Automatic emergency braking should become mandatory, feds say
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
Now I drive a 27 year old car that has none of these 'features'. It does what I tell it to and when I tell it to, it doesn't phone home, and has no touch screen, but old fashioned buttons.
If the government wants to immediately improve car safety they should outlaw touchscreens instead.
If you’re talking about other automatic steering features, that’s very different, and your comment makes more sense to me.
One time I was driving behind someone under otherwise normal conditions, and they turned right into a parking lot. As they turned right, they obviously began exiting the road. The screen on my car screamed "BRAKE!" and then the braking system activated. They were about 60% of the way into the parking lot, and continuing to exit. I was at a normal following distance, going a normal speed, and they were just making a right into a parking lot. This was a very ordinary situation, and the emergency warning was unexpected.
Now, technically, if that car had completely stopped for some reason instead of continuing to exit, I guess I could have hit the back corner of the bumper. That is, if I hadn't, you know, shifted a couple feet to the left to avoid it.
Ironically, the emergency braking alarm was so distracting that it might have caused me to hit the car in front of me if the brakes hadn't activated, and if I had needed to steer to avoid an accident.
And if the person behind me hadn't seen my brakes suddenly activate, they might have hit me. Or, if the person behind them hadn't seen their brakes activate, they might have hit them. And so on.
Each time it happens my immediate reaction is "what the hell is wrong with my car" before I see the "BRAKE" on the dash or heads up display and realize this happened yet again. I'm surprised I haven't been rear ended on account of it yet.
If, instead, we kept the roads the same, then congestion would increase, and with it, accidents.
There is a reason that random unexpected emergency braking is a favorite tactic for people attempting to force accidents in order to commit insurance fraud: It’s too expensive for everyone to change their habits in order to guard against it.
Also, if you are following at a distance where an AEB activation will cause you to rearend the vehicle in front of you, you are too close to safely follow any vehicle, regardless of whether it has an AEB.
Vw golf r 2016 the sensor was low to the ground and it would randomly brake for stuff it thought was a threat like a cardboard box.
Subaru crosstrek 2018 - would brake for no reason, cars turning up ahead of me, etc.
VW atlas 2019 - brake for no reason would also scream at me and show a red symbol on the hud when nothing was in the road in front of me.
Subaru impreza 2023 - brakes for turning vehicles up the road, had it brake in a car wash.
On my vw vehicles i bought a can bus programmer so i could turn off as much if the safety stuff as possible because it made the car less safe to drive. In the impreza (current car) turning off the eyesight features is part of the pre-drive ritual.
I also had the lane assist on the crosstrek almost cause an accident on the highway at speed. Roads here are inconsistent and it was violently jerking the wheel trying to stay between lines.
The crosstrek the only orange one available had eyesight.
The atlas was used so there was only 1 option locally
The impreza its standard on anything over base, and the base was missing other things i wanted.
It's very frustrating how tech can be mis-applied. But I also see the regulators point of applied statistics and that even if these systems cause the occasional crash they prevent a much larger number from ever happening.
Another anecdote - I have the exact same car and haven't had it do anything unexpected. It would really help if Subaru et. al. had ways to offer feedback back to them, because experiences like yours should be shared with them so they can understand what kind of corner cases some drivers are getting into.
> I also had the lane assist on the crosstrek almost cause an accident on the highway at speed. Roads here are inconsistent and it was violently jerking the wheel trying to stay between lines.
I've also not experienced this - the lane assist is just a nudge and if it's overpowering you you should take it to the dealership, this is not normal.
Anecdotal, but the alarm before the auto braking in my Crosstrek (2020) saved me two times. And I was in the car with a friend who activated the auto braking when they had just purchased it and weren't used to driving it.
That's because those other comments all assume that "automatic emergency braking" will only do exactly what it's supposed to do and will never make a mistake. But any sensible person knows that's not going to happen. These systems will make mistakes, and some of those mistakes will cause harm. So you can't just make a blanket claim that such systems are good. You have to actually look at the data and balance the harm they avoid by doing what they're supposed to do when they're supposed to do it, against the harm they cause when they make mistakes.
The obvious next question is, does the proposed rulemaking here consider the consequences of the system making mistakes? As far as I can tell, the answer is no, with just one qualifier. The claims about crashes prevented and lives saved are not net savings, accounting for harm done by the system making mistakes; those claimed numbers assume the systems will always perform perfectly and will never cause any harm, only prevent it. The one qualifier is that the proposal does include two "false positive" tests to try to spot systems that brake when they're not supposed to. But there is no analysis given to show why those particular false positive tests were picked or why they would justify the extremely high level of confidence in the systems not making errors that the rest of the proposal shows.
You should be safe and free to brake without deep introspective thought, without fear of causing an accident. The real world is not that simple but that's how the law is generally setup.
And as a further point they'd probably say that if that person following had such a system, there's also less chance they'd rear-end you in turn. I was wary of the systems in my own car, but after 6 months of driving they are far more reliable than I'd feared and I'm quite impressed.
The kinds of mistakes described elsewhere in this thread have not been of the form "system mistakenly brakes my car and someone behind me rear-ends me because they were following too close". So your comments, while valid for that particular scenario, do not appear to be relevant to what other posters are concerned about.
Car reviews are largely useless fluff - a real analysis of the differences between brands for this kind of thing could actually be useful.
After that experience, I don't want a vehicle with that functionality in it, and don't want other cars on the road having it. It's half-baked at best.
It had happened enough times to him, and he complained to the dealership enough, that they bought the vehicle back from him. Who knows if these incidents were ever reported to the NHTSA since no physical collisions with other cars occurred.
The dealership tried to fix it several times, and I don’t know if this is a systemic problem, or a single vehicle issue.
Either way, I don’t trust the tech. It can be developed and tested against plenty of different scenarios, but we live in a very uncontrolled and fluctuating environment.
That would have saved me one of two incidents so Subaru may well be the one doing this right.
Also, they still provide physical knobs and switches for the important things; that includes climate controls and, I believe, the stereo.
I'm driving an 11 year old Forester and just as happy not to be dealing with all this crap quite yet. And the various satellite connectivity options on it have been left never activated.
From what I can recall, it’s never gotten to the point of engaging the brake, but it’s super unsettling every time it happens.
People on this forum want it to be a technology issue, and I'm sure it is to some extent, but I think the differences between driving styles is also a large component. If you're a careful driver that usually leaves a lot of separation, many AEB implementations will rarely trigger and you'll usually understand why when it does. Whereas if you're an aggressive driver that cuts between vehicles, leaves <1 s separation, etc., you will notice a lot of "unexpected" braking from these systems. Like the poster above that was upset the system slowed them down when they were nearly clipping a car exiting the road.
Example: living in cold weather climate my outback just stops cuts the engine when exhaust from the car leaves car in front of me on cold day( large cloud of vapor). The visual collision avoidance detects this as car and cuts the engine. This is not the place you want to be leaving an intersection with people accelerating behind you.
Unless this backed by lidar / radar or combination that is more accurate I don’t see this as pro. Top reason I can’t stand my outback is the decisions it makes incorrectly.
Of course there is no way to get any of this fixed in my outback other than selling it. Consumers are getting the shaft on technology in their cars imo and are being treated as test pilots.
Keeping it on at all times sounds like a terrible idea for cars used in the US, because it's a developing nation with extremely poor road quality. In developed nations, it's probably OK because you can count on the road markings being good almost everywhere, but not in the US.
But yeah, you need to make sure there is a physical button on the steering wheel or somehere on the dashboard to easily enable/disable it. Otherwise it can be annoying.
For AEB, the same system is used in the adaptive cruise control and it's been near perfect. One funny thing was that it just alarmed and fully died in outback Victoria - apparently it is coded to do this as a fail-safe if it hasn't detected a car for a long time due to the system potentially not working. The service centre employee said Hyundai are working on a patch to extend the timeout since it's a little low for country Australian roads (approximately an hour at the moment I think).
Been driving an Ioniq 5 2023 for a couple months now with no phantom/emergency braking issues. I'm not in love with the performance of the lane keep without being on an HDA2 marked highway. I have to fight it just enough for it to not be useful on certain well marked backroads.
