Will Texas become too hot for humans?
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I have the same ridiculous conversations over and over with family and friends who still live there. "It's just so miserable here, I don't want to go outside while the sun is up. But ... " "... freedom ... " (friends) or "... I've never lived anywhere else and I don't travel and can't imagine living anywhere else ..." (family).
I read this incredible article by some idiot who moved from San Francisco to Austin and wrote a list of ten LIES he was told. Four of ten were "it is hot here and no one told me that". One was "electricity is actually MORE expensive in Texas". Electricity in Austin was 1/4 the price of what I currently pay in San Francisco per/kwh, but this idiot moved from a 1500sqft house without AC in a moderately cold climate to a 5000sqft house with AC in an extra-hot climate and was surprised that his utility bill increased. Texas is filled with people like that. I don't miss Texas at all.
At wet-bulb temperatures lower than 35C.
"Several of the large agribusiness corporations bought large tracts of Texas wasteland at inexpensive prices and have, at great expense, developed and installed underground irrigation systems..."
--Cyberpunk 2020: Home of the Brave (1992)
Hence the biggest thing about this heatwave, from my perspective, is not that its over 100F. Its always over 100F in the summer in DFW. But its very humid and over 100F in DFW, for a long stretch. That humidity is not normal here, and its not sustainable.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Norther_(weather)
AFAIK Austin, Houston, El Paso and such don't get such rapid temperature changes, especially in the fall.
I left Texas for college, and tried to come back briefly a couple times, but after the city rejected any-and-all attempt to create a non-automotive transit system, and built an express lane on the highway as a solution to traffic, I finally quit for the Bay Area because of the weather and urbanism.
I still think central Texas is a fine place to live if you don't sunburn much and can stand the summers. The springs that flow out of the aquifer are pretty magical, and the land between San Antonio and Austin really makes me nostalgic.
As an aside, Texas not very small, as a country (median of the worlds 194 countries is 768k km^2, Texas is 696km^2.)
So, yes, maybe Gov. Abbott deserves to suffer, and maybe some oil execs do too, but there's plenty of righteous and undeserving people in Texas who never benefited from the fossil fuel industry, but are having to bear the consequences anyway.
We’re just arguing over a quantity of suffering, death, and fiat that is going to be incurred over a window of time at this point.
(Have older extended family in Victoria, Texas that refuses to move; they’re one summer AC failure away from death)
If it's meant to mean a person of right leaning ideologies I guess that's fine, but most of the time it means a poor person of low education who happens to be from flyover country.
It wouldnt be appropriate to have a word for that same person if they were from the east or west coast regardless of race.
It is quite amazing how you in a single sentence manage to say it is fine to slur people with 'right-leaning ideologies' while also using the coastal term 'flyover country' for those areas which the coastal elites assume to be good for nothing more than growing the food they eat but nothing else and certainly not worth visiting - your coastal elite colours are shining through but in contrast to Cindy Lauper's song they are not beautiful.
Believe it or not but there is a lot to be learned and gained from those 'right-leaning ideologies', especially for those coastal elites who use terms like 'flyover country'. Society works best when conservatives (or 'right-wing ideologies') and progressives (or 'left-wing ideologies') keep each other in check to avoid excessive Californication or dogmatic stagnation.
Also I'm personally not left or right,I see a lot of value in some conservative ideas. What I meant is if the word redneck referred to a conservative I don't find it offensive precisely because there's nothing wrong about being a conservative, whereas being poor or not having had access to (quality?) education is clearly a hardship that we should not mock.
That's also going to apply to a lot of people around the world when faced with changing weather patterns and rising sea levels.
Texas has been one of the first to deny this so it is only fitting that they be one of the first to bear the brunt of it's effects.
If you are going to act joyful for the suffering of others, you should at minimum get your justifications correct.
[1] https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=48296 [2] https://www.eia.gov/state/print.php?sid=TX
1 - https://grist.org/project/accountability/excess-emissions-te...
The point above about Texas is probably that their current leaders make claims that reducing greenhouse gases won’t save us from global warming (at this point, no one really denies that global warming and climate change is happening).
> Texas consumes more petroleum than any other state. In 2020, the state ranked third by volume in per capita petroleum use, after Louisiana and Alaska.
