Electric cars are better for the environment, no matter the power source
popsci.com
popsci.com
For the remaining trips not covered by the above, aka the exception case, using cars. Most car trips can even be PHEV and our non-freight transportation emissions would be substantially lower.
Even in the worst case scenario of everyone having to drive, PHEVs are a much better option as we transition to a fully society EV. I’m disappointed that most car manufacturers are trying to go through this all or nothing mindset of jumping directly from Gas to EV. A large portion of the population drives less than 50miles a day so a PHEV with ~50miles or range would make a huge dent in our emissions.
Complexity is often cited as the reason for not adopting PHEV, and I think that’s an easy scapegoat, as humans we’ve solved many complex at scale, if we can build massive fleets of Priuses over decades, why can’t we build more of them with a slightly larger battery.
I’ve also heard the economics don’t work out argument against PHEV, and we could say the same thing about EVs, they’re cool now but can we manufacture, and recycle enough batteries to keep up with demand?
EVs are heavy, Can we maintain road infrastructure that was built using fuel consumption taxes, for lighter weight cars?
Taking these concerns into consideration, I feel that PHEVs are awesome and we should all demand more of them, they are lighter than EVs, cause significantly less emissions and are a wonderful bridge technology that improves the car trips that we do need to take.
I ended up getting a cheap petrol car instead. I’d still prefer to take the train, but it costs several times more than the petrol.
Even using LNG as fuel they're behind.
The only place I see gas cars still winning is short range with hybrids.
My commute is £40 by train and £15 for petrol. With two people in the car, it’s even worse.
EV reduces really a lot of moving and maintenance heavy parts, it is a game changer on its own. Double complexity and cram both into half the space, making maintainability even worse? I'm not sure, if use case allows would always choose EV by large margin now; we can manage (mostly) everything, but all has tradeoffs, and less complexity always better from lot of perspectives.
(Totally aside, almost every manufacture has both approaches available, not?)
Regarding weight, yes. Electric cars weigh more than comparable ICE cars. But it’s pretty rich how this is such a large concern when the target is electric vehicles, and not the ever-increasing size of vehicles (especially American) people are buying. A Nissan Leaf is still far lighter than a gas powered F-150—the top selling “car” in the US.
[1] https://www.autoweek.com/news/a38225037/how-much-you-should-...
There a very good reasons other than environmental to free ourselves from the oil scourge.
I would rather focus our efforts on improved density so that most people will choose walking, transit or bicycles as means of transport. These ways to move around our towns are also "better for the environment".
Human population, the sociology of capitalism, industrialised consumerism, the unscalability of communities problem (both established structural debt and newer dysfunctional debt) and the consumerist voting fallacy ("I will vote with my money").
If there were fewer people, if there were less industrial-scale consumerism, if communities were scalable, if consumers were in fact globally engaged as purchasers and voting citizens...
I have heard an environmental scientist say that the order of responsible choices from worst to best is:
= buy an ICE vehicle
= buy a zero-emission EV
= DO NOT buy a vehicle
Of all the difficult sociological challenges that could certainly bring change, it seems that those likeliest to change are the human population (fewer) and zero-emission vehicles (more).
Maybe increased density is relevant for some US cities, but European ones should definitely lower their density considerably. Most European cities are dead zones for anything but rats and pigeons, and people fare similarly badly.
The higher the density the less actual Nature needs to be bulldozed over for development. See:
* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cO6txCZpbsQ&t=9m28s
Fifteen minutes pedalling in one direction is downtown, fifteen minutes in the other is farm land.
By have more people in a given land area, the remaining land area can be left alone.
Too small living quarters are the problem, not the density.
How would you improve density if you aren't shrinking the space people live in?
Why would the inner city need to be a "concrete hellscape"? You can have decent density without 'concrete hellscapes'. The Oh the Urbanity channel has a video on the (misguided/misinformed) idea that "urban living" = Manhattan / Hong Kong apartment blocks:
* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BCmz-fgp24E
Want a front yard, back yard, and garage (attached to a laneway)? Plenty of that was built pre-WW2:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Streetcar_suburb
* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MWsGBRdK2N0&t=1m8s
Examples (Streetview):
* https://www.google.com/maps/place/125+Hampton+Ave,+Toronto,+...
* https://www.google.com/maps/place/50+Geoffrey+St,+Toronto,+O...
* https://www.google.com/maps/place/70+Jackman+Ave+Toronto,+ON
Even when the "surrounding land" is a 15-20 minute bicycle ride away, or a hoping on a train to smaller a little farther away (or perhaps have train stations at Nature preserves)?
Or perhaps green spaces like New York's Central Park or Toronto's Leslie Street Spit:
* https://tommythompsonpark.ca/about/
* https://www.google.com/search?as_q=Leslie+Street+Spit&as_st=...
regularly interspersed between housing. Toronto used to have a number of rivers/ravines that got filled in for housing:
* https://www.blogto.com/city/2014/02/5_lost_rivers_that_run_u...
People need a green outlook out of their windows, surrounding greenery is linked to various kinds of psychological goodness. Having to commute to an overcrowded, dirty, needle-ridden park or outskirt somewhere isn't an option.
