> 14% - that's the first time i've seen a hard number like that. It's significant.
On the other hand, "zero or small negative effects on the most experienced/most able workers".
In other words, if you're skilled, there's nothing AI can do for you…
On the other hand, "zero or small negative effects on the most experienced/most able workers".
In other words, if you're skilled, there's nothing AI can do for you…
To be concrete about it, I recently ported a project from SwiftUI on iOS (an ecosystem I am very comfortable with) to an Android app written in Kotlin (an ecosystem I mostly dread). I don't find ChatGPT very helpful with my day-to-day Swift stuff, but it was incredibly helpful with the Android work, from language syntax to idioms to outright translation of code.
I tried using the Bing chat interface, and it repeatedly pushed me in the direction of using Microsoft tools to accomplish tasks for a cross-compile mid tier solution. I had to explicitly tell it to exclude them.
In areas where I'm an expert, I find myself correcting ChatGPT constantly. But for a language I want to learn, it's been really helpful to get me started on a simple algorithm or debug an error message.
Think about that…
I don't think you grasp how this will play out over multi-game
What matters is which of these strategies will result in actual success. This is honestly far too hard to tell at this point.
I'll say here, I've spoken to and spent time with a few well known billionaires and I'd say deep down, they are exterminists no matter how nice a face they try to put on it. Over time they just come to believe most people don't matter at all. Its really dark, and the sooner we come to terms with that the better.
While I agree with your assessment on wage pressure, the folks this is going to hurt the most are the new graduates that don't have the knowledge or experience. Their competition just got a whole lot stiffer.
It benefits two groups the most, someone with literally zero experience and experts.
In practice, my coworkers call me to find and then explain solutions to them.
I don’t see this changing with AIs. Having a “super Google” is great… for people already comfortable with such tools and capable of using them.
My coworkers will now ask me to ask the AI… on their… behalf.
OMG! I’m going to turn into Lieutenant Tawny Madison: https://chat.openai.com/share/0efbca4d-9e33-4af0-9ed6-2f8821...
Just think of when Photoshop 4.0 added layers and now composing was for everyone, not just for those venturing into channel operations… (To be fair, here, things got much easier even for those who managed previously without this.)
If the task you are working on is phone support. If you are a dev, you are perpetually learning new things, it's not possible to memorise the whole field so AI would have more opportunity to help.
> "Customer support agents using an AI tool to guide their conversations saw a nearly 14 percent increase in [overall] productivity, with 35 percent improvements for the lowest skilled and least experienced workers, and zero or small negative effects on the most experienced/most able workers... [out of] 5,000 agents working for a Fortune 500 software company."
AI quality is somewhere in the middle between highly skilled and neophyte (at present anyway).
Yet...