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Exactly. If programmers can be fully and effectively replaced, then almost all white collar jobs can be as well.

models are still having trouble reasoning – current tricks still depend of feeding back an intermediate answer with a different prompt, but it is still an LLM, and most times the same LLM

Yeah, it's a large language model not a large reasoning model. I don't really have any faith in what seems to me like attempts to make LLMs act like LRMs.

I think it's always going to be a bit shit, no matter how large they make them it's always going to be an obvious faker, always going to confabulate and lie etc.

As long as we are using a technology that merely fakes intelligence (using statistics to generate the most likely next token based on training data is not intelligence), it is going to be obvious that it's fake. This whole bubble is going to burst when people start realizing how overrated it is.

I’m sorry but that is an image [of a mole]. I’m a language model trained on text and haven’t been trained to pattern match on image.