The Two Party System Sucks
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Issue-based_information_system
Just being able to capture what the different elements of policy debate really are would let so much more nuance be retained. And when going back to assess the impacts of a policy, there'd be such a clearer record of argumentation to assess: what did happen, what didn't happen, who was right here?
https://www.voterstudygroup.org/assets/i/reports/Graphs-Char...
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2017/06/new-study-shows-what...
(Even though this oft-cited chart might be missing a lot of nuance:)
https://medium.com/@xenocryptsite/revisiting-the-famous-2016...
Are you referring to "the underrepresented cohort in American politics is the opposite of libertarians: people with right-wing social views who support big government on the economy," in your second link?
I think you are, but I think there's also a chance you're referring to libertarians, which are also poorly served by the parties, because, as the article points out, voters with such views "are functionally nonexistent."
Parties instead confuse and obfuscate the issue as the parties abandon responsibility in favor of scoring points. I mean England, Germany and France all have more than 2 parties yet the people there have similar complaints and arguments as the people in the US.
The problem is parties themselves. Good, wise and just men and women should be chosen to govern, not people who tell us what we want to hear.
The question is what causes them (FPTP, transaction costs favors coordination and consolidation, power tends to increase itself) and how causes can be changed.
> Good, wise and just men and women should be chosen to govern, not people who tell us what we want to hear.
2016 elected US President who cannot reasonably be considered part of a party. He was a "host unto himself". He flipped-flopped affiliation over decades, and steamrolled over the Republican party international power structures to win the voters in primary and general.
Interestingly, so did the founders -- even the ones that started the first political parties. So it seems that even though political parties are a disease, it's one that's very hard to avoid.
I'm not sure what would happen without parties entirely. I expect you'd see some natural alliances between politicians arise and you are back to parties. There is a somewhat related learning from German history. During the Weimar republic Germany had many very small parties represented in there parliament. This led to it becoming very hard to make progress which led to high churn of who was in power and allowed weird candidates to rise and take a shot at it. The criticism was that three parliament is just debating and debating and nothing ever happens. Weimar cycled through an unreasonable amount of politicians and eventually ended up with Hitler. This is why Germany now requires a minimum of 5% of votes for a party before they get any seats. If you'd somehow manage to keep parties from emerging, I'd expect a worse form of this problem to happen.
The same way that review sites are good because they help people buy products without doing work. Or Hacker News is good is because it finds news stories that interest us without us doing the work.
“I have already intimated to you the danger of parties in the State, with particular reference to the founding of them on geographical discriminations. Let me now take a more comprehensive view, and warn you in the most solemn manner against the baneful effects of the spirit of party generally.
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The alternate domination of one faction over another, sharpened by the spirit of revenge, natural to party dissension, which in different ages and countries has perpetrated the most horrid enormities, is itself a frightful despotism. But this leads at length to a more formal and permanent despotism. The disorders and miseries which result gradually incline the minds of men to seek security and repose in the absolute power of an individual; and sooner or later the chief of some prevailing faction, more able or more fortunate than his competitors, turns this disposition to the purposes of his own elevation, on the ruins of public liberty.
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It serves always to distract the public councils and enfeeble the public administration. It agitates the community with ill-founded jealousies and false alarms, kindles the animosity of one part against another, foments occasionally riot and insurrection. It opens the door to foreign influence and corruption, which finds a facilitated access to the government itself through the channels of party passions. Thus the policy and the will of one country are subjected to the policy and will of another.”
Doing away with political parties is advantageous to the status quo, because, in the absence of parties pooling resources to promote an individual, gaining sufficient power to change the status quo requires first leveraging the status quo to acquire sufficient resources.
There is also the issue that exercising the kind of power that goes with these high offices requires a sort of moral ambivalence that I think precludes "good" people pursuing, let alone holding, these offices.
Your problem is never your political party. It's the political part of the people who oppose you. They don't cease to exist just because you've divided them into more political parties. No change to the voting system will alter that without making you a dictator.
I think people imagine that if you stir the pot around enough suddenly they'll find a huge pool of people who agree with them. That's just not the case.
The political system is intended to do the will of most people, without trampling the rights of minorities. That's an inherent conflict, and nothing you do will ever get around that.
It would sure be nice if people at least adhered to some semblance of reality when forming their preferences, but no voting system can fix that. The whole point of voting is to avoid having to determine who actually knows what, and count on the wisdom of crowds. If the crowds have deliberately made themselves unwise, we're in trouble, and it won't be fixed by the voting mechanism.
When you write:
> People should vote for good people that they believe will do the best possible job.
The most important part of that sentence is the "that they believe" part. The actual goodness, wisdom, and justice of the people who form the set of all eligible candidates has almost nothing to do with the distributed beliefs of those eligible to vote; the process of disseminating information about the former to the latter is EXTREMELY lossy. And power-hungry, hyper-wealthy sociopaths can successfully exploit that.
