Carmakers are pushing electric SUVs, but smaller is better when it comes to EVs
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
Current Cars
* 2023 Compact Gas SUV (RAV4): 3,370 lbs
* 2023 F-150 V8 Supercab: ~4,500 lbs
* Your typical American short school bus: 10,000 lbs
EVs
* 2023 Tesla Model Y: ~4,500 lbs
* 2023 F-150 Lightning Extended Range: ~6,500 lbs
* 2022 Hummer EV: 9,000 lbs
Except now the 9,000 lb SUV can go 0-60 in 3 seconds.
I'd much rather live with the vast majority of smaller cars and trucks electrifying and letting the 0.1% of people who feel the need to drive a Hummer keep their gas-guzzling cars. At least the old gas models were a "mere" 5,000 lbs and accelerated 0-60 in a much more reasonable 7-8 seconds.
Why? Sensors and maneuverability matter. Being hit by a Tesla may be worse, but it does a lot to avoid hitting you.
I drove a SUV not that long ago on a country road, i now understand why it tends to have more accident than a regular car, especially if you drive fast on a curvy road.
Although the weight (and correspondingly, the size) of a car does play into sight lines, maneuverability and how fast the car can decelerate.
Maybe an analogous question would be: would you rather be stepped on by a horse or an elephant? Both substantially outweigh you but I bet you'll pick the horse.
[1] https://www.nber.org/digest/nov11/vehicle-weight-and-automot....
If the same thing happens with a Escalade or F150, there's more mass and it's hitting dead on.
Model Y RWD weighs 4065 pounds, but pretty sure my Tundra is a lot less safe for pedestrians, as it sits higher and weight about 1800 pounds more without fuel.
Yeah, smaller cars are better for pedestrian safety, but North American drivers in general want bigger cars. Ford stopped making passenger cars for NA, even. Although you could argue some of their small 'SUV's are really hatchbacks at this point.
Not sure how you get people to want to buy smaller cars other than taxes.
* Kia EV9 (likely ~6,000 lbs)
* Volvo EX90 (likely 6,000+ lbs)
* Rivian R1S (7,000 lbs)
* Electric Chevy Silverado (likely 8,000+ lbs)
* GMC Sierra EV (likely 8,000+ lbs)
As battery tech improves they'll get lighter and they're predicted to beat ICE on this metric in a couple of years
One thing I think that could dramatically improve people's perceived need for energy storage capacity is if we started getting electrified roads where cars and trucks can charge while moving. (There are some of these in Sweden and Germany as test projects, and apparently Sweden is moving forward on doing a permanent installation.)
1995 Hummer H1 6766
2005 Hummer H2 SUT 6780
2006 Hummer H1 Alpha 7558
2009 Hummer H2 6614
-------Stopping distance
2022 Hummer - 70mph 211 ft
2005 Hummer H2 SUT - 70mph 214ft
2008 Hummer H2 - 60mph 152ft (motortrend)
Bringing up the Hummer as an example of EVs makes no sense, they've sold less than 1000 so far. Just in 2022 the F150 sold 653k units. Let's look at weight for the 5 most popular vehicles in the US in 2022.
------- Top 5 Vehicles of 2022 (Car and Drive, Trims excluded so I used the entire range)
1. F150 4000 - 5740
2. Chevy Silverado 4490 - 5240
3. Dodge Ram 4775 - 6439
4. Toyota Rav 4 3370 - 3655
5. Camry 3310 - 3595
Finally, why does weight matter to you so much? Not stopping distance, safety systems, front end design? If I get hit with a vehicle that weighs X pounds and it causes me to die what does it matter if it weighed 2x the amount? Can you show there's a meaningful difference between 3000 pounds, 4000 pounds, and 5000 pounds when you strike someone?
If you are concerned about EV safety because of weight, don't want to restrict non-EV trucks, and used the Hummer EV as an example I believe you are arguing disingenuously.
sources: https://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/a40618071/2022-gmc-humm... https://gmauthority.com/blog/gm/gmc/gmc-hummer-ev/gmc-hummer... https://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/a15131760/hummer-h2-sut... https://www.motortrend.com/reviews/163-0804-2008-hummer-h2/ Weights come from Car and Driver or Google
As a Gen-Xer I used borrow my parents' minivan quite often when I was young, and I could easily/regularly fit 6-7 people in that comfortably. For all their size, a lot the SUVs nowadays cannot accomplish that.
Why are these SUVs so big? What is their size going towards?
Faster acceleration also means more confidence so you don't have to keep the momentum.
From a purely anecdotal standpoint, I feel EVs are just safer.
I find it concerning that this seems incomprehensible to many people.
You can’t really change what people want without enacting dystopian/fascist policies.
Yes you can, you can educate them. Decide on how to categorise the environmental impact of each car and mandate that it is labelled as such. Unless you deem such regulation as dystopian?
There are definitely some places that'd like to stop building out new housing with natural gas service, however. But that isn't quite as rage inducing as telling people the leftists are coming for their cherished gas range.
