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Governments are not capable of reacting to this within five years. It’s barely an election cycle. Predicting that all countries will have introduced basic income within five years is rather bold.

Anyway, there’ll be more programming work (because it’ll be cheaper) before there’s less programming work (because it’ll mostly get automated away). It might even pay better.

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I think UBI will be the norm by 2030. Though the way I see it playing out is that initially most countries will just opt for stronger safety nets with means-testing. The point at which workers' livelihoods are clearly being automated in mass is where it will start to become politically feasible to implement the UBI. I think UBI is too radical for the baby boomers, but more palatable for the youth who've been massively screwed over their whole lives and are more aware of how rigged the system is.

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