> Texas produces more crude oil than any other state and accounted for more than two-fifths (42%) of the nation's production from both onshore and offshore areas in 2022.23 Texas has led all states in crude oil production in every year but one, since at least 1970.24 The state also accounts for more than two-fifths of the nation's crude oil proved reserves and has more than one-fourth of the nation's 100 largest oil fields as measured by reserves.
> ...because hydraulically fractured horizontal wells drilled in both the Permian Basin and the Eagle Ford shale led to increased crude oil production, a surge in production began around 2010 after more than 25 years of gradual decline.29,30 In 2017, Texas oil production exceeded the state's 1972 peak for the first time.
From your source.That is the cost of wind. The amount of petroleum needed to make a wind farm is insanely larger, mostly caused by all the miles and miles of wires they need to be insulated.
But go on…
> Texas is the nation's largest consumer of HGLs, using more than all other states combined. Texas is also the largest consumer of distillate fuel oil, including diesel fuel for highway use, and residual fuel oil.50,51,52 The transportation sector accounts for almost all the rest of the petroleum consumed in the state. The commercial and residential sectors together account for about 1% of petroleum use
Go on...Is it just that the spread of production minus consumption of oil is smaller that that of natural gas?
[^1]: https://sci-hub.se/http://www.nature.com/articles/493012a
[^2]: https://sci-hub.se/https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/scien...
And as pointed out by others, your justifications are the ones lacking.
I hope you’re living a net zero carbon emissions lifestyle in a country with a net zero carbon emissions balance, otherwise, I wish you the very same fate.
There’s oil and gas in Texas because it used to be a warm shallow sea near the equator where trillions of organisms lived and died and found perfect conditions to be cooked into oil over millions of years.
Texas is still somewhat near the equator, the area that is still warm. And thus will get hotter first.
Unless you don’t burn fossil fuels yourself, you do not occupy any sort of moral high ground. Unless you were particularly prescient and entirely saintly, if you owned a piece of land that had a bunch of oil, chances are almost 100% that you would have sold it to the oil companies too.
https://journals.physiology.org/doi/full/10.1152/japplphysio...
Last summer in Europe there's been 38C for weeks in several places/countries. I was on the Atlantic side (for once), not even much south, and had 38C. We were cycling daily (without electric assistance) to the beach, under the sun, and had zero AC at home. It was hot but nobody there died. I used my car once while the rest of the group was cycling because I wanted my car's AC and music but that's it. It was very hard to enter a water at 17C (Atlantic side, huge tides, very cold water there) while the temperature was 38C outside but besides that meh.
Is "100% humidity" a value that even make sense? Spain regularly gets 40C+. I lived in Spain about five months a year for five years straight. 35C is really common there.
So I don't get it: "You can die at 28C with 100% humidity". OK, I don't dispute that.
But where do you get 100% humidity?
For example Morocco / Marrakesh is 41C today. It's pretty normal there.
According to the National Weather Service, "If the relative humidity is 100 percent (i.e., dewpoint temperature and actual air temperature are the same), this does NOT necessarily mean that precipitation will occur. It simply means that the maximum amount of moisture is in the air at the particular temperature the air is at."
https://www.weather.gov/lmk/humidity#:~:text=If%20the%20rela....
It doesn’t need to be too hot every single hour of every single day, but a single event for which you are unprepared could turn averages meaningless.
I think there's going to be more food supply issues than can be solved with simply transporting food (especially to poorer regions).
This article, among a slew of others, are now claiming that's supposed to be lethal? I mean it's uncomfortable, but you're not going to die in that weather in 6 hours. Depending on the season that's a perfectly normal day in many parts of South Asia, and that's been the case for decades.
So, what gives? My first assumption is that the calculator was broken, but another one [3] gave an identical figure.
---
[1] - https://www.calctool.org/atmospheric-thermodynamics/wet-bulb
> At what point the heat becomes unbearable is personal, but a study published in 2010 estimated that a "wet-bulb" temperature of 95F (35C) at 100% humidity, or 115F at 50% humidity is probably as hot as most humans can maintain a healthy core body temperature by sweating.
> But a team of researchers from Penn State University … showed that the upper environmental limit is a lower wet-bulb temperature of 95F (31C) at 100% humidity.
