World likely to breach 1.5C climate threshold by 2027, scientists warn

Primary source (PDF):

https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11611

The chance of global near-surface temperature exceeding 1.5°C above preindustrial levels for at least one year between 2023 and 2027 is more likely than not (66%). It is unlikely (32%) that the five-year mean will exceed this threshold.

ah shit, here we go again