Unless all the planet does is make silicon wafers; no.
Unless all the planet does is make silicon wafers; no.
My back of the napkin basically suggested that silicon production would need to 4x and fab capacity 4x (neither of which are happening) and NVDA with would have to capture all of that to justify their current price. I didn't bother writing it up, just looked at it mostly because I was on the wrong side of that play. It's something worth considering for sure.
(n.b. that's really good work on your end and I agree with your conclusion, just idly musing about the thing that bugs me, what the heck all these non-leading edge fabs are going to do)
It seems to me that yes while a 200 P/E may be high, they certainly could keep increasing the prices on the already high margin datacenter products, of which get quickly gobbled up by companies no matter what price they are because of the immense demand.