At least in the American context, it’s far from clear the lockdowns reduced mortality [1].
Adjusting for age/health Florida had similar mortality to California’s.
[1] https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/04/02/why-major-study-argue...
Adjusting for age/health Florida had similar mortality to California’s.
[1] https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/04/02/why-major-study-argue...
Expected deaths from an unchecked epidemic: 330 million × 50% infection rate × 4% fatality rate = 6.6 million.
50% infection rate is the estimated no-lockdown epidemic penetration rate that I remember hearing from an epidemiologist. 4% was the fatality rate in Italy, February 2020, when hospitals were overwhelmed.
Not even close.
Besides, even if the true number was 3.8% or 4.3%, that wouldn't change the conclusion.
First: we do not know that the lethality would have been without lockdowns. We didn't (often) see hospitals turning people away. The lockdowns succeeded in preventing that.
But more importantly, it's not fair to judge people based on the decisions they made in the past with the information they had then, using the information we have now.
Let's presume there was no difference in lethality. We did not know that at the time. But it was reasonable to believe it would be helpful and save lives.
Who is sitting there going "yeah but what if it doesn't save any more lives? Let's risk it because I've got a party planned next weekend".
And the point of the study quoted above is that jurisdictions that did not implement lockdowns did not experience increased mortality
How do you know this? Did you just read it somewhere or is there some meat to it?
There were still, far more deaths from overdose and suicide than Complications of Covid-19.
The original complaint is that hospitals were (and provably so?) given instructions on how to mark Covid deaths for statistical purposes, and those instructions were biased to inflate the numbers. At the time this was labelled as a "conspiracy theory" in order to drive the narrative, and afterwards it came to light.
"Medical examiner records" can't prove this, because they might as well have been doctored. No non-stupid person would write a report talking about patient having serious conditions A, B, and C, and then fill in a field for "cause of death" with "Covid", so of course you won't find any examples of that.
Let's all be honest, the media got caught with their pants down driving a narrative to fit what they felt was right and what "TPTB" wanted, and we're all in denial now about it. The truth will eventually come out.