Singapore Still the Best Place for Entrepreneurs
penn-olson.com
penn-olson.com
The more I travel and live overseas, the more I think the US is a lousy place for startups.
Why? The regulatory climate in the US is fairly anti-small-business. Taxes are high but worse, they are complicated. The tax system is designed around the idea that people get paid fixed amounts. Those with variable incomes or the self-employed have a horrible time with estimated quarterly taxes esp if income fluctuates significantly.
Compare this with Singapore: For the wealthiest, the taxes approach 30% of income and instead of a tax bracket system, you have a series of compounding taxes (something like 5% of income over 40k + 5 % of income over 50k etc). Every additional dollar you make puts something in your pocket. No nasty "I moved up a tax bracket and so I took home less this year!" surprises. Additionally the taxes aren't owed in the year assessed. They are owed the following year, and the government accepts monthly payments on those. Your income has to fluctuate terribly before that can be the end of it.
Most other countries outside the US and Western Europe have much simpler tax codes, and the codes are more friendly towards small businesses (and even Western Europe is more friendly towards small businesses). In the US, however, multinational corporations can use the complexity to avoid paying taxes at all, and small businesses are heavily burdened.
When you add new laws like PPACA, things just get worse. PPACA is based on the idea that employers are the primary means of supplying health insurance, so when you are trying to hire your first few employees, you are going to have to get an expensive plan since you can't likely get into the larger pools, but more to the point, this is the case even if you don't have to offer the insurance by law, since if you don't offer it, your employee has to buy it him/herself. Since health care in the US is phenominally expensive, this is a dramatic drag on startups (compare the cost of having a baby in the US to anywhere else in the world and explain why it costs so much to me here. It's not just the standard of care. It's because our system is broken and geared towards an ecosystem of big businesses making a ton of money off it, and the PPACA makes this worse, not better).
Add to this the fact that the economic downturn has not created a major glut of high tech workers (in fact, quite the opposite), and it's just not the place I would say to work with right now.
So my list of countries to startup businesses in right now include:
Singapore
Colombia
Malaysia
Indonesia
Ecuador
Chile
Ghana
These countries all have issues of their own but aside from Singapore, one thing they all have in common is a surplus of educated people, good education systems, and sufficient infrastructure. They also have some semblance of stability (even Colombia is slowly getting there).
I don't think one is going to see superstars like Facebook coming from any of these countries. However I do think one will see a lot of good, solid businesses that will grow well, and prosper.
In US/CA, certain type of insurances == loan. Insurance companies also try hard not to pay you either due to the number of scams or just trying to scam you.
In Indonesia, insurance is actually what insurance should be: someone will pay your liabilities, without too much hassle or questions.
Also, depending on your pocket money, in Indonesia, you can get the medium-to-best quality of health care. In US/CA, for whatever reason, I heard more horror stories when it comes to "visiting specialists" (be it long multi months queue, or left with debt)
Also in the case of the kid born in the US, the insurance did pay what they said they would. We still ended up with around $10k in debt for a relatively uncomplicated pregnancy and childbirth.
Part of the problem though is that US health care is expensive. It's not just insurance. It's not just the idea that single payer would be cheaper (I am not sure it would necessarily be--- the devil is in the details), but rather it is the fact that everything is stacked against the consumer, against the doctor as an individual, and towards the direction of big companies (big pharma, insurance, textbook publishers, etc). The only thing a single payer system brings to the table (and most such systems are a world away from anything the US would consider even if such a plan was on the table---- for example, Canada has separate systems per province, and in Denmark everything is run by local governments) is some counterbalance by the collective consumers against such a model.
To give you an idea of how much more expensive it is in the US than in anywhere else, if medical care cost the same in the US as it did in Canada or the UK, what the government currently spends (on government employees, on the VA, on Medicare and Medicaid) would be enough to fully cover every American.
So why is it so expensive? Could it be monopoly/oligopoly interests? Conspiracies against market transparency on the part of medical service providers and insurers? Regulatory games? All of the above? I suggest it is, in fact, all of the above.
Even the little things cost a lot: nurses cost a lot in US/CA compare to Indonesia (where they are probably on the low-medium end of the salary range).
