Thank you for (1). I was trying to explain to someone the other day how unpredictable coding is, but you're right, it's wildly unpredictable. Even for tiny projects they sometimes go so far off the rails.

I remember working on this one major project - an online music store - and one of the execs hired his very lovely wife to project manage a team of developers. She would create these fantastic charts in Microsoft Project and every day try to somehow - somehow - get the developers to either (a) give her timescales for each component, or (b) explain why previous component X took twice as long as they had scheduled.

I've been writing code for 40 years and I still get caught out myself. I try to give realistic deadlines and then some fucking bug in the compiler or other such insanity will come along and make me look like a fool.