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Ignorant european here: if that's the case, is it a bad idea to keep a lot of money on S&P500 right now?

"Now" is almost certainly a fantastic time to buy the S&P500. It's on sale. But don't expect to see that money for ~5 years.

Ignorant American here:

No one really knows what is going to happen in the short term...

No one really knows what is going to happen in the long term either.

in the long term, we are all dead and nothing else matters