Get a Tesla if you want to learn about AI trying to kill you, says Steve Wozniak
electrek.co
electrek.co
This is pretty much what I have come to expect from any post that has the words "AI" attached to it.
As far as the tesla is concerned, its fun watching the screen to see what it identifies, and its cruise control works pretty well but the FSD should NEVER EVER be used. I test it every now and then against some freeway separators, and 5 years later its still trying to crash into them because somehow the road markers trump over the side collision detectors that are telling it there is a wall on that side.
It is excessively cautious, but that's better than the opposite and I take over whenever it could annoy other drivers.
Susan Blackmore observed that you can implement all the known functionality of human consciousness by answering the question 'Are you conscious?' with 'yes'.
We don't have any broad agreement that it does anything else, and we know that we do lots of things unconsciously despite our commonplace beliefs to the contrary.
That is not the argument.
People may well be conscious (no matter what they've said). What is the function of consciousness? Intriguingly, upon some reflection, we know of nothing that could not be done without consciousness [1]. One can seek food, mate, avoid danger, and so on without consciousness. One can speak and be intelligent without consciousness. So, why did evolution endow us with consciousness? Big puzzle.
[1] And now for the footnote/joke (which illustrates the profound point made in the paragraph above): The only thing we know of that one cannot do without consciousness is this: to truthfully answer "yes" to the question "are you conscious?".
Living in the future is just such an odd comment to me. I get your enthusiastic about it, but what you consider futuristic is different than what I would consider.
It can’t see a red light that is 120’ away to begin slowing down, nor does it consider that the navigation calls for a right turn at the light!
My theory is that the camera array needs to be larger and potentially much more data needs to be integrated into the decision making.
Even the fsd preview is scary when semi trucks seem to bounce left and right by about five feet per second while I pass them on the highway.
This is not a criticism of Tesla - the cars are a superb experience overall — just a note that the idea of self driving working on normal city streets or even suburban roads is pretty far fetched and will require significant enhancement to the tech that is in the 2023 vehicles.
Or they could just use radar/lidar like everyone else.
I realized today that the Tesla system is noticeably slow to react to stimuli. It reminded me of how some gas station pumps emit a beep a second or so after you press a button when entering the zip code. Laggy, underpowered embedded systems.
I think the Tesla AI team is just unserious about the problem, probably largely because of Musk being a poor leader for the project.
The Volvo Cars Safety Centre crash lab opened in 2000 and contains two test tracks of 108 and 154 metres long respectively. The shorter of the two is moveable and can be positioned at an angle between 0 and 90 degrees, allowing for crash test at different angles and speeds, or to simulate a crash between two moving cars. Cars are crashed at speeds up to 120 km/h.
Outside, there is room for performing tests like roll-over crashes and run-off road scenarios, whereby cars are launched into a ditch at high speeds. Here, Volvo Cars also offers rescue services opportunities to hone their life-saving skills, as it did earlier this year when it dropped new Volvos from a height of 30 metres to simulate the heavy damage found in extreme crash scenarios.
https://www.media.volvocars.com/global/en-gb/media/pressrele...
I get that Volvo’s whole image is their safety, but real world data does not back that up entirely
Even updated tests (released post-launch of the car) tend to treat them pretty favorably: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/most-small-suvs-fail-insurance-...
I think of the IIHS as a sort of benchmarking organization - not representative of the real world like any microbenchmark, but also correlated with production performance on some level. They seem to do quite well in their microbenchmarks.
As for self-driving, I've had great driving experiences with their Pilot Assist.
You can just cruise control on it’s own - it works really well.
I choose to believe my eyes, it seems like FSD Beta can see almost everything a human sees. In fact in the latest version I don’t think I’ve found a single example of it missing something clearly visible to a human.
It’s planning needs some work, it seems to lack longer term planning, frequently putting itself in positions where it needs to do 3-4 quick consecutive lane changes. You may hate Elons politics, but the FSD Beta has been released to 100k+ Tesla owners and it’s not inconceivable that no one will be in the drivers seat in the next 5 yrs.
Edit: as mentioned in the comments below FSD can’t handle parking lots which is annoying because that was the one place I hoped it would work the most.
That being said, often times I've had to intervene going <10 miles on local roads because it's so cautious that I'm afraid other drivers may react poorly and cause an accident. Rarely, it has done some dangerous actions that I'd characterize as "bad driving." So no, it's not there yet and it is dangerous because of the rare situations, but it's also occasionally perfect and usually "okay."
