Autonomous vehicle drove through police tape at a crime scene in San Francisco
twitter.com
twitter.com
1. How many total vehicle-miles have this level of autonomous vehicles driven in all of history?
2. How many times has an incident like this happened?
3. Now what's that ratio for humans.
Truth of the matter is, if the event was "One [bad] driver drove through police tape" this wouldn't be a story.
I know even single-events are illustrative without a denominator, but it's hard to think about how much to fault autonomous vehicles as a whole without that.
If an AI messes up, it might do it again. If a human driver messes up, another human driver might do it again. I'm not seeing a substantial difference.
Humans aren't all running the same software of course, but that just introduces some [additional] probabilistic uncertainty to our estimate. Fundamentally the situation with human drivers remains the same (or worse). In fact, we can be 100% certain that the 'human software' running on all the other cars on the road is not bug-free!
> and also how much can engineers understand why this happened to prevent it in the future
This is legitimately a substantial difference.
Yet this difference is an advantage for autonomous cars, while the reaction to these headlines is almost universally negative toward the technology.
The roads, traffic system, laws and institutions etc., have all been designed for humans, and have been constantly updated and improved for many decades. This means autonomous vehicles might make a mistake that is practically impossible for a human to make. As an exaggerated example to make the point, it could malfunction in the middle of a highway and break full stop, or maybe keep going straight and fly off the highway unto a building. That said, they will get safer just like the human system, and probably way more safer eventually.
Exactly—the mistakes are newsworthy because they're unusual (both in specifics and the general novelty of "AI did X"), and not because (exaggerations aside) they're categorically any worse than the mistakes humans make.
We are 100% guaranteed that humans aren't perfect drivers. A headline where we "discover" an AI is imperfect, therefore, doesn't let us conclude AI is worse than human drivers.
On the other hand, autonomous systems can benefit from direct learning transfer through shared software, whereas humans cannot. In this respect AI is categorically superior to human drivers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4O9QfUE5uI
All of them have absolutely poor implementations of "AI" and should not be trusted with human life.
Tesla’s approach seem many tiers more reckless than Cruise/Waymo to me.
Seems to me these cars just need a way for someone outside of the car to halt the car and call for a remote driver and open up communications.
The whole technology needs some integration. No-go zones are already available for robo-vacuums. Maybe that crime tape needs some rfid tags in it or something.
And why don't cars have an RFID VIN tag? So I could open an account and just drive into my parking garage, drive out again without stopping? Or park in any outdoor city space and be charged similarly?
My car wash for heaven's sake has this. But I have to stick a doohickey on the inside of the windshield when I register my contract.
The solutions are mostly simple. It's only waiting for regulation/integration.
Or maybe, tech companies shouldn’t be testing tech incapable of following laws on public roads.
Oh for fucks sake, the solution is already as simple as it can get; don't cross a police line. This is already a solved problem.
"Why the fuck can't Linux just find all the pictures I have of my dog? Who the fuck doesn't know what a dog is? Are these programmers morons?"
Later:
"Just send an email every Wednesday at 3pm. How fucking hard can it be?"
(Wikipedia: "Leap seconds are irregularly spaced because the Earth's rotation speed changes irregularly. Indeed, the Earth's rotation is quite unpredictable in the long term, which explains why leap seconds are announced only six months in advance. [...] Other contributing factors are the movement of the Earth's crust relative to its core, changes in mantle convection, and any other events or processes that cause a significant redistribution of mass. [...] For example, glacial rebound shortens the solar day by 0.6 ms/century and the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake is thought to have shortened it by 2.68 microseconds.")
"I don't care, Hennimore, just do the fucking Wednesday thing. And make Linux get my photos of Cupcake."
And then when they tested against all that for a decade on their closed test tracks they can let the thing onto the streets.
Because even if there were such block out zones, and there was a way to prevent abuse of that system, you'd still have to handle situations without those.
¹ HI: Human Intelligence
But in the US at least, we let teenagers drive after maybe a few hours practice. They make mistakes all the time, and we tolerate them.
So our comfort zone is somewhere in between. Perhaps a 'UA Listing' that has a standard for performance in certain scenarios.
AFAIK from local news reports, police were involved in a standoff with someone in a residence above a grocery store. That person was shot and killed. None of the news reports mentioned any crime being committed on the roadway.
Depends on your definition of “currently available to consumers” but no, Autopilot is not ahead of everyone else.
Your claim: Cruise is the most advanced tech currently available to consumers.
My refutation: Cruise is only available in one city in the USA.
Are you braindead? Why is there so much blind anti-Musk rhetoric on this forum?