NY state has banned gas stoves in new buildings[1]. Someone is pushing enough for legislatures to act.
[1] https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/03/us/new-york-natural-gas-ban-c...
There might be a tangible difference between "banning gas stoves in new construction" and "banning gas stoves", but as it relates to this conversation they're still the same. ie.
>ostensibly seem less concerned about addressing externalities and more concerned about imposing a choice onto others
In my driveway sits a Chevrolet Bolt. In my garage is a Model 3. When I replace one of them, it will be with a crossover. A Model Y, if I could just wave a magic wand today and replace the Model 3. I want a slightly taller car. And not because of some conspiracy of marketing, either, but because it will be a better fit for my needs.
They are heavier, so they wear the roads more, so there are higher taxes to cover that.
They are less efficient per km, which uses more grid, so there are higher taxes/charges to cover expanding the grid.
This seems to work and they same thing could work here
Similar to your other example: it's made up and is not the reality.
It's the other way around. Making SUVs desirable has been an absolutely massive marketing project since the '90s, to take advantage of weaker regulations on "light trucks" and bigger per-unit profit on larger vehicles.
examples of this? If SUVs have better sight lines from being higher, people want better sight lines, and car manufacturers put that on their advertisements, is that really carmakers "pushing" SUVs or people wanting SUVs?
Or you can, by using marketing, exactly the strategy auto manufacturers in the USA used to push SUVs, SUVs that conveniently skirted emissions regulations which smaller cars were required to fulfill.
Interesting how your definition of dystopian is exactly what marketing/PR has been invented to do, to change the minds of people about what are their "needs".
If you haven't seen, I thoroughly recommend Adam Curtis' "The Century of the Self".
How would you expect a larger car to adhere to the same emissions regulation as a smaller car?
>Interesting how your definition of dystopian is exactly what marketing/PR has been invented to do, to change the minds of people about what are their "needs".
When the government does it, it's definitely a problem because there is not much mechanism to check this power.
When it's a company doing it to sell a product, it's a problem if there are no competitors. That's sort of why we have fairly stringent anti trust regulation.
I don't, never said that, don't create a strawman. SUVs are classified under small trucks instead of passenger vehicles for emissions regulations in the USA, that's the issue.
> When it's a company doing it to sell a product, it's a problem if there are no competitors. That's sort of why we have fairly stringent anti trust regulation.
No, it's a problem when a whole industry decides to skirt some inconvenient laws by using marketing tactics to slowly change consumers' perception of their product. That's what automakers in the USA did, sold an idea that SUVs are safer, that they are needed for families and so on because it was more convenient to not have to abide by stricter emissions regulations in their smaller cars. There's competition, and the competition is doing the same because it benefits the whole industry's profits. This form of collusion is impossible to prosecute, USA's laws infamously end up having lots of these holes for loopholes to poke through... How much of that is on purpose or just simple incompetence is left as an exercise to the reader.
I think this is an overgeneralization, and there are a few factors at play:
Carmakers and dealers push SUVs because typically they have a better margin. I know when I bought my first car back in 2006, lots of folks tried to push me into an SUV even though I -knew- I wanted a basic compact sedan. [0] One of my past partners had the same problem even last year when shopping for a Sedan from the brands that -do- still sell them.
Many consumer groups overbuy on vehicles in general; Whether it's folks who buy a full size truck when a midsize would be more than enough, or as a 'status symbols' (e.x. Cadillac Escalade or Range Rovers at the start of the century)
Then there's the 'Miseducated' group that think that SUVs/Trucks are 'inherently safer' than a Sedan (maybe in some cases, but then it's a weird game of MAD at best since the counter-argument is that SUV->Sedan accidents tend to go worse for the sedan...)
> You can’t really change what people want without enacting dystopian/fascist policies.
IDK. Fixing EPA Footprint rules would be a great start while being more on the 'pragmatic' side than dystopian/fascist.
[0] - RIP Saturn and their no pressure sales.
If this had been really true, some car company would have decided to sacrifice the extra margin to sell at a lower price point to capture a larger market share.
This is a funny thing to say considering most of these vehicles already come with a tax rebate to entice people to buy them over their ICE counterparts. Are taxes and tax rebates "dystopian/fascist"?
It’s pretty much only useful if you have a large taxable income.
Sucks for you if you are a student, a retiree, a small business owner, etc etc.
(Average new car price: 46k, Median Income: ~54k before tax)
If tax rebates become a way to control what people can and can not afford to buy, it's just a welfare program deceptively designed for benefiting the top few percent of people drawing a steady income.
Maybe most people are buying cars they can not afford, but that is not an excuse to take away that choice.
The popularity of SUVs is the result of a "loophole" in government incentives. By being classified as light trucks, regulations which apply to cars don't apply to them. This lead automakers to push trucks and SUVs rather than smaller cars. Simple as that.
If the regulatory pressure were applied in another direction, e.g. by scaling road tax with the 4th power of mass (as road damage scales) or by removing this ludicrous loophole, we would have smaller and more efficient cars rather than monstrosities with hoods as tall as a 14 year old.
