[1]: https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/3523382/Me...
We need to tweak our process, because this is clearly not working.
And the details are absolutely crucial for the end result. You come in here acting like a religious defender of the scientific method against the evil of rejecting science, but I'm not that guy. I'm not rejecting science, I'm just pointing out the obvious: modern science is producing literally noise, as seen in this chart, because of misaligned incentives and a broken peer review process, among others.
Do you even know what the "replication crisis" is? Hints of it in this very chart. And if you do, it's completely disingenuous to come attacking me for even mentioning we have a problem. And if you don't, you're not informed well enough to speak about the scientific method.
The "scientific method" should be applied to the "scientific method". Meaning when you see evidence that falsifies it, seek the causes and correct them, don't dig in your heels and go religious.
What we need are people with level heads making calm decisions, not bombastic polemics demanding the system get blown up.
Modern researchers have insane incentives to churn out papers based on superficial or questionable data, without isolating variables. The result is predictably noise. Or even worse, noise shaped by cultural bias and prejudice, which has been a long term problem with the scientific method, because in the end, we can talk about facts and evidence and data, but the judge jury and executioner on what is a fact, evidence and data are people, and people are always subjective by definition. The best we can hope is to all be subjective in the same way, hoping our shared subjectivity is more objective taken together. That doesn't always hold up.
In some of those studies, the wine drinkers get more cancer. Red dot to the right. In some they get less. Red dot to the left.
Conversely, if you have a similar study aiming to prove that wine prevents cancer, how do you prove that wine is the reason a person did not get cancer? It seems much more difficult, because now you are saying X did NOT happen because of Y rather than Y caused X. I'm struggling to articulate this. Maybe you're right.
First, a confounding variable doesn't work like that. It's a hidden variable that's linking that independent and dependent variables that you didn't account for. So, for instance, if you look at the correlation between ice cream and sunburns, you might see a strong correlation, and you might naively think that one causes the other if you don't account for the confounding variable of hot summer days.
In the case of population-wide studies on food, there is always the danger of confounding variables: if you are just comparing the wine drinkers vs non, who are these non-wine drinkers? What makes them non-wine drinkers? As a whole, do they tend to be more heath-conscious? Is that why they're less likely to get cancer? Etc etc.
Second, my point is that in both studies that show foods causing cancer vs those protecting against cancer, it's almost always populations studies. So in an ideal experiment, they have two identical populations, one of whom just happens to eat more chocolate. If that group gets more cancer they say they the chocolate is causing cancer. Similarly, if they get less cancer, they say it's protecting them from cancer.
You don't have to prove that individual X would have gotten cancer if it weren't for the chocolate. All you have to show is that the standard, base-line amount of cancer you'd see in any population is reduced in this group.
https://oehha.ca.gov/media/downloads/proposition-65/p65chemi...
Funnily, Aspartame isn't on there but Aloe vera is... O.o
(my fav is wood dust)
There is a simpler reason to avoid wood dust: it causes allergies, asthma, and other non-cancer respiratory issues in a fair number of people.
I'm aware of the stage 3 pipeline for IPF. I would still rather have cancer in most cases.
Asbestos is like that. It's not inherently carcinogenic, but there is some kind of mechanical process associated with asbestos fibers that activates cancer.
OTOH, it is a very economical colorant, so it is in a ton of foods (FDA still has it approved under 1% by weight of the food item), toothpaste, makeup, skin creams, white tattoo ink, and so on.
Also, as a sibling notes, the stuff (chips and dust alike) can contribute to some really memorable conflagratory experiences.
Now all I can find is this partial list: https://www.anorak.co.uk/288298/tabloids/the-daily-mails-lis...
In my 30s I have cut my alcohol consumption down hugely but for my little rat brain the risk reward vs sweetness is a different balance.
I think one of the most valuable things through my quest to eat right was people challenging my behaviour vs my knowledge. I made a lot about the fact I quit sugary drinks after writing a lit review on their health effects. My friends pointed out that I had deliberately excluded artificial sweeteners from my lit review and my knowledge.
Then I was challenged about my love of dessert.
I think being called a hypocrite and told I was stupid and coming to agree with the underlying criticism has been a big part of my growth as a person.