There are a few issues with health practitioners in Indonesia, here are some of them:
1) Preferred C-section over natural birth
C-section brings more money
2) Preferred anti-biotic over natural healing
The answer to almost everything is anti-biotic. If they can't "fix" you in 2 days, neighbour will spread rumours that a particular GP isn't that good ("he/she can't heal me, but I went to Dr. Foo and he gave me a medicine and I'm back to work the next day")
But doctors in the US are also far more into defensive C sections. You can avoid the issue in Indonesia by doing a little research about the doctor ahead of time.
Is this not precisely how the American tax system works? At no point will you ever lose money by making an extra dollar. Each tax bracket is marginal; taxing only the money in that bracket.
But more to the point the taxes are easier to fill out, and payment terms are a lot easier than in the US. If you have ever been self-employed and struggled with taxes because of sudden business increases partway through the year, you will know what I mean......
That said, it's certainly possible for a startup company to exist in Singapore or somewhere but target and sell to US customers. The communication and regulatory hurdles will be higher, but not insurmountable.
I would also say that my experience also suggests that US primacy in world banking contributes to it too. If someone wires money from Colombia to the US, the price is not expensive, but Colombia to Indonesia is ($100 USD per wire? WTF?).
Also wiring ringgits from Indonesia (national currency is the Rupiah) to Malaysia (Ringgit) requires conversion into dollars and then wiring through New York. Some work on local banking connections would go a long way. That's probably one thing the Eurozone was intended to do for Europe. I am not sure you need a multinational every day currency though so much as an international reserve currency for the region....
It's taking pains to point out that you don't care about public opinion, which is, at least here, a way of ingratiating yourself to public opinion.
He found that, as of the mid 1970s, this intervention had driven up costs 26fold, and had reduced availability, by an amount I can't remember.
Since then I'm sure the impact is even worse. But if you just use that number-- a $100,000 operation that might bankrupt you would have cost $3,846.15 if government hadn't gotten involved. So the impact of government is going from a cost you could afford to put on a credit card to bankruptcy.
Found this, which gives a figure of 10X for a "hospital bed" "In 1992, the Hoover Institution published an essay by Milton Friedman titled "Input and Output in Medical Care," http://mises.org/daily/3793
And also: "Some years ago, the Nobel-laureate economist Milton Friedman studied the history of healthcare supply in America. In a 1992 study published by the Hoover Institution, entitled "Input and Output in Health Care," Friedman noted that 56 percent of all hospitals in America were privately owned and for-profit in 1910. After 60 years of subsidies for government-run hospitals, the number had fallen to about 10 percent. It took decades, but by the early 1990s government had taken over almost the entire hospital industry. That small portion of the industry that remains for-profit is regulated in an extraordinarily heavy way by federal, state and local governments so that many (perhaps most) of the decisions made by hospital administrators have to do with regulatory compliance as opposed to patient/customer service in pursuit of profit. It is profit, of course, that is necessary for private-sector hospitals to have the wherewithal to pay for healthcare.
Friedman's key conclusion was that, as with all governmental bureaucratic systems, government-owned or -controlled healthcare created a situation whereby increased "inputs," such as expenditures on equipment, infrastructure, and the salaries of medical professionals, actually led to decreased "outputs" in terms of the quantity of medical care. For example, while medical expenditures rose by 224 percent from 1965–1989, the number of hospital beds per 1,000 population fell by 44 percent and the number of beds occupied declined by 15 percent. Also during this time of almost complete governmental domination of the hospital industry (1944–1989), costs per patient-day rose almost 24-fold after inflation is taken into account." http://mises.org/daily/3586
The 24 fold figure above may well be where I got the "26 fold" claim I made. Since the government has been running a deficit for a long time, including the period of the study, taking inflation into account is appropriate. Inflation is what happens when the government spends more than it take in, it prints the extra money. The impact of inflation on an economy is the devaluation of the unit of currency, causing a rise in the prices of everything denominated in that currency, including health care.
I would instead say the problem is:
1: Monopolies and oligopolies (patents, letting the AMA control medical school accredation, etc). Solution is to charter mini-AMA's to provide competition, and to enact compulsatory licensing of patents in medical fields.