And for wildlife, continuous bands of greenery and routes of migration with only small interruptions (like street crossings) are necessary. Isolated islands are almost useless.
There are many places in the Midwestern US where there will never be density and the people there don't want it. In those places, people drive everywhere. Shouldn't we try and make their transportation less damaging to the environment? Public transportation isn't practical there due to the size of the area and the lack of density (which won't change).
It's easier to give people better tools than it is to try and change how they live their entire lives.
We can and should do both. When density increases smaller electrical vehicles, some entirely charged by solar on their roof, become practical. They are much lighter, use a lot less resources than a standard car, travel somewhat slower and generally ameliorate car problems, while being just as practical: usable in all weather, having cargo carrying capacity. Bikes and walking will always have these sorts of limitations.
Whether you look at manufacturing, sourcing of battery materials (which get recycled), energy production needed to power the vehicles, it all boils down to EVs being far better than gas powered vehicles.
Why is that? Kwh for kwh, EVs are just far more frugal with the energy. Petrol contains lots of energy, most of that is converted into vibrations, heat, noise, etc. And a little of it propels the vehicle forward. EVs produce a bit of heat, very little noise (tire friction mostly), and convert most of their power into forward motion and can actually recover some of the energy when you slow down through regenerative breaking.
Even if you use brown coal, which is a nasty fuel, to power an electricity plant, about half of it turns into energy and most of that ends up being used for useful things by the car. It gets more miles per kwh worth of CO2 emitted relative to ice vehicles. If you add the emissions needed to produce the vehicle (which you'd also have to do for an ICE car), it boils down to any difference being eliminated by this within 1 or 2 years of the vehicle hitting the road. Even if it is a bit more co2 emissions to produce the vehicle (which is debatable), the difference is wiped out early in the life of the vehicle by it just being more efficient. After that every year the vehicle manages to not break down, which as it turns out is mostly quite long, it just gets better.
Why is this important? One of the many myths that people keep rehashing, is that EVs are more polluting than gas guzzlers. This article attempts to rectify that. Of course, there's a lot of good work being done in the EV industry to improve things further. Cheaper batteries with less exotic metals, more efficient motors without rare earths, recycled materials, using renewables to power rapid chargers, etc. But even without all that, EVs are already cleaner.
How we get there will be a combination of public transit, elecctric transportation, shared vehicles, and bicycles.
But the US has more than 278 million vehicles on the road and trucks are the most popular type of vehicle.[1]
The change to a zero-emission strategy will take more than one generational cycle.[2]
[1] _ https://www.forbes.com/advisor/car-insurance/car-ownership-s...
[2] _ https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/tailpipe-greenhouse-gas-em...
There are now a few companies either ripping them apart and building powerwalls for residential uses from them and a commercial company that is simply racking old tesla batteries for grid storage. There is quite a lot of demand for cheap power storage and just because 20% capacity has been lost hasn't made them useless and most of these uses don't need 1C charge/discharge.
Solar and Wind is now a lot cheaper than using fossil fuels and its taking over at an increasing rate and a lot of the charging of EVs happens overnight too. Power needs are otherwise at their minimum overnight and this usually means less carbon dense sources as peak power tends to be the dirtiest.
Most recent EVs have warranties of eight years or 100,000 miles. Reason: manufacturers know it is extremely unlikely for any issues to emerge with the drive train during this time. Tesla was talking about the million mile battery during battery day a few years ago. A bit over 3000 cycles would get you there. It's a very realistic target.
What that means practically is that the drive train survives the car typically.
Right now, if you live in rural areas and need to travel a lot, electric is not yet good. I have heard in some places in the US, people need to travel close to 200 miles one-way to get to a hospital.
Also, new cars are way to expensive for me. Until the price drops to around 15000 USD, I will be driving old used cars. My current vehicle is 17 years old. Plus I get the benefit of not having it repaired at the dealership and no telemetry.
For non-US people, getting a car repaired at a dealership can be as high as 4x the price at your local gas station.
This seems like it would be the extreme end of rural living in the US, but certainly some people live in those places. And yes obviously the EV range would not work that well for them currently...but what is the point of calling this out?
Basically, your current situation is that what you are spending on fuel and repairs to keep your old car going would probably add up to a nice second hand EV pretty quickly. Also, I hope you don't get any medical emergencies and have to rely on a 17 year old car being able to drive 200 miles (which is a big ask). And if it breaks down, it indeed can get expensive. It's a good reason to not go on long journeys with cars that old. That and the fact that the fuel efficiency is pretty terrible for such cars generally.
You should be able to get a nice second hand EV for around 15K. It won't be the latest and greatest but you might find e.g. an old Nissan Leaf or something similar for that kind of money. You might reasonably expect to spend a lot less on fuel and repairs than you currently are. Do the math, I would suggest. Don't get too hung up on the range either. If you really do that 200 mile journey a lot with your 17 year old car, you are a brave man. More likely is that you rarely do that and given that you are so cost conscience about getting something better, your time is pretty cheap too meaning that a charging stop on your rare longer journeys shouldn't be the end of the world for you either. It all boils down to how much that is worth to you.