I'm not sure how to get around the necessity to occasionally make decisions that will cause suffering and death, either through violence or neglect. Occasionally, the most well-intended of decisions will cause death or suffering by accident. And the reality of the situation is that we need leaders who while trying to minimize the harm of their decisions, keeps making clear decisions even after their decisions cause enormous harm. Ordering a missile strike that kills 100 people, even if they are evil to the last, requires a certain kind of callousness, a certain amount of seeing the bad people as bad first, and people last. I think a lot of folks in the military square that spiritual cost as their obligation and find strength in being the one to make that sacrifice. To win elections, you have to want to be that kind of person from the jump.
In our everyday life we have plenty of options for most basic purchases, and can pick-and-choose whatever combination of goods/services we want (though there are of course market failures, but let's not get sidetracked).
Imagine if you could only pick either prepackaged life choices A or prepackaged life choices B? It would be a dystopian hell (and only marginally improved by additional packages).
Yet that's what we've got when it comes to politics.
They are meant to represent the general sentiment of their communities, not every person’s individual concerns. Most communities aren't starkly divided on major issues, and when they are it’s usually a sign that you’re not actually dealing with a single community in any meaningful sense of the word, but two or more that have been thrown together politically. You can even fairly reliably map out which neighborhoods go which way on a given issue and it’s usually not difficult to parse out deeper cultural differences at play.
> Across the country there may be enough vegans for instance to have their own representative but in any particular district they will never have enough numbers to have their concerns addressed.
I’m not sure if you’re saying this is good or bad. They may be related by virtue of being vegan, but their communities are not vegan. You aren’t owed a representative because you’re part of a fringe subculture that doesn’t even have the political will to actually coalesce into a real community.
2 parties might not be awesome but maybe 3 or 4 parties would be ideal.
In Sweden, the multiple parties self-organized into 2 blocks, so for a while it was effectively like a 2-party system. But occasionally some small parties would switch blocks, disrupting the balance for a while.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arrow%27s_impossibility_theore...
For those of us who missed the 1790s.
Provided, people would have to stop falling for the "lesser of two evils" rhetoric, a deliberate ploy to stop the formation of a third party.
However, should ideals fracture too much, too many new parties form, and you end up in a contingent election again, as was the case in 1824.
But, then we have things like health care, abortion, and firearm regulation. Americans largely want better/cheaper access to the first two and more of the third. Yet, we can’t get any of them.
I happen to agree with you about abortion, and thing the opposition party is and will continue to be punished for passing unpopular restrictions on reproductive health care. But one thing I don't think anybody can reasonably say is that GOP voters were bamboozled into voting for curtailment of reproductive rights; abortion and public schools are the two fundamental defining differences between the parties!
Most countries with proportional systems have a threshold that requires something like 5% of the vote to earn seats. So nobody with 2% of the vote is going to be part of the coalition. Furthermore, pulling out of coalition, without a very good reason, is an excellent way to ensure that nobody wants you as a coalition partner in the future.
Yes, some countries with PR have government stability issues. So does the US, see government shutdowns, accusation of obstructionism, etc. That's just an inevitable consequence of humans disagreeing about policy.
If you have a proportional voting system with 5% electoral threshold, they you don't have any 2% parties in the parliament, as the smallest possible is 5%.
And “bringing the government down” often just means a new coalition is formed with a couple cabinet seats changing hands; multiparty proportional systems have less cabinet change as a proportion of the cabinet than duopoly systems, though they have more frequent partial cabinet changes. The dramatic langauge may be appropriate with FPTP in a parliamentary system, but is less so in a multiparty proportional parliamentary system.
And, of course, since TFA addresses particularly the democrat-republican-independent dynamic in the USA, a proportional multiparty electoral system is actually a whole separate change from a parliamentary system, and the “a 2% coalition partner defecting can bring down the government” concern only applies to parliamentary systems, even if you adopt multiparty PR in US legislative elections (even for the elections of Presidential electors) it does not apply to the US without the separate and larger change of adopting parliamentary government. Multiparty PR (using, say, STV within states) for the House and even approximately (via the safe harbor statutes) as a norm for Presidential electors is viable by statutory change, a parliamentary system would take Constitutiional change.
One sort of catch-22 about the opposition to the two-party system is that the people who are unwilling to hold their noses and support a major party despite its flaws are usually also not willing to hold their noses and support an imperfect movement against the duopoly. In fact, those who are still active among the aforementioned don't cooperate with each other, either.
Seems incoherent. The purpose of parties is to put someone in power. Arguing about positions or policies or whatever else some 101 class tells you about makes no sense.
The thing that really exists is an elective office which confers power on the holder. Aggregations of different people over different time with unformed beliefs are meaningless.
Confusing, "i hate repubs and dems" with "i hate the 2 party system" is a mistake.
But in a 2 party system, the odds are very good that neither of the parties adequately represents you. That's the problem with it -- no nuance. As a result, every election is about choosing which candidate will do the least damage rather than which candidate will do the most good.
So sure, parties aggregate the preferences of their members and the distribution of members has some variance. So parties are bad because voters are different? And the solution is, what, smaller parties with less variance? The best political party has 1 member?