2: The fact that the health care and health insurance markets are both entirely consumer opaque. Consumers don't have any control over their money in these markets and the common-sense protections are missing. For example, when I go to get my car worked on, I have a right to a written estimate before repairs are begun. Why don't I have a right to a written estimate before non-emergency medical care is provided?
The first thing you have to recognize is that when Democrats and Republicans both talk about reforming our medical system to address these, they believe that more corporate power, and less consumer power will correct this problem. Unfortunately, pricing is a coercive negotiation, and so that will only accelerate the problem.
Empower consumers. Disempower corporations. Bring prices down.
Credentialling of doctors as it currently stands is an artificial guild system which restricts the number of doctors. It doesn't make medicine safer, but does increase doctor salaries. This is one of the ways government interferes with healthcare to artificially restrict supply-- the AMA did some effective lobbying once upon a time.
Drugs also reduce the need for hospital stays and thus costs by curing or preventing conditions that would otherwise get worse.
Moving up a tax bracket only taxes the additional income at a higher rate. This is the definition of a progressive tax.
Female employee pregnant? Feel free to pre-emptively fire her, as long as it is not 6 months before the baby is due. (Even the 6 months is a relatively new ruling, used to be ok till the baby pops).
Found a cheaper employee? Feel free to fire the existing one. No reasons need to be given. Employment at will, they call it.
As you may imagine, the employees reciprocates this regime by displaying little loyalty. You only need the smallest pay rise to prise away a rival's employee.
So good luck starting a business here. There is a reason why Singapore is dominated by MNCs and government owned conglomerates while small enterprises have unnaturally high failure rate, despite being so startup friendly, on paper.
However, I find your points very valuable and will certainly keep them in mind as I proceed (obviously it would only happen when partnering with a Singaporean who is already in the field so to speak).
If I started a business in Singapore (and I have been considering it) I would be hiring employees that I liked and respected, and I'd pay them fairly. I can't imagine that I'd fire them "at will" because I found someone a few bucks cheaper, or that they'd abandon me for a few bucks more. I can't imagine high-value knowledge workers playing these kind of games. Maybe discount supermarkets poach each other's check-out workers but rails programmers?
And even if you were hiring relatively blue collar workers, eg if you were setting up a factory, it seems to me that the fact of being in a hands-off regulatory environment would make employees respond even better to being treated well.
Just because in theory you can get away with acting like an asshole, doesn't mean you have to, or it is wise for you to do so.
It means ensuring that your early employees have a stake in the business. I would think that the stock options approach would be fairly similar.
The issue is that if there is a serious labor vs capital division, the struggle is going to hurt everyone.
What you save in taxes, you will pay back many folds in rental and transportation costs. If you have never been to Singapore, you will not be able to imagine how much it costs to own a car in Singapore. Most expensive in the world, by far.
And because of the ease of hiring foreigners, you will find that there will be plenty of cheap rails programmers available... may not be the type you want, but you will find pressure from elsewhere questioning why you overpay your staff when cheaper ones are available.
And for a population conditioned to ill treatment, you will find that you will not be able to change the cynical culture overnight.
Lastly, if your competition is also based in Singapore, then you will be competiting with assholes with asshole level productivity and cost structures. Over the long term, you will win. But over the short term, you will be choked to death by the assholes who can promise more and cost less.
I've been to Singapore many times, and am fully aware of how much it costs to own a car. I live in Sydney, which if anything is more expensive than SG except for the car taxes. I do not consider Singapore to be expensive compared to Australia.
You refer often to appearances to others - investors, perhaps, comparing your costs of labour to other companies? What other oversight would you be experiencing?
Honestly I hadn't really thought about hiring cheap natives. Singapore is something of a hub for expats and I was thinking I would just invite anyone I needed.
If you have exeperience with running a startup style business in singapore I would love to hear about it.
I don't think many companies would simply fire existing workers when cheaper ones are found.
Nor do I think anyone I know would make a job switch just because of a slight increase in salary.
I heard many stories from friends and parent friend's kids that working 10-12 hours a day is a norm and most business owners will squeeze the most out of them (them being mostly workers from abroad granted working visa).
Most business owners or locals know they got the upper hand.
You can't get laid off for no reason (only so-called "mass" lay-offs where a minimum of 20% of staff has to go due to restructuring reasons - or, of course, disciplinary action) but the salary you employer pays you (much lower if such laws didn't exist) has to take into account that there can can be long periods of time where there is no work for you to do and they can't get rid of you legally.