But if drinking drinks sweetened with aspartame is your only vice then you're doing pretty well.
(It also produces less in the way of disinfection byproducts, which is good if the water contains anything that might react nastily with chlorine. And it’s much more persistent, which is good or bad depending on your perspective. You need to take special measures to remove it if you want to water a fish and potentially if you want to brew beer. As far as I can tell, it has no meaningful effect on an established sourdough starter. I assume that the large population of microbes in established starter is able to neutralize the small amounts of chloramine in tap water.)
I know I’m not alone.
Sparkling water has become my go-to. It does satisfy my cravings, and I’m sure it’s immeasurably better for health than my previous go-to Diet Coke.
Mind if I ask: How so?
I also love Diet Redbull for the taste however it still has a small number of calories and carbs so they make Redbull Zero which I can't stand
Anything carbonated still tastes good but there's a hard limit of one per day.
I still like the usual foods. I also lost 20 pounds!
> It's probably better for your teeth
So is not eating or sleeping or breathing.
Of course people do seem to drink it mass quantities.
But yeah, I’ve been drinking water for years, and this has made it much more enjoyable. (I occasionally “splurge” and drink tea or soda, but it probably amounts to less than 1% of the fluids I consume.)
Citric acid isn’t great for teeth, but 2 packs per gallon should have a negligible impact (could possibly do more, but 2 is perfectly fine).
Not arguably, it factually is.
I've also never understood the concept of being "bored" with water. Not everything in life has to be a sensual experience. Why not drink it because its good for you and save the flavoured beverages as treats?
> It just doesn’t satisfy cravings.
Not to mention they said they do drink water - just of the sparkling variety, which does satisfy their cravings.
some of us are really bad at doing things, even good/healthy things, unless we get a dopamine response. so 99% of my "water intake" is really coffee, tea, or artificially sweetened soda.
I drink soft drinks more often than alcohol. I hate artificial sweeteners not just because of the taste, but all my life I've heard the fact that those sweeteners are carcinogenic, especially the cheapest ones (like aspartame).
Honestly, it doesn't help that most studies that say artificial sweeteners are safe were funded by the drinks companies themselves and obviously they will be biased towards what makes them have most profit from it. I think adding the sweeteners to this list of potentially carcinogenic and asking for more neutral, unbiased studies is a step on the right direction.
If a soft drink contains sweeteners, I simply refuse to drink it. Honestly, I'd rather have a beer which tastes worse than a coca-cola, for example, than to have to drink diet cola.
Seems to work on some subset of the population.
It's not an academic conversation, nor is it meant to be one.
Car exhaust is a KNOWN carcinogen. So don't lecture me on beer until you've given up on fossil fuel.
> I drink diet sodas. I have received many emails/calls/texts from friends and family telling me about the "news" of them being a possible carcinogen. To every such person I say: Alcohol is a KNOWN carcinogen. Drinking alcohol causes cancer. So don't lecture me about drinking diet coke until you have given up on beer
The poster compares the risk of aspartame being a « possible carcinogen » to Alcohol, which is a « KNOWN carcinogen », specifically comparing the different classifications.
One is really clearly signalled as “bad for you”, even if it is extremely common. The other one is basically seen as an inert implementation detail. I can totally see why people put more fear behind the evil they didn’t even know existed vs the evil they choose to ignore.
[0] https://www.fda.gov/food/food-additives-petitions/aspartame-....
I cannot easily express in words how stunningly false this is. Alcohol is signaled over and over and over and over across all forms of information as fun, relaxing, sexy, festive, appealing, exciting, luxurious, and sometimes even healthful in moderation. Any notion of it being bad for you is relegated to small print messages specifically about pregnancy and driving.
Stunningly false is a bit strong.
What I mean is: no one thinks consuming alcohol is good for them. At worst they might think it’s health-neutral in the amount that they drink, but the majority of people know it’s bad for them.
It’s been effectively communicated, by laws and culture around booze, that it’s a thing for adults to choose to do, and accept consequences from. (Hangovers, drunk driving, abuse, and many other societal ills that are pretty cliche and well known) Just because the people making it, leave off the consequences, doesn’t mean everyone is brainwashed.
Notably there's a LOT LESS advertising for cigarettes than for alcohol in the US. Cigarette ads are banned in most media here. But sexy night club intrigue alcohol TV spots still abound.
