Raising funding as a first-time founder
joel.is
joel.is
Generally speaking, someone with a track record will have an easier time getting funded with a shitty product/service than a first time founder who has a great product/service, will have a more difficult time 9/10 times.
The strange this about this is that a 'track record' seems to be loosely defined. In SV, it seems like if you're associated with a success story as an employee you will also have an easier time raising money than a first timer. So working for a funded startup can be helpful.
I am wondering if anyone has stats that shows it is better to invest in someone with a "track record" vs someone who is going at it for the first time. Seems like hitting it out of the park twice is rare unless you are the the "lucky" exception, which doesn't seem to happen often.
All in all, I think the easiest way to decide whether to invest or not is... traction.
The incubators and investors we've talked to seem undeterred by our presence of a product without traction, but the equity they're seeking puts us more on par with a couple guys with an idea. It makes sense, but the low valuation means we're now looking at consulting options and other means to build out enough infrastructure to attract paying customers.
I don't regret the route we've taken (yet) and I'm excited to see how creative we can get, but it is interesting to see our experience eloquently presented by someone else and some reasons why. It's obvious now, but like most obvious thing it wasn't obvious until it was.
If you think it's really that great, you should jump in, slash your expenses to the floor, and work 100 hours per week. Particularly if you have no family / kids to take care of; you can afford a greater level of risk.
If it's not that great, consider not doing it at all. Save your investment (time, money, heart, etc) for something better that will inevitably come along.
If you're not willing to suffer intensely, if necessary, for what you're building, it might not be the right thing to dedicate your time to. Sometimes it takes an extreme amount of sweat to get to the finish line, you have to factor that in if you're going to run the race.
If you can find a part-time job with relatively high wages per hour and some flexibility, that's a good compromise between working a full time day job and being completely unemployed.
Depending on your personal risk tolerance and risk attitude, you can supplement/replace your part-time income with savings or credit.
If you're really creative, you can do something akin to Airbnb's cereal stunt to raise money. :-p
Again, the answer to this question is going to vary depending on your situation, and even for the same situation, people will have different advice based on their own experiences and values.
I think there are a lot of variables involved, such as how much you value your current job vs. your passion and belief in the product you're personally trying to develop, as well as how much technical expertise you already have in the problem domain.
There may never come a time when I feel completely comfortable with the thought of losing the day job, but this makes the most sense to me right now.
Good luck!
However, during day job you can do a lot of market research and customer development and get to the point that you are confident that startup will succeed (or at least it will not fold immediately). Basically, find customers first (use demos and prototypes) then build a product.
And what I found out is that some people will actually stick with you as customers/users even if your product sucks - they believe in you. In other words, finding some normal people to believe in you and what you are doing is much easier that finding investors who believe in you.
You can absolutely raise a strong seed round from high profile investors without either traction or a strong track record. I know because I've done it.
You have to compensate with either a great product that you've already built or an ok product with a great concept of where it can go. As a founder you have to be able to craft that storyline and make it believable. It's extremely possible.
He's saying that first-timers (generally!) have pretty crappy odds of closing quickly, with good terms, and with top-tier investors.
I believe the odds / luck factor can be substantially altered in a favorable way by having at least an above average product to show off, combined with a vision for where you're going to take it.
Most good investors will spot very quickly whether your product is crap or not; they'll obviously size you up based on what you say, how you act, your confidence in your product and vision for it, and so on. If you have it, they'll see it, but you've gotta have a product to show off and you have to speak confidently to where you're taking it and how. You've gotta sell the investor on you + the product + the future.
Do those things, and any investor worth having will take notice regardless of your background or traction.
If you have an "above-average product to show off", the first question any investor is going to ask is, "how are people liking it?". If you have a lot of satisfied users, you have traction! If not, having the completed "above-average" product does two bad things:
(a) it gives the investor an easy "out" ("let's work on getting you in front of users and see how that goes"), and
(b) it creates a signaling problem ("great looking product; no paying users; what's wrong with this idea?").
All that aside, I've done the VC tour a couple times, once in the first bubble and once out of it, and my experience has been that without a thrumming business already built, it's all about your track record. If you've made money for investors recently, they'll pay attention. Otherwise, they'll string you along.
Sometimes people get lucky. It's possible to flop 7-7-2. That doesn't mean it's a good idea to go all in on pocket 7-2. Courting investors is tremendously expensive. It probably does make some sense to divert some or all of that effort into building up a business instead.
I see the funding numbers everywhere but rarely see how much equity was given away in the transaction.
For a $400k seed round, it'll usually be a convertible note-- nowadays usually with a cap (reading: http://startuplawyer.com/convertible-notes/the-convertible-n...).
Here's Fred Wilson's take on Founder dilution: http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/02/founder-dilution-how-much-is...