Low tax rates and business regulation should not be our only concerns in building the future.
I'll take being caned over being killed any day.
There are always tradeoffs.
Google "Chia Thye Poh" to find more about one of the longest held political prisoner in the world, without trial by the way. Or "Alan Shadrake" for Singapore's treatment of foreigners who dared to criticise the government.
Singapore in general has little respect for human decency, and the population is long conditioned to keep our mouths shut and focus on chasing money. You will not find Singaporeans protesting for rights or against injustice, because we dont dare and we cannot afford to.
If this contempt for human rights bother you, Singapore can be rather uncomfortable.
As far as caning and hanging go, I'm pretty sure they do their best only to do those things to convicted criminals. Keep your nose clean and you'll be fine.
For what it's worth, I still think SF is a better place to be an entrepreneur than Singapore. Among other things, Singaporeans are loath to take risks on small unproven startups, whereas SF/SV is startup Mecca. The 'ease of doing business' metric suggested by the article isn't the same as 'best place to be an entrepreneur'.
I think this should read: if you're customers are in South East Asia, you're amongst the luckiest entrepreneurs in the world.
Edit: I can't think of any government in the world where I would ask for money as a foreigner. That just strikes me as asking for serious trouble.
In every country, there is a fear of foreigners coming in to "take our jobs." A foreign businessman needs to be careful because any grants will be subject to the government having to deal with this fear. That doesn't mean don't take government contracts. But it does mean that if you are going to apply for government grants, you really want a national doing this for you.
A second thing to think about is the problem of crony capitalism (think of no-bid Haliburton contracts in Iraq or former bank executives bailing out their buddies--- this is not that different in the US but is often more obvious in other countries). In general if you have good contacts, you can get good grants and contracts. If you do not, you cannot. As a foreigner you probably don't esp, if you are lured in with the hopes of government money.
This is really a matter of being risk adverse. Only go for government help when you have the contacts to make it work effectively.
From my personal experience and the 99% of the SUP entrepreneurs I can say that it's a good program
We were accepted to Startup Chile, and will be flying to Chile next week. I can't report on the state of Chile now, but I did visit the country in 2001 and remember being impressed at the time at how capitalist it was, compared to the USA. (culturally capitalist, which is not the same as having an entrepreneurial culture, which Startup Chile is working to improve.)
When you think about it, Startup Chile is a pretty audacious program. They put in twice the money of most bootstrapping programs, covering twice the period, and give you a 1 year visa for living and working in Chile. Can you imagine how hard it would be to get free one year visas for entrepreneurs coming to the USA? Even with a merit based contest like SU Chile?
There's a distinct possibility that we may remain in Chile for several years after the program, provided that continuing the Visa doesn't turn out to be a problem (and the reports I've read indicate that its generally not a problem at all.)
1) www.acra.gov.sg - Companies and businesses need to be registered with the authority. There is information here on the type of companies you can set up etc
2) http://www.edb.gov.sg/edb/sg/en_uk/index/why_singapore/Guide.... Another government site to get you started
3) Setting up offshore office. You can do a google search for "virtual office singapore". These guys provide a basic address which you can use when you register a business. If you are setting up a Private Limited company in Singapore, you will need a company secretary, which most of these virtual office will also provide for a price. Most also have a package where you can get everything ie registering a business, company secretary, virtual address for a year for less than SGD $1000
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_of_Georgia_(U.S._state)
Like that guy in the state of Georgia in the US who got scared when Russia "invaded" the country Georgia
Certainly Singapore has its advantages, but I think you'd be hard pressed to value them more highly over the factors I mentioned.
Entrepreneur vs High Tech Entrepreneur: This is a reasonable distinction, so I'm going to only talk about high tech. High tech, to me, means, the internet plays a key part in the product, and in my case, it is where the entirety of the product lives. So, software and virtual goods or information or services, rather than a factory and manufacturing, etc.
Labor Pool: The labor pool for a high tech company is global. I don't care where an employee is working, and the companies I admire are very globally diverse. This is becoming increasingly common it seems- for instance one engineer I know of is living on a beach in Thailand working for a US company ostensibly based in Boston (but with employees in at least a dozen countries and states.)
