for pennies and your competitors are, they’re going to be offering your same solution at a better price.
But they survive by focusing on more they just profit. They survive by understanding long-term value over short-term profit. They embed into a community. They treat employees well, they treat customers well, they care about environment (inside and outside), fairness and do on.
The stereotypical "MBA" gets a hard time because they only care about short-term profit. This quarter results. They sell the soul of the business and all they get is money. They refusecs refund, but lose a customer forever.
Of course this is a caricature, and most MBAs - certainly the good ones - know where to press, but at the same time understand that the business needs balance. That being around next year is more important than this months targets.
At one the sales in our division fell and we were losing money so there were layoffs, more people left, and eventually they shut the division down. That wasn't fun but people understood.
At another we had increasing sales, were profitable, but they laid off people, and then sold our division. The reason was that our return on investment was 11% while other divisions were 25% or even 40%. We made something much more specialized but lower volume and harder to sell. It was frustrating knowing that the company is making money but it's not enough money for them to care about.
IMO it was the right decision. Does it make sense for a company to continue keeping folks who fail to meet an objective of getting from 11 to 20-25%? Is it fair if other departments are able to pull off similar feats and one department isn't?
Seems like layoffs were probably restructuring to keep best of the talent and a last ditch effort to try to get the talent to make it possible. When that failed the company realized the best way to achieve that was to exit the division and double down on the ones that could.
We sold semiconductor IP blocks. There might be a product that sold for $500K and they might sell 50 licenses a quarter for $25M. For our product our direct competitors sold it for around $4M
But at the end of the quarter the division that we were lumped in with would be short of their target by $2M. Then the VP of sales would go through the list of customers we were currently negotiating with and instead of selling for $4M would offer a big discount at half price in order to hit the quarterly revenue target.
This went on for 3 years and then they say you need to increase your ROI numbers. Our plan was to not give huge discounts and sell at the same price as our competitors but we got sabotaged by that VP of sales every quarter.
After we were at other companies our former customers told us that it was widespread industry knowledge that you could just wait until the last day of the quarter to get huge discounts from us.
Yes, because your most heavily optimized cash cows are also your least resilient when the market shifts.
A long-term business needs to have a mix of optimized growing cash flow products, legacy cash flow products that are declining, and new cash flow products that don't quite meet the bar yet. Otherwise, as soon as your cash cow gets hit, your business is dead.
But novelty, especially if there's free marketing etc, will help to make it a success.
I have always liked the idea of co-op business, but I've also been apprehensive about the viability of genuine co-ops where multiple (competing?) sections have to work together to forge a path forward.
What do we do when we have multiple possible actions on the table, but no concensus? Do we fo nothing?
I think more examples of (hopefully successful) transitions will help in more of this model being (successfully) adopted.
But sure, crash and burn would make for great TV.
With that said if your company is large enough this is necessary it may be too large to be a co op
What size do you think is "too large to be a co-op"?
[0] https://www.brewbound.com/news/left-hand-brewing-announces-e...
It's also no guarantee of anything - New Belgium did a similar employee stock program in 2013, but they still sold to Lion in 2019, and now they're doing weird stuff like making 18 bajillion variants of Voodoo Ranger and rebranding Fat Tire.
It would certainly be interesting if they ended up buying it.
I lived for 10 years blocks from the brewery and fondly remember the musty smell it gave off during certain days of brewing. I hope someone is able to keep it alive and a co-op may be the most tenable long term solution.
But I can't see what they're getting out of owning a brewery in San Francisco in this day and age. Globally, beer consumption is way down. They're already supplying most of their addressable American market with beer they produce in and export from Canada. It makes sense to me that they'd want to cut their losses here.
And as decent as Anchor has been, it's a wildly saturated market out there. Unless SF makes a U-turn recovery in the next year or two I can't really see how this ends well for Anchor.
> In terms of domestic sales, about 64.2 billion U.S. dollars were registered in off-premise retail sales. Only 43.8 billion dollars in on-premise sales were recorded in 2021. While this is an increase from the large decline in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it is still below pre-pandemic levels.
> Craft rebounded in 2021 and saw its largest share of the beer market ever even though dollar sales of craft beer remained below their peak. This indicates that although Americans are drinking less beer overall, they are more often opting for craft brews.
https://www.statista.com/topics/1654/beer-industry-in-the-un...
I just looked this up now, but it's been a recurring topic to read reports about since the start of the pandemic.
Real estate prices make things stupid expensive in SF, but this business has been around, owning the same property, for close to a century before real estate prices became insane in SF.
Brewers in SF are going to need to get paid a lot more then folks in Colorado or the South.
I hope the employees are able to buy it and run it for many years to come. Big beer has been buying up and killing way too many breweries.
It was a sticker done in the style of the traditional Anchor Brewing logo, but said Dead and Company instead of Anchor brewing.
At the bottom, it says "made in San Francisco until 2023".
The end of two SF icons, but it seems that both may carry on.
Here's hoping.
I agree with you, it seems like we are living in an era with global growth accelerators but no one to tell people it is impossible to keep increasing profits forever regardless of how many markets you can be a leader for.
maybe i'm one of those 8th grade math nerds.
If people could afford that, it's not the beer creating the value.
Value depends on another system and it is relative. So value of something can go up while the world is burning. I think that's what is meant by infinite growth doesn't work. It could work for something, but not everything always.
A handful of sand on the beach becomes silicon transistors becomes AI models becomes miracle drug.
https://www.cold-takes.com/this-cant-go-on/
Even maintaining current economic growth would mean a 10x by 2100, which is absurd in a world expected to stop population growth by then.
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/06/17/worlds-po...
The bigger the company the further away from the employees and customers the leadership gets, and therefore the less guilty they feel about squeezing every penny out of them.
There is a great book, small giants, about companies that choose to go against this trend and be great instead of large.
The idea of an employee buyback leading to success (we'll see!) would, of course, lend credence to your causal theory.
Edit: I should probably point out that was around when low carb diets started gaining popularity. Not a great time to be any sort of bakery really.
- http://www.harmacpacific.com/employees.php
- https://forestryfriendly.ca/harmac-pacific-pulp-mill-local-s...
Plenty of businesses should just stay small. This fascination with scale and growth is super unhealthy. But continuing a business that already exists is easier than starting one from scratch and building up reserves just in case something that you really need for your primary process breaks takes time. So time will tell whether it really was dead weight.
The opposite. Co-ops are more resilient to downturns
It's weird how many times I've seen this rough story
That's not at all what the story was. Anchor has been in rough financial shape for a while. That's why Sapporo bought them. Anchor almost went under in '65 and in '10, and in '17.Do you care about climate change? If so, then you should care about liquids being shipped as short of a distance as possible.
Edit: Also, the brewery moved to the neighborhood approximately 100 years before you did. Why did you choose to move to the area if you didn’t want to be next to them when there was no indication that they would be leaving anytime soon?