Foxconn Plans to Lift Pay Sharply at Factories in China
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
This is how Foxconn's wages have looked since 2004 --
2004: 380 RMB
2006: 400 RMB
2007: 600 RMB
2008: 700 RMB
2009-July 2010: 900 RMB
July 2010: 1200 RMB
Oct 2010: 2000 RMB after 6 month probationary period at 1200 RMB
April 2011: 2390 RMB after 6 month probation period at 1590 RMB
2012: 2590 after 6 month probation period at 2190 RMB
I've been expecting cheap manufacturing to move away from China eventually, but it seems it may happen faster than I thought.
It's going to be interesting to see what happens once the Chinese workers have to go back to their farms. The average Chinese farm earns about 300-500RMB per month (http://seeingredinchina.com/2011/04/27/how-poor-are-chinese-...); will the NYTimes write about that, too?
All of this push to raise employee pay will more than likely speed up the adoption of automation and end up drastically cutting unskilled jobs a bit faster.
Well, with this new internal development project Foxconn will do it all by itself in just 2 years. This will DOUBLE the number of industrial robots in the world and make China the leading robotics country. Impressive stuff.
(I have no idea about this, you seem to:)
Isn't it so that you don't need the human dexterity? They are making the same movements on the same iPad the entire day; would that not be a prime candidate to NOT need humans for? It's not as if they create a custom iPad per client?
Good on foxconn for responding, and hopefully they keep improving their conditions of work.
What made manufacturing jobs go to China in the first place was the extremely low wages and lack of red tape, worker benefits, safety, bureaucracy, etc...
In the past months wages in China have risen enough to make some US companies return jobs to the US because they were no longer saving money in China. This was predicted to happen at some time around 2015 but we're seeing much earlier. The better the Chinese get paid the less of a reason companies will have for outsourcing in the first place. Why? Because by insourcing manufacturing back to the US businesses have more control, don't have to worry about IP theft, and don't have to wait a month for shipments to come back from China.
Basically:
Chinese are treated like crap = backlash from consumers + bad for workers + but more jobs for the Chinese. Chinese workers treated better = more approval for consumers + better for Chinese workers + but less jobs for China.
Second, from the perspective of as casual observer, it would seem Apple's success disproves all three of your concern..they seem to have ample control, IP theft doesn't seem to be a problem (Samsung "stealing" design elements, isn't a manufacturing issue), and their time to market is phenomenal.
Unless automation catches up first. You're right that jobs will keep jumping from country to county as wages rise in previously developing areas.
However, that will end when automation reaches the point where it's cheaper to have robots in the US build it.
Also, one question I have is this: is the difference in wages between the U.S. and India, less than the difference in wages between the U.S. and China when these jobs started moving there?
And why exactly would manufacturing jobs go to India? Is there some preexisting manufacturing industry I'm not aware of?
It's also less politically sensitive in the US. Americans have a knee-jerk reaction to China that goes far beyond outsourcing and call center complaints. India is seen as an ally rather than a potential military threat.
- India's domestic consumption accounts for 57% of the GPD.
- India's housing bubble is not even close to what has been going on in China.
- 650 million Indian's are estimated to live on $2 a day (100 millions in china).
- India's population will overtake china's during the 2020's
OTHO, India has other problems like endemic corruption, less investment in infrastructure, or terrible levels of inflation for example.
There's also the fact that China appears to be heading for a serious problem with respect to the age of its population. Conversely, India is expected to maintain population growth for at least a couple decades longer than China.
(1) http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/world-2050/pdf/world-in-2050-jan...
Bigger domestic consumer base so it's no longer export only, lower cost from IP means fewer legal risks/more competition and cheaper manufacturing capacity.
Hopefully they have smoother transition than Japan.
$400/month is still less than $5000/year. Federal minimum wage in the US for 40 hours/week with no overtime comes out to just over $15,000/year, and it's unlikely most of the workers in a hypothetical US iPhone factory would be making minimum wage.
Remember, the Foxconn workers are already making a lot more than most Chinese manage. These workers are getting attention because of Apple's unusual public image and high profile. There's a lot worse to be found in China.
I live in Vietnam (Saigon) and hang out with a lot of Taiwanese factory owners/managers/etc. More and more of them are coming here, though I can't imagine they'll be staying long.
I went to Taiwan for Chinese New Years and was amazed at the progress from when I was last there 12 years ago. Unfortunately, their economy is taking a beating as a lot of what created it in the first place is now moving to places with higher profit margins.
I can only think that Africa is next on the list.