Danish Confirm Russian Minisub at Site of Nord Stream Blasts 4 Days Prior

oalexanderdk.substack.com

15 pointsLuc3 comments

I understand it could be Russia detected the device and was trying to disable it, or was getting intel on it, before it was triggered.

But in the case that _they_ planted the sabotage device, what does this do for them politically?

Multiple things:

* disabling Nord Stream I gets Gazprom off the hook for failing to deliver gas to customers in Europe through force majeure

* Leaving one pipeline of Nord Stream II intact left a door open for Germany to get gas in exchange for ending support for Ukraine

* it's a not so subtle message to Nato that Russia sees the Baltic as their lake, and underwater resources are not safe

* planting disinformation about "who really did the deed" was used to sow discord among the de facto allies of Ukraine.

But since the simplest explanation is statistically the most likely, we all going to agree this was done by the US to damage Russia and force the EU to buy America’s LNG.

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