Considering tossing in a Comma 3 to give no-hands driver assist a shot.
“In 2020, NHTSA announced civil penalties for the companies—totaling $210 million—for not recalling vehicles in a timely manner. In 2021, a whistleblower who provided NHTSA with information that led to those penalties was awarded $24 million, the agency’s first-ever whistleblower award.”
https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-recalls-defects/why...
They have great styling that’s comparable to German cars. I wish the US automakers could take some hints. From what I’ve heard the Genesis lineup is very luxurious.
In cases where it’s not possible to disable the feature we better constantly record the car from all angles to have it as a proof against the manufacturer in case something goes bad. Near accidents caused by buggy software should not get a free pass, but require the manufactuter to fully reimburse you or pay you some serious fine.
But in the south? Not a single one of the original poster’s complaints are valid here with the exception of cars who cut you off and then speed away (no need to slam on the brakes, cruise control). Personally, the early brake warning has saved someone else’s property at lease twice.
Right, if I had to condense my issues into something more constructive it is just that: if regulators want to pursue a mandate for these systems, they should also work on establishing testing criteria and specifications that cover the many different conditions drivers face and reduces variation between manufacturers as possible. Not an easy task.
To give a quick example: another commenter in this thread states that lane assist only kicks in at 35mph. That is true in some models but not all which could lead to some nice surprises. Further, the speed limit in NYC is 25mph so it's not unusual if the road surface is decent to be cruising closer to 30. Unless there's a threshold for activation, you might be walking a fine line between "safety on"/"safety off" and any resulting corrections it might make.
If I accelerate into traffic and get close to a car while accelerating, it will start flashing a warning light and if I still don't stop accelerating or braking, it will intervene, but if the other car accelerates it doesn't do anything. So the radar setup is quite well done and it gives very few false positives.
The lane assist system is a bit bad though because once it identifies the lane markings it does not take into account potential hazards that want me to change a lane or exit it for a few seconds to avoid road hazard lights or something similar.
The point I am trying to make is that there should be a high standard to what drives the AEB and it should not rely on cameras, which seems to be what automakers want to implement driving assisted features to save on more advanced tech. And somehow I don't think they're gonna pony up for high-speed cameras that can replace a radar at accuracy.
Maybe the intention is good, but most likely the implementation will suck.
Thankfully it is possible to have the system set to beep only as slamming on the brakes while merging is an experience everyone wants to avoid.
Also, it sometimes panics when coming to a stop on an incline with a car ahead. I guess it is unable to account for the fact that the car will stop by itself just because the road is going uphill?
Recently upgraded to a Chinese ute. I've about the first 1000km driven now, and whilst it's occasionally made some mistakes, if my hands are on the wheel it's easy enough to just stay the course and it let's me do as I wish. I can also turn all the setting to off at the touch of a button and make that the default too. I quite enjoy having these features because they have been implemented well.
- when it works it works so well the car basically drives itself esp. when you throw cruise control into the mix (this includes auto coasting + breaking)
- when it doesn't it's bouncing across the lane + applies too much resistance when attempting e.g overtaking
I did not have any issue with emergency braking (never triggered, any situation where it would have triggered got handled by the driver first), but I did have a few (light) phantom braking events in cruise control.
Not related to lane assist control (uses a separate mechanism) but I did have issues with blind spot alert, it was randomly alerting regularly when no car was present. Mazda identified the cause as winter tyres throwing the sensors off. A software update is supposed to fix that but we disabled the feature so it'll be done on the next scheduled maintenance.
It doesn't turn off when you indicate to change lanes? It does on the Hyundai.
Makes me laugh every time. I mean, at that point, why bother with the signal at all?
There are still scenarios where it can be an issue, for example when you need to "peek" through the lane to see if an overtake is possible safely. In this case it requires driver judgement on when to activate the turn signal. You may activate early or when committed, I don't think either is necessarily wrong.
I don't know the other commenter's scenario but don't doubt what they described. To pull another example out of my hat: bendy mountain roads (e.g. western Connecticut, minimal elevation changes), car ahead is moving slowly due to lack of power, heavy load, etc. Assume driving conditions and road lines are clear, no camera or sensor obstructions. The system is automatically active while following the bend and will attempt to keep on course. As you approach a rather wide curve (lanes are also widened, with extra shoulder) it is an opportunity to ride closer to the centerline in order to see past the vehicle and overtake. If you do that without putting on your blinker first, the system will attempt to correct while you're in the turn. Depending on how you react this can be jarring as the wheel is vibrating and you have to decide whether to commit to let the system correct, correct the correction, or commit to the overtake.
I chalk this up more to my own lack of familiarity with the system early on and not a defect per se. The wheel vibration is a very odd sensation to me on turns likely because on older cars I'd start to worry about tires or mechanical issues.
I've been making productive use of the "textarea cache" extension lately. Sites and browsers lose text a lot more often than they should.
I’m more interested in this
They'd need to be implemented and then turned off for 15 years until 99% of the old cars are off the road and then flipped on simultaneously for every car.
If a car suddenly breaks then the car behind it better be able to suddenly break too.
Now I drive another car that will hit the brakes in parking garages when going around corners if cars have backed in and I am going 5mph or more. I've learned to drive 4mph in parking garages.
Btw, where'd you find that old car? Locally or get it shipped to you?
the NHTSA is a pretty cautious organization, and they like numbers. if they've studied it and found that automatic braking will prevent 24000 crashes and 360 deaths per year, i'd be inclined to believe them. having the car brake for me when i'm not expecting it sounds kind of scary to me too, but i'd rather experience that than let 360 people die every year.
I also agree with this:
> If the government wants to immediately improve car safety they should outlaw touchscreens instead.
I can easily imagine a scenario where it might prevent 25000 crashes a year that are caused because 5% of drivers are staring at their phones, have a high chance of rear-ending someone, and this software makes that far less likely. While also containing bugs causing 1000 crashes a year for the larger number of non-distracted drivers, resulting in a net change of 24000. This would mean that adding the software would be better for society, while making the majority of drivers slightly more likely to crash into someone.
A seat belt is basically the same for everyone. It makes things safer when you look at all drivers, and it makes things safer for just about any subgroup of drivers.
But a buggy AEB might not fit that pattern. Imagine a system that reduces crashes by half, but then adds an extra X crashes per million miles. If someone's unassisted crash rate is 5X, then this system reduces it to 3.5X and is a great help. If someone's unassisted crash rate is .5X, then this system increases their crash rate to 1.25X and is a terrible trade.
I think that may be true in all cases - for example seat belts and airbags requirements may affect people differently depending on height and weight?
The scenarios and questions you ask are easy to explore in the data. If the number of crashes goes down, contrived scenarios don't really impact things. If they stay flat or go up, then you have to answer why.
To emphasize, for your imagination here to be relevant, the number has to do one of those. If the number goes down, even if it shifted some situations into a wreck that would not have been before, it must have done fewer of those than it moved wrecks to non-wrecks. If it somehow causes more situations to be wrecks, the number, by definition, goes up.
The problem is precisely a lack of imagination, or perhaps more accurately, critical thought.
The parent is precisely engaged in the kind of interrogation that is necessary. If you are aware or an analysis that bears on his questions, now would be the time to share it.
But more to the point, there is a track record of narrow interpretation of studies and missing of the big picture. It’s hardly sophistry, it’s critical thought.
I, personally, am a much lower risk than the typical driver. Putting a drivers' aid device in my car may well increase the danger to me and those around me, even while having it in other cars decreases danger.
BTW - my car's traction control is evil. It's a rear wheel drive car, without limited slip. So when I pull out onto the road from a driveway, if there's the slightest bit of sand on the road, I get enough spin to engage the traction control. The car deals with this by vastly cutting engine power. In Texas, where the regular surface road I'm pulling out to is commonly 60mph, and often faster, I need to accelerate quickly to avoid the guy approaching - yet the traction control has just left me wallowing, dead in the water, unable to accelerate strongly. Except in wet conditions, disabling the traction control is always the first thing I do when I sit in the car.
