Wouldn't a calculation of the effect of litigation include the scenario you mentioned? Otherwise it would seem to be a bad calculation. Do you have any studies that show how often a test is ordered simply to avoid a lawsuit?
Citations re: excess testing:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15928282 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10136689
Although our estimates delineate a wide range of potential savings, systemwide savings from aggressive malpractice reform could approach $41 billion over five years.
According to one source [1] the U.S. spent $2.6 trillion in health care in 2010. An $8 - $9 billion dollar savings per year from eliminating defensive medicine hardly adds up to "a lot more than 2%".
[1] http://www.kaiseredu.org/Issue-Modules/US-Health-Care-Costs/...