> it’s a thing for adults to choose to do, and accept consequences from. (Hangovers, drunk driving, abuse, and many other societal ills that are pretty cliche and well known)
This is true, but I think the strongest statement we can make is that everyone believes that the good vastly outweighs the bad, otherwise we'd all stop.
> What I mean is: no one thinks consuming alcohol is good for them.
Even with very specific and reductionist notions of "good for" we have decades of "red wine is good for you" reports. Beyond that, relaxation and fun are good for you. We know this because we also have a lot of media telling us.
> the majority of people know it’s bad for them
Like a billion people out there think that God actually talks to them and tells them what to do on a daily basis, so I bet you're significantly overestimating.
My point in the GP post is that someone isn't going to be convinced to stop drinking because drinking is bad for them, they know it's bad for them. They had to wait till they were old enough to buy it, and maybe they've had a few hang overs, they know what liver cirrhosis is, and have seen a TV show featuring an alcoholic. They ignore those things, because they like drinking. They'll hand wave away why their drinking isn't a problem. Even with bunk click-bait articles like "red wine is good for you". We're on the same page there!
Sugarfree gum, feels pretty inert. There's no laws around the sale or packaging. There's no health warnings. There's no TV shows where someone's life is irreparably destroyed because of their gum habit.
So the root comment's family, I think were just being concerned.
"Inert thing you don't think about gives your family member cancer" is a scary thought! Of course I'm going to talk to ${familyMember}!
"Alcohol gives you cancer, along with a lot of other bad diseases" is a "well I still like a cheeky glass of red winkwinkwink" sort of thought.
You're taking an extremely niche information set and generalizing it broadly to the public. Have you actually met the public? The average person knows approximately nothing and gets along fine because in practice knowing nothing doesn't significantly affect outcomes.
> "Alcohol gives you cancer, along with a lot of other bad diseases" is a
I bet you most people do not know or believe that alcohol causes cancer or any other disease, especially not when consumed in the amounts that they personally consume. At worst they believe that nonspecific "too much" alcohol will damage your liver in ways they don't understand but that not too much alcohol is fine because your liver heals itself and the amount that is "too much" is abstract and far off in the distance.
It just tastes wrong and you're ingesting chemicals you probably don't need.
A relative of mine who drank diet coke daily just had her bladder out due to cancer and she never really drank alcohol and took awesome care of herself. She suspected her diet-coke habit and in light of this news, she might be right. I get it, this is HN, I need numbers, not anecdotes, but it sure is curious.
That’s how I describe water. Unless I’m really thirsty, water is just … nothing. Diet Coke has crisp, light flavor. And the aspartame only tasted weird way way back when I switched from sugar soda.
On just taste alone I prefer Diet Coke to the regular kind and to Coke Zero.
I probably should reduce or eliminate it, but it’s just so good.
I don't know why this is. Seltzer doesn't do it. I assumed it had something to do with sodium, but, then, the lemon works too.
This is not something that exists unless you talking about a marketing term for hair conditioner.
When I'm stuck with tap water, I just "chug" a few large glasses (600ml) every few hours. Makes it easier.
> I get it ... I need numbers, not anecdotes, but it sure is curious.
No, it is not curious. The IARC finding found limited evidence linking aspartame to liver cancer alone[0], no other types. You have a 1/28 (male) or 1/91 (female) chance of developing bladder cancer in your lifetime[1].
Please do not post comments that sound like Tucker Carlson rhetoric.
0: https://www.cancer.org/cancer/risk-prevention/chemicals/aspa... 1: https://www.cancer.org/cancer/types/bladder-cancer/about/key...
Please do not be so fragile. It is curious to me, so what?
There are many, many things we've been told are ok for us and it turned out they weren't the most striking example for me recently has been PFOAs. In our area, firefighters used to spray down kids with "harmless fire retardant foam" and choppers would dump it into the forest by the ton. Now rivers near us are completely forbidden to go near because of the contamination.
I dislike TC as much as anyone else, but he is successful because some of these "conspiracies" can turn out to be true or partially true. Sorry but it is just a fact.
diet coke is highly caffeinated, this comes with pretty obvious physiological effects.