It terrifies me that people are so oblivious to their own flaws that they would willingly disable features such as AEB if they could. I’m extremely thankful for regulations that prevent such life-saving safety features from being disabled.
The only time I ever came close to having a crash is when lane assist tried to drive in the dividers on a highway with construction going on, so lane assist is the first to go in a new car.
Not everyone. I don't think I'm an above average driver at all.
Unless you are proposing that they should require it in everyone's cars except yorus.
Yes they do impact things.
Consider a pill that, given to a wide population of test subjects, reduces heart attacks by 20%. That's great! But when you look at the data more closely, it strongly reduces the risk for people older than 40, and it increases the risk for people under 40. Should you prescribe that pill to everyone at risk of heart attack? Of course not.
Does AEB have a pattern like this? Who knows! Someone should test or cite a good test!
Can they make the system even better by finding cases it didn't help? Almost certainly. Progress isn't a straight line, but increases are increases.
Where did anyone say "isn't worth it"? The sentence I see is "The problem with numbers is that they don't tell the whole story."
Though in a more general sense, if someone does invent a system that has strong average safety gains, but makes the majority of people less safe... that's a hard sell.
Logical fallacies like the base rate fallacy are real, and they fool all of us frequently, myself included.
Literally the same arguments were and are made against seat belts. Often. And is why I am not too willing to give way here.
Now, if you are just saying, "I hope they keep their eyes on the data and are willing to keep improving," great. I agree. If you are trying to angle it that this is not a safety improvement, I will loudly disagree.
This sounds like the beginnings of the McNamara fallacy: that there is some abstract "data" where all the relevant variables can be explored to decide the best course of action. The reason it's a fallacy is that data is itself only a reflection of conscientious decisions about what to measure and how to measure, and these are invariably limited to what we already appreciate and understand, not accounting for the things we don't know how to measure and don't know we should be measuring.
To be more concrete, let's say we follow your suggestion and focus on crashes. Maybe it's found that automatic breaking reduces the number of crashes so it's mandated. But maybe automatic breaking also increases the likelihood that a crash is deadly in some sub-population like pedestrians, construction workers, and motorcyclists. So overall we see crashes decline because a large number of minor crashes are averted but we also see deadly crashes increase because pedestrians, construction workers, and motorcyclists are killed more frequently.
So data isn't a free lunch. Every decision about what to measure and what to optimize involves some prior contextual understanding. A misunderstanding of the context means the data will misrepresent some aspect of the problem and you'll overoptimize yourself into a local maximum.
Someone else mentioned airbags. Airbags are great overall but increase danger for some people, and that's without obvious signs of anything being wrong.
With AEB we know it makes dangerous mistakes in significant amounts. So we very much should analyze different implementations under different kinds of weather, road, and driving style.
Is it a new behavior and jarring when engaged? Certainly. Should we keep watching the data for problems? Certainly. Should folks report all problems so that they are tracked? Certainly.
Do most people actually have trouble driving safely? Despite their insistent view of how great they are at driving? ...
I have been in a car where the alert went off that it was engaging aeb. The driver was far too close to the car in front of us...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLRRBHNjCn4 There's a car that it's reasonable to worry about, but it was clearly braking and almost stopped by the time AEB kicked in, and AEB kept going as that car went to zero.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TO6tJnM_HSs Adaptive cruise was already in control and working fine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCk6yrN453c Absolutely nothing in front.
And whatever happened here probably counts: https://theintercept.com/2023/01/10/tesla-crash-footage-auto...
Yes. This was my movivation for questioning the "data says" logic. The NHTSA has made decisions based on data that were poor decisions because they misunderstood the problem domain and became overly reliant on specific metrics. Here is a copy-paste of an earlier comment in this thread:
--
> the NHTSA is a pretty cautious organization, and they like numbers.
They may be cautious but they're not necessarily smart. Their vehicle safety ratings only measure the safety of occupants in that vehicle. Result? An arms race where cars keep getting bigger, heavier, and taller to do better in crash tests against bigger, heavier, and taller cars. These "safer" vehicles are now more deadly to everyone else, especially pedestrians and bicyclists.
McNamara fallacy in action.
That said, I could cede this point if you can show evidence of it in these studies. The org is a bunch of people, so I grant they could make mistakes. Without specific concerns, this is the definition of fud. You aren't giving criticism of these studies and actions, but seeding doubt on their data.
For such people, these policies suck. And it's strange that there are those that demand they either be happy about it, or at least be quiet about it.
I'll keep my 30yo car with no computers as long as I can thank you very much.
207.2172772719495
Not quite pure statistical noise but close.
[1] https://www.regulations.gov/document/NHTSA-2023-0021-0004
I experienced it multiple times and not even once it triggered in a correct situation. Usually a weird angle on a t-junction triggers it unnecessarily.
> A metanalysis in 2015 found a 38 percent decrease in collisions for vehicles that utilized such a system, for instance.
Barring massive fuckups in methodology, that should account for false positives that cause an accident. The number of non-collision severe injuries (are we theorizing folks get their head banged against something when it brakes heavily?) is likely to be pretty small versus that 38% stat.
> The number of non-collision severe injuries (are we theorizing folks get their head banged against something when it brakes heavily?) is likely to be pretty small
(People can be injured directly by the seatbelt, and there's also whiplash to consider.)
I don't doubt it's possible, just like it's possible for a seatbelt to trap you in a burning car... but common enough to offset a 38% drop in crashes? I severely doubt it.
If someone can demonstrate that people driving these cars have a dramatically increased incidence of whiplash or seatbelt injuries, by all means, but I'm comfortable saying the burden of proof is on them there.
On Wednesday, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration issued a notice of proposed rulemaking that would see automatic emergency braking become a standard feature on all new light passenger vehicles.
And the actual numbers should include the opportunity cost (in lives saved or QALYs, if you like) of the increased price of vehicles with these systems. Could that money have been spent on smoke detectors or healthier food or ?
In response I said:
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Then mhb said:
What's your point?
Can you explain what my point was to mhb?
ChatGPT:
It seems like you're suggesting that the responsibility and scope of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is primarily focused on improving safety on the roads, specifically through regulations related to vehicles, rather than other broader public health initiatives like smoke detectors or promoting healthier food.
Your comment may imply that while considering the opportunity cost is a valid point for an overall public health or policy perspective, it may not be directly relevant to the mission and function of the NHTSA. The NHTSA's mandate is to ensure the safety of vehicles and roads, so they would prioritize improvements and regulations in that area, even if those funds might have a higher impact if spent elsewhere from a wider public health perspective.
In other words, the comment might suggest that each organization has its own scope and priorities, and while we can consider overall opportunity costs, we also need to consider the specific roles and responsibilities of different organizations. However, without more context, this is just one possible interpretation.
That point being: maybe NHTSA's advocacy of a requirement for all new vehicles is beyond the scope of its mission and it should confine itself to providing information to the policy makers who might possibly understand the tradeoffs.
They may be cautious but they're not necessarily smart. Their vehicle safety ratings only measure the safety of occupants in that vehicle. Result? An arms race where cars keep getting bigger, heavier, and taller to do better in crash tests against bigger, heavier, and taller cars. These "safer" vehicles are now more deadly to everyone else, especially pedestrians and bicyclists.
McNamara fallacy in action.
At least part of that effect will show up in these vehicles being rear-ended themselves (as they're exhibiting that exact sudden-stop behavior), and that sort of accident should be reduced if all cars come with AEB.
You'll never be able to wipe out all variables in this sort of study, but I don't think the methodology's as flawed as you're asserting.
While the costs of phantom breaking are decreased if everyone has AEB, I don't think this makes the roads safer for me unless I want to buy a newer vehicle and I don't want to have to do that.
Properly implemented AEB is an essential safety feature that saves lives.
We've disabled lane assist on our car as it seems to always take the wrong action, but we've never had an issue with the emergency brake which is the subject of the article.
My Tesla, which is probably the leader here, regularly makes mistakes - though never really to the point of forcing braking. Often it will warn me on my narrow street of objects like parked cars it thinks I will hit, but it seems a little more polished than MB.
