Hacker News Reader

Probably most people have about a 1 in 80 chance of dying each year on average over the course of their life.

The US death rate is 1.04% per year. So in that sporting event example, statistically 313 of them will die within a year's time.

Also if the sporting event was today then only around 2.5 people would die in a car accident "this year" as currently we are already in July ;)

Anyway that is my bunch of nonsense statistics :)

View on HN

>The US death rate is 1.04% per year. So in that sporting event example, statistically 313 of them will die within a year's time.

Yeah but only some of those deaths are randomly distributed across the population and not correlated with age. Car accidents being a major example of that (unless there's a bunch of 70+ year olds at Yankees games that I'm not seeing).

Could also say the same thing about car accidents. The death rates for car accidents is different based on gender. What is the gender ratio at those Yankees games? :)

I'm willing to hand-wave over a lot of this stuff as otherwise it gets way too overcome with pedantry which likely doesn't matter...

Reply on news.ycombinator.com