This is like equating swimming in the middle of the atlantic with swimming at your local leisure center.
I would bet that people who are predisposed to e.g. schizophrenia are, for the most part, going to experience some insult that makes it come on at some point before 30 years old. It's just a question of when, where, what, but it'll happen.
I bet the group of people who could develop schizophrenia were they to experience the right insult, but don't, is very small.