Steve Jobs was right: Dropbox is a feature, not a product
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Essentially, I am unconvinced that Apple/Microsoft/whoever wants to write a wonderfully transparent cross-platform experience which might, to an extent, subvert their own core platform.
We can also be confidant DB isn't worth $40 bil yet, but clearly those investors think DB has plans, that they wont just be static and sit where they are at now. I think they're gonna be a big part of pushing the cloud forward, until all we got infront of us are dumb terminals once again. I see these as possibilities, not inevitabilities, but my money is on DB to pull it off.
As I write this, I realize how naively optimistic that sounds. :-\
What Dropbox must accomplish is iCloud-level integration in Android. Pictures, app state, music... it all needs to automatically sync between phone, tablet, and desktop. Dropbox knows this--they're already cutting deals with HTC to be a fundamental part of Sense UI.
But iOS is lost for Dropbox. They will never be able to achieve the kind of deep integration that Apple will build with iCloud.
Also, at the end of your comment, you say "that Apple will build", implying that some of iCloud's deep integration is yet to be delivered. Is this correct, or did you mean something else?
What I think Dropbox should do is offer their API and storage to companies who can brand it as their own for one large fee. Then the company can offer it to their users for free as an incentive to use them, or for a small fee as a cheap integrated cloud storage solution. I'm thinking companies like Verizon would embrace this, or maybe Google for their ChromeBooks.
Admittedly, I'm not certain that this is actually essential as a core element of Dropbox.
"There’s no way, as far as I know, to keep my IM windows synced between devices."
Trillian introduced this feature around a year ago:
http://blog.trillian.im/?p=1949
http://arstechnica.com/software/news/2011/03/hands-on-trilli...
It's sometimes buggy, but it's definitely the first client to offer such a feature.
That’s it and that’s all it needs to be. It doesn’t try to be all flashy and start adding more features on top of a core and proven principle. No it doesn’t need to start syncing screens. It doesn’t need to sync your drive states. It doesn’t need to start syncing your calendar. Etc etc.
It's more akin to a service than a feature. And there's nothing wrong with being a service!