SUVs are getting really popular in India and most of Europe nowadays, despite narrower streets and lack of parking infrastructure.
You can't change what people want without fixing safety regulations to account for the people outside the vehicle, instead calling it a day after 45mph crash tests.
Changing the polices that led to the SUV/pickup arms race just so automakers and dealerships can sell vehicles for higher profit margins is not dystopian/fascist. Pedestrians deaths are going up, smaller lower seating vehicles are becoming unsafe, and the climate crisis keep getting worse.
It would be one thing if the lack of cars in this size range also extended to ICE cars, but it doesn't. There's plenty of gas-powered options, some of which are variants of mainstream models (like the Corolla hatchback). It's just EVs where all of the best-regarded models skew larger.
But I agree they are getting so unnecessarily long. Not just in the car length, but also in the wheelbase. The Ioniq 5 (compact SUV / hatchback) has a longer wheel base (118") and thus worse turning radius than a Toyota 4Runner SUV (110"). Makes it a nightmare for city driving & parking.
And yeah, the Ioniq 5 bums me out. Love the aesthetic and it seems generally great, but entirely too long.
Well, yeah; batteries have really bad energy density and are extremely heavy. Length doesn't affect aerodynamics as much as width or height does, so if you want to offer reasonable ranges, the cars need to get longer.
>It would be one thing if the lack of cars in this size range also extended to ICE cars, but it doesn't.
Yes, because at that size EVs lose their TCO advantage and are strictly worse products than normal compact cars outside of that. They're better in the luxury car segment where you can have twice the horsepower, the same effective range, and more internal space with a decreased TCO because large cars are inefficient- but the Bolt offers none of those things over the Corolla, which is why it's discontinued.
Carmakers are pushing electric SUVs because that’s what the (highest margin) customers want and will pay for.
It world be worth tweaking public policy to change incentives (provide more subsidies the more energy efficient the car is) but blaming auto manufacturers for chasing demand and profits is a food errand.
Right now the highly efficient low cost market segment seems like it is better served by traditional hybrids and plug in hybrids- you can get a Hyundai Elantra hybrid at 56 mpg for $24550 MSRP or a plug in Prius for $30k. Of course there is still the Nissan leaf, starting at $28k for a true BEV still.
As component costs (read batteries) come down and manufacturing capabilities go up, I think you’ll be back to seeing more BEVs at the low end, but right now the manufacturers are chasing the premium customer with what they’ve got.
Toyota finally replaced their hydrogen-oriented CEO with an electric vehicle guy. Old CEO: "Toyoda reiterated that he does not believe all-electric vehicles will be adopted as quickly as policy regulators and competitors think, due to a variety of reasons. He cited lack of infrastructure, pricing and how customers’ choices vary region to region as examples of possible roadblocks."[1] New CEO: "To deliver attractive BEVs to more customers, we must streamline the structure of the car, and — with a BEV-first mindset — we must drastically change the way we do business, from manufacturing to sales and service".[2]
Toyota management is scared. The Toyota Corolla, their best selling car, is being out-sold in California by Tesla. That wasn't supposed to happen.
[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/02/toyota-ceo-akio-toyoda-elect...
I was given a '23 Corolla from a rental agency, and I can say it was a complete disappointment in a way that other random rentals were not.
1) No CarPlay/app integration standard.
2) Horrendous dash geometry and overall interface.
3) Incredibly annoying and non-intuitive lane-keeping alert.
Perhaps Toyota should develop cars that don't suck. Disclaimer: I have owned 4 Toyotas in the past and own an older Toyota currently. I had brand loyalty till about 10 years ago.
From the standpoint of this discussion, the key point is that they are pushing the least fuel efficient vehicles for electrification in general.
> It's frustrating if you care about the end goal of getting carbon emissions drastically down in a reasonable time frame.
This is backasswards. If you want to reduce carbon emissions, replacing a full size SUV with an electric equivalent is going to save you more than replacing a compact sedan with an electric equivalent.
The Bolt was a rare success story of making a pretty decent reasonably-affordable EV.
The IRA removed the tax credit that Kia and Hyundai vehicles were previously eligible for. I think Chevy is banking on sedans/hatchbacks being so expensive that more consumers will say, "oh well, I guess I'll get a truck."
Maybe Kia and Hyundai and Nissan and Volkswagen will fill the cheap, small car demand eventually as they setup U.S. assembly lines and ramp up production.
I think if we cared more about climate change than geopolitical concerns and U.S. jobs and whatnot, we'd just let BYD sell the Seagull in the U.S. on a level playing field.
We are supposed to use less materials to make the world a better place.
Wonder what problems will occur 30 years down the line because of this.
Hummer better hope it hits the right part of the train.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXJdYqldgn8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fry18SSnK_Y
The hummer will likely burst into flame and possibly be thrown into oncoming traffic or nearby buildings.
I've read them religiously when I was younger but this "everything is bad and we tell you so" attitude is just boring and after a while incredibly toxic.
That's just how it works, sorry.
The Guardian journalists don't live in the real world.
The Hummer is an outlier and is gross.