If regulators want to force this on all car manufacturers, they really need to also mandate certain tests and features - plus OTA updates to recall any bugs... My guess is that most car makers just don't have the workforce to develop these features, so forcing them to roll them out will mean even worse bugs!
OTA updates for braking systems will result in hackers wreaking havoc. The security implications of this are enormous; it's like putting your country's nuclear reactors on the internet.
Updates should only be done in-person at the dealership, for free.
So the rule needs a rule to fix it, which needs another rule to fix that, and so on.
All that said, I do like the autosteer on the Tesla, with the caveat that you need to treat it like cruise control, NOT like "autopilot". And I'll pretty much only use it on divided highways. In other situations its insistence in sticking to the dead center of the lane can be disconcerting at times (like the ones I listed above!)
I second your motion!!!! I was happy with my 1986 Chevy S-10 Blazer until it was badly rusted out by winter road salt.
Now I have a 2001 GMC Yukon. I prefer the Blazer since the Yukon has too many attempts at automation and is too big. But apparently the new cars have so much in automation that they are to be avoided, and cars of the future promise to be worse still.
If both cars have AEB even that unsafe condition becomes a non-issue.
Just because humans have adjusted to regularly driving in an unsafe and illegal manner does not make it the safest way to use roads.
I've been driving a Honda with the all the safety assists for several years and while it does do the occasional erroneous "you need to brake" pre-warning, I've never had it brake unnecessarily.
Anecdotes aside, I'm fairly certain automatic braking is a net reducer of accidents.
Just like you are responsible if you used a gun, you are responsible on how you drive a car.
If my car has been destroyed by the driver behind me because they were looking at their phone, it's little consolation that they shouldn't have.
But I do think these safety features are important if implemented correctly. I think the crux of the issue is: when someone _is_ paying attention, safety measures feel like they overreact and get in the way of subtle human reactions to things happening. If the driver is _not_ paying proper attention, then the safety systems are the only thing that react in time.
I feel like this requirement is important, but requires better software, including lessening the impact of safety systems engaging when the drive has been actively steering/accelerating/braking during a period of time, making it obvious that they are indeed paying attention. But there are plenty of drivers who pay almost no attention at all, many people go into auto-mode when driving and aren't ashamed of it.
I've almost been run over by drivers who have been directly looking at me before, then sudden braking when their eyes have stopped glazing over.
On the other hand, maybe the benefits outweigh this drawback? Pedestrians get hit all the times by cars where drivers aren't paying attention (looking at their phone, etc.). So for the general population, it is probably a net positive.
That being said, I do think that touch screens are a terrible design decision on almost all devices.
We found a 1996 Buick Park Avenue for less than $5k and keeping it running might be an adventure in maintaining American cars but boy is it a sweet car and it gets 29 mpg on the highway which is not bad at all for a large car.
Anyway, I'll add my anecdote when my Toyota surprised me with a panic brake in a blind corner which probably saved my life by not ending up under a stopped bus. But the kicker is that my insurer gave me quite a steep discount when I originally bought the car, specifically due to the emergency brake feature. They may have more data comparing collisions for cars with/without this feature than anons on internet forums, who knows?
The aggregate stats are the most important things to look at, especially for something like AEB which has the ability to save pedestrians, which as of late are getting mowed down more and more frequently.
But faulty EAB caused more trouble for me than any other safety feature to date and I really wonder what caused Mercedes Benz to release this feature in such a horrific functional state. It is beyond belief how broken it is and I would love to see their internal stats for how often their EAB caused - not prevented - single vehicle accidents.
It can benefit people who have reaction times slower than silicon.
It should be enough for everybody on the road. People always say "don't be a statistic" but we are all part of these statistics whether we like it or not. AEB can also protect occupants of other vehicles, so using it or not is not a choice whose consequences only affect the individual making it.
No idea how much truth is in that, though.
This depends on the state:
https://www.cdc.gov/transportationsafety/calculator/factshee...
> As of 2021, 18 states and the District of Columbia had universal motorcycle helmet laws, 29 states had laws requiring helmets for certain riders, and three states did not have any motorcycle helmet laws.
Statistics are meaningless to the individual. Sure, emergency braking might be safer across the board, but that means little compared to an individual who already drives safely without it.
This is just blatantly untrue.
> means little compared to an individual who already drives safely without it
Until emergency breaking stops a bad driver from T-boning you in an intersection as they run a red light.
“I’ll just drive safely” was the argument against seatbelts, airbags, and antilock brakes. Motorcycle helmets, too.
Sure, if it was equivalent in capability to a class 5 self driving car, it would see the light was red, and notice the partially occluded other car, then stop in time.
But, with just a front facing radar? I don’t see how it would be able to do much. It would only have a few feet to stop.
The point is even a perfect driver may benefit from safety devices in the hands of other drivers they encounter.
The article notes:
> A metanalysis in 2015 found a 38 percent decrease in collisions for vehicles that utilized such a system, for instance.
That said there's also a balance in safety systems between personal responsibility and systems responsibility. Relying too much on systems responsibility actually causes more harm because the person becomes more careless or is entirely at the whim of the system responsible for their safety. We put railings on stairs in public places but don't require everyone to put on a safety harness and latch it onto the guide to climb stairs for example. There's an expectation that system safety has hit a reasonable limit and the safety harness is too costly in time, money, and attention to implement.
Or sub in a high speed rear-ending scenario.
In a lot of places the outer gate is only chest high which isn’t insurmountable but is enough of a barrier to avert 99% of the bad cases. I think the analogy to automatic braking holds.
I started to get lazy and distracted as the car was mostly driving, my friend was talking at me and the assist disengaged, next minute we were going pretty fast towards a barrier. We recovered but it was close.
I’d just prefer to drive honestly.
Some habitual drunk drivers never have an accident and may even claim it makes them a better driver, but that doesn’t make it the right choice on a population level.
Cheers.
This often means one person’s risk goes up while thousands of others’ goes down. Sometimes that’s hard to balance, but if the 38% reduction in crashes cited in the article is true, this particular decision seems fairly simple.
I don't like enforcing things like this as a band aid, it's fine to try improve a situation, but let's be honest, many people who are involved in these accidents are doing something with their phone.
People will continue to use their phones in their cars. That's a fact we have to accept.
You can go ahead and do that but I think people are justifiably pissed that we require invasive technology to coddle the idiots who can't be bothered.
>This is just blatantly untrue.
I mean, it's not. Statistics describe how society on average acts, not how you personally act. Someone telling you "Statistically you're more likely to drown if you own a pool" doesn't mean as much if you bought a pool and then became a paraplegic, for example.
Saying "emergency braking will bring down average car deaths" is probably true, but that might not make a difference for Joebob who drives his truck down empty County Road 230 once a week to check his mail.
(He might even be statistically more likely to run into the car he’s not used to seeing on the usually empty road via the stop sign he usually blows right through. Who knows?)
That's not how statistics work. Again, statistics mean little to the individual.
I don’t think you’re clear on the definition of “statistically”.
Citing things with >90% probability does not, actually, prove your weak point that "all statistical probabilities are individual certainties".
> This is just blatantly untrue.
This statement is blatently untrue. If a "driver gets in an accident every X miles/km" does that mean if you drive more than X miles, you're "overdue?" No, that's a statistical fallacy. Aggregate statistics are only meaningful if you're within a standard deviation of the mean. If you are a safe driver, it's likely to be meaningless. If you are a reckless driver, you're unlikely to live long enough to find out.
No. You are sharing the road with others, of variable skill, and things like deer and pedestrians who can dart into traffic. I’ve been crashed into from behind while stopped in traffic; no fuckup on my end, but still would have likely benefited from automated emergency braking.
Your car insurance also reflects others’ accident rates. You shoulder some of the medical and fire and police costs via taxes. Lots of statistical impact even in a perfect driver or someone who never drives at all.
Here's one interpretation of "statistics are meaningless to the individual": If X makes people in general statistically more likely to do Y (such as "avoid accidents", in this case), it does not say anything about the effect it will have on a particular individual's behavior, such as you or me. In fact, it could very well make you or me less likely to do Y. As long as it averages out over the population, the statistic is still true. But you need to know the individual in order to know how X specifically affects them.
