Sacrifice the first 13 years of your life to Google for 2M
gigatexal.blog
gigatexal.blog
Travel the world. Party with friends, within safe limits do sex, drugs and rock and roll.
Get a job at a company you like, learn stuff, educate yourself, better yourself, become an awesome software developer.
Buy a car that's too expensive, crash it, be stuck with the loan for six years.
Try to start your own startup, fail, go back to zero.
Have 20 girlfriends/boyfriends.
Have fun, live life, and at 35 don't sit around regretting that you gave the only youth you'll ever have to online advertising and increasing the ridiculous wealth of Larry and Sergey.
If you do that, you'll have an empty heart where your soul was meant to have been forged.
Here is to taking the reasonable middle road, the one no one writes songs about, but (I think) the one that most often leads to happiness for the average person.
I frittered away large swaths of my 20s, and now, as I try to make up the lost time in my 30s, I often think of an entirely different quote though:
Software development, like professional sports, has a way of making thirty-year-old men feel decrepit.
- Neal StephensonIt's been my experience that Google is a super chill place to work, especially when you take advantage of the fact that you're just one cog among many.
You get 5 weeks pto plus 4 weeks work from anywhere. This year alone I'm going to the Arctic, Antarctica, and the Carribean. Including a 40 day stretch without internet. I couldn't imagine doing the latter in a startup.
And all the while getting paid and having the comfort to make plans knowing that I'll (probably) continue to do so in the future.
I read a blog on world traveling here once. A person did that for years and then realized that she was now a bartender with no valuable skills. She only had "experiences".
I made some good judgement calls and I've worked for decent companies where I'm not on a treadmill chasing every dollar; I'm still well paid to the point where I go on multiple holidays per year, own a majority of my own home, paid cash for our decent cars, and my wife has taken extended maternity leave because we can cope fine without her salary. AND I got to enjoy the shit out of those years.
No way in hell I'd trade that for the two million.
I've got a 14-year-old Honda that I paid $14K for. That amortizes out to about $1K/year. Annual repair bills and smog checks are still way less than $1K/year (I think I spend amortized $200-300/year, plus vehicle registration renewal, which is less on super old cars than new). I hear there are people out there now who spend $1K/month on their car payment. It's pretty nice to not have to deal with that.
It's got plenty of life left too - I'm hoping to keep it until EV technology stabilizes a bit and then just upgrade straight to whatever EV gets it right.
Then supply chain stuff exploded and rates went up but it'll come around again eventually.
You could pay $50k for an average new car, or $10K + $40K over 5 years at 5% (~$5k extra in interest)
If you put that $40k into the stock market, average annual returns for the S&P500 are ~10% going back to 1928, so you would have made ~$24k over 5 years on average. That would put you ~$19k ahead after you pay off the loan with interest.
You could certainly buy at the wrong time and lose out by taking a loan. There are plenty of +/-30-40% years in those "average" stock market metrics. But historically it's been a pretty good bet if you're a gambling sort.
Ok.
Hey, different strokes for different folks.
I retired this year at 40 after a high demand career. I gave up a lot, but did manage to have a family and friends, though my health is completely trashed (big reason for the retirement).
I wouldn't recommend doing it now, simply because "past performance does not equal future results". Joining Google in 2009 was an awesome move; the stock has roughly 15x'd since then. Joining Google in 2023 will probably not result in the same performance. Tech companies have this pattern of growing and growing and growing and then...dying. Just ask anyone that worked at Silicon Graphics in the 80s, Apple or Sun Microsystems in the 90s, or Yahoo in the 2000s. It's unlikely that Google will have the same growth or compensation in the 2020s that it did in the 2000s and 2010s.
It's hard not knowing the future. AMD would be a cool place to work if they turned things around, but you don't get the same upside if you join after they've managed to turn things around.
Microsoft under Nadella is a good example. Nvidia or OpenAI I'd argue might be an anti-example: most of the excitement for their stock seems to be because of the hype around AI, and they're already incredibly richly valued, while a true sleeper hit usually has much more subtle signs. (When I went to work for Google in 2009, my previous boss told me "Didn't you miss the boat already on that one?")
You will live in a HCOL area, be around people with much more money, start thinking it is normal to spend 3M on a house, buy stupid things because it doesn't really impact your savings, making so much money will become a source of pride and make you feel good about yourself, and suddenly 2M will seem barely enough to keep up with the social circle you are now part of.
