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As soon as that becomes viable, they'll act to keep people on OSX.If you think that (even with a fully parity with say Ubuntu on Intel Asahi) people would move to Linux on their Mac on any number enough to even raise an eyebrow (much less worry) Apple, you are delluding yourself.
People buy Macs to run macOS. A very tiny minority buys Macs to run Linux on. A slightly larger (but still insignificant) minority will convert an old Mac laying around to Linux.
It's enough to get a project like Asahi support, not enough to make even a 1% dent on Apple's software/services ecosystem bottom line (the hardware side is the same, as those people are still buying a Mac anyway).