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Comment by aredox | Hacker News Reader

Nate Silver has been blatantly wrong several times during COVID, has been schooled by actual scientists and is now on a personal vendetta against them.

He is ready to fan the flames of science-bashing because his fragile yet enormuous ego has been hurt. That tells all that you need to know about him. (Don't believe me? He has never apologised nor shown a little bit of humility after being corrected. That's who he is.)

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Science bashing? As in he's bashing the scientific method? Or what is this (noun, proper) "science" you speak of?

The science done by actual scientists. The ones that write: "Although the evidence shows that SARS-CoV-2 is not a purposefully manipulated virus, it is currently impossible to prove or disprove the other theories of its origin described here. However, since we observed all notable SARS-CoV-2 features, including the optimized RBD and polybasic cleavage site, in related coronaviruses in nature, we do not believe that any type of laboratory-based scenario is plausible. More scientific data could swing the balance of evidence to favor one hypothesis over another."

that Nate Silver is now twisting into "the scientists lied, don't trust them" because they had the intellectual curiosity to imagine alternative scenarios in a Slack channel.

So, some science done by some scientists. Very different that "science bashing" which implies all science done by all scientists.

Provide links please.

https://twitter.com/GermsAndNumbers/status/16340874678749470...

This is a somewhat flippant take of mine, but is emblematic of a lot of Nate Silver's posting during the pandemic, which is that epidemiologists are all hyper risk adverse ninnies, and we're clearly at the end of the pandemic.

You could go to the 2016 election and see Nate Silver backtrack and never admit failure if you like. This guy came up out of nowhere and is a clown.

How did he fail in the 2016 election? He produced one of the best prediction models.

I've quit twitter and that stupid website now won't allow people to see tweets if you're not logged in, so I guess you'll just have to search "Nate silver wrong" by yourself, big guy...

Superforecasteritis is the new Nobelitis.

Give examples.

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