The yield curve would be one [1]. Markets have materially increased their long-term rate expectations in the last month and year.
[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bon...
[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bon...
Neither did, by its own admission, the Fed.
For example, the yield curve inversion has had quite good predictive ability so far, and it’s predicting a recession. If you buy the fed’s data driven approach, that means its predicting rate decreases.
In that case the long term bond market’s prediction is supported more strongly than the fed’s prediction.