I think you are taking a different/broader-scope interpretation of the statement. Something like: if X makes people in general (...as above), then given that we live in a society of various people, it will have some at least some impact, perhaps indirect, on all of us (c.f. your comments about taxes, insurance rates, etc).
Maybe you got that already, but I'm a sucker for helping people be aware of when they're talking past each other (:
https://udayton.edu/blogs/erma/2022/06/lakewobegon.php
My 'boomer' relatives refuse to wear a seatbelt, regardless of how many fines they've incurred, exactly because they already drive safely.
I don’t even want to know what situations I’d need to be in for my vehicle to actually emergency brake, but I don’t want to find out. It seems like I’m already going to be hitting something anyways so any speed it can bleed off is better.
Honda had a recall for an older AEB system 2017-2019 Accord and CRV:
https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-recalls-defects/nht...
I appreciate your informed opinion!
I'm the driver, I should be in control and there's literally no need to justify it any further. Anything that forcibly takes away control is automatically wrong from a basic human dignity perspective. I couldn't care less what governments or insurers think, I'm the goddamn human and I should have total control over this machine. I'm driving, not being driven.
For another, the NPRM being discussed assumes that essentially 100% of new vehicles will eventually come with AEB systems in the near future. The proposed rulemaking is just formalizing that situation and setting performance standards.
The emergency braking system will automatically stop the car without your input whenever it wants. Judging from this thread, that could be due to anything. False positives have been reported. People should absolutely be able to turn this thing off if they don't trust it.
The proposed rules include false activation tests, monitoring/reporting of unnecessary braking, and NHTSA retains the ability to order recalls if false activations are unreasonably common. It also includes a request for comment on whether manual disablement should be allowed at high speeds. Feel free to submit one if you feel strongly about it.
Snow and gravel are the only valid situations where ABS can increase braking distance.
However, disabling ABS is still a really poor idea.
ABS increases braking distance in the snow because it allows the wheels to rotate so they can grip the road. ABS allowing your front wheels to rotate is why you have any marginal ability to steer and brake simultaneously. Without ABS in the snow your front wheels will lock while steering before your rears and you will lose control of the vehicle.
On top of that, disabling ABS usually disables the vehicle's entire suite of driver aids like traction control and stability control which are extremely helpful in snow.
I can't think of any situation, however contrived, where I would willingly disable ABS on a vehicle in snowy conditions... unless you were trying to slide a car around.
Note that these are all very niche concerns and I think ABS is a fantastic safety feature, but it's still a compromise to improve the averages. This is true of virtually all safety technology.
Absolutely not. There are other people on the road. Families. You don’t get to kill other people in a preventable accident because you believe you’re an above-average human who can outperform a computer.
> What if it being optional increases death statistics massively?
What else would you like to make mandatory to satisfy your death reduction statistics, I wonder? Vaccines?
Let's just go all the way: you're talking about eliminating human agency, autonomy and free will. You want to replace it with decisions made by committee with optimized outcomes and make them mandatory with force of law.
> Should we really be ideologically driven instead of relying on data and measurable effects?
Yes. Do you not have principles, values you won't compromise on?
The argument isn't that a human is better at avoiding accidents than an automated system, the argument is that, as an average human, I'm good enough and the marginal difference isn't worth the complexity and risk that the system introduces.
Vehicle regulation should be based on the overall safest option, not 'dignity' or freedom or individualism anything like that.
These precedents are also creating risk by the way. It hasn't been that long ago since news was posted here of security researchers remotely cutting off car engines or cars repossessing themselves if you don't pay on time. That's the sort of existential risk you're paving the way for by accepting "safety" in exchange for control. It's not really your car anymore, it's the government's car, the insurer's car. What other policies would they like to set, I wonder?
They're "making your car save lives". How? By taking away your control. You're not in command of your vehicle anymore. Don't forget it.
Aren't you notice, my dear safety fan, that the thing you are propagating is effectively adding one more person/actor on the road - a programmer of potentially buggy software, totally not FOSS and without any responsibility for any possible outcomes of possible bugs?
Because nobody has drawn a red line and Ron Jones in 1967 has shown us how vulnerable our freedom is.
We already has a lot of mandatory non-FOSS software in cars which use to phone home which effectively is a streaming (not a video yet, but amount of data is never decreasing). And a lot of so-called safety (surveillance in reality) devices are around us nowadays - phones exposing a lot of uncertain data about us, bank cards which allows banks know where we are right now, etc. If some crackpot politician proves to safety-demanding influencers that video streaming from every moving car helps us to prevent $bad_things_list so that kind of demand is totally possible, especially if using cars for mass killings would become more common than mass shootings.
> I'm just suggesting that regulators should compare accident rates of cars with and without automated breaking.
It's impossible because you have not 100% of the data.
I was driving too fast in a borrowed car over a small hill and hadn't realized that traffic had stopped just out of my sight until too late. I heard a beep and saw flashing on my dash and I started braking but a moment later the emergency braking system kicked in, braking much harder than I would have been able to. The car stopped, hard, a foot or two short of the pickup truck in front of me.
As the brakes kicked in, my seatbelt tensioned and pulled me into my seat, which was surprising because, although I had a vague idea of emergency braking, I didn't know the seatbelts would do that. And although I may be mis-remembering since this was so long ago, it feels like the passenger seat next to me started moving (I'm not sure why) – I should look that up.
Made me infinitely grateful for the engineering that went into this system. I was quite young and insufficiently cautious, and it was an eye-opening experience.
https://laughingsquid.com/a-slow-motion-video-of-a-pyrotechn...
Any idea why you weren't able to apply full brakes? I remember reading that most people don't in an emergency and that's why the emergency brake boost was created, but haven't seen the reason for it.
I braked too softly and ended up in the bumper of the car in front of me. The rental car did had ABS and I knew it but didn’t thought of it during the breaking.
I have my seat adjusted so that with my back and butt against the back of my seat (so I’m braced against something) I can push the brake pedal and have it hit the bottom of travel just a bit before my knee locks without having to take my heel off the floor and try and press it with my toes or something.
My wife is almost a half foot shorter than me and when I drive her car I don’t need to adjust the seat at all. I find a similar situation driving most people’s cars.
So, y’know, I think people literally can’t apply the brakes all the way… because they can’t reach the bottom of the pedal travel.
Thus, people think they have applied full brakes but in reality they are only 60-70% of the way there.
It's fairly violent. In normal driving we never do this, it would cause someone to rear end you and it's not necessary. So we have lots and lots and lots of practice braking at a moderate pace. Braking fast in normal day to day life is maybe a 70% force. We're used to trying to think how much pressure is the right amount of pressure.
What they told us is basically to try to break the pedal off. I think it's the easier way to remember, if the crap hits the fan, just put your foot through the floor and get stopped. The less thinking and modulating, the better.
The system also had several misfires, like when there were cars parked on the curb on a long turn, but mine in particular doesn't start braking until I do - it just beeps and makes the dashboard light up in red.
It's pretty reliable and I would be all for mandating at least this basic implementation.
So this is completely not true. You can brake as hard as any system can, there's no magic to it. Just press on the brake pedal hard, in any ABS car.
Surprisingly, this is something people often don't do. I am an instructor at car control clinics, one of the exercises is panic braking. All you need to do it press on the brake pedal. Easily 50%+ of students struggle with this. Just press hard. That's it.
Also, please take car control clinic. It will save your life and those around you.
I've been involved in these since the 90s. Back then the braking exercises were about teaching threshhold braking since most cars didn't have ABS.
I speculated that once ABS becomes mainstream we'll need to remove these exercises from the classes since there won't be anything left to teach, just press the brake and the car will do all the work.
I never foresaw that "just press the brake" was going to be so difficult for so many people that the braking exercises are still to this day very useful and most people fail badly the first few attempts!
For anyone reading, if you've never braked hard, braking hard in an ABS car means push on that brake pedal with the full force of your leg muscles as hard as you possibly can and then keep that pressure on, don't let go.
(Also, please sign up for a car control clinic.)