That would be 87.8F.
Fahrenheit is also only used by one country in the entire world: America.
0f is what -15? that really doesn't mean anything meaningfully different then -5c or -20c its all cold and frozen where 0 being where water freezes and you can expect ice means something, as does water boiling at 100.
there is a reason countries who still generally use lots of imperial units have fully switched over to metric temperatures.
Fahrenheit gives you nothing over Celsius and makes literally no sense unless you grew up with it. it does not "align with human senses" in any real meaningful way - the numbers are random and only feel right to you as its what you are used to, just like anyone who grew up with Celsius has adjusted to those numbers, while also getting all the benefits of a logical scale.
Celsius is logical, easy to grasp, provides a number of benefits in many applications, and used by 95% of the people on this planet.
So I’ve yet to hear a good argument for why Fahrenheit is better here, it does not really “relate to humans”. Humans regularly sense, encounter, and use temperatures above 100F so that is not the “endpoint of human sensory perceptions” and in the northern areas going before 0F is common. Not to mention you fridges freezer likely goes below 0F and again you sure can feel the difference between -10c and -20c
so whats next "it matches the typical weather experience of these states in the US therefore its.. better" ? because many states will experience -F and over 100F.
gotta say i do find the mental gymnastics used to defend F pretty funny
20C is about room temperature (22C is about where I like it, 18C at night)
25C is pretty pleasant outside
30C is pretty warm
35C is hot
40C is crazy hot
45C is GTFO
50C is i'm definitely dead, dunno about you
And I'm American, I've just visited enough other countries enough to get a handle on the scale.Firstly, America is a continent, not a country and secondly, there are some other territories such as the Cayman Islands and the Federated States of Micronesia that also use it.
and ok you are right: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fahrenheit#Usage
its the USA, Cayman Islands, and liberia that do not use Celsius so i will rephrase: 95% of the worlds population uses Celsius not Fahrenheit.
there is a reason the entire world uses C
Maybe it's slightly less arbitrary, but it's still very arbitrary.
> there is a reason the entire world uses C.
Again, the fact that C is widely used doesn't mean the scale isn't arbitrary.
0 F is the lowest temperature a saturated mixture of water and ammonium chloride salt freezes at. Adding salts to water depresses the freezing point until you can't absorb any more salt.
100 F was an estimate of human body temperature.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fahrenheit
in agreement with the parent comment, F (1724) is no more or less arbitrary than C (1742). Pick the temperature of two things and divide into 100 parts. Liking one or the other better doesn't make it more or less arbitrary.
there's a lot to recommend SI units of course, it's a very neat system and wonderful how it fits together. but C was invented 50 years before the metric system was proposed and, while convenient, is simply an arbitrary choice, albeit convenient.
F is basically 2 random guesses at what 0 and 100 should be.
C is the difference between water freezing and boiling / 100, at sea level.
F is more arbitrary the C.
C is less arbitrary as the 0 and 100 points are grounded in reality.
I'll assume good intent. F is definitely not two random guesses.
Please read carefully what I posted, F is no more random thah C. It has well defined, but different choices for the two points. The saturated mixture of water and salts is the coldest one can get liquid water to go at 1 ATM which is a reasonable idea for the time period.
And why water? that's choice itself is arbitrary. Why not the triple-point of methane and the temperature of burning magnesium?
Usually "summer" lasts May through October, with July August being the worst of it. here is the high for the next 10 days:
94, 96, 96, 97, 93, 96, 97, 99, 100, 98
(And also address climate change by scalable bio carbon capture and sequestration.)
If Texas becomes too hot for human life, that means you can effectively only survive with air conditioning. Heat also stresses the electrical grid and makes it more difficult to operate power plants which require cooling, i.e., water. The risk of power failure increases exponentially, and those heat waves will translate into death waves. And if Texas becomes too hot for human life, it will also become too hot for most wild life, which usually does not have access to AC. And it will stress the agriculture even further, which will thin out many rural populations. Hard to say what way Texas is heading.
The relative humidity in Houston is 60% right now, making 90F feel like 100F.
It’s easier to cool down by sweating and having that sweat evaporate with a lower relative humidity. Texas has more water in the air than Spain does, exacerbating the heat problem.
Move north, or south, or underground.