You won't quit and keep chasing the next dollar.
Might as well say invest in bitcoin. Or GameStop.
There is no evidence we’ll see the same stock market growth over the next 15 years that we did over the last 15 years. Same with land inflation.
That's still not bad, though. Graduate at 22, having banked a decent bit of savings already from 2 or 3 Big Tech internships. Make L5 by 26, coast for 5-10 years, and then call it a wrap. Invest in real estate as soon as humanly possible during that time, and scale out the real estate portfolio at the same time as the brokerage account and the 401k.
If I were to do it again, that'd surely be the fastest way to go.
Then again, if I were to actually do it all again, I'd love to do it all entirely differently. Maybe become a carpenter or something.
Ha Ha! That really is pretty funny, and extremely telling of who actually is reading this stuff.
Thrust me millenials, you still have a long way to go... What you're calling "all grown up" is still not even into middle age.
But, the gist of the article does survive a forensic analysis even decades after the age of this author: discovering compound interest at a young age is indeed a major source of accruing financial success.
Of course, for most people this can't really be taught. I've been trying to tell my mid-20s son to invest 20% of his take home into a ROTH for years. Trust me, there is no satisfaction in being told "yes, you were right" once it's too late...
THIS!
I didn't listen to my parents when they tried to teach this to me, and I wish I had. If I had, I would not only be wealthier, but would have lived a happier life too.
I picked up on it in my late 30s, and while it still served me well, it would have served me exponentially better if I'd listened to my parents in my teens.
I wouldn't do it for two reasons. First, it would be working at Google (which is a work environment I would very much dislike). And second, I have a temperament that allows me to start businesses. My first profitable business was five years of working (admittedly) more than 80 hours a week. I personally made a little more than $2M from it.
That return wasn't monetarily worth my sacrifices, but if we're talking about giving up my life for money, I'd do that instead of doing it for someone else's company.
All of which is to say that everyone is different! Just, to me, the question was "am I willing to not have a happy life for 13 years in exchange for $2M". No, I'm not. If the alternative is a life of making minimum wage, but living, I'd do that.
My bullshit tolerance is extremely low.
The only reason I work at BigTech now (at 49) was because the recruiter suggested a remote position in cloud consulting with no on call.
When I do leave here, it will probably be for a smaller company.
I didn’t have millions in the bank to make that decision. I was working for a small startup that offered 5 weeks PTO.
But you know what they did? They have been married for 50+ years never seemed to be overly stressed about their jobs, lived in the same house since 1978 (which they expanded in 2006) and retired at 55.
Society is what it is. Most of us will need to earn a living at a company and have a life in addition. Our goal should be to make the best of every day. Believe it or not having a job is a actually a plus but you have to balance it along with the other parts of your life. Too much of anything is a problem. We need balance in our lives.
I would not give up those years for anything - especially not an adTech company.
I stumbled into my first BigTech job at 46 and did this in 2022.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36306966
I have no regrets.
Funny how Atlanta vacuums up everyone in the south and good to hear there’s life after Atlanta.
1. Firstly how is it 4.6k / month, it should be more like 8-9k per month. I work in Seattle which is lower tax but also lower base and I get 8k per month as a new grad. So no you can easily save 4K a month, not 1.2k. The authors numbers are closer to that of a grad student that I also was.
2. Next, the main thing this article gets wrong, no you’re not going to become a principal engineer in Google in 16 years. L5 is terminal in Google, though with recent level inflation, a smart ambitious grad can reach L6 in 6-8 years (though much longer is common). Anything beyond that is not guaranteed, even if you spend long hours working very hard. Google is annoying in the sense that the promotion is far more political than it needs to be with a committee and whatnot that I often find it to be a shitshow but even if you take a much more results oriented company like say Apple, going beyond ICT5 is not easy. As an engineer the main thing that gets you promoted, is either solving a really hard technical challenge that the rest of the organization was struggling with. By definition these problems are hard, long hours won’t solve them. You also need to have an intuition of what’s solvable and what’s not, there are a class of technical problems in the organization which might essentially be impossible to solve with the current knowledge we possess and you can easily waste years of your life with nothing to show. I see few people who rise up like this and they are all exceptionally brilliant. The second way, more doable for the average engineer is to bring a product to the masses that’s moderately to highly successful. This requires luck, timing the market and good management skills to get something out there, you need to be the reason Google chrome exists etc. Both these pathways require more than just hard work, they require you to pick up a lot of skills and most importantly they also require luck. Sometimes you can be brilliant, use the right strategy etc and still have your product fail/ not solve the problem.
