Fwiw My most reliable trick ended up piggie-backing off of a physical line going into Hong Kong from Shenzhen, and when roaming around China, using a vpn to get to that shenzhen gateway. As far as I can recall, that always worked. This led me to believe that most of the vpn traffic analysis (and blocking)was done at the edge of the GFW and not inside of it. Again, this could be outdated by now.