Which, yes, being a great driver means you may be pushing close to limits while still be completely under control a lot. I just don't have a strong prior for that view.
“Superior pilots use their superior judgement to avoid situations that require use of their superior skills”
Anyone operating a machine in a way that doesn't leave much margin is, in fact, not skilled at operating that machine.
Their progress through traffic is markedly faster without greatly compromising safety. They aren't making violent manoeuvres, they accelerate pretty aggressively but other than speed limits they aren't breaking many rules that apply to everybody else. They are paying a lot more attention to the environment and applying excellent judgement from what they learned. For example rather than weaving through traffic like a Hollywood movie, they take clear bold lines and hold them, which gives them better vision of what's ahead and more options when things go wrong. It's doesn't look as flashy, but it's very effective.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wjkBchxT5kw is a solo, commentating live on his driving in a response car rather than an ambulance, again he's be authorised to break the rules.
Having AEB without being aware of it is probably not ideal. If it activates improperly and you didn't know it was there, that's twice the disorientation. It was really jarring the first couple times, and if it was on a wet bridge while turning in a narrow lane, that wouldn't be pretty as others have discussed.
Which is to say, you aren't wrong. I prefer folks knowing what their stuff can and will do. I am not clear on what that really says about deploying AEB. How many folks have no idea why their seatbelts lock up if you pull them all the way out, until you let them retract all the way? Very useful feature that they should not wait for everyone to know about before sending it out.
On the seatbelt locking, I learned the why when installing car seats, which seems reasonable, because that's what it's for.
And these same concerns apply to antilock brakes, no? Getting used to the way those feel took time for folks that were there before.
There is you, and the slow driver blocking traffic in the passing lane next to you.
Then there are the 8 cars behind you, and at least one of those drivers is making everyone unsafe out of frustration.
You can't do anything to change that driver's behavior. The situation persists until the system is altered.
Bottling up traffic is not safer! Every driver in a line who has to slam on their brakes, for whatever reason, subtracts the amount of available reaction time left to the driver behind them.
What makes more sense is leaning on the raison d'etre of multi-lane highways: slower traffic keep right. Designed systems work best when used as designed.
People seem oblivious to the reality that vain platitudes will never convince aggressive drivers to drive more safely in traffic.
Police are guaranteed to obsess over speed. It's just like the war on drugs: officers can measure and record criminal behavior! Easy money. Not once in my life have I even heard of the other law that is posted on signs - slower traffic keep right - being enforced.
Traffic flow is as important as any other variable in this system. Crash intensity is zero when there is no collision.
The scariest part was that she accelerated toward a truck that was travelling very slowly in front of us, the car braked so hard we were all pressed into our seatbelts and the car was audibly vibrating as it lurched from the anti lock brakes. We were literally inches from hitting this truck, and her mom was completely unperturbed. Like nothing had happened.
I was shaken. If I’d done that myself I’d think I needed to take a brake from driving and seriously contemplate how that was able to happen. She just kept driving and talking about whatever she was talking about. Disturbing stuff.
So, that’s why I’m generally in favour of emergency braking. It completely saved my ass.
Yeah, the fallout of telling a person they can’t drive is unreal. It took a couple years to go from incredulity towards me to finally accepting that I’m not joking/grumpy/changing my mind.
Some bad driving is so egregiously bad though that it can’t be chalked up as a lapse of judgement or something.
There is a strange sort of entitlement to recklessness like you described (why in the world would you take your eyes off the road to talk!?), and we seem to take for granted the fact that we’re still alive despite flying around in metal boxes within feet of each other. I think some especially bad drivers are severely influenced by survivorship bias. They’re not dead yet so they must be fine/good at driving and different from the people who’ve had bad accidents already. But they’re only protected by very bad odds.
My fear is that if there is a decline that I won’t see it, and at 87 he isn’t interested in a new car with more safety features.
The safety features of a new car might not offset the safety of the muscle memory of driving the old car. At that age and with declining capabilities, the "usual" might actually be safer than "safer but different".
Since he seems mindful of his declining capabilities (he is restricting when and by how much he drives), i wouldn't worry too much, he would most likely stop driving on his own, just keep checking him.
It's gotten bad enough that we have to tactically lie to him to keep him from any unnecessary rides, but he will not stop if he doesn't have a wake-up call. Luckily he only drives very short distances which are all slow roads, but still, it's frightening to just be waiting for the day something bad happens.
I wish I knew how to bring the topic up in a way we can really talk about it. I have tried being extremely empathetic and non-pushy and careful, which has helped with other topics, but just not on this one. If anyone has tips or ideas I'd love to hear them!
It's just that people don't confront huge mistakes like this head-on.
I don't know how many people have pulled out in front of me, almost killing me and they seem to just wave.
Although once an amazing thing happened. I had gotten up early at o-dark-thirty and was driving through the suburbs and this guy came barelling out of a sidestreet. I hit the brakes and he made the turn, cut me off and drove in front of me. When we got to the next stop sign, he got out of the car and came back towards me. I was about to back up and gtfo, but rolled down the window. He said "it's so early, and I didn't see you there and I'm so sorry." Very nice and I completely relaxed and smiled.
oh, also good time for the old one:
I want to die while asleep like my grandfather,
Not screaming in terror like the passengers in his car.Without a doubt it played a roll in suppressing what had happened. There is a weird dynamic where my wife won’t say things to upset her mom in particular ways, and this was one of those cases. They kind of mutually pretended the near-catastrophe away by behaving as though it was no different from a speed bump.
This is why I’m pretty sure we’re really not much different from a gorilla or something. We’ve got some sophisticated brain circuits but I have a deep seated sense that most of our brains are still the same old meatballs the other apes are packing around.
But it's never caused me to get hit. And more importantly, if the other cars around me also had AEB, then they too would get triggered.
Yeah, it's sometimes annoying when it misfires, but man, that one time it fired in a real situation definitely saved my life as I stopped inches from the car in front of me.
I'd take the minor annoyance of misfires over a crash any day. Especially if everyone has it.
If (rarely) it misfires, it’s only pretensioning the brakes initially. That’s just getting the pedal firm and pads against the rotors, no braking force. A small bit of throttle, not even enough to speed up, is enough to tell it to cool it. No actual braking occurs.
Anyone who’s losing control of their vehicle over that is already driving too close to the vehicle’s limits.
In meantime, every time it misfires, we’re risking an accident. Yes, it’s an accident caused by the poor following distance of the car behind us, but the blame isn’t much of a consolation when there’s no guarantee you can walk away from the crash without an injury.
One way to address this is to dictate that the car AEB status prior to each accident was made known to everyone involved, and to hold the manufacturer directly liable whenever AEB contributed to a collision.
After making that change, they could circulate the draft bill, and let the car manufacturer lobbyists kill it.
The question is whether the feature is a net positive, not whether it is a positive in literally every potential collision.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7126a1.htm
If pedestrian detection "doesn't work very well" as the linked article* says, we need to take the simple, practical approaches that we know will have an impact, and stop sacrificing lives to the altar of convenience and the "American Dream".
* https://arstechnica.com/cars/2019/10/aaa-finds-your-new-car-...
How do we keep the glitchy ones off the road? Extended return policy? Make the unit swappable/replaceable?
Unlike seatbelts or airbags where there is very little downside these can cause perfectly safe situations to turn into nasty accidents.
Only then can they determine what percentage of a specific emergency brake system's engagements actually make things more dangerous or are responsible for accidents.
Then they should hold the auto makers accountable, and require them to fix or replace fault vehicles
Treat a failure as a cause for vendor warranty. Either the vendor has to fix it, replace it or refund the car.
Roads are public.
I have been rear-ended by another driver in a completely unavoidable situation (for me -- the other driver should've been paying attention; I saw the collision coming and honked but had nowhere to go).
I've also been in an accident as a passenger in a Uber. My Uber driver rear ended someone. I screamed at him twice but by the time he reacted it was too late.
I have never activated the emergency braking on my vehicle.
I know... I know... this isn't practical or safe, but goddamn it, it's the most fun for me!