I can't differentiate between the utility of gaining a want or avoiding a harm, so Im not sure what the point is when you introduce the damage vs good comparison. Seems like pretending "zero" has meaning. When really only differences in utility have meaning.
I think that most people vote based on party affiliation rather than the candidates. At least, that's what I see.
> So parties are bad because voters are different?
No, parties are bad because they reduce the variety of candidates. In the US, you effectively only have a choice between two candidates for most elections. The Democrat and the Republican. If you find them both objectionable, then tough luck.
This isn't by accident, this is the result of the two parties working together to shut out any other "competitors".
> The best political party has 1 member?
I would say so, yes, since that's the same as no parties whatsoever.
But, realistically, that's not ever going to happen.
> Im not sure what the point is when you introduce the damage vs good comparison.
The point is that it's common that you have to vote for someone you object to, because if you don't then someone you object to even more is more likely to win.
It would be healthier if it were possible to have candidates that you're actively in favor of instead. But if you don't philosophically align with the Dems or Reps, that's not an option. So every election becomes a depressing expression of futility.
I’m not sure I follow. The elective office isn’t magically conferred to a person, it’s voted on. And arguing about positions and policies is exactly how we decide who is worthy of this office.
> Aggregations of different people over different time with unformed beliefs are meaningless.
Really though? Isn’t that how society has progressed?
I want to understand this comment but all I’m hearing is “why care about policies and people in power, someone’s going to be in office and most voters are clueless anyway”.
> Confusing, "i hate repubs and dems" with "i hate the 2 party system" is a mistake.
Eh, depends on the era. It’s always been a 2-party system and for the present day it’s effectively R+D. Maybe there will be a resurgence of parties like the Know Nothings but for the average person today, it’s the same thing.
> every issue and potential solution is nuanced. By extension, this means that every person outside of the most extremist is nuanced as well.
I think the article has it backwards. It asserts complicated people with uncorrelated beliefs (random vectors) and how impossible the task of self-categorization becomes (i'm so unique that im far from each parties centroid, which of course neglects those who are close to the centroid). This is a fake task. Candidates self-sort into parties to gain nominations by making promises to party insiders and voters choose among candidates during elections. The apparatus of party isn't relevant to the choice in the ballot box. Neither is the alignment of the candidate with the voter. You make a choice A or B. It's only the difference in A vs B not the alignment with A or with B. Alignment is correlated with the difference, sure, but its not the reason to choose A over B.
That's what I meant by the aggregations comment. Parties cover/split voters and the centroid drifts over time. That drift is irrelevant to the task of candidate choice.
For instance, my beliefs are not well represented or even respected in this “two” party system, so I don’t vote. A lot of people are disillusioned with the current power struggle in the US, finding it an ever-increasing joke. Until we get politicians that actually represent and more importantly respect the people, then that won’t change.
So no, saying “I hate the repubs and dems” synonymously with “I hate the ‘two’ party system” is not a mistake. Because they are synonymous.
What's needed is a new politics that is open to compromise and to finding common ground between Ds and Rs so that we can actually get something done on issues like immigration and gun control.
The first item I want to point out is that externally both extant parties (D and R) work hard to force the voter's exercise of choice into a first around the post model: if there are for instance two legislative reps they both run in separate elections. However internally both parties operate delegate systems much the same, and you vote for representatives as a bag (one election): if there are two slots then you cast two votes and the top two vote recipients become the delegates. This is emphatically not ranked-choice voting; I make no comment on the fitness of RCV except that some of the edge cases may be surprising.
The second observation has to do with the nature of differences. Assuming that we can agree that the extreme right favors unfettered capitalism and the extreme left favors unfettered social mores (forgive me): in what calculus is unfettered capitalism the negation of social freedoms and vice versa? It gets a lot more interesting if you rotate the (horizontal) line representing that "continuum" 45 degrees and put it in a box and then label the other two corners "strict economic regulation" and "conservative social mores". Now ask yourself: where do people really lie in those quadrants? (I didn't come up with this, I read an article about it a few years ago and I've come to a greater appreciation for it over time.)
The third observation has to do with an antipattern for consensus building. In this antipattern, a large and diverse body of constituents is divided into smaller groups and told to come up with let's say 5 issues and then they come together and somehow figure out the top "priorities" for the entire body to work on together. The antipattern manifests in that second step due to a flaw in the first one. In most if not all of the smaller groups there will be one tool, the architecture astronaut, who says "save the whales!": the fact that we don't live by the ocean is irrelevant, but in an act of appeasement this one always makes it onto the short list. So at phase 2 according to the antipattern the top fives from all of the small groups are added together aaand "save the whales" ends up at the top of the list. The real politicians who are leading this exercise know exactly what's going on, and this is why real legislative bodies have caucuses: that one group was concerned about sidewalks, another crosswalks, and another about signage is dropped on the floor rather than being resolved in conference to a single concern about pedestrian / vehicle interactions.
So the issue is how to give other parties a seat at the table, and an opportunity to be heard and responded to, without destroying the very stability that has helped us for so long.