1. It hangs at an intersection too long that the person behind honks at me
2. It refuses to lane change out of fear leading me to miss highway exits or turns (sometimes but rarer, it tries a turn from the wrong lane)
3. It just gets bumpy some rides with a lot of phantom breaking that can be dangerous at times (I’ve seen the phantom breaking reduce in V11 though)
I don’t think the standard fear of if I didn’t intervene I would hit so and so obstacle is something I ever experienced in my FSD, though I did start using FSD in the much later versions of FSD 10+ where a lot of kinks were ironed out
Is this from personal experience of using FSD Beta or are you relying purely on YouTube videos to assess its performance? Because not everyone drives around recording videos for YouTube.
I get it, it's easy to make fun of Tesla and the plenty mess-ups and incidents. But the argument that those incidents add up to super dangerous situations seems to consistently not translate into a whole lot of real world injuries and deaths. You'd struggle to make that point. Teslas continue to have excellent safety metrics. And the more people they roll this out to and the more these metrics fail to degrade, the weaker that argument gets.
Nice little thought experiment: Ask yourself would you rather have an AI drive your car than any random owner of a US drivers license (you don't get to choose)? IMHO The barrier for AI is pretty low if you think about it like that.
I have a friend who had his Tesla in the shop for 2 months and literally had no alternate car for this period.
Autonomous driving is not real. Do not believe Elon-hype.
The cars have a surprisingly high number of defects and bizarre issues.
Is the technology there yet? No.
Why not? Insurance companies will accept liability for my driving fuck-ups in exchange for a monthly payment. And doing so doesn't instantly bankrupt them or anything. Why shouldn't a self-driving car company do the same thing?
G*P didn't mention payments for accepting risk, he just said if they accepted liability.
Mercedes Drive Pilot was to be liability for accidents, under a list of conditions, by the end of 2022
https://www.roadandtrack.com/news/a39481699/what-happens-if-...
I think a litmus test of “perfect” is a fair test, but leaves a lot of value uncounted in the mean time.
I think perhaps ignoring essentially everything Elon musk says and does and judge based on what’s in front of you is what works for me in not getting baited into the “is the Tesla FSD sentient and can do my taxes” hype cycle, with its requisite jadedness.
The problem with Tesla is that it was a rushed system built on the whim of a 50 year old nepo baby, and that real safety requires holistic sensor suites that include LIDAR and RADAR, as well as a fuck load of redundancy, in addition to cameras, which is the only thing Teslas have.
If the driver didn‘t do this, he killed someone, not the car. It‘s abundantly clear to anyone opting into the beta.
Do we want to? No.
If you want to fix that, you need to do something about the rising narcissism and irresponsibility in society. If you just try to lecture people about safety-vs-freedom, then you will be losing your freedom.
You could make that argument about needing a license, or how you're not allowed to take a turn driving a plane.
I love my Tesla. I think FSD is a horseshit scam with some neat tech that's nowhere near ready for the public. Fortunately, I don't pay for it, so it doesn't affect what I do with my car.
I do find it incredibly frustrating that the vast majority of Tesla conversations devolve into screaming matches between people who are rabidly pro or rabidly con, with both sides doing a pretty poor job of representing the truth. And those in the middle generally wander off to do something far more productive literally anywhere else on the internet.
Not for the other drivers and pedestrians.
The collateral damage to these types of decisions are invisible to the one actually using the thing causing the damage, and it is very hard to convince that it is real
They sold it as autopilot. If you market something to do X and it does Y, you're bound to get people upset. Especially when it costs a chunk of the moon.
Edit: I scroll down and the first thing I see is a first person account of some one having sold theirs after disliking the overall experience, turning white. Welp, guess this is an opinion I should reflect on.
Planes have autopilot too. It doesn't mean the pilot turns it on then goes and takes a nap. They still have to be alert.
Teslas always allow human input to override and they don't auto-steer through cones. There were several attack ads that exploited these two very reasonable behaviors to force the car to impact a dummy before blaming the impact on FSD. Is this one of them? This particular video doesn't look familiar from the last kerfuffle, but I see cones and I see a conflict of interest. Is there an interior shot showing the console?
FSD is great around VRUs.
It's not all garbage, and the build quality these days is actually as good as any other car I've had. But FSD is vaporware, and Elon is an actual troll manifest.
Like most things in life, the cars are not 100% gold or 100% shit.
The car was cool for a few years, and then it became deeply irritating. We got a Volvo, and holy shit the Volvo had better tech.
I wasn't aware that I could disable FSD for Tesla owners when they're using the roads in my city. Could you point to that feature, please?