TLDR; going beyond L6 is not easy and most won’t reach there in their career
I have 9 year old kiddo, and I'm 40. I don't believe it's worth it - working your ass off for 1-2M, especially when real money is evaporating from your accounts: chicken I was buying a couple of years ago for $8-9 today costs $17-19.
My plan is to make a successful business. I have a couple of ideas, and one of my patents is in progress at the time of writing. A good friend of mine managed to get millions (air conditioners alone at the top of his roof cost 1M), so I believe it's possible when you think outside the box. Working for FAANG is inside the box.
I don't believe being engineer working for someone is a way to go, especially when companies like Google lay you off at the time when you're most vulnerable. Good luck paying off your mortgage on time when you're in 50-60-ies.
Then you simply sell a tiny fraction of your chicken farm, and use that money to buy a chicken.
That way you can preserve your chicken buying power through the years, rather than having a guaranteed -2% return on your money.
If you get $193k/year, you don’t actually have to live like a grad student to save money :)
The calculator he is using defaults to "semi-monthly" which I guess is twice a month. So you can double the money available before expenses which means a lot more after expenses.
$10320/mo lets you have slightly more than $400/mo of fun while still saving quite a bit of money.
(I also take exception to $300/mo for utilities and $200/mo misc for someone trying to run their way up the Google ladder. We’re talking about people who are pretty serious about technology and who live in California where utility prices are nuts.)
Also don't forget the side effects of early retirement: you "age" faster as most of your companions during the day will be actually retired people. You will loose the connection to your working friends etc...
I didn't see any mention about doing what you are passionate about. Maybe it was implied by the result: save 2 million dollars, startup with no prior experience of doing so, instant success because $$$, then die of cancer because you ate nothing but ramen for 15 years?
You do you, but there is so much more to life - so many mistakes to be made - than living like Gladiator so you can be "retired", whatever that's supposed to mean.
If you want to make software, do it because you love it. If you want to make coffee, do it because you love it.
Love your family. Love your neighbor. Love yourself. You may die poor (maybe not!), but you will surely die very happy.
Maybe they are passionate about eating ramen and making bank
In retrospect, maybe I also should have chosen to make $200k USD a year for my entire working life. The choices we make, huh
And if you're taking all of your interest each year, it's not growing. $2M and $80k/yr might sound OK in 2023, but by 2040... it won't be.
Yes, the median salary in 2023 is 80k, and if you spend 100% of your interest, you'll average that. Now how does that $80k look in 20 years? Is it still the median? Or is it approaching bottom quintile?
At 400K the rule of thumb is that a mortgage shouldn’t be more than 3.5x your gross income - that’s still less than the $120K that the parent poster said would cause you to live in a “rural area”.
Even so, a lot has changed since 2016! A $335k house is $500k or more now. Which is the entire point I am trying to help you understand: even if you think the money is ok TODAY, when discussing 20-30+ years of retirement, you have to think about how well it will be in the future.
With places like Forsyth going from $350k to $500k houses in about 6 years, you can only imagine how inflation will eat away at your $80k.
On a side note, one of my sons best friends (a white guy) did help me prank the school administrator in high school when I went to pick my son up and they assumed my (step) son was my son because “he looks just like me” and I said I “didn’t know who that guy was (my son)” and his friend overheard the conversation and ran up to me and said “Dad!”
But back on topic as long as you stay out of the inner part of Forsyth (Cumming) you will find a lot of northern expats and professionals moving to Forsyth and while it’s still conservative, it’s more of a Bush/Romney “conservative” than what is the Republican Party today.
I haven’t seen any MAGA signs, any mention of the culture wars, and none of the “we see a strange Black man breaking into a house by using a garage door opener and driving in”.
Compound interest is not magic, it can only exist if the real economy is growing.
I'm always feeling steered away
By someone trying to tell me
What to say and do, I don't want it
I gotta go find my own way
I gotta go make my own mistakes
Sorry man for feeling
Feeling the way I doSoon, everyone will be a Principal Engineer, like everyone is a VP at a bank.
I say this in jest as a Mormon of sorts.