Facebook is losing E-Commerce
nikcub.appspot.com
nikcub.appspot.com
Facebook could, I imagine, be a powerful online store for people who don't otherwise have storefronts, but people who think I'm going to go to FB to shop online at Macy's are probably the same people who thought I'd go to Second Life to shop online at Macy's.
I founded a company called Snapline (http://www.getsnapline.com) that helps retailers integrate Facebook functionality into their e-commerce site. We've talked to many retailers, and most are still not sure where Facebook comes into play for their business. Small retailers want to engage and increase their Facebook audience, but it's time-consuming to make consistent feed updates and it's impact on sales is pretty murky. Large retailers seeks to gain much more by engaging their Facebook audience, but implementing features on their site that leverage Facebook data is outside their core area of expertise. I think what can go a long way in solving both problems is incorporating functionality within an e-commerce store that doesn't require a lot of manpower and improves the shopping experience.
OTOH, I don't see a need for Facebook to necessarily be involved, since I don't think people shop with all their - just a few. Not being a social shopper though, I can't comment much more than that.
The idea of having a total shopping experience hosted within the Facebook ecosystem worries me, because it places too much control in the hands of an organisation that's known to be capricious.
Facebook has gone the other direction ... treating each retailer like "an island" where there isn't an easy way to at-a-glance see all of the retailers and their products in one view. Sure, food and "stuff" are different things... but I think for consumers to embrace an aggregating platform for commerce, Facebook will need to flatten the view to the customers to allow them to get a view of their buying choices in a less-segregated way than things have been presented to them until now.
Businesses look at facebook and ask, "How can we use this to market more to our customers?" And the answer is to make a facebook page and get bunches of followers and make posts and blah blah blah.
Seems like none of them think to ask "what do our customers want to do on facebook and how can we add value to that experience?"
I had no idea that they had e-commerce ambitions.
Sounds more and more like one of those Yahoo!/Netscape/AOL portal projects every day.
Anyone who's done any affiliate marketing knows this is wildly inaccurate. Most people are there to browse, a minority click-through to the affiliate link, a smaller minority have an intention to buy the product, and an even smaller minority buy that product on that specific site in that specific cookie timeframe.
Pinterest probably clears a million in affiliate revenue per year. They're not a coupon site. They're not Google Adwords. it's all about user intention. It's just a step above "selling a product to people in bars".
Even if this was true (and personally I don't doubt that it is), it won't matter. FB will go public at a valuation of $100bn, and people will buy the stock. I am willing to bet on this.
The stock market is rarely driven by business fundamentals these days it seems, but by perception and a form sheep mentality of the (mostly individual) investors.
As evidence of faltering IPO demand, check out what happened to Zynga -- took about 10 minutes to fall below ipo price.
Except until it is a bear market; which it is every couple of years and everything is priced based on it's fundamentals.
* I've had a better time with facebook ads than google ads, in terms of price and targeting * A lot of tiny businesses are doing all their promotion on facebook. I don't think it'd be too much of a stretch to say that facebook is the platform of the microbusiness. Eg like mums selling baby clothes, photographers showing their portfolio, things like that.
Facebook does not own the long tail of social.
Don't count them out.
One massive problem is obvious: from the top down, Zuckerberg knows absolutely nothing about retail, fashion, and so on. They can't engineer their way out of not understanding the business.