> Conclusion
> The foregoing review of the statistical case for helmet legislation suggests that the faith of the BMJ in the reliability of the statistical evidence on the effect of helmet legislation is misplaced. But debates about sophisticated statistics should not be allowed to drown out the voice of common sense. The risk compensation hypothesis is essentially common sense. There is a wealth of evidence from everyday experience that suggests that people's behaviour is influenced by their perception of risk. People tend to be more cautious when up high ladders than when up low ladders. They tend to take more care when standing on the edge of a high precipice than when standing on a low kerb. They tend to slow down when they encounter bends in the road or patches of fog and to speed up when the road becomes straight or the visibility good-and so on. The possible illustrations of the phenomenon are countless.
> There is an impressive amount of propaganda designed to encourage people to believe that they are very much less vulnerable when using seat belts and motorcycle helmets, and common sense suggests that driving behaviour will be influenced by safety devices that diminish the user's sense of vulnerability. What unaided common sense cannot predict is whether the behavioural changes induced by a safety device will partly, completely, or more than completely nullify the intended effect of the device.
> The statistics which the NHTSA considers the most compelling evidence in support of helmet legislation are displayed in figure 1. The state which Watson et al (1980) consider has had the greatest increase in deaths as result of helmet law repeal is Utah.
> When the distorting effects of the analytical methods employed by the NHTSA and Watson et al are removed, their data (with the caveats discussed above) suggest that the effect, if any, of helmet legislation on motorcycling fatalities is perverse.
I'll have to read the paper with more attention later to see if I agree with this, but it's a fascinating hypothesis regardless.Also, this is tangential, but I'm always impressed how different conclusions can be based on the same sets of data. Statistics is a truly fascinating field of mathematics because it's still an objective topic (regarding numbers, in isolation) but becomes very human and subjective when it comes to the different conclusions, transformations, and visualizations for the same data sets.
It narrows your visibility and the main feeling of danger (imo) was all the cars that act as if you aren't there (ideally because they didn't/can't see you).
It has only kicked in in three situations, all of which have been warranted.
* I was turning onto a main road. Foolishly, I assumed the car turning in front of me went. I started making my turn. It alerted me and avoided a minor, but costly rear end.
* in dense traffic where people cut in and out. In the time it takes to verify a lane change, someone has cut you off or traffic has slowed. It doesn’t not apply heavy braking, but issues an audible alarm and pretensions the brakes.
* once in a situation where I misjudged the braking speed of the car in front of me. The vehicle was a bit smaller than I though, so it appeared further away at speed.
In the latter two cases, the actual emergency braking did not engage. Only the pre warning and tensioning. In both situations, I would have likely avoided an accident without the system, but had to apply by brakes even harder.
My understanding is emergency braking doesn’t necessarily avoid a collision, but it can bleed of speed in the final few feet before an impact. A collision ending 2 feet into your bumper is far safer than one ending 10ft into your car.
Secondly, consider you have to consider what compensation buys you. People bringing up risk compensation often forget that. Doing a task faster and with less concentration, these are real benefits that makes peoples lives better.
Third, people don't fully compensate for risk. Often a safety technology will both reduce accidents and let you get the job done faster.
What little you have to do to get your license compared to European nations like Switzerland or Germany is absurd. Not only can you drive at 16 already there is basically no test to drive what is basically a tank down the road.
In the north you have the additional hazard of driving in snow and so many have no clue how to deal with it. A "Schleuderkurs" should be manditory in the north so people know what it feels like to lossee control and how to deal with it.
P.S. In Switzerland if you fail your driving test a second time you can't just do it again. You need to get a psychiatric evaluation that you are fit to drive. Yet we still have shit drivers here as well.
Imagine if we were debating right now on if Airplanes should have automatic braking systems due to all the runway incursions ...
In an environment where small, cheap, runabout electric vehicles could become very popular, I expect lots of "for your safety" reasons why cars have to be complicated and expensive.
“helped secure a historic 50 percent increase in funding and staffing resources for the agency under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law”
> small, cheap, runabout electric vehicles could become very popular
Agreed that's a promising area. It's possible that the increasing regulatory burden on cars may drive an increase in low-speed vehicles such as neighborhood electric vehicles (NEV) for use cases that do not require more than 25mph/40kph.[2] Since they are exempt from the vast majority of new automobile regulations that makes them comparatively much simpler and more affordable.
[1] https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7126a1.htm
[2] I am not claiming this works for every suburban commute, just that there exists a nontrivial number of car trips in cities and towns that would be feasible in a NEV.
Not the way we do it, it doesn't. What it does make sense to do is put the liability for harm where it belongs: on those who actually cause harm. But the vast majority of our automobile regulations--I include traffic laws in this category--do not do that. The regulation proposed here is an example.
Furthermore, government institutions, particularly in the post-COVID era, simply lack credibility when they make claims about some government mandate reducing harm. In this case, as I pointed out elsewhere in this thread, NHTSA's claims about harm reduction assume that these systems will always operate perfectly and will never cause any harm, only prevent it. Such an assumption is not credible.
In short, I do not share your faith in the ability of government regulators to actually reduce harm, on net. More generally, I do not share your faith in the ability of governments to actually act in the interest of all the people, instead of benefiting the governments themselves and particular special interests.
Paranoia on overreach is fine. Good, even. That is best approached by auditing and running the stats. Constantly. But to claim that this is a meaningful restriction feels wrong on many levels.
That said, if you are going to assert some of these claims, on what evidence? I'm restricted such that I have to wear seatbelts. I can't buy a new car without rear view camera. I can't buy a new car without antilock brakes. Headlights. Brake lights. I could go for a long time on this list. Are you claiming none of those make driving safer?
You must be joking. Requiring me to have a technology in my car that can apply the brakes without any input from me and without warning? That is most definitely a meaningful restriction. You're forcing me to trust the government's estimate of the relative risk vs. benefit. To be blunt, the government sucks compared to me at estimating my relative risk and benefit. Plus, government institutions have repeatedly shown that they will lie to me about such things to serve political ends. So no, not buying it.
> I'm restricted such that I have to wear seatbelts. I can't buy a new car without rear view camera. I can't buy a new car without antilock brakes. Headlights. Brake lights. I could go for a long time on this list. Are you claiming none of those make driving safer?
The question is not whether these things make driving safer as compared to not having them.
The question is whether the government regulations we have, which include requiring these things but also include lots of other regulations that have far worse justifications (if they even have justifications at all and aren't just blatant attempts to extort the public, such as speed traps), are a better system, on net, than a system in which such things were a matter of voluntary choice, but we forced people to bear the consequences of their bad choices. Oh, you weren't wearing a seat belt and you got in an accident? Sorry, your insurance company will not cover the medical costs due to injuries you suffered that the seat belt would have prevented (or you have a much higher deductible in such a case). Oh, you hit something while backing up and you didn't put a rear view camera in your car? Same sort of answer from your insurance company. Oh, you hit something because you didn't have anti-lock brakes and so you couldn't steer to avoid the collision? Same answer.
In other words, if it is in fact true that these various technologies reduce the risk of accidents, then people who know they will have to take the consequences if they cause an accident will use these technologies to reduce that risk. But in our present regime, our society appears to be violently allergic to such things. The very existence of no fault auto insurance, for example, indicates that we don't like the idea of having to take the consequences of bad choices--but the result is that everyone pays more for auto insurance (IIRC, average rates in no fault states are about twice what they are in states that don't have no fault).
We would all be better off if we abandoned the idea that government regulation can magically protect people from bad consequences. We would also all be better off if we abandoned the idea that we can somehow magically have a government that only makes good regulations, and accepted the inconvenient truth that government regulations come as a package, which even if it contains some good regulations contains many more bad ones, and all things considered is a net cost to us all, not a net gain. We need to stop depending on the nanny state to protect us and be responsible adults who are capable of judging risks and acting accordingly.
There are tons of modes in this data. Assessing all crash fatalities as some sort of "general" problem you can target misses this fact.
The single greatest thing you could do to reduce fatalities is to eliminate drunk and impaired driving.
This discussion is about _mandating_ AEB, not it's mere existence or implementation, and of the overall value of that proposition; which, I am suggesting is low relative to all other problems and efforts spent mandating this would be better spent elsewhere.