I met an apple fanboy recently. His thing was that apple is amazing because they care the most about user experience, the design is so amazing, and it's so much better than anything else! After he talked at length about how everything about apple is great, I said that I'd learned that apple made iphones slow on purpose 3 years in and when caught said it was about saving battery. I said that's not a good user experience to me, if the phone becomes slow after 3 years. He told me that _his own iphone_ is going thru that, and he still hadn't time to buy a new one but he was going to, but it was great because it was a conscious design choice by apple.
These people are just brainwashed by a brand.
As the battery ages, running at peak power can lead to random shutdowns/restarts. Apple chose to throttle the devices (which in most use cases is basically imperceptible) to avoid random shutdowns of the device, which in my view is indeed a better user experience.
I have seen no indication that competing phones do not suffer the same issue.
The notion that Apple deliberately hobbled their devices to reduce their lifetime in order to encourage sales is ludicrous; iPhones hold their resale value far better than other phones.
What am I a fanboy of?
the car panics at silly things, and is entirely too aggressive with braking.
Its also quite daft in the times when it just wont use braking like going downhill in adaptive cruise control, the car will not use brakes to stay within the speed limit when going downhill. It will just beep really annoyingly (no it cant be turned off). but if a car in front of it starts slowing down it will be quite happy to heavily slam the brakes on (nothing dangerous, just that its either on or off.. it wont graduate the application).
I know Tesla's version is an order of magnitude better but i can easily see how it can be fooled or do the wrong thing. I wouldn't trust it un attended.
It's intentional and very misleading. As per your own link - it's comparing apple to oranges (airbag-deployed crash vs police-reported crash). It's not accounting for different drivers or road profiles.
Check some independent reviews of the data - it paints a very different picture from what Tesla would like us to believe.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradtempleton/2023/04/26/tesla-...
Anyone can expand?
TLDR we’re going on a road trip next month and taking the Tesla. When taking the jeep was mentioned, no one wanted to drive, lol!
Nothing short of AI snake oil that puts the lives of drivers on the road at risk.
Just don't use it in town, and do your own steering on extremely curvy roads.
I don't think it's any different from understanding the limitations of cruise control. If you stay aware, it can do a lot of work for you.
(autopilot 1 is the first mobileye version)
Every time someone explains the features to me, they all sound cool and my interest is piqued, but I never quite grok what it practically does that would change daily driving for me.
I think lane changing might be neat but I just don’t do that much on the highway?
For me the massive advancement was getting a car with EyeSight and now it keeps me in the lane and evenly spaced and makes stop and go traffic painless. Oh and all the safety stopping systems. Every car should have those!
Beyond that feels like diminishing returns until we get to some new level of autonomy which no car currently has.
extremely curvy roads. curvy roads are fine, but really tight turns it hunts a little and it's just easier to steer yourself.
And I should be clear this is a corner case at the edge. On the freeway, even curvy mountain freeways, it does very well.
and in town, I haven't had any issues, but it doesn't stop at stop signs, so I like to drive myself.
this is just common sense to me, sort of how you don't use (old traditional set-one-speed) cruise control in heavy traffic.
It will slow if traffic slows then speed back up. It’ll do stop and go traffic without me touching a pedal. It does curves better than I ever expected it to. Any curve you find on a highway it’ll handle. It can do some off-ramps if they’re not super tight. But I don’t generally trust it to do those.
I don’t trust it on non-divided country roads so I don’t really try. And it turns itself off fully if there’s too much rain or snow.
I test drove a Mazda… 5? Whatever the comparable is, and a Honda CRV and their systems didn’t come close. Couldn’t even tell if the Mazda’s was enabled. The CRV bounced from line to line in the lane. They use radar and a single tiny camera. EyeSight uses two big stereo cameras which I guess is the difference.
Please correct me if I’m wrong but isn’t Teslas autopilot something like ~10x as safe as the average driver?
These numbers should only be compared to miles on cruise control in other cars.
- driving on a divided highway (what’s the actual prerequisite?)
- good enough weather for autopilot to engage
- in a relatively new, high end luxury vehicle which is likely to be well maintained and have better handling and braking than average vehicles
- likely to be driven by older middle-class drivers less prone to risk-taking
- unclear what the cutoff is between ‘autopilot driving’ and ‘human driving’ during a crash, if autopilot disengaged before impact does that count as human or autopilot driving?
If you're looking at deaths, in the USA, there's about 1.5 every 100 million miles driven (this includes pedestrians/etc). That's a pretty high bar. Way higher than most autopilot apologists imply.
I'm not saying autopilot won't ever be safer than humans. Just that it isn't as easy as it appears.
Bruh. 10x as dangerous would still be a low number.