Last time was 400 before the pandemic, and in another month or so I will do it again. It use to be a rather regular occurrence before pandemic. But now it will start up to about 2 to 3 times a year. FWIW, where I am going the closest public charger is about 20 to 30 miles away.
All you need is a good mechanic and keep it well maintained. And were I live there are plenty of medical services, were I visit they are few and far between.
I for one am pretty pumped for the future and excited for all the things to come. We should be aware of how we use our resources but it should not stop innovation.
> we cut the population in 75%+ and go back to some kind of agrarian lifestyle?
This seems to assume a population control will directly lead to an agrarian life. That may happen as a secondary effect. Some people (me included) think that won’t. It is a controversial subject but we’re definitely moving forward through the Overton window. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window
The past 250 years of innovation are a direct consequence of not really minding about how we use our natural resources and most of the associated externalities. There's still no sign of any meaningful decoupling, fossil fuels consumption keeps increasing. We had a chance with nuclear maybe and mostly blew it.
If you think you have a real solution apart from the fact that nobody wants to adopt it, then what you actually have is a fantasy. It’s far easier to imagine a paradise than to construct one.
The fact that they are simply better than the alternative in multiple dimensions has rapidly accelerated the transition.
It's kick started an arms race in battery production that's already delivered cheap batteries suitable for bikes, busses, large trucks and now flight, which will in turn be a leap forward for cars.
Meanwhile, the amount of batteries available for integrating renewables is turning into a surge, which lets us roll out more and cheaper renewables.
It's multiple, positive, reinforcing cycles even before you get to the reduction in local pollution, less brake dust, the ability to produce smaller cars, solar roofs, longer lasting vehicles, and a bunch of other good stuff.
So has anyone else followed all the links on this? Are they adequately accounting for the toxicity/environmental degradation from processing end of life lithium batteries, or is there magical thinking that somehow that process will become a lot better by the time a significant number of batters will need to be recycled? Are they accounting for the cost of the massive electric grid expansion needed to support this or are they obviously underestimating this? The article talks about trips to the mechanic like it is an environmental benefit rather than solely a cost benefit, but doesn't do the same on the drawback of the 20-30% cost premium for all electric vs ICE.
It seems like we are forcing a change prematurely with propaganda which isn't very smart because it sucks the life out of better alternatives given the current technology level. I.e. it would seem pretty obviously better to be spending political capital on changing zoning and building codes so that all the new construction, renovation, road building, etc. pushes cities to be more like Amsterdam and Stockholm (among others) going forward and have the transition to all electric take an extra decade or two as a result. That would directly convert car trips into bike trips and walking, which destroys even electric cars on the environmental benefit scale and could convert 20-30% of trips after a few decades of change. This would also have the large benefit of having the bulk of electric cars change over using later technology which should be more efficient and be a lot better for the environment (i.e. using sodium ion batteries or something even better).
Right, so production costs twice as much Co2 (and ignoring other environmental affects), but that's ok because of the net saving considering what it's replacing... but wait we aren't replacing because of range anxiety, we are augmenting... so it's not better?
These are the author's own arguments, its not consistent.
China is now manufacturing EVs with sodium ion batteries instead of lithium ion. What is the difference between CO2 between lithium ion and sodium ion batteries?
And while voluntary contraception has a lesser effect than compulsory contraception (obviously, I'd guess), it has an effect.
Hundreds of kilos of lithium per car ending up in the water table per improperly processed end of life vehicle. Periodic burning down of entire boats transporting them across the oceans. Occasional burning down of houses with integrated garages.
They've been a really effective way to persuade a lot of people to get rid of the car they already have, the environmental cost of constructing it already spent, and get a new one instead with a whole new cost. Just after we've got the old school petrol systems running reasonably cleanly too.
That's nowhere near the current consensus. I think it'll be really obvious in about a decade.
As opposed to the not-ecological disaster of ICE cars?
The perfect is the enemy of the good: as long as we're stuck with cars (at least in short- or medium-term), let's perhaps consider the less sucky option.
You're not really stuck with cars in any term. Both redesigning cities and building transport is a multi year programme. The HEV will prevent the perfect solution, in the opposite of the parable.
So for the existing housing stock, we'll just evict people from the low-density ex/suburbs, bulldoze entire neighbourhoods, and rebuild them at higher density?
I'm all for building new in a better way, but there's a lot of legacy out there.
1. The old batteries are ripped apart into their individual 18650 batteries, tested and then repurposed into lower capacity/charge/discharge powerwalls and other uses.
2. There is a commercial company buying the second hand batteries and racking them for grid storage.
3. The lithium is being recycled for the batteries that have lost too much or shorted because its commercially viable to do so.
Batteries are immensely valuable now and getting more so as is the material and there is a economic value in their reuse and recycling and that is happening at enormous scale.
That thing is mixed with some advanced polymers and the metal (be that manganese or cobalt) is hard to extract from this. The process to recycle them is going to be extremely dirty and solvent laden.
And you do have to mine the cathode materials...