> If anything, AEB would help mitigate some of the impact from the drunk and impaired driving.
Are these systems tested for this use case? I'd like to see that. Otherwise, this is a guess, and a bad one.
But this is not mutually exclusive. For one thing, we can do two things at once. For another, automobile fatalities typically have multiple contributing causes. If we had stronger safety regulations around vehicle height, stopping distance, windshield visibility, etc then some number of the crashes involving alcohol or drug use might have been injuries or close calls instead of fatalities.
And yet we see that truck and suv purchases are through the roof with buyers regularly expressing the sentiment that they would rather be in a large vehicle to keep themselves and the other occupants safe. Generally the other side, which is fuck the pedestrians, cyclists, or other drivers who cannot afford to drive a full sized truck to starbucks, is left unsaid.
Yes. This is precisely why this sort of decision cannot be left to individual consumers -- the end result is an arms race of ever-larger vehicles and dramatic increases in fatalities for the rest of us.
The systems under discussion here are different, because they have the capability to do something that none of the other safety systems you mention can: take control of your car from you. Anti-lock brakes only work when you press the brake pedal. Seat belts and rear view cameras are passive. Automatic systems that can press the brakes without warning and without you expecting it are very different; what if the system makes a mistake? Multiple other posters in this thread have described such mistakes.
These systems are more like rudimentary self-driving cars and should be judged accordingly. They are not just passive safety features with no downside.
https://www.nytimes.com/1975/04/06/archives/industry-resists...
Your claims about widespread voluntary adoption appear false.
https://www.history.com/news/seat-belt-laws-resistance
> At the time, only 14 percent of Americans regularly wore seat belts, even though the federal government required lap and shoulder belts in all new cars starting in 1968.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transportation_safety_in_the_U...
I don't see where that number is given in the article you referenced.
In any case, I didn't ask for a number, I asked for a percentage of people who didn't wear seat belts who suffered or caused harm because of it.
It's not hard to find. https://www.bankrate.com/insurance/car/seat-belt-statistics/ is an example claiming 329,715.
> In any case, I didn't ask for a number, I asked for a percentage of people who didn't wear seat belts who suffered or caused harm because of it.
Yes, I did notice that, and the not so subtle sleight of hand involved in it.
If you think that was sleight of hand, we obviously have very different attitudes about risk and regulation and we probably won't be able to have a productive discussion.
But, as far as I can tell from the article, the industry is not fighting this regulation.
To your credit, I have never heard anyone say bad things about rear view cameras. It is scary how many lives that has to have saved by now.
Now, I have heard complaints on cruise control. I don't see that going away any time soon.
- Make alignment of front facing cameras free (for newer automobiles not retrofits), not a $500 service option. The front facing camera is bound to fall all out of alignment, which makes the system begin to see ghosts. This then causes drivers to simply disable the automatic emergency braking, after 1 or 2 scares. Therefore the system is broken.
- Fine car companies that cause accidents due to emergency braking randomly braking due to ghosts or other spectra, if due to flawed mechanics. There should not be corner cutting in a safety feature. Such fines already exist for airbag regulations.
If we were to mandate automatic emergency braking today with the state of the current technology, it would be a disaster.
Just don't drive close. Train yourself on what the proper distance is and stick to it.
At least until it is MUCH better. Like 6 orders of magnitude better.
Just watching the "Pre-Collission Warning" red flash and beep on both a Ford Truck and Mazda crossover, there are far tooo many times that it reliably and consistently would brake and CAUSE an accident.
The most common one is where there is a car or obstacle just on the outside of a turn, such as (in the US, left side driver) a left bend in the road with a "Y" intersection going off the right side = outside of the turn, or a vehicle pulling off into a right-side driveway. As I turn left around the bend without much slowing and the other vehicle drives off to the right => "ALARM!!!". It obviously 'thinks' I'm about to rear-end that vehicle, when I know that no such thing will happen (unless I straighten the wheel or turn right for some bad reason). If braking happened here, I'd get rear-ended.
Similarly, I've seen the alert go off on either dirt roads with some random dark spot in the middle, or a regular road with a temporary steel plate over a work trench, or even just a pebble or small branch in the road.
It is clear that all of these miscellaneous items can produce the appearance of an obstacle about to be hit, but that does NOT mean that braking is appropriate.
It looks like instead of moving forward to an all-electric vehicle, I may be going back to restore some early 1990's vehicles and run them until the petrol market is no longer sufficiently viable to support common corner petrol stations.
Just a few hours ago, I saw an pristine but old Porsche 911 with antique plates. Obviously still way fun to actually DRIVE. Seems like a good way to go!
* monetary for the consumer (new features give manufactures an excuse to keep the price high) * environmental (because increased failure surface area causes consumers to need more repairs/upgrades) * safety (side airbags hurt visibility... Bigger cars are more dangerous ... generally safety features may make more people drive more dangerously [1]) * increased oligopoly (complex safety requirements stifle competition)
The problem isn't that there's no benefit, it's just that all of those "unintended" costs are actually boons to the manufacturers, so as long as they're calling the shots new features will just keep on rolling. Meanwhile, we just get more and more dependent on something that fewer and fewer really understand.
When you drive, you are responsible for you and your passengers safety.
How can you possibly be responsible for the car suddenly stopping when you have no control over it as a mandated safety feature.
The only choice you have if this is mandated is you can't drive. So you can't travel long distances, or transport things long distance, interferes with interstate commerce and travel you are confined to your local area of walking distance.
This is beyond stupid, and lacks any basis of granted authority since it opens the door for violating constitutional rights, in the name of a dubious claimed safety issue. Congress can't create a law and have this not be unconstitutional how can a committee think this will be any different.
https://theintercept.com/2023/01/10/tesla-crash-footage-auto...
I say this as someone who spends hrs a day on a computer building AI systems…
If that had been the case I would have still driven that car... very frustrating because - touchscreen aside - it was a nice and comfy car and I had planned to make it the last car I ever bought.
A feature that lets an adversary take control of your car in this way is known as a bug.
In practice it does leave a bit more following distance than most human drivers, but your worry of constantly getting cut off until you come to a stop in the road is not a real thing. This is partly because the car modifies the set following distance based on speed, so that the same setting is much closer at e.g. 5 mph than at 60.
Interpreting your original comment in that context: AEB only kicks in at a point where maximum braking will result in you barely not hitting something in front of you, or maybe even hitting it at a low speed. Modern cars can stop very fast indeed with maximum braking so in practice this threshold is never crossed under normal driving conditions unless the software returns a false positive. It's not about maintaining a safe following distance—it's about stopping the car at the extreme edge of the safety envelope, beyond which no manual or automatic intervention could prevent a violent crash.
False positives do happen but I think they are very rare or practically nonexistent in good implementations. I've never had it happen with my Honda.
It hasn’t even done the object detected warning beeping when driving on actual roads, which I assume happens prior to the braking. The times I’ve had that warning are parking head on against walls and approach fast, and on one particular 15 mph off ramp that curved sharply such that one drove directly at a sign before turning sharply. It was understandable that it would alert there. No braking.
Assisted Lane keeping is another story, not a fan. Does not account for a ton of things such as the car or truck in the next lane is almost over the line.
So unless the vehicle is fully self driving to the level of an alert good driver, it’s going to mess up. And lane keeping is definitely not claiming to be that.
The lane departure warning beep is fine even although its 90% false alerts for me due to non-lane lines or snow etc, and 9% when two lanes merge and I get lazy about the turn signal with no cars around. But if I were to get more tired or something it could be a helpful alert of last resort to stop driving, hope I never wait that long though because that would be dangerous.
Otoh, I won't use the adaptive cruise control, because the granularity for following distance settings is too coarse, so I have to pick either follow closer than I'd like or follow far enough back that people treat it as an engraved invitation.
I'm not a big user of cruise control anyway, so no big deal. I'm also less frequently driving long distances on I-5, so not in that situation much anyway.
The WEF has discussed the need for this repeatedly: don't forget, you'll own nothing and be happy AND safe!