So, the labor pool is global, for high tech businesses (not so much when you need a factory.)
Funding Climate- Yes, if your business is selling stock in your business, then you want to be located within an easy board meeting commute of Sand Hill Road. But one of the aspects of high tech business these days is that the funding needed is vastly smaller than before... you can self fund if you're a highly paid employee who lives frugally and puts away $40k a year for 5 years, for instance.
There does seem to be a segment of the population that thinks "high tech startup" is only that segment of companies that are trying to be the next facebook-- that is, bets on really long odds that require large amounts of outside capital. I think that's kinda silly when you can self fund and pursue businesses with much better odds, and thus have risk adjusted returns vastly higher. (would you rather have a %1 chance at being a billionaire, or a %75 chance at being deci-millionaire?)
The large, homogeneous, wealthy market of the USA: Can be addressed by businesses anywhere. There's no need to locate in the USA to address the US market. Further, in many business areas, the US market is less than half. For instance, I'm currently earning around %35 of revenue from the USA, with the majority coming from overseas, non-english speaking countries, because I simply took the time to translate the product into those languages. I don't even know the cultures, and haven't advertised to them, etc. But they are the majority of my income.
I think the USA wins on venture capital, sure, but loses in just about every other regard.
Plus, if your company has X amount in capital, would it be better to be located in the Bay Area where your burn rate will be 6-10 times as much as it might be in, say, Thailand?
I know americans think that America is number one in a large number of areas... but once I left america, I started to see that the american perspective on the world is pretty distorted.
So, depending on your business model and your background, whether you're based in the U.S. or outside of it, both come with their own sets of challenges. I just think more business models have a higher probability of success if the company is based in the U.S. than they would if they were based in SE Asia.
From what I've heard by talking to other tech startups in the area, if you're looking to do a high growth type of startup, that can be difficult in this region and the reason is primarily due to funding. There's a cultural difference in the investors here that boils down to risk aversion. Asian cultures are typically risk averse and this no doubt applies to Asian investors as well. They expect you to already be making money or if you're not making money, then they'll want a sizable stake of equity - sizable enough to make the founders feel like employees rather than owners. One could get investment from firms in the U.S., but I've not heard of many who have gone that route, and I suspect many investment firms unfamiliarity with Asia could make that a little difficult.
Now if you want to talk about bootstrapping, then anything is possible within the limits of your abilities and tolerance.
If you're based in Asia but targeting the U.S. market, that's again not an insurmountable obstacle, but you'll need to be able to talk to your customers, and when your customers are based in the U.S., the time difference, distance, and being culturally disconnected can make this difficult at times. Possible yes, but at an extra cost.
So again, it really depends on what your business is doing. I think being in the U.S. gives you more options though.
I'm not doubting Singapore or the rest of the countries can be good for entrepreneurs but this infographic is just fluff.
The first is available talent but the advantage is not as great as you might think there.
The second is the way our ivy league schools have functioned as networking hubs for folks starting businesses. But that then just is helpful if you already have money.
The third has been the investor climate and the US financial strength. This is the factor that has traditionally tipped things heavily in the favor of the US.
The problem with this assessment though is that it shows that if you are in the capital class in the US, you have a relatively easy time but if you are not, then you are more or less shut out. The only way to get a decent-sized business started for such people is to do it overseas.
How would you like to have all your telcos, transportation companies, media companies, all owned or controlled by the government? Welcome to Singapore.
Maybe it can be done online for cheap, and thus those who are charging all that money are people who are giving a lot of advice. (I haven't looked into it closely.)
Also, if you plan to apply for residency using the EntrePass it appears you need to have $50k SGD in "paid up capital", which is about $40,000 USD. I'm not sure what "paid up capital" means, though. (EG: is a business making $4,000 a year in profit valued at $40,000 thus considered to have $40k in paid up capital? Or does it mean you need to put $50k SGD in a local bank to sit there as a form of a bond?)
I believe many countries have restrictions on foreigners incorporating without a local director/shareholder?
But yes, it is a little bit annoying. What we ended up doing is getting a mentor/investor to become a nominee director.
We used a professional services firm - they cover all the Gov't requirements regarding minutes, company secretary etc.,
Was SGD$800